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Barclays' Jared Shaw presents a bullish case for mid-cap banks
  + stars: | 2024-03-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBarclays' Jared Shaw presents a bullish case for mid-cap banksJared Shaw, Barclays mid-cap bank analyst, joins 'The Exchange' to discuss whether New York Community Bank's issues represent a more significant problem in banking, best positioned mid-cap banks, and more.
Persons: Jared Shaw Organizations: Barclays, New York Community
The new corporate earnings season revs up next week, and some stocks could do well on the back of their reports. The regional bank has beat earnings expectations in 70% of its past reports and typically advances 1.7% on the back of a report. Blackstone Investment firm Blackstone also made the list, with the company beating expectations 70% and 79% of the time for earnings and revenue, respectively. Horton , which is also set to report Thursday, has beat earnings expectations 76% of the time and sales forecasts 70%. The company, which reports Thursday after the bell, has beat earnings and sales expectations 87% and 83% of the time, respectively.
Persons: revs, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, they've, Wells, Jared Shaw, WAL, Blackstone, D.R, Horton D.R, — CNBC's Michael Bloom, Fred Imbert Organizations: Bank of America, Netflix, United, Investors, CNBC Pro, Investment, Western Alliance, Western Alliance Bancorp, Regional Banking, Blackstone Investment, Truland Locations: Horton, Friday's
First Republic 's quarterly update left investors with major questions about whether the bank can repair itself after massive withdrawals, but the regional bank troubles appear to now be limited to just a small corner of the industry, according to Wall Street analysts. The troubled regional lender reported its first-quarter results Monday, showing a 40.8% drop in deposits that was steeper than analyst estimates. The bank said deposits have stabilized in recent weeks and that it was taking steps to cut expenses and shrink its balance sheet, while also exploring strategic options. Results from regional banks over the last two weeks demonstrated the stickiness of the deposit customer base. ... We expect FRC to embrace a new approach and a different business model, as it adjusts to operating with a smaller balance sheet.
The lack of major outflows from many regional banks suggests that there are several stocks in the industry that could be big winners for investors, according to Wells Fargo. They expanded that optimism on Thursday evening by reiterating overweight ratings on Banc of California , East West Bancorp , F.N.B. Banc of California is the name of the three where Wells Fargo is the most bullish. Wells Fargo called Banc of California's deposit mix "impressive" and noted that the firm continued its stock buybacks despite the turmoil for regional banks. is less eye-popping at about 27%, but the bank's cautious approach should be reassuring to investors, Wells Fargo said.
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWells Fargo's Jared Shaw previews regional banks with deposit tailwinds ahead of earningsJared Shaw, Wells Fargo bank analyst, joins 'The Exchange' to discuss regional banks ahead of the sector reporting earnings.
Struggling First Republic Bank still has a path to survival as a smaller version of itself, according to Wells Fargo. Wells Fargo analyst Jared Shaw said in a note to clients on Sunday that First Republic now has 50-50 odds of survival or seeing a regulator-driven resolution. The trick now is that First Republic needs to get smaller, Shaw explained, while holding on to those large new deposits. Even under a restructuring scenario, First Republic would still have negative earnings per share in the fourth quarter of 2024, according to Wells Fargo's calculations. Wells Fargo has a price target of $25 per share for First Republic, representing the 50-50 odds of the bank's survival.
The capital issues at SVB Financial sparked a sell-off among bank stocks on Thursday, but the tech-focused bank's woes will likely not be a preview of wider issues in the banking system, according to Wall Street analysts. KBWB 5D mountain Bank stocks fell sharply on Thursday. Morgan Stanley analysts Manan Gosalia and Betsy Graseck echoed that sentiment, saying in a note that the issues at hand appeared to specific to SVB. "Current pressures facing SIVB are highly idiosyncratic and should not be viewed as a read-across to other banks we cover. RBC analyst Gerard Cassidy said that banks without large retail customer bases could be in for a rocky period.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailLiquidity concerns are putting pressure on banks right now, says Wells Fargo's Jared ShawJared Shaw, Wells Fargo equity analyst, joins 'The Exchange' to discuss the impact of Fed rate hikes on the financial sector.
With the demise of Silvergate Bank, investors should turn their attention to New York-based Signature Bank ( SBNY ), which has a big opportunity to pick up business from the crypto market, according to Wells Fargo. Late Wednesday, Silvergate Capital said it would shut down Silvergate Bank, which had become the go-to bank for crypto businesses in the past few years as larger banks steered clear. Businesses still have Signature Bank, however. "Signature [is the] last game in crypto-town," said Wells Fargo equity analyst Jared Shaw, adding, "It's the only larger bank remaining with a functional on-ramp for institutional crypto investors. Wells Fargo has an overweight rating on Signature with a $185 price target, implying almost 95% upside from where shares traded Thursday afternoon.
The fourth quarter is finally here, much to the relief of many investors who took a beating in the previous three-month period. Stocks were battered last quarter as the Federal Reserve doubled down on its aggressive monetary policy stance to fight persistently high inflation. Wall Street analysts are to here to help, recommending several stocks that could do well going forward. On top of that, 75% of analysts covering the stock rate it as a buy, FactSet data shows. Both stocks have buy ratings from nearly two-thirds of analysts covering them.
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