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Regional banks are taking hits this week and investors are increasing their bearish bets on the sector. Higher rates impact Higher interest rates increase the cost of borrowing money. Higher interest rates can also reduce demand for loans, as borrowing becomes more expensive for consumers and businesses. This can deteriorate the asset quality of regional banks, increasing the need for loan loss provisions, which are expenses set aside to cover potential loan losses. Rising interest rates and inflation can pressure banks' capital adequacy ratios, a measure of a bank's capital relative to its risks.
Persons: Banks Organizations: Regional Banking, Banks
New ETF looks to profit from municipal bonds
  + stars: | 2024-04-06 | by ( Emily Glass | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
A new ETF is trying to capture profits in the municipal funds space. BondBloxx's Joanna Gallegos is behind the IR+M Tax-Aware Short Duration ETF (TAXX) — which launched less than a month ago. "When you think about municipal bond portfolios, you really want people to think beyond them and look for the relative value of after-tax income," the firm's co-founder and COO told CNBC's "ETF Edge" on Monday. Gallegos sees actively managed municipal bond exchange-traded funds as an income-generating opportunity in a high rate environment. FactSet describes the fund as "tax efficient" — balancing strong after-tax income opportunities with capital preserved through both municipal and taxable short-duration fixed income securities.
Persons: BondBloxx's Joanna Gallegos, CNBC's, Gallegos, FactSet, It's, TAXX Organizations: Federal Reserve, muni Locations: Illinois, Pennsylvania, New Jersey , New York, Alabama
Today's higher rates on CDs aren't going to last , however. For investors contending with maturing CDs, that means they're running out of places to stash their idle cash and still generate an attractive yield. "The issue is reinvestment risk," said Michael Carbone, certified financial planner and financial advisor at Eppolito Financial Strategies in Chelmsford, Massachusetts. That's because once the Fed begins cutting rates, fixed income with longer-dated maturities will allow investors to lock in those higher yields. An opportunity to diversify fixed income In addition to adding exposure to longer-dated bonds, advisors have also been diversifying across different classes of fixed income.
Persons: Wells Fargo, Banks, Jerome Powell, Michael Carbone, Catherine Valega, Valega, Carbone, Josh Nelson, he's Organizations: Green Bee, Keystone Financial Services, MBS Locations: Chelmsford , Massachusetts, Winchester , Massachusetts, Loveland , Colorado, BlackRock
In the final week of February, Wall Street will strive to maintain its AI-fueled rally even as economic concerns linger and the Federal Reserve's favorite inflation measure is on deck. But many worry the writing is on the wall for these market leaders as economic and inflation risks linger. The 'lone cloud' of inflation The Fed's preferred inflation gauge will also be released in the week ahead. Investors are concerned that sticky inflation will mean that the Fed will hold onto its higher-for-longer interest rate policy. Next week will also be the final week of February, with stocks headed for another strong month of gains.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Patrick McDonough, Europe's, PGIM's McDonough, McDonough, Charlie Ashley, Dhaval Joshi, Joshi, Ashley, John Williams, TJX Cos Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Japan's Nikkei, Catalyst Funds, BCA Research, CPI, PPI, Dow, New, Dallas Fed, Fidelity National Information Services, Richmond Fed, eBay, Enterprise, Cruise Line Holdings, New York Federal Reserve Bank, York, Monster Beverage, Paramount Global, PCE Deflator, Chicago PMI, . Kansas City Fed Manufacturing, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, Autodesk, Body, Hormel, PMI, Manufacturing Locations: U.S, Lowe's, Chicago, . Kansas, Michigan
As investors hunt for yield, many are turning to actively managed exchange-traded funds focused on bonds, like Pimco's Enhanced Short Maturity Active ETF . The fund, which has a 5.6% 30-day SEC yield, is a "a first-rate ultrashort ETF," Morningstar senior analyst Paul Olmsted wrote in August. Trading under the ticker symbol MINT, the ETF holds fixed income securities with durations of no more than one year. In fact, investors flooded into the fund in October, making it the actively managed bond ETF with the highest inflows last month, according to FactSet. Investors can capture that higher yield on the short end of the yield curve, Schneider said.
Persons: Paul Olmsted, Morningstar, Jerome Schneider, Pimco's, Schneider, FactSet, Matthew Bartolini, It's, Treasurys —, who's Organizations: SEC, Morningstar, MINT, Street Global Advisors, Research, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Federal, Bear Stearns Locations: Pimco
International Monetary Fund (IMF) Managing Director Christine Lagarde delivers a speech at the U.S. Chamber of Commerce in Washington, U.S., April 2, 2019. REUTERS/Kevin Lamarque/File photo Acquire Licensing RightsFRANKFURT, Nov 16 (Reuters) - European banks may suffer significant losses if they need to sell their bond holdings to raise cash, the European Central Bank's President Christine Lagarde said on Thursday. "EU banks’ holdings of fixed income securities could be marked down quite significantly, should they need to be sold," she told the annual conference of the European Systemic Risk Board, which she chairs. Reporting by Francesco Canepa; editing by Jason NeelyOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Christine Lagarde, Kevin Lamarque, Francesco Canepa, Jason Neely Organizations: Monetary Fund, U.S . Chamber of Commerce, REUTERS, Rights, Central Bank's, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S
ICBC Financial Services could not be reached for comment. It said it had cleared Treasury trades executed on Wednesday and repo financing trades done on Thursday. While market participants and officials have said the impact of the ICBC hack on Treasury market functioning was limited, the full extent of it is not yet understood. The hack is likely to become a key topic of conversation at a major Treasury market conference on Nov. 16. ICBC told market participants Friday that they were also hoping to have a secondary email system set up soon.
Persons: Kim Kyung, BNY Mellon, ICBC, Moxfive, Darrell Duffie, Duffie, BNY, SIFMA, Paritosh, Edward Tobin Organizations: Industrial, Commercial Bank of China, REUTERS, Commercial Bank of China's, Treasury, ICBC Financial Services, Reuters, ICBC, Securities, Exchange, Stanford, ICBC Financial, Treasuries, Thomson Locations: Beijing, China, Commercial Bank of China's U.S, New York, Wall
It said it had cleared Treasury trades executed on Wednesday and repo financing trades done on Thursday. While market participants and officials have said the impact of the ICBC hack on Treasury market functioning was limited, the full extent of it is not yet understood. Nevertheless, market participants said the attack is likely to add a new aspect to the regulatory review, as it brings cyber threats into sharper focus. The hack is likely to become a key topic of conversation at a major Treasury market conference on Nov. 16. ICBC told market participants Friday that they were also hoping to have a secondary email system set up soon.
Persons: Kim Kyung, BNY Mellon, ICBC, Moxfive, Darrell Duffie, Duffie, BNY, SIFMA, Paritosh, Edward Tobin Organizations: Industrial, Commercial Bank of China, REUTERS, Commercial Bank of China's, Treasury, ICBC Financial Services, Reuters, ICBC, Securities, Exchange, Stanford, ICBC Financial, Treasuries, Thomson Locations: Beijing, China, Commercial Bank of China's U.S, New York, Wall
Rich countries are stumbling into a debt trap
  + stars: | 2023-11-03 | by ( Felix Martin | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +7 min
Unlike many corporations and households, the U.S. government did not lock in the low interest rates of the last decade by issuing long-dated debt, preferring instead to skew funding towards bills and short-term bonds. The second route out of the debt trap is to target the primary fiscal surplus, choosing a combination of spending cuts and tax hikes that will stabilise the public debt. That leaves the third route to debt sustainability – keeping real interest rates low. But in the short run, it allows a government to tame the debt ratio without fiscal austerity, and even if growth is sluggish. Governments are indeed stuck in a classic debt trap.
Persons: Joe Biden, Fumio Kishida, Volodymyr Zelenskiy, Kacper, Everett Dirksen, you’re, Dirksen’s, Stanley Druckenmiller, Joe Biden’s, Peter Thal Larsen, Thomas Shum Organizations: Japan's, NATO, REUTERS, Reuters, Congressional, Office, International Monetary Fund, U.S, Treasury, Reuters Graphics Reuters Graphics, Medicaid, Federal, Bank of Japan, Thomson Locations: Ukraine, Vilnius, Lithuania, Illinois, U.S, Britain
Nomura's dominant position in Japan, where the stock market is trading at 33-year highs, helped it offset lethargic dealmaking and sluggish trading overseas. July-September profit came in at 35.2 billion yen ($235 million), rebounding from last year when a sharp downturn in global financial markets battered its asset management and investment banking businesses. This year, Japanese firms have been increasingly willing to embark on fundraising - either via equity or debt markets. As a result, Nomura's investment banking business saw a 19% increase in net revenue due to robust equity offerings and active dealmaking in Japan. "Encouraged by the strong stock market, Japanese companies are becoming more proactive in making investments for growth," Chief Financial Officer Takumi Kitamura told a media briefing.
Persons: Toru Hanai, Takumi Kitamura, LSEG, Makiko Yamazaki, Jamie Freed, Edwina Gibbs Organizations: Nomura Securities, REUTERS, Rights, Nomura Holdings, U.S . Federal Reserve, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan
The case for a career in bond investing
  + stars: | 2023-10-27 | by ( Felix Martin | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +7 min
I sensed familiarity with the recent fate of fixed income benchmarks such as Austria’s hundred-year government bond. For this reason, when bond yields are low, the sensitivity of capital prices to inflation and interest rate shocks is high, and vice versa. The appreciating greenback has been a drag on much of the global fixed income universe for the past decade. The real reason to go into fixed income investing, I explained, is that you get to tell governments what to do. Now that the end of monetary anaesthesia has awoken fixed income from its 15-year coma, I told the MBA students, you’ve got your chance.
Persons: Bonds, That’s, Torsten Slok, GMO’s, Liz Truss, , Bill Clinton’s, James Carville, you’ve, Peter Thal Larsen, Streisand Neto, Thomas Shum Organizations: Reuters, Treasury, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Apollo Global Management, U.S ., JPMorgan, Economist, UK, Thomson Locations: U.S, Venezuela
Banks’ wealth-management heyday may have passed
  + stars: | 2023-10-18 | by ( Liam Proud | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +8 min
For wealth managers, that will make revenue growth much harder to come by, shifting the focus to controlling expenses. LOSING ITS SPARKLEIn Wall Street parlance, wealth management is a capital-light business. Little wonder Morgan Stanley boss James Gorman focused on wealth management after taking charge in 2010. The good news for UBS and Morgan Stanley is that they are better placed than most to handle these pressures. The bank’s wealth-management business generated a 35% ROTE, while the division that houses investment banking and trading managed just 8%.
Persons: UBS –, Morgan Stanley’s, Morgan Stanley, James Gorman, Sergio Ermotti, Goldman Sachs, Italy’s, Iqbal Khan, Morgan Stanley’s Andy Saperstein, Peter Thal Larsen, Sharon Lam, Oliver Taslic Organizations: Reuters, Wealth, UBS, Credit Suisse, HSBC, HK, Lloyds Banking Group, Revenue, Treasury, Big, Thomson Locations: Swiss, United States, Americas, Switzerland, Britain’s St, James’s
For 13 years, he invested at least 50% of his salary to grow his retirement portfolio. The latter portion allows him to access his retirement income before the age of 59 and a half without incurring a 10% penalty. The stock exposure in that account is mainly through the iShares Core S&P 500 ETF (IVV), where he has about $1 million invested. This roughly means you need to have $1 million invested into the index to earn $15,400. Therefore, only 1% of his brokerage portfolio is allocated to a few individual tech stocks.
Persons: Sam Dogen, Goldman Sachs, He'd, Dogen, he's, He's, I've Organizations: Credit Suisse, Goldman, Wealth, Fidelity, Treasury Locations: New York City, San Francisco, IVV
Now, however, some firms and experts are walking back those predictions, calling into question the validity of a once-trusted recession indicator known as the yield curve inversion. Nobody rational would argue that the yield curve could have predicted a global pandemic and the short recession that followed it. NABE's most recent survey shows economists are divided on what a yield curve inversion means for the U.S. economy. In normal circumstances, yield curve inversions have been a pretty good indicator of recessions, according to Jebaraj. While the yield curve inverted in 2019, that was not necessarily a predictor of the 2020 recession.
Persons: Mervin, NABE, Goldman Sachs, NABE's Jebaraj, Sam, Jebaraj, Organizations: Westend61, Getty, National Association for Business Economics, Reserve, Wall, Bank of America, JPMorgan, Center for Business, Economic Research, Walton College of Business, University of Arkansas, Treasury, National Association for Business Locations: U.S
With Fidelity’s Youth Account, teens can experience firsthand the risks and rewards of investing. There are other debit card accounts available to under 18-year-olds that also offer investing services, but most charge a subscription or other fee to take advantage. Greenlight, our pick for best overall debit card for kids, for example, costs $9.98 a month if you want access to its investing platform. Chase’s First Banking debit card, our pick for best free debit card for younger children, also offers a range of spending controls. How we pickedTo pick Buy Side from WSJ’s Best Debit Cards for Kids, we looked at card options available to those under the age of 18, including prepaid debit cards, checking account-linked debit cards, secured credit cards and brokerage account-linked debit cards.
Persons: Kerri Anne Renzulli, Roth Organizations: Fidelity, Learning, Fidelity ZERO
After a rocky first half of the year, it may be a good time to buy preferred securities. The ICE BofA Fixed Rate Preferred Securities index, which tracks the performance of fixed-rate preferred securities, has a yield-to-worst of 6.7%. While many preferreds have fixed rates, some have floating rates or fixed-to-floating rates that switch from fixed to floating after a certain period of time. In 2022, the ICE BofA Fixed Rate Preferred Securities index lost 19%. Its top-rated funds include Global X US Preferred ETF and iShares Preferred & Income Securities ETF.
Persons: Leslie Falconio, Michael Youngworth, Youngworth, Falconio, Bonds, JR Humphreys, Humphreys, Humphrey, America's Youngworth, CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Treasury, Federal Reserve, UBS, BofA Securities, Securities, Brock Investment Advisors, ICE, JPMorgan, American Equity Investment, Western Alliance, Bank, America's, preferreds . Bank of America, Global, US, iShares, Income Securities Locations: preferreds, preferreds .
Floating rate notes' short duration gives them a measure of relative price stability, while offering investors' portfolios some support through variable income. It's the prospect of higher rates for longer, along with the inverted yield curve, that make floating rate notes an attractive play for some. For his clients, Winter has committed between a quarter and a third of investors' fixed income allocation to floating rate notes. "It's lower coupon rates versus the opportunity to lock in high fixed rates now if you consider the environment," said Collin Martin, fixed income strategist at Charles Schwab. That means in a recession, you may not get an increase in floating rate note prices to offset a decline in equities, he said.
Persons: Allison Bonds, Bonds, Jerome Powell, Paul Winter, Winter, aren't, Collin Martin, Charles Schwab Organizations: State Street's U.S, Treasury Bond ETF, Federal Reserve, Federal, Five Locations: Treasurys
The 60/40 portfolio doesn't work anymore, according to Bank of America. If the 60/40 portfolio was on life support last year, this year its demise is now "confirmed," Woodard wrote. Bonds require 40% of the assets in a 60/40 portfolio but have delivered only 25% of the returns since 1920, he noted. Weak bond returns will lead to "another lost decade" for the 60/40 portfolio, in Woodard's words. For income, Bank of America's researchers unveiled a strategy called "dynamic prudent yield" that promises to beat bond indexes while carrying less risk.
Persons: Bonds, Jared Woodard, Woodard, Woodward, Schwab Organizations: Bank of America, Bank of, RSP, Vanguard, Energy, P Metals, Mining, Uranium, Research, Government Bond ETF, First Trust, Income, Muni Bond ETF, Muni, Blackstone Senior Loan, of America, Bond, SPDR Bloomberg Convertible Securities ETF, US, iShares, Securities ETF, VanEck Preferred Securities, Financials, Bloomberg, Treasury Bond ETF, Treasury
Preferred stocks are a type of security that is above common stock in a company's capital structure and often pay higher dividend yields. Preferred ETFs offer the most attractive yield relative to bond ETFs in our coverage," the note said. Bank of America gave buy-equivalent ratings to three funds in this category: the iShares Preferred and Income Securities ETF (PFF) , the Global X U.S. Preferred ETF (PFFD) and the VanEck Preferred ex-Financials ETF (PFXF) . "During the 2008/9 great financial crisis (GFC), high exposure to financials weighed heavily on preferred stock returns, as it has done today.
Persons: Jared Woodard, PFFD, VanEck's PFXF, Van Eck, financials, preferreds, Woodard, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Bank of America, Securities ETF, Global, U.S . Preferred, Financials
Menon has discretion over several institutional clients' portfolios including endowments, foundations, pensions, and healthcare institutions. Regardless of expectations, Menon emphasizes that it's hard to build a portfolio around any particular macroeconomic outcome. This means creating a portfolio that prioritizes offensive assets through equities while adding defensive securities, she noted. When it comes to defensive positions, the two most important things a portfolio needs protection against are inflation and deflation. "Private equity would fall more in the space of offense in terms of generating long-term growth in a portfolio," Menon said.
Debate over the US debt ceiling puts the potential of a US Treasury default in focus. Failing to do so could lead to a US Treasury default if the government becomes unable to make payments on all of its outstanding debts. "This type of default — one that occurs due to not being able to raise the debt ceiling — would be unprecedented," Steeno says. 6 ways a US Treasury default could hurt your financesHere are some of the biggest financial impacts Americans would feel in the event of a US Treasury default:1. But a Treasury default could undo any progress they've been made.
The Federal Reserve, which is responsible for supervising banks in the United States, plans to release its report at 11 a.m. Another federal regulator, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, will release a similar report on Signature Bank, which fell two days after SVB, in the afternoon. Those assets began steadily losing value when the central bank raised interest rates at a rapid pace last year. As the bank stumbled, it became clear that virtually all — 97%, according to data from Wedbush Securities — of SVB’s deposits were uninsured. There are indications the Fed, SVB’s primary regulator, warned the bank as early as 2019 about its insufficient risk-management systems, according to reporting from the Wall Street Journal and the New York Times.
There's an old Wall Street adage that urges investors to "sell in May and go away" — but CFRA Research says there's an even smarter way to play the market this spring. According to the Stock Trader's Almanac , the worst six months of the year for the S & P 500 starts in May and runs through October. The strategist says traders can look toward defensive names during the May slump, instead of entirely exiting the market. Indeed, since 1990, while the entire S & P 500 gained 6.7% annually, average price gains from equal exposure to these four sectors returned 9.0%. The stock almanac's editor, Jeff Hirsch, said that reducing long exposure and adopting a defensive stance will pay off for investors during the low period.
Wall Street aces its real-life stress test
  + stars: | 2023-04-20 | by ( John Foley | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +7 min
One flaw in this plan is that the Federal Reserve, which designs the stress test, has tended to assume that when bad times come, interest rates would fall, not rise. Because their clients also fear sudden shifts in interest rates, they call on fixed-income securities desks to help offlay the risk. One clear outcome of higher interest rates is that banks are lending less, and more carefully. Reuters Graphics Reuters GraphicsFollow @johnsfoley on TwitterCONTEXT NEWSLarge U.S. banks reported their first-quarter earnings between April 14 and April 19. Both said that trading revenue had declined from first quarter 2022, but it was substantially higher than the last three months of the year.
Goldman has its fingers in the wrong pies
  + stars: | 2023-04-18 | by ( John Foley | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
NEW YORK, April 18 (Reuters Breakingviews) - Rising interest rates have been a gift to big U.S. banks – except Goldman Sachs (GS.N). Boss David Solomon is reshaping the firm, but for now Goldman has to earn its money the hard way. Goldman, with interest just 15% of its revenue compared with roughly half at its banking peers, missed out. Solomon wants to remold Goldman as a bank for all seasons, but he isn’t there yet. Goldman’s fixed-income trading revenue fell 17% year-on-year, with “significantly lower” revenue in currencies and commodities.
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