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Why Biden worries about a third-party rival in 2024
  + stars: | 2023-07-16 | by ( Harry Enten | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +4 min
This would normally be the part of the story where I’d tell you that a third-party candidate has little chance of winning next year – and I am telling you that. It’s also true, however, that 2024 is shaping up to be the kind of election Biden could lose primarily because of a third-party candidacy. This year it’s pretty clear that such a portion of third-party voters probably already exists for a simple reason: Biden and Trump are historically unpopular. The headlines and the fears Democrats have about a third-party candidate are, at least partially, a tacit acknowledgement that Biden is unpopular. So why aren’t we hearing Republicans worry about a third-party candidate?
Persons: CNN —, Joe Biden’s, , Cornel West’s, Joe Manchin, It’s, Biden, Let’s, Donald Trump, Democrat Al Gore, Ralph Nader’s, Gore, Republican George W, Bush, Nader, Trump, Hillary Clinton, don’t, FiveThirtyEight’s Geoffrey Skelley, We’re, Gary Johnson Organizations: CNN, , Democratic, Trump, Democrat, Florida –, Green Party, Republican, Biden, Republican Party, Quinnipiac University, Independent Locations: New Hampshire
The RNC set a number of benchmarks a campaign needs to hit to make the August 23 debate. Candidates must poll at 1% or higher in three polls with over 800 likely Republican voters. Not many polls have over 800 likely Republican voters, so that'll be harder to hit than some expect. That's a high bar for some campaigns in the increasingly busy bottom of the race, but that's not even the number that's going to screw them. Chris Christie, Donald Trump, Mike Pence, and Doug Burgum will all in the GOP primary by the end of the week.
Persons: , That's, that's, Gallup, Chris Christie, Donald Trump, Mike Pence, Doug Burgum, Wade Vandervort, Andrew Caballero, Getty, Scott Olson, Stephen Yang, Nate Cohn, FiveThirtyEight's Nathaniel Rakich, Geoffrey Skelley, Nikki Haley, South, Tim Scott, Sen, Jim DeMint, Ehrhardt, Trump, DeSantis, Vivek Ramaswamy — Organizations: RNC, Republican, Service, Republican National Committee, Republicans, Morning, New York Times, GOP, South Carolina, AP, North Dakota Gov Locations: Iowa, New Hampshire , Nevada, South Carolina, FiveThirtyEight, Columbia
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