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☆ The decision makers at 6 family offices reveal what it's really like behind the scenes at the private wealth management firms managing billions – and why they are so secretive
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-27 | by ( Ben Bergman | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

Family offices are the private wealth management firms managing the fortunes of wealthy families. But six people agreed to pull back the curtain on family offices to reveal their inner workings. Trust comes before everything elseThe world of family offices is built on relationships and trust before everything else. "Family offices really primarily are about wealth preservation," said Nisa Amoils, managing partner of A100x Ventures who also sits on the board of the Swig Family Office. "As much as it is a family business, it is also the business of family," said Swig.

Persons: Jahnavi Kumari Mewar, JKM, Oliver Swig, I've, Swig, We've, hasn't, Amoils, Consuelo Vanderbilt, SohoMuse, Vanderbilt, Maximilian Winter, Roy, Ben Bergman, bbergman Organizations: North, RBC, Campden, nouveau, Forbes Iconoclast Summit, A100x Ventures, Vanderbilt, Central American, Wimbledon, Harmonix, SOJA Ventures Locations: New York, Columbus, Central America, San Francisco

In 2021, Europe's monthly LNG imports ranged from a low of 4.54 million tonnes to a high of 9.15 million. However, Europe's LNG demand eased off in January amid a milder winter than usual and ample inventories. While China does have long-term purchase agreements in place, it also buys spot cargoes. The question for the market is whether spot prices have dropped enough to tempt back Asian LNG buyers that were previously reluctant. It will be key to see if utilities in China, India and Pakistan also decide that prices have declined enough to make LNG imports economically viable once more.

Total global LNG imports rose to 409 million tonnes last year from 386.5 million tonnes in 2021, according to data from Refinitiv, while figures from commodity analysts Kpler showed a slightly lower 400.5 million tonnes, up from 379.6 million tonnes. China imported 64.44 million tonnes of LNG in 2022, down 19.4% from the previous year, according to Kpler data. Much of the increase was met by supply from the United Stares, with imports rising to 52.06 million tonnes from 21.5 million tonnes in 2021. However, it's worth noting that Europe's imports of Russian LNG hit a record high of 15.95 million tonnes in 2022, up from 13.46 million tonnes in 2021. Given Europe's increasing dependence on LNG as Russian pipeline gas supplies are curbed, it may prove challenging for the continent to halt, or even cut back, on Russian LNG.

That outage dropped the United States behind top exporter Australia as global demand for the fuel boomed. In 2022, U.S. exports of natural gas as LNG rose 8% to 10.6 bcfd, just shy of Australia's 10.7 bcfd. The United States remained ahead of Qatar, which in third place shipped 10.5 bcfd, according to data provider Refinitiv. CROWN WITHIN SIGHTHowever, the loss of Freeport LNG's supply at mid-year took away the U.S. chance to take the crown as top exporter in 2022. In 2021, when prices in Asia were higher, just 35%, or about 3.3 bcfd, of U.S. LNG exports went to Europe.

There are signs, however, that LNG demand is ticking higher ahead of winter, with commodity analysts Kpler estimating November imports in both Asia and Europe to rise. LNG imports by Asia, Europe vs JKM priceEUROPE BUYING AGAINEurope's imports are expected to reach 11.49 million tonnes in November, which would be the second-highest in Kpler's records behind the 11.55 million tonnes in January. Europe's LNG imports were 10.13 million tonnes in October, which was the first time since May they had exceeded 10 million tonnes in a month. The United States remains Europe's biggest supplier, with imports of 4.66 million tonnes expected in November, up from 4.17 million in October. Europe's imports of Russian LNG are continuing, with arrivals of 1.32 million tonnes in November, up from 1.05 million in October.

Last winter, the spot price peaked at $48.30 per mmBtu, in late December, before dropping to $23 by late January. What the term structure is signalling is that LNG demand may be fairly constant over the year, rather than rising and dropping with the change in seasons. LNG imports by Asia, Europe vs JKM priceFLOWS EVEN OUTCertainly, the flows data appears to be supporting the view of steady demand in both Asia and Europe. Total Asian imports were 20.61 million tonnes in October, little changed from September's 20.25 million, according to data compiled by Refinitiv. It's also worth noting that October's imports were down 6.3% from the 22 million tonnes from the same month last year.

☆ U.S. natgas futures jump 7% in volatile week on cold forecasts
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-04 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Freeport LNG submitted a draft Root Cause Failure Analysis to the Department of Transportation's Pipeline and Hazardous Materials Safety Administration (PHMSA) on Nov. 1, according to sources familiar with the filing. Freeport LNG, however, has not yet submitted a request to resume service. Prism Brilliance, Prism Diversity and Prism Courage were waiting off the coast from the plant, and Prism Agility was expected to arrive around Nov. 29. In what has already been an extremely volatile week, front-month gas futures rose 42.5 cents, or 7.1%, to settle at $6.400 per million British thermal units (mmBtu), the highest close since Oct. 14. With the coming of seasonally colder weather, Refinitiv projected average U.S. gas demand, including exports, would rise from 97.6 bcfd this week to 100.1 bcfd next week and 119.0 bcfd in two weeks.

☆ U.S. natgas futures drop 10% on profit-taking, mild forecasts
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-01 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Nov 1 (Reuters) - U.S. natural gas futures dropped about 10% on Tuesday, following a 12% rise on Monday as traders took profits during a period of extreme volatility after the latest forecasts called for the weather to remain mild for the next two weeks. Analysts at energy consulting firm Gelber & Associates said the "early week surge in ... gas futures (saw) signs of exhaustion today as profit-takers pile on." Front-month gas futures fell 64.1 cents, or 10.1%, to settle at $5.714 per million British thermal units (mmBtu). Daily output was on track to drop about 4.5 bcfd to a preliminary five-month low of 95.7 bcfd on Tuesday. Last year, just 29%, or about 2.8 bcfd, of U.S. LNG exports went to Europe.

Among the violations “confirmed” by state investigators from the Kentucky Cabinet were improper use of restraints and aggression by staff members. As of Oct. 20, 32 children who are in state custody remained in Brooklawn’s care, according to the facility. Police and state officials say they are still investigating Ja’Ceon’s death, and no charges have been filed. Brooklawn said the facility has implemented new safety measures and increased training for staffers who provide direct care to children. This type of incident should never be allowed to happen again.”Some child advocates say Ja’Ceon’s death should prompt systemic change.

☆ U.S. natgas futures falls 3% on mild weather forecasts
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-28 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

Oct 28 (Reuters) - U.S. natural gas futures fell about 3% on Friday on record output and forecasts for mild weather and low heating demand through mid November, which should allow utilities to inject more gas into storage than usual for at least a few more weeks. The market was still waiting for the return of Freeport LNG's export plant in Texas. On its first day as the front-month, gas futures for December delivery fell 19.1 cents, or 3.3%, to settle at $5.684 per million British thermal units (mmBtu). During the first nine months of 2022, roughly 60%, or 6.3 bcfd, of U.S. LNG exports went to Europe, as shippers diverted cargoes from Asia to fetch higher prices. Last year, just 29%, or about 2.8 bcfd, of U.S. LNG exports went to Europe.

Oct 24 (Reuters) - U.S. natural gas futures jumped about 5% after sliding to a fresh seven-month low earlier in the session on a technical rebound and expectations demand would rise as liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports increase once export plants exit maintenance outages in coming weeks. Some traders expect Freeport will return to service in November while others believe the return will be delayed. Front-month gas futures rose 24.0 cents, or 4.8%, to settle at $5.199 per million British thermal units (mmBtu). During the first nine months of 2022, roughly 60%, or 6.3 bcfd, of U.S. LNG exports went to Europe, as shippers diverted cargoes from Asia to fetch higher prices. Last year, just 29%, or about 2.8 bcfd, of U.S. LNG exports went to Europe.

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