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☆ Exit polls of this year’s Republican primaries show how Trump has reshaped the Republican Party
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-06 | by ( Ariel Edwards-Levy | Tami Luhby | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

Exit polls are a valuable tool to help understand primary voters’ demographic profile and political views. The share of Republican primary voters and caucusgoers holding these views about Trump’s fitness for office and the 2020 election varies from state to state, even as the dominant sentiment remains largely the same. Exit poll data this year finds GOP primary voters divided in their desired approach to abortion policy in a post-Roe v. Wade era. Trump has also racked up support among those primary voters who are the most acutely unhappy with the way things are going in the US. Exit polls for the Iowa Republican caucuses and the New Hampshire, South Carolina, North Carolina, Virginia and California Republican presidential primaries were conducted by Edison Research on behalf of the National Election Pool.

Persons: Donald Trump’s, they’d, Joe Biden’s, Nikki Haley, Biden’s, Haley, Trump, –, California –, MAGA, Wade, Biden Organizations: CNN —, GOP, Trump, South Carolina Gov, Republican, New Hampshire Republican, Election, Iowa GOP, Voters, Iowa Republican, California Republican, Edison Research, New, South Carolina Republican, North Carolina Republican, Virginia Republican Locations: – Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, North Carolina, Virginia, California, Super, Iowa, New, California , Virginia

☆ Haley’s voters might decide Biden’s fate in November. Here’s why.
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-06 | by ( Ron Brownstein | Analysis Ronald Brownstein | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +17 min

In New Hampshire, more than 4-in-5 Haley voters said Trump would not be fit to serve again if convicted and that Biden had legitimately won. In that poll, two-thirds of Haley voters in Iowa said they would not vote for Trump in a general election; that number soared past three-fourths of her voters in New Hampshire. One key reason: fully 93% of all GOP-leaning voters said they disapproved of Biden’s performance as president. Madrid believes Biden’s record on immigration is the biggest obstacle to him harvesting support among the Republicans uneasy about Trump. Lake doesn’t agree that any single issue is critical for Biden with the kind of GOP voters who have rallied to Haley.

Persons: Nikki Haley’s, Donald Trump, Haley, Biden, Joe Biden, Haley –, Trump, ”, Smith, Michael Madrid, “ Trump, “, SSRS, “ Donald Trump, that’s, Alan Abramowitz, Ron DeSantis, it’s, Democratic pollster, Biden’s, ” Madrid, Haley herself, ” Jennifer Horn, MAGA …, ” Jim McLaughlin, Trump’s, McLaughlin, Bill McInturff –, –, Lake, Jean Carroll, ’, Taylor Swift, Chris Wilson, Republican pollster, Wilson, ” Wilson, Lake doesn’t Organizations: CNN, South Carolina Republican, Trump, White, GOP, Republican, Democratic, Trump Lincoln Project, Washington Post, University of Maryland, Capitol, CBS, Republicans, NBC News, Republican Party, South, Emory University, Florida Gov, Edison Research, Haley Iowa, Monmouth University, ”, Biden, New Hampshire Republican, NBC, AP Locations: Iowa, New Hampshire, California, Madrid, Washington, South Carolina, ” Madrid, McInturff, Lake, Trump

☆ A dangerous undercurrent is pulling Americans toward the political extreme. The media is turning a blind eye to it
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-17 | by ( Oliver Darcy | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

New York CNN —There is a dangerous undercurrent dragging Americans who wade into the political waters out toward the extreme. But much of the national press, basking ashore on the sun-soaked beach, refuses to acknowledge it in a serious manner. Instead, many journalists have grown comfortable glossing over the treacherous rip tide lurking beneath the surface of the water before their very eyes. Embarrassingly, Ron DeSantis has done more in recent days than most in the press to call attention to the matter. For one, it is still perhaps uncomfortable to acknowledge the depths of dishonesty in which much of right-wing media now operates.

Persons: Joe Biden, Donald Trump, —, Ron DeSantis, assailing Trump, Breitbart, Trump, it’s Organizations: New York CNN, Republican Party, Trump, Fox News Locations: New York, Iowa, Overton, Florida

☆ Majority of Iowa caucusgoers say Trump conviction wouldn’t affect their support
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-15 | by ( Https | Media-Cldnry.S-Nbcnews.Com Image Upload Newscms Mark-Murray-Circle-Byline-Template.Jpg | Mark Murray | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +1 min

By comparison, 19% of likely Iowa caucusgoers say a Trump conviction would make it more likely that they’d back Trump, while 18% say it would make them less likely to support the former president in the general election. As with the other findings from the Iowa poll, the likely caucusgoers backing former U.N. Among Haley’s supporters, 56% say a possible conviction of Trump doesn’t matter to their Nov. 2024 vote choice, but 41% say it would make them less likely to back Trump. By comparison, 70% of DeSantis supporters say it wouldn’t matter to them if Trump was convicted, versus 26% who say it will make them less likely to support the former president. And among Trump’s supporters, 58% say a conviction wouldn’t matter — and an additional 35% say a conviction would make them more likely to support their favored candidate.

Persons: caucusgoers, Donald Trump, Trump, Nikki Haley — Organizations: caucusgoers —, NBC, Des Moines, Trump, GOP, Des Moines Register Locations: Iowa

About an additional 6 in 10 caucusgoers say they want substantial changes. The vast majority of Iowa caucusgoers trust elections in their state, but about 4 in 10 are not too confident or not at all confident in the integrity of U.S. elections. About two-thirds of Iowa caucusgoers favor continuing aid to Israel in its fight against Hamas. ABORTIONViews on abortion are far from simple, but most Iowa GOP caucusgoers say there should be limited access to the procedure. ___For the latest updates on the Iowa caucuses, follow the AP’s live coverage.

Persons: Donald Trump, VoteCast, Trump, GOP caucusgoers, Nikki Haleyis, Haley, Democrat Joe Biden, Haley’s, Ron DeSantis, DeSantis ’, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ramaswamy, TRUMP Organizations: WASHINGTON, Iowa Republicans, Trump, White, AP, The Associated Press, NORC, for Public Affairs Research, GOP, Republicans, South Carolina Gov, Democrat, Trump . Florida Gov, U.S . Capitol, Iowa GOP, Fox News Locations: U.S, Mexico, United States, Iowa, Florida, Israel, Ukraine, Russia

☆ Why is Trump almost certain to romp in Iowa? Compared to 2016, first-time caucusgoers and evangelicals are giving him huge leads over his GOP rivals.
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-14 | by ( John L. Dorman | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The final pre-caucus NBC News/Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa poll shows Trump ahead of Haley 48%-20%. AdvertisementTrump is in the best position he's ever been in for a contested GOP caucus in Iowa. Texas Sen. Ted Cruz won the Iowa GOP caucuses in 2016. And polling showed that evangelicals comprised roughly 64% of the GOP caucus electorate that year. The former president won first-time GOP caucusgoers in 2016, earning 30% of their vote compared to Cruz's 23% support.

Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Haley, —, Nikki Haley, Ron DeSantis, Vivek Ramaswamy, Texas Sen, Ted Cruz, Charlie Neibergall, Jeb Bush, Cruz, Florida Sen, Marco Rubio, Bush, Rubio, DeSantis, haven't Organizations: NBC, Des Moines Register, Service, GOP, Florida Gov, Trump, Iowa GOP, AP, Texas, Iowa Locations: Iowa, Florida, Texas

☆ DeSantis vows to stay in presidential race ahead of Iowa caucuses
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-14 | by ( Kit Maher | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

Ron DeSantis on Sunday vowed to stay in the presidential race for the “long haul” despite a poor showing in the final Iowa poll before Monday’s caucuses. Overall, 48% of likely caucusgoers say Trump would be their first choice, 20% name former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley, and 16% DeSantis, with the rest of the field below 10%. “Obviously, we want people to be safe, but we will be there to help people if they need. The day after the Iowa caucuses, DeSantis is scheduled to attend an event in South Carolina before heading to New Hampshire for another event and to participate in a CNN town hall.

Persons: Ron DeSantis, “ We’ve, ” DeSantis, CNN’s Jake Tapper, “, ”, Donald Trump, Trump, Nikki Haley, DeSantis Organizations: CNN, Florida Gov, Union, Des Moines Register, NBC, Republican, South Carolina Gov Locations: Iowa, “ State, Florida, , Iowa, South Carolina, New Hampshire

☆ Trump holds wide lead over GOP field ahead of Iowa caucuses, poll finds
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-13 | by ( Jennifer Agiesta | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

CNN —Former President Donald Trump holds a wide lead over his Republican presidential competitors among likely GOP caucusgoers in Iowa, the final Des Moines Register/NBC News/Mediacom poll before Monday’s caucuses found. Overall, 48% of likely caucusgoers say Trump would be their first choice, 20% name former South Carolina Gov. While majorities of their supporters say they are enthusiastic about their candidates, only about 4 in 10 of hers say the same. About 8 in 10 Trump supporters – 82% – say their minds are made up, up from December when 70% said they were locked in. Results for the full sample of likely caucusgoers has an error margin of plus or minus 3.7 percentage points.

Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Nikki Haley, Ron DeSantis, DeSantis’s, DeSantis, Haley, Vivek Ramaswamy, Texas Sen, Ted Cruz’s, Florida Sen, Marco Rubio, Cruz, Rubio Organizations: CNN, Republican, Des Moines Register, NBC, South Carolina Gov, Florida Gov, Trump, – Locations: Iowa, Texas, Florida, year’s Iowa

HILLSBORO, New Hampshire — Republican presidential candidate Vivek Ramaswamy is temporarily relocating his entire staff of over 40 people, including himself, from his headquarters in Columbus, Ohio, to the early-primary states of Iowa and New Hampshire in an effort to boost his campaign in the 2024 race. Ramaswamy, 38, has rented an apartment in Iowa, and the campaign is currently searching for rental housing in New Hampshire for the candidate and his staff. We’re excited to barnstorm the early states,” Tricia McLaughlin, a spokesperson for the Ramaswamy campaign, told NBC News. Last week, the Ramaswamy campaign launched an eight-figure ad buy in Iowa and New Hampshire ahead of the third GOP debate. Iowa is a state where Ramaswamy often stumps — he will be making more than 20 stops there next week.

Persons: Vivek Ramaswamy, Ramaswamy, ” Tricia McLaughlin, McLaughlin, Chris Christie, Donald Trump, caucusgoers Organizations: Republican, Politico, NBC News, New, GOP, NBC, Des Moines Register, New Jersey Gov, Hawkeye State Locations: HILLSBORO, New Hampshire, Columbus , Ohio, Iowa, Columbus, Franklin County , Ohio, New Jersey, Hawkeye

☆ Trump seeks to steer attention away from first 2024 GOP debate as rivals make final preparations for Milwaukee
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-22 | by ( Eric Bradner | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +11 min

As his rivals prepare for the two-hour showdown on Fox News, Trump’s campaign is attempting to counter-program the debate. But Trump’s son Donald Trump Jr. and other surrogates planned to travel to Milwaukee, where they would have had opportunities to weigh in on national broadcasts before and after the debate in the spin room. Ahead of the debate, some candidates are offering previews of their lines of attack – including criticizing Trump for choosing not to participate. “Every one of us who have qualified for that debate stage ought to be on the stage willing to square off and answer those tough questions,” Pence said. Overall, 42% say Trump is their first choice, followed by 19% supporting DeSantis.

Persons: he’s, Donald Trump, Trump, Tucker Carlson, Carlson, Donald Trump Jr, Kari Lake, Byron Donalds, Matt Gaetz, Jason Miller, Steven Cheung, Chris LaCivita, Ron DeSantis, “, ” DeSantis, DeSantis, DeSantis –, –, “ We’ll, Vivek Ramaswamy, Chris Christie, it’s, Ramaswamy, Nikki Haley, Haley, Russell Brand, Vivek —, ” Haley, ”, Christie, Florida Sen, Marco Rubio, Rubio, ” Christie, Carolina Sen, Tim Scott, Mike Pence, ” Pence, Iowa GOP caucusgoers, Scott, Pence, Doug Burgum, Will Hurd, caucusgoers, Chris Sununu, Sununu, “ Trump Organizations: CNN, Republican, GOP, Fox News, Former Arizona, RNC, Trump, Florida Gov, New, New Jersey Gov, PAC, South, United Nations, Twitter, ABC, Des Moines Register, NBC, Iowa GOP, North Dakota Gov, Texas Rep, Selzer, New Hampshire Gov Locations: Milwaukee, Bedminster , New Jersey, Florida, Georgia, Fulton County, New Jersey, South Carolina, Israel, America, Miami, Tallahassee, Carolina, – Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, Des, Iowa, By New Hampshire

☆ Trump holds big lead in new Iowa poll, but DeSantis and Scott see paths to victory
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-21 | by ( Kevin Breuninger | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Charlie Neibergall, Meg Kinnard | APFormer President Donald Trump holds a double-digit lead over his closest rival, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis in a major new poll of likely Republican caucusgoers in Iowa released Monday. Trump garnered the support of 42% of respondents, while DeSantis came in second with 19%. In an overture to Iowa voters, Trump also asserted without evidence that he "saved" ethanol and popular entitlement programs. While Trump and DeSantis share a similar overall approval in the state — 63% for Trump and 61% for DeSantis — the Florida governor's support appears to be much shakier than the former president's.

Persons: Donald Trump, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, Mike Pence, South Carolina Sen, Tim Scott, Charlie Neibergall, Meg Kinnard, caucusgoers, DeSantis, George W, Bush, Trump, Scott, Chris Christie, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ramaswamy, Haley —, J, Ann Selzer, GOP caucusgoers Organizations: Florida Gov, South, Trump, South Carolina Gov, New, New Jersey Gov, Des Moines Register, NBC, DeSantis, Iowa, GOP Locations: Florida, South Carolina, Iowa, DeSantis, New Jersey, China, U.S

☆ The majority of likely Iowa GOP caucusgoers would rather have a candidate they agree with on issues than one that can beat Biden: poll
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-04 | by ( Madison Hall | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

A recent New York Times survey found that the majority of likely Iowa GOP caucusgoers prefer a candidate they agree with on issues over one who can beat Biden in 2024. The poll, which was taken between July 28 and August 1, found that 52 percent of likely Iowa GOP caucusgoers were more likely to support a candidate they "agree with most on the issues" compared to the 44 percent who'd prefer one who has the "best chance to beat Joe Biden" in the 2024 election. The survey also asked participants if the phrase "able to beat Joe Biden" better described former President Donald Trump or DeSantis. Precisely half of likely Iowa GOP caucusgoers said it described Trump "a lot" or "somewhat better" compared to 40 percent who said DeSantis. Results from the New York Times poll also showcase a potential strategy DeSantis can use to win over likely GOP caucusgoers: move even more to the right.

Persons: Biden, who's, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Iowa GOP caucusgoers, Trump, caucusgoers, DeSantis Organizations: New York Times, Iowa GOP, Trump, Biden, Service, DeSantis, Republican Party Locations: Iowa, Wall, Silicon, Florida

☆ Republican debate: 7 presidential candidates meet polling criteria to make stage
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-23 | by ( Jennifer Agiesta | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

CNN —Seven Republican presidential candidates have, as of Sunday, met the polling requirements to appear on the August debate stage following new polling from Fox Business in Iowa and South Carolina. Ron DeSantis, tech entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy, former Vice President Mike Pence, former South Carolina Gov. Chris Christie have each reached 1% or higher in at least two qualifying national polls and two qualifying state polls from separate states, which is a requirement set by the Republican National Committee. I will see you at that debate stage.”Of the remaining GOP candidates who have not yet met the polling criteria, former Arkansas Gov. Doug Burgum needs two national polls, and former Texas Rep. Will Hurd and Miami Mayor Francis Suarez each need one state and two national polls to qualify.

Persons: Donald Trump, Ron DeSantis, Vivek Ramaswamy, Mike Pence, Nikki Haley, South Carolina Sen, Tim Scott, Chris Christie, DeSantis, Scott, Haley, Christie, Ramaswamy, ” Ramaswamy, Joe Biden, ” Pence, We’re, CNN’s Dana, “, Asa Hutchinson, Doug Burgum, Will Hurd, Miami Mayor Francis Suarez, Hawkeye, caucusgoers Organizations: CNN — Seven Republican, Fox Business, Florida Gov, South Carolina Gov, New, New Jersey Gov, Republican National Committee, Republican, Trump, Union, Arkansas Gov, North Dakota Gov, Texas Rep, Miami Mayor, Fox, Hawkeye State, GOP Locations: Iowa, South Carolina, Florida, New Jersey, Milwaukee, “ State, Arkansas, In South Carolina

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