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Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFear may cripple the development of AI in the short-term, says Toggle AI CEO Jan SzilagyiJan Szilagyi, Toggle AI CEO, joins 'Closing Bell: Overtime' to discuss OpenAI and the AI space.
Persons: Jan Szilagyi Jan Szilagyi
Six months later, the promise of generative AI has boosted the Nasdaq Composite 31.7%, notching its best first half since 1983 . Betting on Nvidia Nvidia took Wall Street by storm this year. No matter how AI evolves, Nvidia was seen by many investors as a main beneficiary. Even with the stock's stellar performance, and recent entrance into the $1 trillion market cap club, investors aren't shying away just yet. "There will be an opportunity to get into some of these stocks at probably better levels than you're at now," Szilagyi said.
Persons: ChatGPT, Ken Mahoney, Mahoney, Jan Szilagyi, aren't shying, Sylvia Jablonski, Paul Meeks, Meeks, it's, Jordan Stuart, Eli Lilly's Mounjaro, Stuart, Szilagyi Organizations: Microsoft, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Meta, Apple, Mahoney Asset Management, Nvidia Nvidia, Nvidia —, Independent Solutions, Management, Investors, Big Tech, Federated Hermes, Novo Nordisk's Ozempic Locations: Hong Kong
Szilagyi has the record for the fastest-ever Harvard Economics Ph.D. (2.5 years), studying under Ken Rogoff. In addition to his economics Ph.D., Szilagyi holds BA and MA degrees in mathematics and economics from Yale. Szilagyi: Toggle is a generative AI startup that sits squarely at the intersection of finance and artificial intelligence. Toggle AI was really born from observing the ever-mounting flow of financial data that we needed to track. Thanks to his support, Toggle AI took off with a mission to provide every investor and advisor with powerful AI tools in an easy-to-navigate, chat interface.
Persons: Jan Szilagyi, Szilagyi, Stanley Druckenmiller, Lombard Odier, Ken Rogoff, Giuseppe Sette, Druckenmiller Organizations: Duquesne Capital, Lombard, Harvard, Yale, CNBC, Summit, Microsoft, Duquesne Locations: Szilagyi, Lombard
U.S. stock futures were flat in overnight trading Sunday after the major averages logged gains for April, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average notched its best month since January. Futures tied to the Dow dipped 30 points, while S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 futures each inched 0.1% lower. The Nasdaq Composite advanced 0.69% as Big Tech earnings took center stage. For the month, the Dow gained 2.5% to notch its best monthly stretch since January, while the benchmark index gained 1.5%. "There was definitely a very positive surprise on the big tech earnings," said Jan Szilagyi, CEO of Toggle AI.
The Global X Robotics & Artificial Intelligence ETF, the largest AI fund in the world, is up 23% so far in 2023. This has included $135 million of inflows so far in 2023, including $80 million in March, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. That's led the world's largest AI fund, the Global X Robotics & Artificial Intelligence ETF (BOTZ), to a stronger start in 2023 than even the red-hot Nasdaq 100. Further, lesser-weighted fund members like C3.ai and South Korea-based Rainbow Robotics have seen their stocks soar more than 200% this year. Among 325 professional investors, 56% plan to add AI- and robotics-themed exposure to their portfolios this year, the survey found.
Today, I'm eager to share my conversation with the CEO of a markets analytics platform that leverages the power of artificial intelligence. Jan Szilagyi is the chief executive officer and cofounder of Toggle AI. Toggle AIJan Szilagyi is the chief executive officer and cofounder of Toggle AI. Jan Szilagyi: We've seen a big increase in business and a huge spike in inquiries to Toggle AI. Ultimately, I don't think AI is going to be a fad though.
Earnings for all S & P 500 companies fell 2.9% for the fourth quarter, based on actual reports and estimates. Rauscher expects a shallow recession, and his view is S & P 500 earnings for 2023 will be about $210, below the street's consensus closer to $230. According to Refinitiv, analysts expect a 1.2% decline in first quarter earnings, followed by a 2% drop in the second quarter. Tech earnings have been a mixed bag. He remains defensive on the market even with the 6.5% gain in the S & P 500 in January so far.
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The December jobs report is another data point that signals the Fed has more work to do to cool the economy. "A labor market this strong means an imminent recession is highly improbable," Indeed Hiring Lab economist Nick Bunker wrote in a note. While stocks usually sell off after these strong reports, fearing the worst from the Fed, Friday saw a strong rally. History suggests there are very strong odds the stock market gains 20% this year after last year's bludgeoning. Tesla stock has tumbled to multiyear lows.
The global economy this year has faced more obstacles than a Tough Mudder, but far less optimism about coming out of it for the better. A worldwide recession is just around the corner, and BlackRock is expecting it to bring more market turbulence than ever before. The global economy is leaving a four-decade stretch of stable growth and modest inflation to enter a period of massive upheaval and instability, BlackRock analysts wrote in the firm's 2023 Global Outlook. "Recession is foretold as central banks race to try to tame inflation. What's more, BlackRock said that markets haven't fully priced in the potential magnitude of the impending recession, since earnings have yet to reflect even a small downturn.
It gives maybe the clearest, most entertaining breakdown of how many, many very bad bets on subprime mortgages kickstarted the 2008 Financial Crisis. The most serious domino to fall 14 years ago was Lehman Brothers, the classic too-big-to-fail behemoth that did in fact go under. All this is a roundabout way of saying the collapse of Sam Bankman-Fried's crypto exchange, FTX, is severe and dramatic enough to warrant its own movie in a few years. Reminisce with me for a moment: In the years leading up to 2008, Lehman Bros loaded up its balance sheet with huge amounts of subprime mortgage debt. Lehman went under, and the world sunk into its worst financial crisis since the Great Depression.
Inflation: Is the Fed losing the war?
  + stars: | 2022-10-13 | by ( Allison Morrow | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +6 min
“This inflation report today was an unmitigated disaster,” wrote Christopher S. Rupkey, chief economist at Fwdbonds, a financial markets research company. Is the Fed losing the fight against inflation? But the effects of rate hikes can take months to be felt in the real economy. But the Fed is “losing the war” when it comes to price hikes for the services sector. Ultimately, some say the problem of pandemic-era inflation is just too complex to be fixed with the Fed’s blunt tools.
The Fed is losing the war against inflation
  + stars: | 2022-10-13 | by ( Allison Morrow | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +6 min
“This inflation report today was an unmitigated disaster,” wrote Christopher S. Rupkey, chief economist at Fwdbonds, a financial markets research company. Is the Fed losing the fight against inflation? But the effects of rate hikes can take months to be felt in the real economy. But the Fed is “losing the war” when it comes to price hikes for the services sector. Ultimately, some say the problem of pandemic-era inflation is just too complex to be fixed with the Fed’s blunt tools.
As of yesterday, the federal funds rate is now in a range of 3.0% to 3.25% after a third consecutive 75-basis-point rate hike and the fifth increase of the year. But should the unemployment rate rise and company earnings fall enough to kick off a deep recession, a markets-friendly central bank could emerge over the next year, according to Kolanovic. In his view, a Fed pivot won't materialize until the unemployment rate gets closer to 5%. How does the Fed's third outsized rate hike impact your outlook for the economy and for your portfolio? US stock futures struggled for direction early Thursday, as the odds of a soft economic landing dwindled following the Fed's rate hike Wednesday.
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