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In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailLightning Round: No to Citi, yes to JPMorgan, says Jim Cramer'Mad Money' host Jim Cramer weighs in on stock including: Citi Bank, IES Holdings, IBM, Advance Auto Parts, Exxon Mobil, and more.
Persons: Jim Cramer Organizations: Citi, JPMorgan, Citi Bank, IES Holdings, IBM, Advance, Parts, Exxon Mobil
The labor market has come into better balance and the unemployment rate remains low. Inflation has eased substantially from a peak of 7 percent to 2.5 percent. We are strongly committed to returning inflation to our 2 percent goal in support of a strong economy that benefits everyone. decided to leave our policy interest rate unchanged and to continue to reduce our securities holdings. The broad sense of the committee is that the economy is moving closer to the point at which it will be appropriate to reduce our policy rate.
decided to leave our policy interest rate unchanged and to continue to reduce our securities holdings, though, at a slower pace. However, in recent months, inflation has shown a lack of further progress toward our 2 percent objective, and we remain highly attentive to inflation risks. So far this year, the data have not given us that greater confidence. In particular, and as I noted earlier, readings on inflation have come in above expectations. It is likely that gaining such greater confidence will take longer than previously expected.
Persons: We’ve
The committee does not expect that it will be appropriate to reduce the target range until it has gained greater confidence that inflation is moving sustainably toward 2 percent. We will continue to make our decisions meeting by meeting. We’re looking for greater confidence that inflation is moving sustainably down to 2 percent. Implicitly, we do have confidence and has been increasing, but we want to get greater confidence. We’re looking at continuation of the good data that we’ve been seeing.
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller acknowledged Tuesday that interest rate cuts are likely this year, but said the central bank can take its time relaxing monetary policy. "When the time is right to begin lowering rates, I believe it can and should be lowered methodically and carefully," he added. "In many previous cycles ... the FOMC cut rates reactively and did so quickly and often by large amounts. I see no reason to move as quickly or cut as rapidly as in the past." In fact, traders had further ramped up expectations for 2024 to seven cuts, but brought it back to six following Waller's remarks.
Persons: Christopher Waller, Waller Organizations: Federal, Washington , D.C, Brookings Institution Locations: Washington ,
Federal Reserve Continues to Hold Interest Rates Steady
  + stars: | 2023-11-01 | by ( ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +1 min
My colleagues and I are acutely aware that high inflation imposes significant hardship as it erodes purchasing power. Reducing inflation is likely to require a period of below potential growth and some softening of labor market conditions. We are committed to achieving a stance of monetary policy that is sufficiently restrictive to bring inflation sustainably down to 2 percent over time. Price stability is the responsibility of the Federal Reserve. Without price stability, the economy does not work for anyone.
Persons: Price Organizations: Federal Reserve
Over the span of about a year and a half, the Fed aggressively raised interest rates to their highest level in 22 years. The Fed also manages a multitrillion-dollar balance sheet that includes government securities. Here's how that works: The Fed holds assets like Treasuries, mortgage-backed securities, and loans extended to banks. For over a year now, the Fed has been steadily shrinking its balance sheet to help cool the economy. That reduction is known as “quantitative tightening” or a “balance sheet runoff.”
Persons: that’s, Organizations: Congress, Fed Locations: Treasuries
Washington, DC CNN —The Fed’s fight against inflation is about to enter a new phase, but the central bank’s enormous balance sheet will continue to play a key role. The Fed also manages a multi-trillion-dollar balance sheet that accounts for trillions in government securities and lists how much currency is in circulation. For over a year now, the Fed has been steadily shrinking its balance sheet to help cool the economy. The Fed’s balance sheet is currently at around $7.9 trillion, down from its peak of $9 trillion in early 2022 right before the runoff. They also see alternative scenarios for the end of the balance sheet runoff if there isn’t a recession.
Persons: that’s, Lael Brainard, What’s, Wells, Jerome Powell, JPMorgan Chase’s Jamie Dimon, Jamie Dimon, Krystal Hur, Dimon —, Mr, Dimon, JPMorgan Chase, what’s, Estee Lauder, Kraft Heinz, Yum, Bausch, Eli Lilly, Molson Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, DC CNN, Congress, Fed, Wall Street, JPMorgan, JPMorgan Chase, CNN, HSBC, McDonald’s, China’s National Bureau of Statistics, Bank of Japan, Pfizer, Caterpillar, Marathon Petroleum, Sirius XM, Anheuser, Busch, BP, Chesapeake Energy, US Labor Department, Global, Board, CVS, GSK, Humana, Reuters, Apollo Global Management, Brands, Garmin, Cruise Line Holdings, Qualcomm, Airbnb, PayPal, MetLife, Aflac, AIG, Allstate, Prudential, P Global, Institute for Supply Management, Federal Reserve, ConocoPhillips, Starbucks, Duke Energy, Shopify, Ferrari, Marriott International, Moderna, Fox, Molson Coors, Hyatt, Apple, Motorola, Bank of England, Dominion Energy, Gartner, Restaurant Brands Locations: Washington, Treasuries, China’s, Mondelez, DoorDash, Avis, Shell, Cigna
A Bank of America logo is pictured in the Manhattan borough of New York City, New York, U.S., January 30, 2019. BofA's investment banking and trading units managed to outperform Wall Street expectations as they reported higher revenue, bucking an industry-wide slump. Total investment banking fees rose 2% to $1.2 billion, while sales and trading revenue was up 8% to $4.4 billion in the third quarter. BofA's net interest income (NII) rose 4% in the third quarter to $14.4 billion. BofA's revenue, net of interest expense, increased 3% in the quarter to $25.2 billion.
Persons: Carlo Allegri, Brian Moynihan, BofA, Wells, Manya Saini, Nupur Ananad, Saeed Azhar, Lananh Nguyen, Anil D'Silva Organizations: of America, REUTERS, Bank of America, Federal Reserve, Lending, JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup, Thomson Locations: Manhattan, New York City , New York, U.S, NII, Bengaluru, Nupur, New York
A Bank of America logo is pictured in the Manhattan borough of New York City, New York, U.S., January 30, 2019. Revenue at BofA's consumer banking unit rose 6% to $10.5 billion in the third quarter. BofA's investment banking and trading units outperformed. Total investment banking fees rose 2% to $1.2 billion, bucking an industry-wide slump. Sales and trading revenue was up 8% to $4.4 billion in the third quarter to its highest in more than a decade.
Persons: Carlo Allegri, Brian Moynihan, BofA, Alastair Borthwick, Borthwick, Wells, Manya Saini, Nupur Ananad, Saeed Azhar, Lananh Nguyen, Anil D'Silva Organizations: of America, REUTERS, Bank of America, U.S, Federal Reserve, Lending, JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup, Thomson Locations: Manhattan, New York City , New York, U.S, NII, Bengaluru, Nupur, New York
Traders work on the floor of the London Metal Exchange in London, Britain, September 27, 2018. Rebuilding the London nickel contract is clearly very much work in progress. FIXING NICKELOthers, meanwhile, are looking to muscle into the LME's nickel price discovery domain. The Shanghai market also took a big collateral hit from the London turmoil, volumes on its nickel contract collapsing by 53% last year relative to 2021. The blow-out of the nickel contract and the resulting near-death experience of both brokers and exchange have sapped confidence in the historical market of last resort.
Persons: Simon Dawson, Elliott, Nicolas Aguzin, Matthew Chamberlain, hasn't, it's, Ireland's, Kirsten Donovan Organizations: London Metal Exchange, REUTERS, U.S, Elliott Associates, Jane, Trading, Hong Kong Exchanges, HK, Bloomberg, London, Global Commodities Holdings, Abaxx Commodities Exchange, Canadian, Technologies Inc, Shanghai Futures Exchange, EV, CME, Reuters, Thomson Locations: London, Britain, London's, China, Shanghai, U.S
Housing trade groups urged the Federal Reserve to stop hiking interest rates immediately. The NAHB, MBA, and NAR warned that a hard landing is likely, unless the Fed takes two "simple steps." AdvertisementAdvertisementThe Federal Reserve needs to take two "simple steps" to assure that it sticks a soft landing in the economy, according to three housing industry trade groups. AdvertisementAdvertisementThe trade groups pointed out that housing activity accounts for an estimated 16% of GDP in the US. "We urge the Fed to take these simple steps to ensure that this sector does not precipitate the hard landing the Fed has tried so hard to avoid," the letter concluded.
Persons: , Jerome Powell Organizations: Federal Reserve, NAR, Fed, Service, Reserve, National Association of Home Builders, Mortgage Bankers Association, National Association of Realtors, Treasury, MBS
Many investors were burned in the years leading up to Covid during the rise of ESG and bear market in oil. "We like that investment," said Jase Auby, the chief investment officer for the pension system, which has a 6% allocation to energy and energy infrastructure. Auby said his pension system stress tests for oil prices because it is very volatile. The Texas pension system is a long-term investor and looks at energy that way, as it does the broader commodities complex. "I get the hedge in the inflation scenario," he said, adding that the pension system holds commodities in its risk parity portfolio for inflation reasons.
Persons: Jase Auby, Auby, — Eric Rosenbaum Organizations: of Locations: of Texas, Texas
has significantly tightened the stance of monetary policy. We’ve raised our policy interest rate by 5 ¼ percentage points and have continued to reduce our securities holdings at a brisk pace. We’ve covered a lot of ground and the full effects of our tightening have yet to be felt. Today, we decided to leave our policy interest rate unchanged and to continue to reduce our securities holdings. We are committed to achieving and sustaining a stance of monetary policy that is sufficiently restrictive to bring inflation down to our 2 percent goal over time.
Persons: We’ve
A company logo of Shanghai Futures Exchange is displayed at a booth during LME Week Asia in Hong Kong, China June 14, 2016. REUTERS/Bobby Yip Acquire Licensing RightsBEIJING/LONDON, Sept 13 (Reuters) - The Shanghai Futures Exchange (ShFE) is looking into the possible launch of nickel futures for international use, a potential challenge to the London Metal Exchange's (LME) contract, five sources with knowledge of the matter told Reuters. Average daily LME nickel volumes plunged because of the crisis. CME Group (CME.O) is also looking to launch a nickel contract that would settle against prices gathered from a platform to be launched by British-based Global Commodities Holdings (GCH). CME did not respond to a request for an update on its plans for a nickel contract.
Persons: Bobby Yip, ShFE, Nickel, GCH, Pratima Desai, Siyi Liu, Julian Luk, Veronica Brown, Alexander Smith Organizations: Shanghai Futures, REUTERS, Rights, Shanghai Futures Exchange, London, Reuters, International Energy Exchange, CME, Global Commodities Holdings, Thomson Locations: Asia, Hong Kong, China, Rights BEIJING, LONDON, British, Singapore, Abaxx
In 2022 the bond market crash saw the value of central banks' Treasuries holdings plunge by $435 billion, Bertaut and Judson's estimates show. This doesn't suggest central banks are dumping Treasuries, be it for financial or political reasons. What's more, these figures don't account for what analysts describe as stealth or shadow central bank demand not included in the official data. Reuters Image Acquire Licensing RightsIt is undeniable, however, that the collective central bank footprint in the Treasuries market is nowhere near what it used to be. For now, central banks are still buying, just not as much as they used to.
Persons: Abraham Lincoln, Gary Cameron, chunky, Carol Bertaut, Ruth Judson, That's, Steven Englander, Judson, Lehman Brothers, Jamie McGeever, David Holmes Organizations: Engraving, REUTERS, Rights, U.S, of America, Bank of America, BANK, Standard Chartered, Treasuries, Fed, ICE, Treasury, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Washington, Rights ORLANDO , Florida, Beijing, China, Saudi Arabia, American Republic, North America, Belgium
Reuters Image Acquire Licensing RightsReuters Image Acquire Licensing RightsReuters Image Acquire Licensing RightsTo be sure, Japan and China are still forces to be reckoned with. But they don't bestride the Treasuries market like they once did, nor does the threat of them selling strike the same fear into bond investors, global markets at large, and even policymakers in Washington. China's Treasuries holdings fell a valuation-adjusted $34 billion in the first half of the year, although its U.S. agency debt holdings rose nearly $20 billion. Reuters Image Acquire Licensing RightsReuters Image Acquire Licensing RightsWith U.S. bond yields at their highest since the late 2000s, the widening yield gap is pushing the yuan and yen to historically low levels against the dollar. Speculation is rising that Beijing or Tokyo could soon dip into their Treasuries holdings to fund dollar-selling intervention in the currency market.
Persons: Kim Hong, Brad Setser, Carol Bertaut, Ruth Judson, Judson, Jamie McGeever, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: South Korean, REUTERS, Rights, Treasuries, . Treasury, Federal Reserve, Reuters, of Foreign Relations, Treasury, U.S, Bank of America, Thomson Locations: Rights ORLANDO , Florida, Japan, China, Belgium, Britain, Washington, Foreign, U.S, Beijing, Tokyo
All three major averages advanced for the week, powered by strong mega-cap earnings and favorable inflation data. Looking to next week, earnings season enters its second half with the last of our mega-caps — Apple (AAPL) and Amazon (AMZN) — set to report on Thursday. We'll get a better read on the employment picture on Wednesday with the ADP report and then, more importantly, on Friday's nonfarm payrolls report for July. Thursday after the close brings us to the main events of the week: Earnings from Apple and Amazon. For those looking to review first quarter performance ahead of these releases, be sure to keep our first-quarter earnings report card handy.
Persons: We'll, that's, Stanley Black, Decker, Emerson, Bausch, Leggett, Platt, SIRI, Ares, COLM, PERI, Kraft Heinz, Phillips, Ferrari N.V, Johnson, Robinson, COOK, BUD, Kellogg, Papa, Pitney Bowes, Parker, Trimble, Ziff Davis, Nonfarm, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Apple Tim Cook, Kevin Dietsch Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow, Federal Reserve, Federal, ISM Manufacturing, Services PMI, Investors, Caterpillar, Devices, Starbucks, Natural Resources, AMD, Management, Emerson Electric and, Humana, Bausch Health, Apple, Microsoft, Resource Partners, AerCap Holdings, CNA Financial Corp, CNA, Apellis Pharmaceuticals, Bank, SJW, Hutchison China MediTech, Camtek Ltd, Silvercrest Asset Management, Loews Corp, Oxford Lane Capital Corp, Banco Santander, Silicom Ltd, SuperCom Ltd, Arista Networks, Avis Budget Group, Diamondback Energy, Lattice Semiconductor Corp, Republic Services, Yum China Holdings, Western Digital Corp, Power Systems, Tenet Healthcare Corp, Vornado Realty, BioMarin Pharmaceutical, PetMed, SBA Communications Corporation, Brixmor, Snack Foods Corp, Cushman & Wakefield, Sanmina Corporation, TFI, PMI, Cruise Line Holdings Ltd, Uber Technologies, Pfizer, Enterprise Products Partners, Merck, JetBlue Airways Corporation, Allegro MicroSystems, Altria, SunPower Corp, SiriusXM Holdings, Molson Coors Beverage, Marriott International, Toyota Motor Corp, BP, SYSCO Corp, Marathon Petroleum Corp, Ares Management, Equitrans Midstream Corporation, Game Technology, Illinois Tool, IDEXX Laboratories, Rockwell Automation, Packaging International Corp, Gartner, Zebra Technologies Corp, IQVIA Holdings, Oshkosh Corporation, Leidos Holdings, Eaton Corp, yte Corp, Lear Corp, Starbucks Corp, Devon Energy Corp, SolarEdge Technologies, Lumen Technologies, Virgin Galactic Holdings, Caesars Entertainment, VF Corp, Sciences Corp, Paycom, Vertex Pharmaceuticals, Suncor Energy, Holdings, Chesapeake Energy Corp, Boston Properties, American International Group, AIG, Allstate Corp, Aspen Technology, Electronic Arts, EA, Flowserve Corporation, Denny's, Corp, Prudential Financial, Store, Ternium S.A, Vimeo, Emerson, Lomb, CVS Health, Generac Holdings, Cameco Corp, Perion Network Ltd, Builders, Carlyle Group, Scorpio, Teva Pharmaceutical Industries, Ltd, Rithm Capital Corp, AeroSystems Holdings, Vertiv Holdings Co, Johnson Controls, CDW Corp, DuPont, Brands Holdings, Scotts Miracle, Gro, SMG, Brands, Allegheny Technologies, AmerisourceBergen Corporation, ABC, Real Estate Corporation, Adient plc, Editas, Garmin Ltd, WWE, Bunge Ltd, Criteo S.A, PayPal, QUALCOMM, Occidental Petroleum Corp, Apache Corp, Albemarle Corp, MGM Resorts International, MGM, Marathon Oil Corp, Joby Aviation, Industrial, CF Industries Holdings, Goodyear Tire &, Realty ome Corp, Metlife, Pacific Biosciences of, Rush Street Interactive, Zillow, JFrog Ltd, Herbalife Nutrition Ltd, Simon Property Group, McKesson Corp, Storage, Cerus Corporation, GXO Logistics, MAX Holdings, Health, Anheuser, Busch InBev, Warner Bros ., Cheniere Energy, ConocoPhillips, Hasbro, CIGNA Corp, Lantheus Holdings, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Fiverr International, Air Products & Chemicals, TopBuild Corp, EPAM Systems, Lightspeed Commerce, Aurinia Pharmaceuticals, Cummins, CMI, Slair Corporation, Starwood Property Trust, Vulcan, Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, New Energy Corp, Cedar Fair Entertainment, Intellia Therapeutics, Lending, Privia Health, Dickinson, Chimera Investment, CIM, Hyatt Hotels Corp, Lion Electric, LEV, Deluxe Corp, Murphy Oil Corp, PBF Energy, Papa John's, Targa Resources Corp, Wix.com Ltd, Apollo Global Management, LLC, Butterfly, Sempra Energy, Aptiv PLC, Brookfield Infrastructure Partners, Canada Goose Holdings, Hannifin Corporation, WESCO International, WCC, Arrow Electronics, Constellation Energy Group, Midstream Partners, Coinbase, Petroleo Brasileiro SA Petrobras, Gilead Sciences, Opendoor Technologies, Booking Holdings, Atlassian Corporation, International, Redfin Corporation, Motorola Solutions, Monster Beverage Corporation, Consolidated Edison, Rocket Companies, Apple Hospitality, Cirrus, Resources, Universal Display Corporation, Chesapeake Utilities Corp, Social, Defense, Security Solutions, Post Holdings, Tandem Diabetes Care, Nikola Corporation, Magna International, Dominion Energy, ACM Research, Frontier Communications, Brookfield Renewable Partners, inTEST Corporation, American Pipeline, TELUS International, XPO Logistics, Fluor Corp, Gray Television, Cboe, LyondellBasell Industries, Twist Bioscience, Global, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Allen & Company Sun Valley, Getty Locations: U.S, China, India, Oxford, Chile, Illinois, Columbia, Pacific, Pacific Biosciences of California, Southern, PBI, Gilead, Sun Valley , Idaho
The Fed’s monetary policy actions are guided by our mandate to promote maximum employment and stable prices for the American people. My colleagues and I are acutely aware that high inflation imposes significant hardship as it erodes purchasing power, especially for those least able to meet the higher cost of essentials like food, housing and transportation. We’re highly attentive to the risks that high inflation poses to both sides of our mandate, and we are strongly committed to returning inflation to our 2 percent objective. At today’s meeting, the committee raised the target range for the federal funds rate by a quarter percentage point, bringing the target range to 5-and-a-quarter to 5-and-a-half percent. We are also continuing the process of significantly reducing our securities holdings.
Fed Pauses Interest Rate Increases
  + stars: | 2023-06-14 | by ( ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: 1 min
In light of how far we’ve come in tightening policy, the uncertain lags with which monetary policy affects the economy and potential headwinds from credit tightening, today, we decided to leave our policy interest rate unchanged and to continue to reduce our securities holdings. Looking ahead, nearly all committee participants view it as likely that some further rate increases will be appropriate this year to bring inflation down to 2 percent over time. My colleagues and I are acutely aware that high inflation imposes hardship as it erodes purchasing power, especially for those least able to meet the higher costs of essentials like food, housing and transportation. We are highly attentive to the risks that high inflation poses to both sides of our mandate, and we are strongly committed to returning inflation to our 2 percent objective.
May 19 (Reuters) - Deposits at all U.S. commercial banks slipped last week and overall credit provided by banks edged lower as well, Federal Reserve data released on Friday showed. Deposits in the week ending May 10 totaled $17.10 trillion on a nonseasonally adjusted basis, down from $17.16 trillion a week earlier, the Fed's weekly snapshot of the banking system's assets and liabilities showed. Deposits, which had dropped substantially after the collapse in March of Silicon Valley Bank, were down at large banks and little changed at smaller ones. Meanwhile, credit provided by banks dropped to $17.32 trillion from $17.37 trillion a week earlier, led by a decline in securities holdings. Reporting by Dan Burns; editing by Jonathan OatisOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Fed Makes 10th Rate Increase and Opens Door to Pause
  + stars: | 2023-05-03 | by ( Jeanna Smialek | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +2 min
When the Fed raises interest rates, it makes it more expensive, and often more difficult, for families to take out loans to buy houses or cars, or for businesses to raise money for expansions. As wage growth sags and unemployment rises, people become more cautious and the economy decelerates further. When Paul Volcker’s Fed raised interest rates to nearly 20 percent in the early 1980s, it helped to push joblessness above 10 percent. Fed staff members, by contrast, think a mild recession is likely this year, Mr. Powell said. Given the possibility of a downturn, the Fed’s recent rate moves are drawing increased scrutiny — including from Democrats in Congress.
The biggest week of this earnings season showed us that things aren't as bad as many feared. The week ahead of earnings, including several more Club names, should tell us more. The results are always important, but it's the guidance and management commentary we will really hone in on to better understand the path ahead. In Amazon's case, a solid first quarter for its AWS cloud business was overshadowed by management seeing a material slowdown in April. ET: Nonfarm Payrolls Looking back It was the biggest week of this earnings season for the Club as several of our mega-cap holdings and industry bellwethers reported results.
The economists’ solution – often called the Chicago Plan – was to remove commercial banks from the money-creating business. One of the main problems of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) is that it would compete with old-fashioned bank deposits. With the digital money supply increasing in line with the economy’s potential growth, roughly as Friedman advised, inflation would soon come under control. Non-bank lenders like Apollo Global Management (APO.N) would have an enhanced role under the digital Chicago Plan. At present, there’s little chance of the digital Chicago Plan coming to pass.
The bank made a profit of 24.2 billion francs from its foreign currency positions and 4.3 billion from an increase in the value of the gold it holds. The result will come as a relief to the SNB, which posted a loss of 132.5 billion francs for 2022 overall, the biggest in its 115-year history. In the latest results, the SNB's foreign currency gains were derived from interest of 2.5 billion francs paid on the bonds it holds and 900 million francs in dividends from its stock portfolio. Its also reported a valuation increase of 8.5 billion francs on its massive bond holdings while its equities holdings, which include stakes in most large U.S. companies, increased by 14.7 billion francs in value, the SNB said. Still, the central bank will have been relieved from a monetary policy perspective, UBS economist Alessandro Bee said.
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