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Breaking down the market charts The S & P 500 broke out above the 2021 highs of 4,820 in the first two weeks of this year. Again, I don't know. I don't know. And I'm content to come before you and say I don't know and we can't know. This measures how much premium is embedded in the at the money puts and calls in the S & P 500.
Persons: Todd Gordon, Gordon Organizations: Nvidia, Inside Edge, Inside Edge Capital Management
In today's big story, we examine how this summer is shaping up to be tough for the stock market . Stocks are on track to either remain flat or turn negative going forward , according to two market vets Jennifer spoke to. The pessimism about stocks' future is due to a few factors. Some Nvidia employees are considered to be millionaires SOPA ImagesThere is, however, one company that could salvage things: Nvidia. As the key chipmaker in the space, a win for Nvidia is a win for everyone betting on AI being the future.
Persons: , Jenny Chang, Rodriguez, Jennifer Sor, Stocks, Jennifer, It's, Jerome Powell, BI's Linette Lopez, Warren Buffett Scott Morgan, Warren, Berkshire Hathaway, Goldman Sachs, Michael Burry, John Paulson, Alyssa Powell, Gen Zers, Instagram, Vincent Sandoval, Getty, Henrik Sorensen, Tyler Le, Larry Ellison, it's, aren't, Cash, Bill Lee, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, George Glover Organizations: Service, New York Knicks, NBA, Business, Getty, Fidelity, Hamptons, Nvidia, Reuters, Berkshire, JPMorgan, Meta, Sciences, Apple, The Locations: Montauk, Berkshire, New York, London
Investing can be intimidating, but financial planners recommend index funds to make things easier. Index funds are generally low-cost, but make sure you understand what fees are involved. Instead, experts have a suggestion to reduce the overwhelm for new and experienced investors alike: total stock market index funds, which give you exposure to the stock market more broadly. AdvertisementWhen you're picking your total market index fund, keep in mind that many of the funds are tracking the same indexes. Susan Dziubinski, an investment specialist at investment research firm Morningstar, identified total market funds as one of the five best ways to invest money.
Persons: Bryan Hasling, Hasling, there's, Charles Schwab, Susan Dziubinski, Morningstar, Dziubinski, doesn't Organizations: Apple, Financial, Fidelity Investments, Wall Street Locations: U.S
Warren Buffett's secret stock is Chubb, an insurance giant. Berkshire Hathaway quietly built a 6.4% stake in under nine months, worth $6.7 billion as of March. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . Buffett's company initially purchased 8.1 million Chubb shares worth $1.7 billion at the end of September, then boosted the position to 20.1 million shares valued at $4.5 billion at December's close. It raised the bet to 25.9 million shares worth $6.7 billion at the end of March, SEC filings revealed on Wednesday.
Persons: Warren, Berkshire Hathaway, Buffett, , Warren Buffett Organizations: Berkshire, Apple, Service, Berkshire Hathaway, Chubb, SEC, Business
That's because the amount of money that's converted is subject to ordinary income tax – which can be as high as 37%. Even for those who are taxed at a lower rate, a sufficiently large conversion might bump them into a higher tax bracket. Long-term capital gains taxes have three tiers, depending on an investor's income: 0%, 15% and 20%. In a higher tax environment, "tax loss harvesting will become more important, and doing it in a performance-neutral way," said Jerrod Pearce, a certified financial planner and partner at Creative Planning in Overland Park, Kansas. Don't sell highly appreciated assets to generate cash if you're donating to charity.
Persons: Warren Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway, Buffett, Trump, Tim Steffen, Baird, Roth, Steffen, that's, Jerrod Pearce Organizations: Creative Planning, Mutual Locations: Berkshire, Washington, Overland Park , Kansas
This year, Social Security beneficiaries saw a 3.2% increase to their benefits. The Social Security cost-of-living adjustment may also be 3.2% in 2025 based on the latest government inflation data, estimates Mary Johnson, an independent Social Security and Medicare policy analyst. That estimate may change between now and October, when the Social Security Administration announces next year's cost-of-living adjustment, or COLA. The average Social Security COLA has been 2.6% over the past 20 years, according to The Senior Citizens League. Many households tend to cut back on savings and increase withdrawals to try to lift themselves to where they were before inflation picked up.
Persons: Lourdes Balduque, Mary Johnson, Social Security COLA, Laura Quinby, It's, Quinby, Warren Buffett's Organizations: Social, Social Security, Social Security Administration, Senior Citizens League, Center for Retirement Research, Boston College, Center for Retirement, Finance
IBD recommends a minimum of 25% increase, but he loosened it slightly because it would filter out too many stocks. IBD recommends 80 or higher. IBD recommends 80, but reducing it allows for more stocks to show up for him to review. IBD recommends 95 or higher, but he loosened it to see more stocks. IBD recommends 15% to 17%.
Persons: Adam Graham, Nicolas Darvas, Graham, William O'Neil, IBD Organizations: Service, Business, Investor's Business, Nvidia, IBD Locations: Georgia, Terracon
He was 13 when he first heard about trading stocks. Finally, he filters for volume with the "50-day average volume"— the average number of shares traded daily over 50 days — above 25,000 shares. He had been watching Nvidia's chart since December, and it had a consistent 200-day moving average trend upward. As of January 3rd, it held above its 50-day moving average, bouncing off resistance points around $8.83 and $8.94 with minor pullbacks. The stock had a strong 150- and 200-day average uptrend.
Persons: Leoš, Benjamin Graham's, William O'Neil, Mark Minervini, Norman Zadeh, Mikulka Organizations: Investor's, Gamestop, US, Business, Apple, Nvidia, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Holdings Locations: Prague, IBD
The problem with Ether right now for investors
  + stars: | 2024-05-11 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
While the supply of bitcoin is slowing after the halving , the supply of ether is growing at its fastest rate since 2022, according to CryptoQuant – crushing some investor's dreams of ether as an asset that would grow increasingly scarce. The median transaction fee is about 4x lower now that it was before Dencun for the same level of network activity. Some investors had hoped ether could compete with bitcoin, whose rate of supply growth slows every four years after the halving. For many, that idea was a side effect of the primary thesis on Ethereum, which sees it as a growing, scalable transaction network on which to build applications. Network activity would have to increase 3 to 4x to reverse the growing supply trend, if this relationship holds, he said.
Persons: Dencun, Julio Moreno, CryptoQuant's, Ethereum, Moreno Locations: ETH
Read previewThe Seed 100 and Seed 40 lists are derived from a statistical analysis of investor track records. Incubated by Tribe Capital, Termina is an AI-software platform that powers quantitative due diligence for leading investors around the world. Show intermediate signs of future success with seed investments that consistently receive follow-on investment. Ten percent of all seed investors in scope were women, up from 8% when the first Seed 100 was released in 2021. The result in just one year is the largest-ever rebalancing of how investors allocate seed capital across sectors.
Persons: , We've, We're, OpenAI, Termina, Jake Ellowitz Organizations: Service, Business, Tribe Capital Locations: USA, Canada
Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway grew its cash pile to a record $189 billion last quarter. Berkshire dumped a net $17 billion of stocks, and boosted its buyback spend to $2.6 billion. The famed investor's Berkshire Hathaway raised its stockpile of cash and Treasury bills by $21 billion to a record $189 billion — a 13% increase in just three months. Related storiesThe centibillionaire and his team only spent $2.7 billion on stocks last quarter, while they dumped $20 billion worth, marking their largest quarterly disposal in several years. AdvertisementBerkshire's net stock sales totaled $24 billion in 2023, which was a big turnaround from its purchase of $34 billion of stocks on a net basis in 2022.
Persons: Warren, Berkshire Hathaway, , Buffett, NetJets Organizations: Berkshire, Service, BNSF Railway, Travel Centers Locations: Woodstock
Investors with cash on the sidelines may want to start moving some of that money into bonds, according to a new report from BlackRock. The bond market has seen some volatility amid the uncertainty around interest rates and the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. Bond yields move inversely to prices. US10Y YTD mountain 10-year Treasury yields Yields are at levels not seen in 20 years, he pointed out. Aggregate Bond ETF year to date The iShares Core Total USD Bond Market ETF (IUSB) is also a passively managed, broad bond market fund which adds exposure to potentially higher-yielding names.
Persons: Steve Laipply, shouldn't, Laipply Organizations: Federal, Treasury, BlackRock, Fed, Core, Aggregate Bond, Bloomberg U.S, SEC, Aggregate, Bond Locations: BlackRock
Norfolk Southern Chief Executive Alan Shaw testifies during a Senate Commerce, Science and Transportation Committee hearing titled "Improving Rail Safety in Response to the East Palestine Derailment" in Washington, U.S., March 22, 2023. Norfolk Southern -invested unions and pension funds should back activist Ancora's full seven-director slate at the railroad's shareholder meeting later this month, two different Institutional Shareholder Services proxy advisory services said. Neuberger Berman said earlier that it would support Ancora's case for change at Norfolk Southern, while Canadian asset manager EdgePoint also reaffirmed on Thursday that it would be voting its shares with the activist. (EdgePoint was initially partnered with Ancora's campaign at Norfolk Southern but dissolved that arrangement months earlier.) Top institutional shareholders include Vanguard, BlackRock, State Street and Dodge & Cox, as well as California's pension funds, CalPERS and CalSTRS, and Colorado's public pension fund.
Persons: Alan Shaw, Ancora's, Taft, Jim Barber, Glass Lewis, Barber, investor's, Ancora, Neuberger Berman, EdgePoint Organizations: Norfolk Southern, Commerce, Science, Institutional, Hartley Advisory Services, Social Advisory Services, CNBC, UPS, ISS, Norfolk Southern's, Norfolk, Vanguard, Dodge, Cox Locations: East Palestine, Washington , U.S, Norfolk, East Palestine , Ohio, BlackRock
Influential proxy advisory firm ISS recommended on Tuesday that Norfolk Southern shareholders support five of activist Ancora's seven board nominees, withholding an endorsement from CEO pick Jim Barber but describing him as a "credible director and CEO candidate nonetheless." Ancora is seeking to oust both current CEO Shaw and newly appointed COO John Orr. ISS recommends shareholders support Ancora nominees William Clyburn, Sameh Fahmy, Gilbert Lamphere, Allison Landry and John Kasich. "As board chair, Amy Miles arguably bears the most responsibility for this state of affairs," ISS' report read. WATCH: CNBC's full interview with NSC CEO Shaw on activist campaign
Persons: Jim Barber, Glass Lewis, Alan Shaw's, Barber, Amy Miles, Ancora, Shaw, John Orr, William Clyburn, Sameh Fahmy, Gilbert Lamphere, Allison Landry, John Kasich, Orr, Sen, Heidi Heitkamp, Richard Anderson Organizations: Norfolk, ISS, CNBC, Vanguard, BlackRock, Norfolk Southern, Delta Locations: Norfolk Southern, East Palestine , Ohio, Norfolk
Activist Ancora on Thursday won the support of the BMWED Teamsters in the investor's efforts to oust Norfolk Southern CEO Alan Shaw and a majority of the railroad's 13-person board. The labor group said it would back the activist's seven director nominees over Norfolk Southern management, a significant endorsement in an industry unusually dependent on union support. The support from the BMWED Teamsters, whose members build and maintain the track infrastructure that keeps Norfolk Southern trains moving, amounts to a sharp rebuke of Shaw and Norfolk Southern's board. Norfolk Southern and Ancora have been locked in a proxy contest for several months. Neuberger Berman, for example, is backing the activist and said that Norfolk Southern had a history of poor governance and that a boardroom change was needed.
Persons: Ancora, Alan Shaw, Shaw, Tony Cardwell, Cardwell, Jim Barber, Jamie Boychuk, Boychuk, Barber, It's, John Orr, Glass Lewis, Neuberger Berman Organizations: Thursday, Teamsters, Norfolk Southern, Norfolk, BMWED Teamsters, Labor, American Federation of Labor, Industrial Organizations, CSX, Ancora Locations: Norfolk Southern, Norfolk, U.S, East Palestine , Ohio, Washington
"While there is no official threshold, centimillionaires or individuals with a total net worth of over $100 million, is a good benchmark as entry into the 0.001% club," said Kevin Teng, CEO of WRISE Wealth Management Singapore, a wealth enterprise for ultra-high net worth individuals. Family offices as investment vehiclesIndividuals of such wealth generally have their money managed by single family offices, which handle everything including their inheritance, household bills, credit cards, immediate family expenses, etc., said Andrew Amoils, an analyst at global wealth intelligence firm New World Wealth. "These family offices often have foundation arms for charities and venture capital arms that invest in high growth startups," said Amoils. The number of family offices in the world has tripled since 2019, topping 4,500 worldwide last year with an estimated $6 trillion in assets under management combined. Ultra high net worth individuals also explore potentially buying stakes in professional sports teams, said Dandrew's Buscemi.
Persons: Yana Iskayeva, Kevin Teng, Salvatore Buscemi, Teng, Buscemi, Michael Sonnenfeldt, , Andrew Amoils, Dandrew's Buscemi, Jerry Jones, Jayne Kamin Organizations: WRISE Wealth Management Singapore, Bay Area, NFL, Dandrew, CNBC, Dandrew Partners, Tiger, Dallas Cowboys, Getty Locations: centimillionaires, New York City, Bay, Los Angeles, London, Beijing, WRISE, United States, Oxnard , California
Companies that are spending big internally to grow their businesses should start outperforming if the economy remains on strong footing, according to Goldman Sachs. The Wall Street bank is advising clients consider buying companies with a high level of capital expenditure and research and development expenses. Those companies have outperformed those returning cash to shareholders via buybacks and dividends this year by 2 percentage points, Goldman said. In this environment, investors typically reward companies investing for growth when economic growth is accelerating, if history is any guide, Goldman said. The firm found a slew of stocks in the S & P 500 with the highest percentage of capex and R & D per market cap.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, David Kostin Organizations: Norwegian Cruise Line, United Airlines, American Airlines, Delta Air Lines, Meta, Intel, HP, Western Digital Locations: Norwegian, United
Now, after she made her pitch at the VFW hall, attendees clamored around Widell, eager to have her manage their Airbnb rentals. The reign of the Airbnb Queen of Tulsa was over — and her subjects were left to pick up the pieces. Dominic Bugatto for BIThe "Queen of Airbnb" label, which started off as Widell's Airbnb account name, helped create an aura of omnipotence. According to those familiar with the business, Widell seemed to be shifting her focus away from Airbnb rentals to the house-staging business. Today, her "Tulsa Airbnb Group" on Facebook remains active, with some 1,000 members.
Persons: Airbnb, Dani Widell, Widell, Kathy Portley, weren't, , Emily Burke, Will Widell, They'd, thrifty, Will, who'd, Logan Haskett, Dominic Bugatto, Burke, hadn't, Knikki Nash, she'd, Mallory Massey, Massey, David Brunson, Brunson, Renee Brummett, We've, Dani hasn't, Brummett, doorstepped, unraveled, Nash, Dani, Widell's, carting, Will cosigned, Brummet, Tulsa's, Meagan McCollum, Bram Gallagher, Gallagher, Dan Latu Organizations: VFW, Tulsa, Facebook, Tulsa Real Estate Investors Association, Oklahoma State University, Tulsa People, Mahogany Prime, Summit, Downtown, Social, Bank of America Center, PGA, Investors, Widell, Employees, Rover, BI, nonpayment, University of Tulsa, Business Locations: Tulsa, Tulsa ., Widell, Airbnb, Brady, Arkansas,
Jetcityimage | Istock | Getty ImagesHow the I bond rate worksThe U.S. Department of the Treasury adjusts I bond rates every May and November. The variable rate portion resets every six months starting on the investor's I bond purchase date, not when the Treasury Department announces rate adjustments. The 1.3% fixed rate "makes it very attractive" for investors who want to preserve purchasing power long term, according to Tumin. How the fixed rate could changeSince the variable rate for I bonds is based on six months of inflation data, experts agree it will fall from 3.94% to 2.96% in May. Enna looks at a half-year average of real yields for 5- and 10-year TIPS to predict fixed rate changes.
Persons: David Enna Organizations: Istock, U.S . Department of, Treasury, Treasury Department Locations: Enna
Angie Cella was a "Shark Tank" investor's perfect candidate, according to the show's judges: a big dreamer and go-getter with a powerful backstory. The only catch, the investors said on Friday's episode of the ABC show: Cella's business needed a major overhaul, and Barbara Corcoran wanted to be the woman for the job. Cella sold her house to cover the costs, she said — moving herself and her four children into a rented townhome, while working virtually with a factory in China to bring Blinger to life. By the time of filming last year, the product was projected to bring in $4.2 million in annual sales, Cella said. She asked the show's investor judges for $200,000, in exchange for 5% of her product, which she sold through a parent company she named GEMC².
Persons: Angie, Barbara Corcoran, Cambria, , GEMC Organizations: ABC Locations: Avondale , Pennsylvania, China
That means those saving cash in money market funds and Treasury bills can expect to see their rates stay higher for longer. The annualized seven-day yield on the Crane 100 list of the 100 largest taxable money funds is currently 5.13%. The appetite for money market funds is evident in the record amount of cash pouring into the products. Last week, there was $6.11 trillion sitting in money market funds, according to the Investment Company Institute , up from $5.87 trillion in mid-December. Then there are moderate risk investors with longer time horizons, which Vanguard surveys show are the majority of investors, he said.
Persons: They've, Peter Crane, Shelly Antoniewicz, Marguerita Cheng, you'll, Cheng, Roth, Barry Glassman, Glassman, he's, Roger Aliaga, Diaz, Vanguard's, Cash, Aliaga Organizations: Federal, Crane, Investment Company Institute, Blue, Global, CNBC, Wealth, Treasury, Vanguard
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed remains in focus for venture capital investors after strong CPI reportCNBC's Kate Rooney reports on news how rates will impact Silicon Valley investor's privately held portfolios.
Persons: Kate Rooney
Bitcoin 's gold-like ability to resist any form of seizure makes it a valuable asset for the long term, according to BCA Research, which calls for the world's largest cryptocurrency to eventually rally to more than $100,000. "The bitcoin price will rise well into the $100,000s as the market value for non-confiscatability grows substantially and bitcoin's share of this market grows substantially," Montreal-based BCA Research said. BTC.CM= YTD mountain Bitcoin Bitcoin hit a new all-time high above $73,000 on March 14, rising more than 70% this year. The introduction of U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs this year and the tightening bitcoin supply ahead of the late April " halving " have driven the price of the cryptocurrency up. "The sharp recent rallies in both gold and bitcoin reflect that the market has suddenly upped the value of non-confiscatability," BCA said.
Persons: Bitcoin, Dhaval Joshi, Joshi, bitcoin, Bullion, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: BCA Research, Research, BCA Locations: Montreal
What's more important? AI or the election.
  + stars: | 2024-04-05 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +7 min
In today's big story, we're announcing the finalists for our business, tech, and innovation bracket. What's on deck:This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers. If you're just catching up, a few weeks ago we identified eight of the biggest trends in business, tech, and innovation. And then there were two: the AI race vs the US presidential election. Dan Rosen, founder and partner, Commerce Ventures:Advertisement"As a fintech investor, AI strikes me as more important.
Persons: , we're, Chelsea Jia Feng, Readers, Bruce K, Lee, Dan Rosen, Ira Allen, Tracy Albert, Wendy Craft, Elle, Dodd, Frank, Zach Blank, Nick DiGiovanni, Adam Jeffery, Ian MacNicol, David Einhorn, Jesse Cohn, Greg Coffey, Goldman Sachs, Brian Robinson, Nelson Peltz's, James Park, would've, Justin Sullivan, Marissa Mayer's, Enrique Munoz Torres, Elon Musk, Musk, Lukas Schulze, it's, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, George Glover Organizations: Service, Business, Keebeck Wealth, Commerce Ventures, CNBC, NBCU, Getty, Elliott Management, Sohn, Street Journal, Disney, UCLA, Yahoo, LinkedIn, Elon, Apple, Ford, Workers, Advertising Research, NCAA Locations: Europe, California, New York, London
"If you look at AI stocks or Nvidia in particular … Nvidia's a phenomenal company, massive revenue growth, massive earnings growth, but there's a question — how wonderful are they? Miller said Nvidia is inherently different from companies such as Microsoft and Apple, which he thinks are worth their $2 billion valuations. Nvidia shares more than tripled in 2023 as investors flocked into the AI darling. Metallurgical coal companies are trading very cheaply alongside their thermal coal peers since investors are "throwing the baby out with the bathwater," Miller said. "There's going to be more metallurgical coal used over the next three to five years, but there's no new supply coming online."
Persons: David Miller, Miller, haven't, there's, Morningstar Organizations: Nvidia, Catalyst Funds, CNBC, Microsoft, Apple, Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Metallurgical Locations: U.S
Total: 25