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☆ Dollar down on day, but off lows after hotter than expected inflation
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The headline U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.3% last month, for an annual gain of 3.4%, against expectations of 0.2% and 3.2%, respectively. Traders are pricing in aggressive expectations for rate cuts this year, with the Fed seen as beginning to cut rates in March. But "today's CPI report suggests that the Fed's initial rate cut may be later than the market is hoping for," said Quincy Krosby, chief global strategist at LPL Financial in Charlotte, North Carolina. "The question everyone is struggling with is what kind of inflation regime we are in - are we still in a 2010s era of low growth, low inflation and we're still just working through the end of the pandemic adjustment and then we're back into that?" The dollar index was last down 0.05% on the day at 102.29.

Persons: Bitcoin, Adam Button, Quincy Krosby, Button, it's, Loretta Mester, Thomas Barkin, Sterling Organizations: Federal Reserve, Consumer, Index, Fed, ForexLive, Traders, Financial, Cleveland Fed, Richmond Fed, U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, Wednesday Locations: Toronto, Charlotte , North Carolina, U.S

☆ Asia stocks meander, yen fragile ahead of US inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-14 | by ( Ankur Banerjee | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) was 0.23% higher, on course for its second straight day of gains. The Japanese yen was at 151.71 per dollar in Asian hours, having touched a one-year low of 151.92 on Monday. Investors are waiting for the U.S. inflation report, due later in the day, after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and other policymakers said they are still not sure that interest rates are high enough to tame inflation. Japan last intervened in the currency market - selling dollars and buying yen - in October last year. The dollar index , which measures the U.S. currency against six rivals, was up 0.057% at 105.69.

Persons: Shunichi Suzuki, DAX, Jerome Powell, Anderson Alves, Moody's, Fitch, Gary Dugan, YEN, Nicholas Chia, Brent, Ankur Banerjee, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: Japanese Finance, Federal, Reuters, U.S, AAA, Dalma Capital, Standard Chartered, Thomson Locations: SINGAPORE, Asia, Pacific, Japan, China, U.S, New York

☆ Asia stocks rise ahead of US inflation data; yen stumbles
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-14 | by ( Ankur Banerjee | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) was 0.49% higher, while Tokyo's Nikkei (.N225) gained 0.36%. The Japanese yen was at 151.71 per dollar in Asian hours, having touched a one-year low of 151.92 on Monday. The U.S. inflation report, due later in the day, has investors' attention on Tuesday, especially after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and policymakers have said they are still not sure that interest rates are high enough to tame inflation. YEN WATCH RESUMESThe yen's broad decline has traders back to keeping an eye on whether the Japanese authorities will intervene. The dollar index , which measures the U.S. currency against six rivals, was up 0.057% at 105.69.

Persons: Australia's, Shunichi Suzuki, Jerome Powell, Anderson Alves, HSI, Fitch, Gary Dugan, Dugan, YEN, Nicholas Chia, Brent, Ankur Banerjee, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: Tokyo's Nikkei, Japanese Finance, Federal, Reuters, U.S, AAA, Dalma, Standard Chartered, Thomson Locations: SINGAPORE, Asia, Pacific, Japan, U.S, China, New York

☆ Morning Bid: Frail yen teeters as US CPI looms
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-14 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

Economists polled by Reuters expect headline U.S. consumer price inflation to slow to 3.3% in October from 3.7% in September, with the core inflation rate that strips out volatile components seen unchanged from September at 4.1%. If the battered currency breaks through last year's trough of 151.94, it would mark a 33-year low. In the corporate world, investors will keep an eye on Europe's most valuable company, Novo Nordisk (NOVOb.CO). Shares of the Danish drugmaker rose on Monday after data showed that the heart-protective benefits of its popular obesity drug Wegovy are not solely due to weight loss. Key developments that could influence markets on Tuesday:Economic events: UK average weekly earnings for September, Euro Zone Q3 flash GDP, Euro Zone employment flash Q3Reporting by Ankur Banerjee; Editing by Edmund KlamannOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Ankur Banerjee, David Cameron's, Jerome Powell, Shunichi Suzuki, Edmund Klamann Organizations: U.S, Japan, Ankur, Reuters, Federal Reserve, Japanese Finance, Novo Nordisk, Walmart, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Britain, Danish

☆ India rupee to receive help from pullback in oil, traders eye US inflation
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-12 | by ( Nimesh Vora | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

A customer hands Indian currency notes to an attendant at a fuel station in Mumbai, India, August 13, 2018. REUTERS/Francis Mascarenhas/File photo Acquire Licensing RightsMUMBAI, Oct 12 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee on Thursday will be boosted by the pullback in oil prices and softer U.S. Treasury yields, while investors wait for the important U.S. inflation data due later in the day. India's inflation data is due after market hours. Meanwhile, headline U.S. consumer inflation index (CPI) is expected to rise 0.3% month-on-month. "Today’s U.S. CPI inflation may surprise like yesterday’s PPI inflation," DBS Research said in a note.

Persons: Francis Mascarenhas, Brent, Nimesh Vora, Mrigank Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Treasury, Reuters, Federal Reserve, Fed, CPI, DBS Research, Brent, Thomson Locations: Mumbai, India, Rights MUMBAI, Asia, U.S

☆ Stagflation is 'the big bogeyman out there' — and many increasingly fear its return
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-29 | by ( Sam Meredith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Oil prices surging to the brink of $100 per barrel and the specter of higher for longer inflation have renewed concern about stagflation risks, however. Kashkari reaffirmed this message when speaking to CNBC on Wednesday, saying that he was not sure if interest rates have been raised enough to successfully fight price growth. Market participants are worried that surging oil prices could keep inflation higher for longer, amplifying the risk of stagflation. "The price pressure reflects a shortage of supply, after OPEC+ cut production targets, under the leadership of Saudi Arabia and Russia. This must be seen in the context of a moving geopolitical environment, with Saudi Arabia recently joining the BRICS group," they added.

Persons: Mel Lagomasino, CNBC's, Lagomasino, Neel Kashkari, Kashkari, Jerome Powell, Chip Somodevilla, Stagflation, –, South Africa — Organizations: WE, CNBC, Federal Reserve, Getty, Brent, . West Texas Intermediate, Organization of, Petroleum, OPEC, Generali Investments, United Locations: Minneapolis, Washington ,, Saudi Arabia, Russia, OPEC, stagflation, Brazil, India, China, South Africa, Argentina, Egypt, Iran, Ethiopia, United Arab Emirates

☆ Asian stocks climb as traders shrug off inflation surprise
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-14 | by ( Tom Westbrook | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Fed funds futures hardly budged on the inflation data, and imply nearly no chance of a rate hike next week, and about a 45% chance of another hike by year's end. The S&P 500 (.SPX) rose 0.1% and futures rose 0.2% in Asia. European futures were flat. The euro has been supported this week by creeping expectations for the European Central Bank to hike rates on Thursday, though analysts say it may struggle for further gains. The New Zealand dollar was also firmer at $0.5941, while the dollar slipped about 0.2% to buy 147.11 yen .

Persons: Androniki, Glenn Yin, HSI, Brent Donnelly, it's, Kazuo Ueda, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: Nikkei, REUTERS, Rights, European Central Bank, Tokyo's Nikkei, Treasury, ., New, AETOS Capital Group, Arm Holdings, EU, Spectra Markets, New Zealand, Bank of Japan, Brent, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Rights SINGAPORE, Asia, Pacific, New York, Melbourne, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Australia

☆ Morning Bid: Japan jolt as inflation forks
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-11 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

A man walks past the headquarters of Bank of Japan in Tokyo, Japan, January 17, 2023. "If we judge that Japan can achieve its inflation target even after ending negative rates, we'll do so," Ueda said. The yen surged 1% against the dollar, knocking the U.S. currency back more generally (.DXY) on the foreign exchange markets. If Japan's does tighten further by yearend, it comes as the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank rate hike campaigns are coming to halt. News of an expected return of headline Chinese consumer price inflation to positive territory last month and above-forecast August lending data helped mainland shares (.CSI300) higher, with the yuan bouncing back from 16-year lows.

Persons: Issei Kato, Mike Dolan, Kazuo Ueda, Ueda, Alibaba, Daniel Zhang, Bank of England policymaker Catherine Mann, Christina Fincher Organizations: Bank of Japan, REUTERS, U.S, Tokyo Stock, Nikkei, Global, Treasury, yearend, Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, ECB, Fed, CPI, OpenAI, Wall Street, SoftBank Group, underwriters, Bank of England, Oracle, Graphics, Graphics Reuters, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Tokyo, Japan, U.S, Hong Kong, Ottawa

☆ Asia stocks drop to month low as US CPI fails to enthuse
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-11 | by ( Tom Westbrook | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

The yen touched a six-week low of 144.89 per dollar in early trade, though volumes were thinned owing to a public holiday in Japan. Its stock markets were closed and Treasuries went untraded in the Asia session. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) fell 0.7% with stocks in Hong Kong and China the biggest drag. Headline U.S. CPI was 0.2% last month, the same as a month earlier, and the details were encouraging - with core goods inflation slowing down and only rents proving stubbornly sticky. DOLLAR GAINSIn foreign exchange markets, choppy trade in the wake of the inflation data left the dollar on course for a weekly gain.

Persons: Issei Kato, Treasuries, Mary Daly, Andrew Lilley, Philip Lowe, Nozomu Ogawa, Sally Auld, JB, There's, HSI, Tom Westbrook, Muralikumar Anantharaman Organizations: REUTERS, SYDNEY, Headline U.S, CPI, San Francisco Fed, Yahoo Finance, Daiwa, Markets, HK, Chevron, Brent, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, U.S, Asia, Pacific, Hong Kong, China, Sydney, New York, Australia

☆ Asia stocks slip as US CPI fails to enthuse; dollar up
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-11 | by ( Tom Westbrook | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Passersby are reflected on an electric stock quotation board outside a brokerage in Tokyo, Japan April 18, 2023. The yen touched a six-week low of 144.89 per dollar in early trade on Friday, though volumes were thinned owing to a public holiday in Japan. Its stock markets were closed and Treasuries went untraded in the Asia session. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) edged 0.2% lower and headed for a 1% weekly loss. In stock markets, Chinese property stocks were taking a fresh beating on giant developer Country Garden (2007.HK), which is struggling with its debts, forecasting a $7.6 billion net loss in the first half.

Persons: Issei Kato, Treasuries, Mary Daly, Andrew Lilley, Sally Auld, JB, Tom Westbrook, Muralikumar Organizations: REUTERS, U.S ., Headline U.S, CPI, San Francisco Fed, Yahoo Finance, U.S . Treasury, HK, Star Entertainment, Chevron, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, U.S, Asia, Pacific, Sydney, New York, Hong Kong, Alibaba, HK, New South Wales, Woodside, WDS.AX

☆ Morning Bid: Markets drift ahead of payrolls test
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-04 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Futures indicate European stocks are set for a higher open but whether they are able to hold on to the gains remains to be seen. Before the headline U.S. non-farm payroll report comes through later in the day, investor attention will be on construction PMI data from euro zone, UK and Germany. Sterling will also be in focus after getting whipsawed on Thursday after the Bank of England's modest rate hike. Investors have pinned hopes on stimulus and policy easing from Beijing to rev up the anaemic rebound in the world's second-biggest economy. Key developments that could influence markets on Friday:Economic events: UK July construction PMI, Italy June industrial production, Germany July construction PMI, Eurozone retail salesReporting by Ankur Banerjee; Editing by Sam HolmesOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Ankur Banerjee, Sterling, Sam Holmes Organizations: Ankur, Bank of, Investors, Wall, Inc, Thomson Locations: Germany, China's, Beijing, Italy

LONDON, July 28 (Reuters) - A reappraisal of the dollar could be the next big "pain trade". Dollar jumps as US 2-year yield premium builds vs G7Net short dollar contracts from CFTCBofA chart on fund managers dollar viewSMILEFor the dollar at least, it starts to look less of a one-way rate bet. For those who favour intra-G7 interest rate differentials for guidance, the picture is not much better for dollar bears. But if "soft landings", disinflation and buoyant markets continue to rule the roost, it may be hard work for the outsize "anti-dollar" bet. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.

Persons: There's, BoE, What's, it's, Mike Dolan, Alison Williams Organizations: Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Treasury, Bank of England, gilts, ECB, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Reuters, Twitter, Thomson Locations: U.S, Japan

☆ Asia stocks split as US-China outlooks diverge
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-19 | by ( Tom Westbrook | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Overnight the S&P 500 (.SPX) rose 0.7% to hit a three-month high, with results propelling bank shares. Morgan Stanley (MS.N), Bank of America (BAC.N) and Bank of New York Mellon (BK.N) shares rose sharply on strong results and an upbeat outlook overnight. Microsoft (MSFT.O) shares rose 4% - adding $100 billion in market value - after announcing charges for artificial intelligence features in its office software. British inflation data due at 0600 GMT is the next major calendar item and traders are expecting a fall to a still-uncomfortable 8.2% annual pace. "While annual headline inflation fell sharply, which is helpful for inflation expectations, the details suggest persistence in non-tradables inflation."

Persons: Seng, SYDNEY, Dovish, Tapas Strickland, Morgan Stanley, Klaas Knot, Brian Daingerfield, Treasuries, Brent, Lincoln Organizations: Companies, Microsoft, U.S, European Central Bank, New Zealand, Japan's Nikkei, Headline U.S, National Australia Bank, Bank of America, Bank of New York Mellon, NatWest Markets, Bank of, Fed, ECB, ANZ, Thomson Locations: China, Japan, Australia, Asia, Pacific, Hong Kong, South Korea, Sydney, Atlanta, U.S, Europe, New York, New Zealand, Bank of England

☆ Dollar bounces from 15-month low on strong core U.S. retail sales
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-18 | by ( Karen Brettell | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

NEW YORK, July 18 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar rose from a 15-month low against a basket of currencies on Tuesday after core retail sales saw strong gains in June, as investors wait on the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision next week. Headline U.S. retail sales rose less than expected in June, with a 0.2% increase during the month. Excluding automobiles, gasoline, building materials and food services, retail sales increased 0.6% in June. Data for May was revised slightly up to show core retail sales increasing 0.3% instead of the previously reported 0.2%. The dollar rose 0.10% against the Japanese yen to 138.83, after dropping to 137.245 on Friday, the lowest since May 17.

Persons: ”, Bipan Rai, ” Rai, Klaas Knot, Samuel Indyk, Sharon Singleton, William Maclean Organizations: YORK, U.S, Headline U.S, CIBC Capital Markets, Bank of America, Norwegian krone, European Central Bank, Reserve Bank of Australia's, Thomson Locations: North American, Toronto, U.S, Britain, Japan, Norwegian, London

☆ This data in Tuesday's retail sales report is good news for one of our stocks
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-18 | by ( Paulina Likos | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Headline U.S. retail sales came in softer-than-expected for June, rising 0.2% versus the 0.5% increase economists were expecting, according to the Commerce Department. But the retail sales control group, which excludes receipts from autos, building materials retailers, and gasoline stations, was up 0.56% compared to the 0.5% consensus estimates. Online sales for the month accelerated to 1.9%, while sales at department stories and groceries fell 2.4% and 0.7%, respectively. Over the long run, they expect Amazon to "continue to gain market share" through its 200 million Amazon Prime subscriber base. The Amazon Prime logo is displayed on the side of an Amazon delivery truck on June 21, 2023 in Richmond, California.

Persons: Jim Cramer, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Justin Sullivan Organizations: Club, Headline U.S, Commerce Department, Telsey, Group, Amazon, Amazon Web Services, CNBC Locations: United States, Richmond , California

LONDON, July 14 (Reuters) - An accelerating dollar slide could be a U.S. gift to its allies by helping them catch up with its impressive disinflation. A dollar slide of this size and speed has typically elicited yelps of pain from U.S. trading partners. Euro zone headline inflation - which peaked about one percentage point above and three months later than the U.S. equivalent last year - was still 2.5 points above it last month. The ECB will likely stay shy of peak Fed rates, but an expected move to 4.0% policy rates by year-end will involve two quarter point hikes after the Fed has stopped. A time-limited dollar drop now may be more benign than a simple reversion to a new 'currency war'.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Mike Dolan, Josie Kao Organizations: Reserve, Monetary, Sterling, Bank of England, European Central Bank, ECB, Fed, Transatlantic, Reuters, Twitter, Thomson Locations: U.S, Europe, Britain, Swiss

☆ Morning Bid: China disinflation a mix of good and bad
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-10 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

On the face of it, this implies there is plenty of scope to ease monetary and fiscal policy further. Yet it also underlines the scale of the challenge that Beijing faces in avoiding an outright deflationary spiral. Globally, a deflationary pulse from China could over time help to offset service-driven inflation in developed nations. Disinflation in goods is a major reason analysts expect coming U.S. CPI data to show a slowdown in June. One side effect of the surge in bond yields has been a shake-out of carry trades in the forex market.

Persons: Wayne Cole, Andrew Bailey, Jeremy Hunt, Mary Daly, Loretta Mester, Raphael Bostic, Edmund Klamann Organizations: CPI, Headline, Treasury, Bank of Japan, Bank of England, San, Cleveland, Atlanta, Thomson Locations: Wayne, Beijing, China

☆ Reaction: June US jobs growth cools, but wages won't comfort Fed
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-07 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +6 min

Nonfarm payrolls increased by 209,000 jobs last month, the Labor Department said on Friday. "Today's numbers confirm the job market is still strong... and this report gives the green light to the Fed to raise rates. "If anything, it probably confirms this idea that the Fed has had that they are making progress in the right direction." "It's not like this is a sudden vast improvement in the labor market." The hours worked numbers are rising slower than the payrolls numbers.

Persons: Nonfarm, payrolls, CANDICE, GOLDMAN, BEN JEFFERY, “, PETER CARDILLO, we're, STUART COLE, JASON PRIDE, MICHAEL BROWN, ”, ” BRIAN JACOBSEN, MENOMONEE Organizations: YORK, Labor Department, Reuters, Treasury, BMO, NFP, Fed, Global Finance, Markets, Thomson Locations: GOLDMAN SACHS, PHILADELPHIA, WISCONSIN

☆ Morning Bid: Powell patter, UK shock, FedEx warning
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-21 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike DolanThe Fed chair has a tricky message to communicate. Powell's colleagues on Tuesday stressed again they would stay the course until inflation is back to its 2% target. UK inflation defied expectations of a slowdown and held at 8.7% in May, while 'core' inflation jumped above 7% for the first time since 1992. In corporate news, FedEx FDX.N shares dropped almost 3% overnight after a profit warning. Events to watch for later on Wednesday:* Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell testifies to House Financial Affairs Committee.

Persons: Mike Dolan, Jerome Powell's, rationalises, Powell's, Treasuries, BoE, Sterling recoiled, Rivian, Jerome Powell, Adrian Kugler, Philip Jefferson's, Lisa Cook, Austan Goolsbee, Loretta Mester, Christina Fincher Organizations: Federal Reserve, National Association of Home Builders, Bank of, FedEx FDX.N, Rivals Rivian, European, Financial, Fed Board, Chicago Fed, Cleveland Fed, Treasury, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Reuters, Thomson Locations: U.S, Wells Fargo, Britain, Bank of England, China

☆ Hopes for a Fed pause bolster risk rally
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-13 | by ( Jamie Mcgeever | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

(Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever, financial markets columnist. Traders are putting a 95% probability on the Fed standing pat on Wednesday, a consensus so strong the Fed will almost certainly respect. The focus for investors will be on the statement and Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s press conference for signs on whether it will be a ‘hawkish’ or ‘dovish’ pause. The NYSE FANG+ index of mega tech stocks rose 0.9% for a fourth consecutive daily rise, bringing its year-to-date gains to 72%. One major headwind, particularly for Asian assets, could be the surge in U.S. Treasury yields, although that for now at least is being mitigated by the dollar’s slide to a three week low.

Persons: Jamie McGeever, Amit Dave, China’s, Jerome Powell’s, ’ Organizations: Reuters, REUTERS, Federal, Nasdaq, Traders, NYSE, Japan’s Nikkei, Treasury Locations: Ahmedabad, India, U.S, South Korea, Asia, Japan, New Zealand

June 14 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever, financial markets columnist. This could be a precursor to lower benchmark interest rates in the coming weeks - yuan traders certainly seem to think so. Traders are putting a 95% probability on the Fed standing pat on Wednesday, a consensus so strong the Fed will almost certainly respect. The NYSE FANG+ index of mega tech stocks rose 0.9% for a fourth consecutive daily rise, bringing its year-to-date gains to 72%. One major headwind, particularly for Asian assets, could be the surge in U.S. Treasury yields, although that for now at least is being mitigated by the dollar's slide to a three week low.

Persons: Jamie McGeever, China's, Jerome Powell's, Jamie McGEever Organizations: Federal, Nasdaq, Traders, NYSE, Japan's Nikkei, Treasury, Thomson, Reuters Locations: U.S, South Korea, Asia, Japan, India, New Zealand

☆ Dollar edges up as US rates seen higher for longer
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-05 | by ( Kevin Buckland | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

TOKYO, June 5 (Reuters) - The dollar firmed against major peers in Asian trading after a robust U.S. jobs report spurred traders to price in higher interest rates for longer. The Australian dollar erased early losses after a report showed a pick-up in services activity in key trading partner China. CME Group's FedWatch tool shows interest rate traders are laying 1-in-4 odds for a hike next week, down from 2-in-3 odds a week earlier. For July, markets put 70% odds for rates to be at least a quarter point above where they are currently. The U.S. dollar was 0.03% lower at 7.1074 yuan in offshore trading , after earlier gaining 0.15%.

Persons: payrolls, Bart Wakabayashi, Wakabayashi, Kevin Buckland, Jacqueline Wong Organizations: China, Canadian, U.S, Reuters, The, Treasury, CME, State, P Global, PMI, Thomson Locations: TOKYO, Tokyo, Saudi Arabia

☆ Dollar edges up as U.S. rates seen higher for longer
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The dollar firmed against major peers in Asian trading after a robust U.S. jobs report spurred traders to price in higher interest rates for longer. The Australian dollar erased early losses after a report showed a pick-up in services activity in key trading partner China. CME Group's FedWatch tool shows interest rate traders are laying 1-in-4 odds for a hike next week, down from 2-in-3 odds a week earlier. For July, markets put 70% odds for rates to be at least a quarter point above where they are currently. The U.S. dollar was 0.03% lower at 7.1074 yuan in offshore trading, after earlier gaining 0.15%.

Persons: payrolls, Bart Wakabayashi, Wakabayashi Organizations: China, Canadian, U.S, Reuters, The, Treasury, CME, State, P Global, PMI Locations: Tokyo, Saudi Arabia

☆ Major central banks were expected to pause rate hikes soon. Now it's not so clear cut
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-29 | by ( Elliot Smith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Brendan McDermid | ReutersThe market has long been pricing in interest rate cuts from major central banks toward the end of 2023, but sticky core inflation, tight labor markets and a surprisingly resilient global economy are leading some economists to reassess. Economic resilience and persistent labor market tightness could exert upward pressure on wages and inflation, which is in danger of becoming entrenched. The Bank of England The U.K. faces a much tougher inflation challenge than the U.S. and the euro zone, and the U.K. consumer price inflation rate fell by less than expected in April. Meanwhile core inflation jumped to 6.8% from 6.2% in March, which will be of greater concern to the Bank's Monetary Policy Committee. Risk management considerations will, we think, force the MPC to push rates higher and further than previously intended."

The inflation data came on the heels of last Friday's employment report, which showed a solid pace of job growth in March and the unemployment rate falling back to 3.5%. In Europe, stock markets rose after the U.S. data and the broad STOXX 600 index was last up 0.5% (.STOXX) and holding near one-month highs. BONDS UP, DOLLAR DOWNU.S. bonds yields fell after the CPI numbers. Rate-sensitive two-year Treasury yields were last down 12 basis points at 3.93% , while U.S. 10-year yields fell 6 bps to 3.37%. The dollar fell with an index measuring the U.S. currency against six rivals down 0.4% at 101.72.

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