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Now that the S & P 500 and most major stock market indexes are at or near historic highs, expect a raft of earnings and year-end price target revisions for the S & P 500 to be coming. First up with an upward revision was Brian Belski at BMO Capital, who Wednesday raised his year-end S & P target to 5,600 from 5,100. The median price target (half above, half below) is 5,200. Earnings for the rest of the year have been remarkably stable, but the key point is that each quarter is higher and a record for S & P 500 profits: 2024 S & P 500 quarterly earnings estimates Q2: $59.46 (record) Q3: $63.49 (record) Q4: $65.08 (record) Source: LSEG Valuations (roughly 20 times forward S & P 500 earnings) are pricey but not unreasonable given the continuing strength of the economy and the prospects of AI-boosted returns. May: market advance broadens (advance/decline line) S & P 500: near new high S & P Mid Cap: new high S & P Small Cap: highest since Dec.
Persons: Sam Stovall, CFRA, Brian Belski, Belski, Subramanian, Venu Krishna, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Ned Davis, Ed Clissold, Oppenheimer, John Stoltzfus, Lori Calvasina, Manish, Nicolaus, Barry Banniester, Jonathan Golub, Chris Harvey, Dubravko, Bujas, Cantor Fitzgerald, Eric Johnson, Scott Chronert, Julian Emanuel, Fundstrat, Tom Lee, Morgan Stanley, Mike Wilson, Hugo Ste, Stovall Organizations: BMO Capital, Wall, of America, Barclays, BMO, RBC, Societe Generale, UBS, Bloomberg, Citigroup, Deutsche Bank, ISI, JPMorgan, Scotiabank, @VX Locations: Wells Fargo, Marie
As the end of the year approaches, investors are likely to be reviewing their portfolios and considering which stocks to sell to harvest tax losses. Tax-loss harvesting is a strategy to offset capital gains tax from stocks that have run up in share price with losses from non-performing stocks. To aid investors, Scotiabank identified several stocks on Canada's TSX Composite index that are down significantly this year but are still rated as "Sector Outperform" by its analysts. "These are prime candidates to keep long-term exposure to despite recent weakness," said Scotiabank analysts led by Hugo Ste-Marie in a note to clients on Nov. 13. Scotiabank pointed out that the top 20 stocks in the S & P 500 index are up significantly this year, while the remaining 480 stocks are showing losses on average.
Persons: Hugo Ste, Marie Organizations: Scotiabank, Stocks, TELUS International, Allied, Trisura, HudBay Minerals, Hudbay Minerals, Capstone, Corp, Ivanhoe Mines, Teck Resources, Tech Locations: Park, Canada, Teck
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