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The 60/40 portfolio isn't dead — in fact, it tends to outperform over the long term, according to UBS. The strategy revolves around a simple balanced portfolio, allocating 60% to stocks and 40% to fixed income. That theory was tested when both equities and fixed income slumped in 2022. Crafting a balanced portfolio Falconio expects the new 60/40 construction to look a little different with the rise in popularity of alternative assets. When it comes to traditional fixed income assets, UBS suggests holding strategic, diversified exposure throughout fixed income.
Persons: Cash, Mark Haefele, Leslie Falconio, Falconio, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Ginnie Mae, Darla Mercado Organizations: UBS, Investment Company Institute, Federal Reserve, U.S . Locations: UBS Americas,
"With yields holding firm at elevated levels , large caps continue to outperform small caps. Hopes for multiple rate cuts from the Federal Reserve this year have dimmed after recent inflation readings showed signs of stickiness. An economy that is growing more slowly, but with cooler inflation, could be the combination small caps need. Small caps could also benefit from an uptick in the global economy that benefits areas like manufacturing that has heavy representation in the small-cap index. Investors who really want exposure to small caps could also look outside of the U.S. Wolfe Research analyst Rob Ginsberg said in a May 29 note to clients that global small caps are outperforming their U.S. counterparts and are poised for a potential breakout.
Persons: Russell, Todd Sohn, JC O'Hara, Roth MKM, Chad Miller, you've, Miller, Cayla, Seder, Mark Haefele, Solita, Angelo Kourkafas, Edward Jones, Rob Ginsberg, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: CNBC, ESG, Silicon Valley Bank, Federal Reserve, Big Tech, Companies, UBS, Institute, Supply, PMI, Investors, U.S . Wolfe Research Locations: Thrivent, Silicon
The three keys USB logo is seen outside the London office of Swiss bank UBS in central London, on March 20, 2023. LONDON — UBS on Thursday announced a shake-up of its executive board in the latest phase of a radical overhaul of the Swiss banking giant, following its takeover of fallen rival Credit Suisse. It marks the first time a divisional UBS president has been based in Asia-Pacific, the bank said. George Athanasopoulos and Marco Valla also join the executive board as co-presidents of the investment bank, alongside Damian Vogel, incoming global chief risk officer. The trio replace outgoing board members Credit Suisse CEO Ulrich Korner, UBS Asia-Pacific President Edmund Koh, and UBS Americas Regional President Naureen Hassan.
Persons: Iqbal Khan, Rob Karofsky, Sergio Ermotti, Ermotti, George Athanasopoulos, Marco Valla, Damian Vogel, Ulrich Korner, Edmund Koh, Naureen Hassan Organizations: UBS, LONDON, Credit Suisse, Group, Credit, UBS Americas, Swiss Locations: London, Swiss, Asia, Pacific, U.S, Americas, UBS Asia
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email'Substantial' potential in Chinese equities over the next 6 to 12 months: UBS WMSuresh Tantia of UBS Global Wealth Management is positive on China's economic recovery trajectory, but says there is still a tail risk associated with the possibility of a second Trump presidency.
Persons: Suresh Tantia Organizations: UBS, UBS Global Wealth Management, Trump
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHafele: There's currently a benign backdrop for both stocks and bondsMark Haefele, Chief Investment Officer at UBS Global Wealth Management, discusses his new S&P 500 price target and the markets this week.
Persons: There's, Mark Haefele Organizations: UBS Global Wealth Management
The era of hiding out in cash is coming to an end, according to UBS. While investors have been earning yields of more than 5% on instruments like money market funds and certificates of deposit, those rates aren't expected to stick around much longer. "We believe investors should limit their overall cash balances as falling interest rates this year and beyond will diminish returns on cash," Solita Marcelli, chief investment officer Americas for UBS Global Wealth Management, wrote in a note Monday. Investors flooded into money market funds as the Federal Reserve began raising interest rates in 2022. UBS also moved out on the curve on TIPS earlier this month after initially buying 5-year inflation-protected securities in August.
Persons: Marcelli, Leslie Falconio, Falconio Organizations: UBS, UBS Global Wealth Management, Investors, Federal Reserve, Investment Company Institute, AAA, AAA CMBS Locations: UBS Americas
The ongoing S&P 500 rally could extend to 5,500 this year, UBS said. Tech earnings have remained strong, with ex-Mag 7 tech firm profits revised 7% higher since March. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. AdvertisementWith last month's equity jitters already quashed, the ongoing rebound is the start of an extensive summer rally, UBS said. According to a note published Tuesday, the S&P 500 could reach the firm's upside scenario of 5,500 by this year's end.
Persons: Disinflation, , Marcelli, That's Organizations: UBS, Tech, Service, Global Wealth Management, Microsoft, Nvidia, Apple
Fed not cutting rates would be a headwind to Asian markets: UBS
  + stars: | 2024-05-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed not cutting rates would be a headwind to Asian markets: UBSHartmut Issel, head Asia-Pacific equities and credit at UBS Global Wealth Management, says, however, that his base case is that the U.S. Federal Reserve will cut interests rates twice this year, starting in September.
Persons: UBS Hartmut Issel Organizations: UBS, UBS Global Wealth Management, U.S . Federal Locations: Asia, Pacific
UBS makes first profit since Credit Suisse rescue
  + stars: | 2024-05-07 | by ( Hanna Ziady | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +3 min
London CNN —UBS has reported its first quarterly profit since buying ailing rival Credit Suisse, marking a sharp turnaround from six months of losses that immediately followed the closure of the rescue deal. It also realized cost savings of $1 billion, adding to cost cuts of some $4 billion last year. On Tuesday, Ermotti said UBS was “on track” to achieve “significant integration milestones” this year, including the merger of the two banks’ operations in Switzerland in the third quarter. UBS has raised serious concerns about the proposals and on Tuesday Ermotti reiterated the bank’s view that it wasn’t lack of capital that left Credit Suisse needing to be rescued. He said UBS was already adding almost $20 billion to its capital buffers as a result of the takeover of Credit Suisse, in part because of the bank’s increased market share and balance sheet size.
Persons: Sergio Ermotti, Johann Scholtz, , Ermotti, Karin Keller, Suter Organizations: London CNN, UBS, Credit Suisse, Morningstar, Credit, bank’s Locations: Swiss, Zurich, Switzerland
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe UK is 'an interesting investment' right now: UBS Global Wealth ManagementAdrian Zuercher of UBS Global Wealth Management, discusses the outlook for U.S. and U.K. markets.
Persons: UBS Global Wealth Management Adrian Zuercher Organizations: UBS Global Wealth Management
NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . On the agenda:But first: Why Wall Street is so happy to see the job market slowing down. New data from Vanguard shows a two-tier job market: one divided between a blue-collar boom and a white-collar recession. Also read:AdvertisementiStock; Rebecca Zisser/BIThe portfolio-manager whisperersThe new power figures in hedge funds do not manage money.
Persons: , it's, Brian Rose, It's, Christie Hemm, Jan Sramek, Goldman Sachs, Reid Hoffman, Marc Andreessen, Alyssa Powell, Stefano Spicca, Jenny Chang, Rodriguez, Rebecca Zisser, whisperers, Gates Organizations: Business, Service, Federal Reserve, Fed, UBS Global Wealth Management, Big, Silicon, California, Vanguard, Microsoft, Big Tech Locations: Austrian, Solano County, Napa, Sacramento, California, Silicon Valley, New York City
Less than a month ago, analysts were calling for subdued earnings growth of just 3%. Although higher rates can be a headache, Lefkowitz said earnings growth matters most. Instead of obsessing over when interest rates will fall, Lefkowitz said investors should consider the reasoning behind the Fed's decisions. "If rates are rising and that's leading to more confidence in the earnings growth outlook, then that shouldn't be a headwind to markets," Lefkowitz said. Follow this 5-part investing game planHealthy earnings growth and a resilient economy have strategists at UBS GWM bullish about US stocks.
Persons: Jonathan Golub, weren't, that's, David Lefkowitz, Lefkowitz, , shouldn't Organizations: UBS Global Wealth Management, UBS, Business, UBS GWM, Bank of America, Federal, Healthcare
These are the kinds of questions used by the University of Michigan to calculate the Consumer Sentiment Index, an economic indicator measuring how people feel about the economy. That survey and others show there is a pervasive sense of disconnect between the overall economic picture and how people feel about the economy. Despite slowing inflation, a healthy labor market with record-low unemployment, and stocks that remain in a bull market, consumer sentiment remains below pre-pandemic levels. "People don't tend to think in terms of inflation—economists do," said Paul Donovan, chief economist at UBS Global Wealth Management. Normal people think in terms of price levels."
Persons: Joanne Hsu, Paul Donovan Organizations: University of Michigan, Consumers, UBS Global Wealth Management Locations: U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTech stocks still attractive in long term, UBS Wealth Management CIO saysMark Haefele, CIO at UBS Global Wealth Management, discusses the outlook for the U.S. economy and markets.
Persons: Mark Haefele Organizations: Tech, UBS Wealth Management, UBS Global Wealth Management Locations: U.S
Large technology stocks have continued to be a key driver of earnings growth. Those calls are based on the firms' expectation that the economy will continue to grow despite uncomfortably high interest rates. Bullish firms concur that elevated interest rates are a serious concern for investors. "Should the outlook for earnings growth deteriorate, the recent stretch of quality outperformance will likely continue and also expand to include stocks with stable growth," Kostin wrote. Along with each is its ticker, market capitalization, sector, 2024 expected earnings growth rate, and 10-year EBITDA growth variability rate, according to Goldman Sachs.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, That's, Jonathan Golub, David Lefkowitz, Stocks, they've, Mike Wilson, Morgan, 19.3x, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Wilson, Kostin, Russell Organizations: UBS, Business, UBS Beats, UBS Global Wealth Management, Companies, Federal Reserve
The Fed aims to keep inflation at 2% over the longer run. Meanwhile, among the 20 countries that use the euro, annual consumer price inflation has slowed steadily since the start of the year. Fed Governor Michelle Bowman said earlier this month that she would favor a rate hike “should progress on inflation stall or even reverse.”So why does the United States appear to have a bigger inflation problem than Europe? Some economists argue there isn’t actually much daylight between the US and European rates of inflation, pointing to a quirk in the US measures. The measure is designed to track inflation in the real estate market while accounting for the fact that most Americans own their homes.
Persons: Michelle Bowman, Paul Donovan, Simon MacAdam, , MacAdam, ” Carsten Brzeski, Janet Yellen, Jim Watson, Brzeski, , ” Davide Oneglia Organizations: London CNN, Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, PCE, UBS Global Wealth Management, Capital Economics, ING, CNN, Monetary Fund, Washington, Reuters, Getty, , ECB, Lombard Locations: United States, Europe, Centreville , Maryland, AFP, Russia, Ukraine
UBS: The Fed will implement its first rate cut in September
  + stars: | 2024-04-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailUBS: The Fed will implement its first rate cut in SeptemberBrian Rose, UBS Global Wealth Management senior U.S. economist, and CNBC's Steve Liesman join 'The Exchange' to discuss the outlook for potential rate cuts, economic data, and more.
Persons: Brian Rose, Steve Liesman Organizations: UBS, UBS Global Wealth Management
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNo reason for the Fed to cut if the economy is holding up at these higher rates: UBS' Jason DrahoJason Draho, UBS Global Wealth Management head of asset allocation Americas, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends ahead of the opening bell on Wednesday.
Persons: Jason Draho Jason Draho Organizations: Fed, UBS, UBS Global Wealth Management
That’s why Fed Chair Powell conveyed on Tuesday the central bank won’t be cutting interest rates any time soon. How would the US economy handle more months of painstakingly high interest rates? Investors are banking on cutsWhen Fed officials initially penciled in three rate cuts at the end of last year, markets hit new highs. But the longer the Fed leaves interest rates higher means more pain could be inflicted on households and businesses, said Goldstein. But not everyone thinks cracks in the economy will widen if the Fed doesn’t cut rates this year.
Persons: Powell, ” Powell, paring, Itay Goldstein, Tesla, Goldstein, , Brian Rose, David Mericle, Goldman Sachs Organizations: New, New York CNN — Federal Reserve, Bank of Canada, Tiff, Investors, Dow, Nasdaq, University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School of Business, CNN, Fed, Treasury, UBS Global Wealth Management Locations: New York
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailUBS: Expect Fed to cut rates by 75 basis points this year, starting in JuneFahd Iqbal, Middle East CIO at UBS Global Wealth Management, discusses the outlook for the Chinese and U.S. economies.
Persons: Fahd Iqbal Organizations: UBS, Middle, UBS Global Wealth Management Locations: U.S
UBS discusses outlook for U.S. rates and stock market
  + stars: | 2024-03-27 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailUBS discusses outlook for U.S. rates and stock marketAdrian Zuercher, head global asset allocation and co-head global investment management Asia-Pacific at UBS Global Wealth Management, discusses the outlook for U.S. interest rates.
Persons: Adrian Zuercher Organizations: UBS, UBS Global Wealth Management Locations: Asia, Pacific
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSmall caps will get a tailwind from market broadening, says UBS' Jason DrahoMarc Pinto, Janus Henderson Investors head of Americas equities, and Jason Draho, UBS Global Wealth Management head of asset allocation Americas, join 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the day's market action.
Persons: Jason Draho Marc Pinto, Janus Henderson, Jason Draho Organizations: UBS, Janus Henderson Investors, UBS Global Wealth Management
A trader works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) during morning trading on March 4, 2024 in New York City. U.S. stock futures were little changed Monday night after the Nasdaq Composite retreated from its record high. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average ticked down 59 points, or 0.1%. S&P 500 futures inched down 0.1%, while Nasdaq-100 futures fell 0.2%. During Monday's main trading session, the S&P 500 dropped 0.12%, and the tech-forward Nasdaq Composite slipped 0.41%.
Persons: Dow, Jason Draho, CNBC's, They're, Draho, there's Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, GitLab, Nvidia, Micro Computer, Apple, European Commission, UBS Global Wealth Management, Target, Nordstrom, P Global US Services, Services Locations: New York City . U.S
In the last 15 months, Wall Street analysts have hailed generative AI as the most impactful innovation in decades and compared its theoretical impact to that of the internet. While the full impact of AI isn't clear yet, companies are under immense pressure to convince investors that they're not falling behind. "We can't envision any of these large cloud companies or consumer companies pulling back on AI spending anytime soon," Colello said. UBS"This is not always a harbinger of slowing revenue growth and a concentrated H200/B100 launch could be adding to near-term opex," Arcuri wrote in a recent note. AdvertisementDespite what Nvidia's recent performance suggests, Wall Street is notoriously tough to please.
Persons: , Morgan Stanley, Steve Sosnick, Wedbush's Dan Ives, who's, Marcelli, they're, Sosnick, Brian Colello, Colello, They're, we're, Vivek Arya, Arya, Michael Landsberg, Landsberg, Jason Draho, Draho, Timothy Arcuri, Arcuri Organizations: Service, Wall Street, Business, Nvidia, Interactive, Bulls, Bank of America, Wedbush Securities, UBS, UBS Global Wealth Management, Morningstar, Landsberg Bennett, Wealth Management
In today's big story, we're looking at the reshuffling of top executives at two of the biggest US banks . Viswas Raghavan, JPMorgan's top dealmaker, has joined Citi as its head of banking and executive vice chair, reporting directly to CEO Jane Fraser. The move is a big deal, but even more shocking since Raghavan was just promoted to be the sole head of JPMorgan's deals business. Since high interest rates aren't stopping stocks from reaching record highs, cuts might not come at all this year , according to analyst Jim Bianco. Market vet Ed Yardeni said interest rates are actually in a sweet spot for stocks, similar to the late '90s.
Persons: Viswas Raghavan, Jane Fraser, Raghavan, Filippo Gori, Doug Petno, Insider's Reed Alexander, Patrick T, Fallon, Fraser, Merrill Lynch, Andy Sieg, Warren Buffett, Warren, Berkshire Hathaway's, Jim Bianco, Ed Yardeni, Gemini, Demis Hassabis, Long, Alyssa Powell, they've, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock Organizations: Citi, JPMorgan, Warren, Warren Buffett REUTERS, Chip, Berkshire, Buffett, Research, Wall, BI, Google, eBay Locations: Bronx, Gori, Rivian, New York, London
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