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The yield curve's inversions deepened in June after Fed Chair Jerome Powell indicated that the central bank would likely raise rates two more times this year. Stronger-than-expected economic data on Thursday backed expectations that the Fed will keep interest rates higher for longer. Treasury yields- which move inversely to prices - moved up, with 10-year and two-year yields hitting their highest since March 10 and 9, respectively, while some curve inversions intensified. The spread between one- and 30-year Treasury yields was as wide as 153 basis points on Wednesday, its biggest gap since 1981. Key areas of the U.S. economy, including housing and labor, have proven resilient despite higher rates.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Janet Rilling, Huw Roberts, Davide Barbuscia, Chuck Mikolajczak, Ira Iosebashvili, Sam Holmes, Aurora Ellis, Nick Zieminski Organizations: YORK, U.S, Treasury, Federal, Allspring Global Investments, Quant, Thomson Locations: U.S
Dollar index hits two-week high after data; yen remains soft
  + stars: | 2023-06-29 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Hundred dollar bills are seen in this photo illustraiton in Warsaw, Poland on Sept. 21, 2022. The U.S. dollar index climbed to a two-week high on Thursday after economic data showed the labor market remained on a solid footing, giving the Federal Reserve a possible cushion to continue raising interest rates. He said he did not see inflation coming down to the Fed's 2% target until at least 2025. The dollar index was up 0.204% at 103.150 after earlier climbing to 103.44, its highest level since June 13. The dollar strengthened against the Japanese yen for a third straight day, hitting a fresh 7-1/2 month high of 144.90, as U.S. and Japanese central bank policy plans are expected to remain at opposite ends of the spectrum.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Raphael Bostic, Christine Lagarde, Andrew Bailey, Kazuo Ueda, Huw Roberts, Roberts, CME's Organizations: U.S, Federal Reserve, Reuters, Commerce Department, European Central Bank, Atlanta Federal Reserve, Bank of England, Bank of Japan, Fed Locations: Warsaw, Poland, Bank, Europe, Spain, Italy, Swedish
But that’s not the case for everyone: The ultra-wealthy are doing just fine, and Wall Street firms are taking advantage of that. Germany, the largest economy in Europe, has slipped into recession as energy price shocks took their toll on consumer spending. In the past 10 weeks, JPMorgan Global Wealth Management opened 40,000 new accounts. Last year, it added around one new client with assets of $100 million or more per day, Mary Erdoes, head of asset and wealth management at the bank, told investors last week. Dollar General customers turn to food banksDollar General (DG) stock had one of its worst days ever on Thursday.
Persons: New York CNN —, that’s, JPMorgan Chase, Andy Cohen, Mary Erdoes, It’s, Goldman Sachs, Louis Vuitton, Dom Pérignon, Dior, Huw Roberts, Hermes —, Roberts, , Erwan, , Gregory Daco, Allison Morrow, Jeff Owen, Owen, Cash, They’re, Elisabeth Buchwald, Treasury hasn’t, Biden Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Wall, JPMorgan, Bloomberg, JPMorgan Global Wealth Management, Citigroup, International Monetary Fund, Lamborghini, HSBC, EY, Dollar, Treasury, US Treasury Locations: New York, China, United States, Germany, Europe, BlackRock
For the immediate economic and earnings and growth outlook, it almost seems irrelevant whether regional bank stocks rally, steady or sell off more next week. Regional banks were top of mind for investors this past week, as First Republic failed , the SPDR S & P Regional Banking ETF tumbled more than 10% — twice the five-day loss in the S & P 500 Energy Index, the hardest hit S & P sector — and lenders such as PacWest Bancorp and Western Alliance Bancorp lost billions in market value. And, for all that, the S & P 500 only fell about 0.75% this week. Now the conventional wisdom on Wall Street is that regardless of how the regional bank stocks trade, it's a given that bank lending officers are going to pull in their horns and risk management desks will grow more risk averse. But stocks still face a host of issues, none of which are going away next week.
[1/2] A trader works on the trading floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., December 14, 2022. "(Investors are) worried about recession and higher rates and there’s not a lot of news to reverse the trend." Emerging market stocks rose 0.02%. U.S. Treasury yields rose as investors considered how high the Federal Reserve will hike interest rates in its protracted battle against inflation. Gold inched lower in thin trading, as rising yields on expected future interest rate hikes helped offset weakness in the greenback.
With just two weeks remaining in 2022, the S&P 500, the Dow and the Nasdaq are on track to notch their largest annual percentage losses since 2008, the nadir of the global financial crisis. The pan-European STOXX 600 index (.STOXX) rose 0.43% and MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe (.MIWD00000PUS) shed 0.23%. U.S. Treasury yields rose as investors considered how high the Federal Reserve will hike interest rates and how long they will remain at restrictive levels in its battle against inflation. U.S. crude rose 0.48% to $74.65 per barrel and Brent was last at $79.57, up 0.67% on the day. Reporting by Stephen Culp; Additional reporting by Danilo Masoni in Milan; Editing by Susan FentonOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Investors are focusing on a hard-landing scenario for the economy as the Fed pursues more rate hikes. Tesla shares turned lower, and Meta lost ground during the session. Monday's session saw all 11 of the S&P 500's sector close lower, led by the communications services and information technology groups. Among individual stocks, Tesla shares turned lower but had risen earlier in the session after voters in a poll put up by CEO Elon Musk said he should quit running Twitter. Tesla investors and analysts have expressed concern that Musk's focus on Twitter is hurting Tesla.
Stock futures were higher Monday evening after ending the day lower, snapping a two-day advance that started when a better-than-expected inflation report stoked hopes that the Federal Reserve would soon ease up on raising interest rates. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq-100 futures gained 0.23% and 0.31%, respectively. Stocks whiplashed during the day Monday on comments from Federal Reserve leaders Lael Brainard and Chris Waller about rate hikes going forward. Markets will get more inflation information on Tuesday when the producer price index, a measure of wholesale inflation, is released. Investors will also study comments from Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker, Fed Governor Lisa Cook and Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Michael Barr.
This year there's an added twist: the Swiss franc basis has blown out to levels not seen for years. Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.com RegisterThis seems unusual because the Swiss franc is considered one of the safest, strongest and most stable assets. Even though Swiss franc cross-currency basis does move in times of market stress, it usually does so less than its peers. The Swiss franc basis stands out - it is notably wider than the others, and significantly wider than it usually is. Goldman Sachs' Swiss financial conditions index rose to an 11-year high above 107 bps late last month, up more than 300 bps so far this year.
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