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The U.K.'s Labour Party is set to unveil its national budget for the first time in 14 years later on Wednesday. Investment bank analysts have highlighted several stocks that could win or lose ground if the rumored measures are unveiled or curtailed. The Wall Street bank's analysts added that "U.K. long-dated yields might decline with easing budget uncertainty and continued inflation relief". The chancellor is reported to want to remove the inheritance tax relief available to investors holding stocks listed in this market in the Wednesday budget. Such a move may entice existing investors to sell the stocks, if the tax policy change likely impacts them.
Persons: Rachel Reeves, Goldman Sachs, Christian Mueller, Glissmann, Pound Sterling, Investec's Ben Newell, Alan Brierley, Investec's, Genuity, Canaccord Genuity, Alex Brooks, Justin Bates, Portia Patel, Michael Bloom Organizations: Labour, Finance, Investment, London Stock Exchange, Foresight, Fund, Greencoat, Renewables, Infrastructure, International, AIM, London Stock Exchange's, Technology Ashtead Tech Locations: United Kingdom
The 6-trillion-yuan worth of debt would be raised over three years including 2024, said the sources, adding the proceeds would primarily be used to help local governments address off-the-books debt risks. Local governments would be allowed to raise that amount on top of their usual annual issuance quota, which mainly funds infrastructure spending. The quota stood at 3.9 trillion yuan this year and 3.8 trillion in 2023. The latest move is aimed at enhancing local governments' ability to manage land supply, and alleviate liquidity and debt pressures on both local governments and property developers, they added. Special-purpose bonds are a tool for off-budget debt financing used by Chinese local governments, with the proceeds raised typically earmarked for specific policy objectives, such as infrastructure expenditures.
Persons: Stringer, Donald Trump, it's, Tommy Xie, Trump, Kamala Harris Organizations: Afp, Getty, National People's Congress, Reuters, Information, NPC, Greater, Greater China Research, OCBC Bank, U.S, Trump, Republican, Democratic Locations: Chongqing, China, Beijing, Greater China
Maja Smiejkowska | ReutersLONDON — U.K. borrowing costs on Wednesday touched their highest level since Labour took office, after Finance Minister Rachel Reeves unveiled a vast package of tax hikes in her first budget. The yield had cooled to a 3 basis point rise to 4.35% by 4:00 p.m. U.K. time (12:00 p.m. The yield on 2-year bonds, which in the U.K. are known as gilts, were over 6 basis points higher at 4.33% after rising by as much as 10 basis points. The Treasury separately said it would raise gilt issuance by £22.2 billion ($28.9 billion) to £299.9 billion for the fiscal year to meet its net financing requirement. Those included the facts that many key policies had already been announced, and that any increase in borrowing would be to fund public investment.
Persons: Rachel Reeves, Maja Smiejkowska, Reeves, Liz Truss Organizations: Reuters LONDON, Labour, Treasury, Conservative Party, Bank of England Locations: London, Britain
China is considering a fresh $1.4 trillion stimulus, Reuters reported. The package could be approved next week and would increase in size if Trump wins the election. The large fiscal stimulus would be increased if Republican nominee and former President Donald Trump wins the US election, the report says. The remaining 4 trillion yuan would be raised by local government bonds and put toward idle land and property purchases, the sources told Reuters. AdvertisementIf Trump is elected, the stimulus package could be higher due to the economic challenges Trump's policies would pose for China, the sources told Reuters.
Persons: Trump's, , Donald Trump, Trump, he's, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Reuters, Trump, Service, Republican, National People's Congress, China, Wall Locations: China, Beijing
Investors worried about a market correction should adjust their portfolios, David Rosenberg says. The top economist has warned stocks are in a bubble and at risk of a major decline. Investors need to exercise caution and avoid following the "herd mentality," Rosenberg said, pointing to the fervor for mega-cap tech stocks. Instead, he said, investors should focus on stocks with strong business models, strong growth, and good prices, and add some "insurance" to their portfolios. Most forecasters on Wall Street still expect a strong performance from equities into year-end and 2025.
Persons: David Rosenberg, , who's, he's, Chuck Prince, Rosenberg, REITs, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Service, Rosenberg Research, Utilities, Aerospace, UBS, BMO, Deutsche Bank Locations:
Hong Kong CNN —China has set aside 200 billion yuan ($28 billion) for investment projects by local governments this year, as it promised to meet its own ambitious economic growth targets. China announced a 5% target growth rate in March, but a series of economic data over the summer has been so weak that economists were worried the goal might be missed. To help local governments struggling with mountains of debt, Beijing will provide 100 billion yuan ($14 billion) from the central government’s budget and an extra 100 billion yuan for investment projects, Zheng said. Nevertheless, investors were disappointed at the lack of details on new fiscal measures,” Fred Neumann, chief Asia economist for HSBC, told CNN. Fiscal measures, on the other hand, can include the use of taxation or other measures to impact public spending more directly.
Persons: ” Zheng Shanjie, Zheng, Xi Jinping, Fred Neumann, What’s, Jia Kang, , … Jia Kang, , Xi, Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, National Development, Reform Commission, HSBC, CNN, , Ministry of Finance, Citi, People’s Bank of China Locations: China, Hong Kong, Beijing, Asia, Shanghai, Shenzhen
Foreign investors now hold 39% of Peru's sovereign bond market holdings, the highest level across all emerging market countries. This underscores the increasingly positive sentiment surrounding the Peru's fixed income outlook. "It has recognized the need to provide international investors positive returns on domestic assets, and for central banks to be aligned with international investors and provide positive returns on domestic assets." "In some sense, the lack of a strong executive has led to better fixed income outcomes," Austerweil added. Dhawan also underscored that Peruvian fixed income is a high quality market for foreign investors.
Persons: Moody's, Dina Boluarte's, Pramol Dhawan, Pimco, Dhawan, David Austerweil, Soberano, Austerweil Organizations: Southern Copper Corp, Lawmakers, Peruvian, International Monetary Fund, Central Reserve Bank of, Bank of America, Mining Locations: Peru, Sol, Central Reserve Bank of Peru, America, U.S, Peruvian, China
After all of these years, after all of the rather incredible rallies and gains in the stock market from so many groups, the typical morning still starts with a bevy of negativity. We hear about OpenAI and its brilliant $167 billion valuation , but we don't see any stock available to public-market investors. I have been furious at myself for thinking the Chinese government couldn't do anything about the country's struggling stock market. The Chinese stock market has been rallying nicely since the stimulus announcements. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.
Persons: , Elon Musk, he's, isn't, Carl Quintanilla, David Tepper, holler, That's, that's, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Spencer Platt Organizations: Federal Reserve, Walmart, Fed, SpaceX, Nike, Walgreens, CVS Health, Club, GE Healthcare, Wynn Resorts, Chinese Communist Party, Apple, PDD Holdings, JD.com, Baidu, Diamondback Energy, Exxon Mobil, CNBC, New York Stock Exchange, Getty Locations: U.S, China, , New York City
The stimulus measures should have come far sooner, says Lun, but better late than never. Beijing has largely held back on unveiling fiscal measures, which can include the use of taxation or other measures to impact public spending. Another one trillion yuan may be set aside for recapitalizing banks or helping indebted local governments to issue bonds. Jia said China’s economy had expanded sufficiently since then to support the issuance of Treasury bond financing between four trillion to 10 trillion yuan. Any meaningful stimulus measures must tackle the problem of oversupply in the property market, experts said.
Persons: Francis Lun, he’s, Lun, , we’re, Juliana Liu, Ray Dalio, Pan Gongsheng, Li Yunze, Wu Qing, Pan, Jing Liu, it’s, Xi, Jia Kang, Jia, Chi Lo Organizations: Hong Kong CNN —, Index, CNN, Geo Securities, Nikko Asset Management, Bridgewater Associates, National Development Reform Commission, People’s Bank of China, Financial Regulatory, China Securities Regulatory, HSBC, Reuters, Ministry, Finance, Ministry of Finance, China Academy of New, Barclays, BNP, Management Locations: China, Hong Kong, Causeway, Beijing, Renhuai
The yen carry trade unwind in August led to a temporary market pullback and recovery. AdvertisementThe foreign exchange market has been eerily quiet since the yen carry trade unwind. Much of the moves from the yen carry unwinding witnessed in August happened at this layer, Barrett said. But what we've seen in the yen carry trade is only the beginning, Barrett said. "Now, you may not think that's a yen carry trade, but it's absolutely the purest yen carry trade because all of that pension fund money started off as yen," Barrett said.
Persons: , David Barrett, allocators, unwinding, Barrett, It's, it's, Harris, David, Trump Organizations: Service, EBC Financial, Bank of, Bloomberg, Big Tech, Nvidia Locations: Bank of Japan, Japan
Over the 12-month period ending June, about 2 of 3 active bond managers trounced their average passive counterpart, according to a recent analysis from Morningstar . There were a few tailwinds in active managers' favor. With the Fed recently cutting rates by a half point — and Chair Jerome Powell noting that two more quarter-point cuts could be in the cards this year — a new challenge awaits these active bond funds. As interest rates fall, active managers can position accordingly, said Roger Hallam, global head of rates at Vanguard. "We expect active managers to make a little more, and they should be because they're doing more trades and it costs more to manage active portfolios," said Olmsted.
Persons: , Ryan Jackson, Jerome Powell, it's, Jackson, Paul Olmsted, Roger Hallam, wouldn't, Hallam, Morningstar, Olmsted Organizations: Federal Reserve, Morningstar, Vanguard, Bond Fund, SEC
The direct effects of China's latest stimulus may not kick in until 2025, one researcher says. That's because Beijing needs to ramp up spending in addition to monetary stimulus measures. Lower interest rates, for one, may not entice households and businesses to borrow, or banks to ramp up lending, given China's already-sluggish economic environment. In particular, Beijing needs more fiscal stimulus to go alongside its monetary stimulus measures, Huang said. Experts have warned that China's economic problems could stick around for the long term given some of the nation's deep-rooted issues, like its population decline.
Persons: , Tianlei Huang, Huang Organizations: Service, Peterson Institute for International Economics, National, Terry Locations: Beijing
Ultimately, the slow starts to August and September did not stand in the way of Wall Street recording a strong third quarter . Tech woes : The S & P 500 tech sector is having a rough day on several different fronts. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, There's, Elliott Hill, John Donahoe, Lamb Weston, we'll, Slim Jim, Hunt's, Orville Redenbacher's, We're, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, ., Stocks, Federal Reserve, Coterra Energy, Tech, Apple, Citigroup, HP Inc, CDW Corp, Citi, Samsung Electronics, Nvidia, Broadcom, Energy, Nike, Maine Foods, Labor, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: East, Iran, Israel, China
TOKYO — Japan’s incoming prime minister, Shigeru Ishiba, said Monday that he will call a general election for Oct. 27 following his victory in one of the closest-ever leadership races for the governing Liberal Democratic Party. Lawmakers there will meet on Tuesday to confirm Ishiba as the country’s next prime minister. Ishiba on Monday began picking government and party officials who will contest the upcoming general election with him. Ishiba, 67, won the LDP leadership race on his fifth attempt with strong backing from rank-and-file members. Before his runoff election against Takaichi on Friday, Ishiba apologized to LDP lawmakers for his “shortcomings.”
Persons: Shigeru Ishiba, Ishiba, ” Ishiba, Katsunobu Kato, Yoshimasa Hayashi, Takeshi Iwaya, Gen Nakatani, Yoji, Takaichi, , Hiroshi Shiratori, Shinjiro Koizumi, Yoshihide Suga, Koizumi Organizations: Liberal Democratic Party, U.S, Reuters, Media, Hosei University, Takaichi Locations: TOKYO, Tokyo
China's bond traders are piling into the safe-haven asset despite recent stimulus efforts. The 30-year government bond yield hit its lowest level since 2005 last week and fell again Monday. AdvertisementWhile Chinese stocks have roared on Beijing's stimulus jolt, the country's bond market suggests there's lingering skepticism. But the bond market seemed less convinced, with the 30-year government bond yield falling the next day to close to its lowest level since 2005. Investors may be reacting to the widely held view that despite the size and scope of China's stimulus moves, they still might not be enough.
Persons: , Stocks, it's Organizations: Bank of America, Service, CSI, People's Bank of Locations: China, People's Bank of China, CNY1.85tn
More couples than ever before, 87%, reported including cash funds in their wedding registry, according to recent data from Zola. Of couples collecting cash, 37% are putting that money toward purchasing a house. With today's housing market, it's clear why couples are funneling wedding gifts into a down payment. If you're coming into a substantial financial windfall due to a wedding, or any other scenario, here's the best place to stash your potential down payment cash. "If a client of mine walked in with $30,000 of wedding money, I would say, 'Let's buy you a bond,'" he says.
Persons: Homebuying, Douglas Boneparth, Mark La Spisa, let's Organizations: Bone, U.S Locations: Zola, New York City, Vermilion
Newly-elected leader and sitting chairperson of the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) Shigeru Ishiba speaks during a press conference following his election in the party leadership elections on September 27, 2024 in Tokyo, Japan. Lawmakers there will meet tomorrow to confirm him as the country's next prime minister. Japan's incoming prime minister, Shigeru Ishiba, said on Monday he will call a general election for Oct. 27 following his victory in one of the closest ever leadership races for the ruling Liberal Democratic Party. Ishiba on Monday began picking government and party officials who will contest the upcoming general election with him. Ishiba, 67, won the LDP leadership race on his fifth attempt with strong backing from rank-and-file members.
Persons: Shigeru Ishiba, Ishiba, Katsunobu Kato, Yoshimasa Hayashi, Takeshi Iwaya, Gen Nakatani, Yoji, Takaichi, Hiroshi Shiratori, Shinjiro Koizumi, Yoshihide Suga, Koizumi Organizations: Liberal Democratic Party, U.S, Reuters, Media, Hosei University, Takaichi Locations: Tokyo, Japan
China needs more than rate cuts to boost economic growth
  + stars: | 2024-09-25 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +5 min
Cfoto | Future Publishing | Getty ImagesBEIJING — China's slowing economy needs more than interest rate cuts to boost growth, analysts said. He expects Beijing will likely ramp up fiscal stimulus due to weak growth, despite reluctance so far. "The market is forming a medium to long-term expectation on the U.S. growth rate, the inflation rate. As for Chinese government bonds, Ding said the firm has a "neutral" view and expects the Chinese yields to remain relatively low. He pointed out that monetary easing still requires fiscal stimulus "to achieve the effect of expanding credit and transmitting money to the real economy."
Persons: Larry Hu, That's, Edmund Goh, Yifei Ding, Ding, CF40, Pan Gongsheng, Haizhong Chang, Chang Organizations: China Resources, Getty, BEIJING, People's Bank of China, Macquarie, U.S, of Finance, PBOC, Ministry of Finance, Fitch Locations: China, Nanjing, Jiangsu province, abrdn, Beijing, U.S, Invesco
A man walks past the People's Bank of China (PBOC) building on July 20, 2023 in Beijing, China. (Photo by Jiang Qiming/China News Service/VCG via Getty ImagesChina bond yields fell to a record low after the People's Bank of China on Tuesday announced that it would cut the reserve requirement ratio for banks. Yield on China's 10-year government bonds fell 3.75 basis points to 2.043%, data from LSEG showed, marking a record low. 30-year bond yields also dropped to a record low of 2.168%. In recent months, insurance companies and institutional investors have flocked to China's bond market, partly due to limited investment opportunities available.
Persons: Jiang Qiming, Pan Gongsheng, Pan Organizations: People's Bank of China, China News Service, Getty Images, PBOC, U.S . Federal Reserve Locations: Beijing, China, Getty Images China, LSEG
Local residents with umbrellas walk out of a metro station in rain during morning rush hour on September 20, 2024 in Beijing, China. China News Service | China News Service | Getty ImagesBEIJING — More economists are calling for China to stimulate growth, including those based inside the country. His presentation Saturday at Renmin University's China Macroeconomy Forum was titled: "A basket of stimulus and reform, an economic revitalization plan to substantially expand domestic demand." "The elephant in the room is the property market," said Xu Gao, Beijing-based chief economist at Bank of China International. To restore confidence and stabilize the property market, Xu said that policymakers should bail out the property owners.
Persons: Liu Shijin, Liu, Goldman Sachs, China's, Xu Gao, Xu, Nomura, Gabriel Wildau, Teneo, Yi Gang, Wildau, Yi Organizations: China News Service, Getty, Development Research, State Council, CNBC, China Macroeconomy, Goldman, Bank of China International, Center for, People's Bank of China Locations: Beijing, China, BEIJING, Renmin, Center for China, U.S
Here's where to invest $1 million, according to the pros
  + stars: | 2024-09-23 | by ( Weizhen Tan | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
If you had as much as a spare $1 million to invest right now, what should you buy? Balanced-to-medium risk profile With as much as $1 million to invest with, investors can buy individual securities instead of being restricted to funds, said David Dietze, managing principal and senior portfolio strategist at Peapack Private Wealth Management. "A much smaller amount leaves an investor forced to invest in funds to get adequate diversification. With one million, one could say invest $20K in fifty different stocks and be well diversified," he said. More aggressive risk profile Gambles says that taking on a more aggressive stance would mean an "all in commitment" on the themes he expects will perform, and removing any hedges against those trades.
Persons: Paul Gambles, David Dietze, Dietze, Bristol Myers, Gambles Organizations: U.S . Federal Reserve, CNBC Pro, Family, Yen, Wealth Management, Bristol, BHP Group, Hershey, BHP Locations: China, Australian
Read previewThis as-told-to essay is based on a transcribed conversation with Armand Arton, 47, president of Arton Capital, a financial advisory firm, about golden visas and passports. We advise them about golden visas and golden passports — government programs that offer residency or citizenship rights to foreign investors. AdvertisementDuring the COVID-19 pandemic, many American investors couldn't enter Europe, so they are now looking for residency programs in European countries. After this year's elections in France and the UK, we're also seeing millionaires in those countries looking to relocate. I'd advise wealthy migrants to get in on programs sooner rather than laterThe number of applicants for golden visas increases every year.
Persons: , Armand Arton, couldn't, we're, haven't, I've, It's, Brexit, We've, who've, Irma, Maria, it's, I'd Organizations: Service, Arton, Arton Capital, Business, Caribbean Locations: Europe, France, Hungary, Portugal, Spain, Property, Greece, Italy, England, Germany, UAE, Antigua, Barbuda, Bulgaria, Ireland
We have a handful of them in the Club's portfolio, led by Best Buy . The five Club stocks with the biggest dividend yields fit the bill: Best Buy, Morgan Stanley , Coterra Energy , Stanley Black & Decker and Wells Fargo . Best Buy, Stanley Black & Decker and Wells Fargo are the best positioned of the five top-yielding Club stocks. "Morgan Stanley is now in no man's land: Too low to sell, too high to buy," Jim said. Customers look at appliances for sale at a Best Buy store in Miami, Florida, Oct. 8, 2021.
Persons: we're, Morgan Stanley, Stanley Black, Decker, Wells, Wells Fargo, Jim Cramer, Jim, Charlie Scharf, Coterra, it's, Jim Cramer's, Joe Raedle Organizations: Best, Coterra Energy, BBY, JPMorgan, Texas, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Getty Locations: U.S, Wells Fargo, Miami , Florida
The Federal Reserve is widely expected to start cutting interest rates Wednesday afternoon. Those yields are expected to start coming down sharply as the Fed begins to ease back on generationally high rates. Adding some duration Duration refers to a bond's price sensitivity to changes in interest rates. A bond yield moves inversely to its price, so that when bond prices rise, yields decline. Though investors in the space may be concerned about prepayment risk, especially as interest rates come down and homeowners look to refinance, Cetera says that worry may already be priced in.
Persons: Kathy Jones, Tony Miano, Jones, Schwab's Jones, Gene Goldman, Goldman, James Shagawat, Shagawat Organizations: Federal Reserve, Treasury, Schwab Center, Financial Research, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, York Life Investments, Investment Management, Investors Locations: Wells Fargo, AdvicePeriod, Paramus , New Jersey
A banner plays up China's trade-in policy at a home goods expo in Qingdao, Shandong province, China, on June 1, 2024. Nurphoto | Nurphoto | Getty ImagesBEIJING — China's plan to boost consumption by encouraging trade-ins has yet to show significant results, several businesses told CNBC. Analysts are not overly optimistic about the extent to which the trade-in program could support retail sales. China's retail sales for August are due Saturday morning. Retail sales in June rose by 2%, the slowest since the Covid-19 pandemic, while July sales growth saw a modest improvement at 2.7%.
Persons: Jens Eskelund, Tao Wang, Sally Loh, Otis, Kone, We've, Ilkka Hara, Hara Organizations: Nurphoto, Getty, BEIJING, CNBC, EU Chamber of Commerce, UBS Investment Bank, China, U.S, Otis Locations: Qingdao, Shandong province, China, Greater China
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