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The dollar posted its first monthly decline of the year in May, weighed down by shifting expectations on when the U.S. central bank will cut rates and by how much. Traders are now pricing in about a 53% chance of a rate cut in September, versus about 49% before the report. The dollar index , which measures the U.S. currency against six rivals, was 0.067% lower at 104.51 on Monday. Sterling was 0.04% higher at $1.27475, while the euro last fetched $1.085325 ahead of the European Central Bank policy meeting on Thursday when the central bank is seen as almost certain to cut rates. The comments from ECB officials will be in focus for traders along with economic projections as they assess whether the central bank will provide further cuts after Thursday in the wake of data showing a rise in euro zone inflation in May.
Persons: Brian Jacobsen, Sterling, Chris Weston, Tony Sycamore, Sycamore Organizations: Federal Reserve, Traders, Annex Wealth Management, European Central Bank, ECB, Japan's Ministry of Finance, U.S, IG Locations: Buenos Aires, Argentina, U.S, Tokyo
European markets are poised to start the month higher Monday as investors look ahead to the European Central Bank's latest interest rate decision later this week. The U.K.'s FTSE 100 was last seen 63 points higher at 8,340, according to IG data, while Germany's DAX was up 173 points at 18,652. France's CAC was 62 points higher at 8,041and Italy's MIB was up 359 points at 34,893. The move would mark the first time the ECB has cut rates ahead of the U.S. Federal Reserve. U.S. stock futures also started the month in positive territory, coming off the back of a strong May in which all three major averages notched their sixth positive month in seven.
Persons: Germany's DAX, China's Organizations: Central, CAC, ECB, U.S . Federal Locations: Spain, France, Germany, Asia, Pacific
Investors should buy dips in bonds and sell stocks after the Fed's first interest rate cut, according to Bank of America. The call from Bank of America investment strategist Michael Hartnett is a reversal of his "anything but bonds trade." The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates in the second half of the year. AdvertisementBank of America investment strategist Michael Hartnett is shaking up his trading playbook for the second half of the year. In a note on Friday, Hartnett recommended investors buy dips in bonds and sell stocks after the Federal Reserve makes its first interest rate cut.
Persons: Michael Hartnett, , Hartnett Organizations: Bank of America, Federal, Service, Federal Reserve, ABB, UST, PMI, Fed
One kilogram gold bullion at the YLG Bullion International Co. headquarters in Bangkok, Thailand, on Friday, Dec. 22, 2023. Gold prices were set for a fourth straight monthly gain, even as the market struggled for momentum on Friday ahead of a key U.S. inflation reading that could provide more indications on how the Federal Reserve might proceed with rate cuts later this year. Bullion prices are up 0.3% so far this week and 2.5% so far in the month. Spot silver fell 0.8% to $30.95 per ounce, but was set for its biggest monthly gain since July 2020. Platinum was down 0.2% at $1,021.94 and palladium lost 0.2% to $945.56.
Persons: Kyle Rodda, Yeap Jun Rong Organizations: Co, Federal Reserve Locations: Bangkok, Thailand, U.S
U.S. one hundred dollar bills are being shown in this picture illustration taken in Buenos Aires, Argentina, on Dec. 15, 2023. The dollar soared to a two-week high against its major peers on Thursday, as a rout in Treasuries improved the currency's allure due to both higher U.S. yields and demand for safe haven assets. The bond market rout has spooked investors, with equities globally sliding sharply this week, spurring a rush to the safest assets. The yen , however, climbed off a four-week low of 157.715 per dollar from overnight to last trade at 157.505. "The bond market bogey is well-positioned to wrest deeper control of the broader market, particularly if upcoming growth and inflation data are on the firmer side of the ledger."
Persons: Tony Sycamore Organizations: Ministry of Finance, Bank of Japan, Reserve, IG Locations: Buenos Aires, Argentina, Treasuries, U.S
Dollar steady; ether fuels crypto rally
  + stars: | 2024-05-21 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Cryptocurrencies rallied, led by a surge in ether on growing anticipation of an impending approval of spot ether exchange-traded funds (ETFs) by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Against the yen , the dollar rose 0.07% to 156.37 in the early Asian session. However, the still-stark interest rate differentials between the U.S. and Japan maintained the appeal of the yen as a funding currency. Still, the cautious Fed rhetoric has so far done little to significantly alter the market pricing for rate cuts, with investors betting on two cuts this year beginning September. Analysts said the latest crypto rally came on the back of speculation that an approval of spot ether ETFs by the U.S. SEC could be imminent, following in the footsteps of the listing of bitcoin ETFs earlier this year.
Persons: Cryptocurrencies, Carol Kong, Bitcoin, Tony Sycamore Organizations: U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, SEC, U.S, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, New Zealand, Reserve Bank of Australia's, IG Locations: Japan
Brent crude futures extended gains on Monday, inching up amid political uncertainty in major producing countries after Iran's president died in a helicopter crash and the Saudi crown prince cancelled a Japan trip, citing health issues with the king. Brent gained 10 cents, or 0.1%, to $84.08 a barrel by 0454GMT, after rising to $84.30 earlier, its highest since May 10. He added that WTI prices may rebound further toward $83.50 after rising above the 200-day moving average of $80.02. Despite the volatility in the region, oil prices moved only slightly. "Continuity in Saudi strategy is expected regardless of this health issue," he added.
Persons: Brent, Ebrahim Raisi, Saudi Arabian Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, King Salman, Yoshimasa Hayashi, Tony Sycamore, Sycamore, Warren Patterson, Patterson, Saul Kavonic, Prince Mohammed Bin Salman's Organizations: Brent, . West Texas, Saudi, Saudi Arabian Crown, Iranian, IG, ING, The, of, Petroleum, Petroleum Reserve Locations: Fort Stockton , Texas, Saudi, Japan, East Azerbaijan, Saudi Arabian, China, U.S, United States, Washington
Gold prices set for second weekly gain on Fed rate-cut optimism
  + stars: | 2024-05-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices appeared set for a second consecutive weekly gain on Friday, after recent U.S. inflation data fueled expectations that the Federal Reserve could cut interest rates this year. The dollar index was down 0.6% for the week so far, against its rivals, making gold less expensive for other currency holders. "The upward bias for gold prices may remain, with the recent run in U.S. economic data offering room for the Fed to consider earlier rate cuts in 2024 while geopolitical tensions rock on. Bullion is known as an inflation hedge, but higher rates increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold. "Gold prices may correct lower as markets look to re‑establish the historical relationship between gold and the U.S. dollar.
Persons: Yeap Jun Rong, haven't, Bullion Organizations: Co, Federal, Fed, U.S . Federal Reserve, U.S ., Commonwealth Bank of Australia Locations: Bangkok, Thailand
Meme stock mania fades
  + stars: | 2024-05-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMeme stock mania fadesIG North America CEO JJ Kinahan joins CNBC's 'Squawk Box' to discuss why meme stock mania is fading, how investors see this, and more.
Persons: JJ Kinahan Organizations: North
Watch CNBC's full interview with IG North America CEO JJ Kinahan
  + stars: | 2024-05-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with IG North America CEO JJ KinahanIG North America CEO JJ Kinahan joins CNBC's 'Squawk Box' to discuss why meme stock mania is fading, how investors see this, and more.
Persons: JJ Kinahan Organizations: IG North, North
Dollar droops to one-month low vs euro before key CPI test
  + stars: | 2024-05-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
In this photo illustration, the new £10 note is seen alongside euro notes and U.S. dollar bills on Oct. 13, 2017 in Bath, England. The euro edged up 0.03% to $1.0823 in Asian trading hours, and earlier rose to $1.0828 for the first time since April 10. The dollar edged back 0.12% to 156.245 yen on Wednesday, but had pushed as high as 156.80 overnight. The dollar dropped 0.24% to 7.2232 yuan in offshore trading, after reaching the highest since May 1 at 7.2460 overnight. The New Zealand dollar climbed 0.37% to $0.6062, and earlier touched $0.6064 for the first time since April 10.
Persons: Alan Ruskin, Jerome Powell, Tony Sycamore, Joe Biden's Organizations: Reserve, U.S, Treasury, Deutsche Bank, Bank of Japan, CPI, IG, Australian, New Zealand Locations: Bath, England, U.S, China
London CNN —Two of Europe’s biggest oil companies, Shell and TotalEnergies, are considering abandoning their stock exchanges for Wall Street in a move that would deal a hammer blow to London and Paris. Shares of TotalEnergies and Shell trade on a price-to-cash flow ratio of 4.7 and 5.2 respectively, compared with a ratio of 8.4 for Exxon Mobil (XOM) and 7.6 for Chevron (CVX). Alastair Syme, managing director of global energy equity research at Citi, says Shell and TotalEnergies have long traded at a discount. Investors would “be much more comfortable” buying European energy companies if they were part of the more valuable S&P 500 benchmark index of US equities, according to Syme. London languishesStill, the slightest hint that Shell may consider leaving London will have rattled the city’s beleaguered main stock exchange.
Persons: Britain’s Shell, France’s, Alastair Syme, Syme, Patrick Pouyanne, , , Wael Sawan, Sawan, London languishes, Chris Beauchamp, Shell, TotalEnergies, New York “ would’ve, ” Lindsey Stewart, Ben van Beurden, ” Syme Organizations: London CNN, Shell, CAC, Exxon Mobil, Chevron, Citi, CNN, Investors, Bloomberg, London Stock Exchange, Nasdaq, BP, Morningstar, Financial, Commodities Locations: London, Paris, New York, Chevron, Europe, United States, Switzerland,
Oil climbs as Gaza tensions rise, Saudi Arabia hikes prices
  + stars: | 2024-05-06 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
A view of oil-well in action during sunset at Elk Hills Oil Field as gas prices on the rise in California, United States on April 14, 2024. Oil futures climbed on Monday after Saudi Arabia hiked June crude prices for most regions and as the prospect of a Gaza ceasefire deal appeared slim, renewing fears the Israel-Hamas conflict could still widen in the key oil-producing region. Brent crude futures were up 77 cents, or 0.9%, to $83.73 a barrel at 1055 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures were at $78.98 a barrel, up 87 cents, or 1.1%. The geopolitical risk premium in oil prices also eased as talks for a Gaza ceasefire were underway. Also supporting oil was Saudi Arabia's move to raise the official selling prices (OSPs) for its crude sold to Asia, Northwest Europe and the Mediterranean in June, signaling expectations of strong demand this summer.
Persons: Brent, Tony Sycamore Organizations: Brent, U.S, West Texas, IG Locations: Elk, California, United States, Saudi Arabia, Gaza, Israel, Rafah, Saudi, Asia, Northwest Europe, China
Gold rises on Fed rate cut hopes, Middle East tensions
  + stars: | 2024-05-06 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices ticked higher on Monday, as expectations that the Federal Reserve will start cutting interest rates later in the year and tensions in the Middle East lifted bullion's appeal. "Investors will look at the political situation in the Middle East and how the ongoing negotiations for a ceasefire play out. "Weaker U.S. data offers more policy flexibility for the Fed in terms of rate cuts," paving way for gold prices to stabilize, said IG market strategist Yeap Jun Rong. Markets are pricing in a 67% chance of a U.S. rate cut in September, as per CME's FedWatch Tool. Meanwhile, the Perth Mint's gold product sales in April jumped two-fold from a month earlier, while silver sales fell to their lowest since December.
Persons: Kelvin Wong, Benjamin Netanyahu, Yeap Jun Rong, John Williams, Austan Goolsbee Organizations: Co, Federal Reserve, Asia Pacific, New York Fed Bank, Chicago Fed, Perth Locations: Bangkok, Thailand, OANDA, Gaza, U.S
Barbra Streisand asked Melissa McCarthy on Instagram whether she used Ozempic. Stars including Amy Schumer and Chelsea Handler have been open about using the buzzy weight loss drug. AdvertisementBarbra Streisand asked Melissa McCarthy if she used Ozempic to lose weight on Instagram, sparking a backlash from fans. While many fans praised the pastel green outfit McCarthy wore at the event, Streisand made a surprising remark about her weight loss. Celebrities including Elon Musk, Amy Schumer, and Chelsea Handler have all been open about using such weight loss drugs to slim down.
Persons: Barbra Streisand, Melissa McCarthy, Amy Schumer, Chelsea Handler, , McCarthy, Adam Shankman, Matthew Bourne, Streisand, , b0eNUtm7xK, Barbara, Ozempic, Elon Musk, Jimmy Kimmel's, wasn't Organizations: Service, Center Theatre, Business, Celebrities, Hollywood Locations: Los Angeles
An employee handles one kilogram gold bullions at the YLG Bullion International Co. headquarters in Bangkok, Thailand, on Friday, Dec. 22, 2023. Gold was little changed on Friday ahead of a key U.S. inflation report, but prices were on track for their first weekly drop in six weeks on easing concerns of a major escalation of the Middle East crisis. Focus now turns to March's core Personal Consumption Expenditures, or PCE, index data due later on Friday — the Fed's preferred measure of inflation — for further clues on the U.S. rate outlook. The dollar index was headed for its biggest weekly dip since early March, making the greenback-priced bullion less expensive for other currency holders. Spot silver rose 0.2% to $27.49 per ounce, spot platinum rose 0.8% to $921.45 and palladium gained 1.4% to $988.22.
Persons: Gold, Yeap Jun Rong, Jun Rong Organizations: Co, Federal Locations: Bangkok, Thailand, U.S
@ceevannn #stitch with @Renèe | Influencer Marketing these days, Katy Hearn’s products and branding dont move me to purchase. TikTok influencers stand above IG because of authenticity. As social media marketing evolved, so did the opportunity for influencers to work with more brands. Data shared with the outlet from a YPulse study found that 45% of 13 to 22-year-old respondents felt influencers don't have the sway they used to. Sophie Wood, the director of strategy at influencer marketing agency Fohr, told BI the influencer bubble hasn't burst, it's just changing.
Persons: , Manrika Khaira, TikTok, it's, Zers, CeeVan, influencers, Katy, rogan, @Madeline Pendleton, Ashley Rector, Quimby, — influencers, Rector, Samantha Zink, Zink, Gen Z, Influencers, Catherine Falls, Sophie Wood, Wood, Hannah Witton, Witton, It's, Jessica Dante Organizations: Service, Business, Influencer, qvc, Federal, Quimby Digital, Zink Talent, Yahoo News, YouTube, Smart, BI, Love Locations: Catherine, London
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSelling volatility has paid off for traders over the last few years: IG North America CEO JJ KinahanJJ Kinahan, IG North America CEO, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, the impact of last night's attack by Israel on Iran, and more.
Persons: JJ Kinahan JJ Kinahan Organizations: IG North, IG North America Locations: Israel, Iran
Dollar takes a breather as investors ponder U.S. rates outlook
  + stars: | 2024-04-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The dollar was soft on Thursday as traders assessed the U.S. interest rates outlook in the wake of comments from Federal Reserve officials that cemented expectation of monetary settings remaining restrictive for a while longer. The dollar was soft on Thursday as traders assessed the U.S. interest rates outlook in the wake of comments from Federal Reserve officials that cemented expectation of monetary settings remaining restrictive for a while longer. The yen strengthened 0.05% to 154.29 a dollar but remained close to the 34-year low of 154.79 touched on Tuesday. Japan last intervened in the currency market in 2022, spending an estimated $60 billion to defend the yen. Elsewhere, the Australian dollar was little changed at $0.6439, while the New Zealand dollar eased a bit to $0.5914 after spiking 0.6% on Wednesday.
Persons: Sterling, Michelle Bowman, Kristina Clifton, Tony Sycamore Organizations: Federal Reserve, Traders, Market Committee, Federal, Fed, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, IG, Japan, New Zealand Locations: U.S, Japan, South Korea, Tokyo, Seoul
Oil prices fell at Asia's open on Monday, as market participants dialed back risk premiums following Iran's attack on Israel late on Saturday which the Israeli government said caused limited damage. The attack involving more than 300 missiles and drones was the first on Israel from another country in more than three decades. Oil benchmarks had risen on Friday in anticipation of a retaliatory attack by Iran, touching their highest levels since October. But prices still ended the week down about 1% after the International Energy Agency lowered its forecast for oil demand growth this year. A "less certain path to Fed rate cuts" because of persistent U.S. inflation also weighed on prices, Sycamore said.
Persons: Brent, Tony Sycamore, Jorge Leon, Analysts, Sycamore Organizations: West Texas, Israel's, Iran, International Energy Agency, Rystad Energy Locations: Tutong district, Brunei, Israel, Iran, Damascus, Gaza, U.S, Syria, Strait, Hormuz, East, Europe
The U.K.'s FTSE 100 index is expected to open 31 points higher at 7,949, Germany's DAX up more than 100 points at 18,051, France's CAC 47 points higher at 8,064 and Italy's FTSE MIB 150 points higher at 33,212, according to data from IG. European markets are set to open higher on Friday morning as investors parse through U.K. economic data and reflect on a somewhat murky U.S. inflation outlook. The market moves come after the pan-European Stoxx 600 index closed lower in the previous session. Stateside, investors digested fresh inflation data in search of clues on exactly when the U.S. central bank may start cutting interest rates. In Europe, Britain's economic output increased by 0.1% in monthly terms in February, in line with expectations, according to figures published Friday by the Office for National Statistics.
Persons: Germany's DAX, Dow Jones Organizations: CAC, IG, European Central Bank, U.S, U.S . Federal, Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, Dow, Office, National Statistics Locations: U.S ., U.S, Europe
LinkedIn then laid off more than 1,400 workers in two rounds of job cuts last year. AdvertisementThis as-told-to essay is based on a transcribed conversation with a former senior engineering manager at LinkedIn. During the pandemic, we sort of lowered the bar of performance expectations. If they are already starting to be a little cold or reserved, it's unlikely you're going to change their mind. 'Kill list' leaked on BlindLinkedIn laid off 716 sales, operations, and support workers in May 2023.
Persons: , they're, could've, it's, texted Organizations: LinkedIn, Service, Business
Yen crumbles under towering dollar and U.S. Treasury yields
  + stars: | 2024-04-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
In this photo illustration, the man is holding several U.S. dollar bills with some Chinese yuan in the background. The yen struggled to break away from a 34-year low on Friday and was headed for a weekly decline, while the dollar hovered near a five-month high alongside U.S. Treasury yields as traders heavily scaled back bets for a slew of U.S. rate cuts this year. The yen was last marginally higher at 153.17 per dollar, languishing near a 34-year trough of 153.32 per dollar hit in the previous session on the back of a surge in U.S. Treasury yields, which the dollar/yen pair tends to closely track. The benchmark 10-year yield was last at 4.5784%, flirting with a five-month peak of 4.5930% hit in the previous session. The renewed dollar strength also weighed on the Australian and New Zealand dollars , which each fell 0.02%.
Persons: Tony Sycamore, Shunichi Suzuki, David Doyle Organizations: U.S, Treasury, European Central Bank, Federal Reserve, IG, Japanese Finance, ECB, New, Macquarie Locations: U.S, United States, freefall, Tokyo, New Zealand
Gold drifts higher as geopolitical tensions lift safe-haven appeal
  + stars: | 2024-04-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
An employee handles one kilogram gold bullion at the YLG Bullion International Co. headquarters in Bangkok, Thailand, on Friday, Dec. 22, 2023. Gold prices climbed on Thursday, recouping losses from the previous session, as geopolitical tensions bolstered demand for the safe-haven metal. Spot gold was up 0.6% at $2,345.56 per ounce, as of 0317 GMT. Strong central bank buying, safe-haven inflows amid continued geopolitical risks, and demand from momentum-following funds have fueled bullion's 14% gain so far this year. Spot silver edged 0.2% higher to $28.03 per ounce, after hitting its highest levels since June 2021 on Wednesday.
Persons: Yeap Jun Rong, Jun Rong Organizations: Co Locations: Bangkok, Thailand, U.S
New York CNN —Big banks kick off earnings season Friday. “Earnings season just became significantly more important,” said JJ Kinahan, chief executive of IG North America, in a Wednesday note. On one hand, lofty rates could help pad banks’ net interest income, since they can charge a higher borrowing rate for loans and mortgages. Inflation has been a bane on Biden’s presidency, with voters consistently giving him low marks for his handling of the economy. Fed Chair Jerome Powell has said that policymakers want to see more evidence that inflation is headed toward their 2% goal.
Persons: , JJ Kinahan, JPMorgan, Wells, You’ll, Carol Schleif, Wall, Jamie Dimon, , Alicia Wallace, Friday’s, Joe Biden, ” Biden, Bryan Mena, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, IG North America, JPMorgan Chase, BlackRock, Citigroup, PNC Financial Services, BMO Family Office, Federal Reserve, Wall, Traders, Bureau of Labor Statistics, , Federal, Fed Locations: New York, Wells Fargo, pare
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