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Experts say the AI mania has shades of the dot-com and housing bubbles and could end painfully. AdvertisementExperts say the frenzy around AI stocks resembles the last two major market bubbles — and could end in disaster if investors get spooked. "This is the goofiest and likely most dangerous concentration of overvaluation I've seen in 34 years investing and throughout financial history," Bloomstran said. Some experts have compared Nvidia to Cisco, the network hardware company whose stock ballooned during the dot-com bubble before ultimately crashing. No one can predict if the AI craze will end with a devastating crash like the dot-com and housing bubbles, or usher in a new market regime led by Nvidia and its kin.
Persons: , Nathan Burks, Adetokunbo Fadahunsi, Ann Marie Hibbert, Burks, Hibbert, Chris Bloomstran, Semper Augustus, I've, Bloomstran, John Chambers, Robert Galbraith, it's Organizations: Service, George Mason University, Big Tech, Nvidia, Microsoft, Cisco, REUTERS, Wall Street Journal Locations: West Virginia
The chief executive of Norway's gigantic sovereign wealth fund on Tuesday said there is "clearly a lot of froth" in the tech sector, suggesting that whether there is too much of it could depend on this week's tech earnings bonanza. U.S. tech behemoths including Tesla , Meta , Microsoft and Google parent Alphabet are all scheduled to release results in the coming days. "If I look at what we can read out of the current market, I would say that there is clearly a lot of froth within the technology sector. The world's largest sovereign wealth fund, which was valued at 17.7 trillion kroner ($1.6 trillion) at the end of March, was established in the 1990s to invest the surplus revenues of Norway's oil and gas sector. To date, the fund has put money in more than 8,800 companies in over 70 countries around the world, making it one of the largest investors across the globe.
Persons: Nicolai Tangen, CNBC's, NBIM Organizations: Meta, Microsoft, Google, Elon Musk's EV, Tesla, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Norges Bank Investment Management, Government Pension Fund Locations: U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email'Clearly a lot of froth' in the tech sector right now, says the CEO of the world’s largest wealth fundNicolai Tangen, CEO of Norges Bank Investment Management, reviews the outlook for Big Tech ahead of upcoming earnings.
Persons: Nicolai Tangen Organizations: Norges Bank Investment Management, Big Tech
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMarket pullback eliminated 'froth' in equities, says Potomac Wealth's Mark AvalloneMark Avallone, president of Potomac Wealth Advisors, joins CNBC's 'The Exchange' to discuss why the recent pullback is a "test" for investors, tech ETFs, and more.
Persons: Mark Avallone Mark Avallone Organizations: Potomac, Potomac Wealth Advisors Locations: Potomac
From late October through March, the S&P 500 enjoyed a virtually uninterrupted 27.6% rally based on better-than-expected earnings and economic data. And while it's still well below the dot-com bubble levels, it's still too close for comfort for many investors. Related story"Those higher rates are starting to push back on elevated valuations for stocks right now," Saglimbene said. "They're all much cheaper on an earnings basis than those Magnificent 7 companies," Saglimbene said. "So I think if we avoid a recession this year, the narrative will change to a broadening of companies and sectors that can participate in earnings growth this year."
Persons: aren't, Anthony Saglimbene, Rick Pitcairn, Pitcairn, it's, we've, Raheel Siddiqui, Neuberger Berman, Siddiqui, Jon Wolfenbarger, Albert Edwards, Bill Smead, James Ragan, DA Davidson, Ragan, Saglimbene, Indrani, she's, De, Davidson, Siddiqui's Organizations: Ameriprise, Business, DA, FTSE Russell, Investors Locations: Ameriprise
New York CNN —The “Buffett Indicator” is flashing red. If the stock market is growing a lot faster than the economy, that could be a sign of a bubble. Yes, but: The so-called Buffett Indicator is not without flaw. By the closing bell, Trump Media ended at $57.99, up by a more modest 16% on the day. He said Trump Media is likely worth somewhere around $2 a share — nowhere near its closing stock price of $58.
Persons: Warren Buffett, Fortune Magazine “, Berkshire Hathaway, John Hussman, Hussman, Larry Summers, , , Louis Navellier, Goldman Sachs, Navellier, doesn’t, Buffett, they’re, Jamie Dimon, Kevin Gordon, Charles Schwab, Elisabeth Buchwald, Donald Trump’s, CNN’s Matt Egan, Jay Ritter, Ritter Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Fortune Magazine, Nvidia, Federal Reserve, Bloomberg, Navellier, Associates, , JPMorgan, CNBC, CNN, Visa, Mastercard, Court, Eastern, of, National Retail Federation, Trading, Trump Media & Technology Group, Trump Media, University of Florida’s Warrington College of Business, GameStop, AMC Locations: New York, of New York
"In our mind, these debt-funded bitcoin purchases add froth to the current crypto rally by raising the risk of severe deleveraging in a potential downturn in the future," he added. MicroStrategy raised $604 million from the sale of converts on March 18, and another $800 million on March 8 . The latest purchases mark an acceleration from the fourth quarter pace, when MicroStrategy bought more than $1 billion of bitcoin. Originally launched as an enterprise business software company, Microstrategy has been buying bitcoin and holding them on its balance sheet since 2020. It largely trades as a proxy for the price of bitcoin, and in February of this year leaned into that, rebranding itself a Bitcoin development company.
Persons: JPMorgan's Marko Kolanovic, MicroStrategy, Microstrategy, Kolanovic, bitcoin, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Momentum Locations: bitcoin, cryptocurrencies
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC’s full interview with Trivariate's Adam Parker and JPMorgan's Jordan JacksonAdam Parker, Trivariate Research CEO, and Jordan Jackson, JPMorgan asset management global market strategist, join 'Closing Bell' to discuss the signs of froth from emerging markets and their market outlook.
Persons: Trivariate's Adam Parker, JPMorgan's Jordan Jackson Adam Parker, Jordan Jackson Organizations: Trivariate, JPMorgan
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTrivariate's Adam Parke: Risk-taking is still skewed to the positiveAdam Parker, Trivariate Research CEO, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss the signs of froth from emerging markets and whether he believes we're still in a bull market.
Persons: Trivariate's Adam Parke, Adam Parker, we're Organizations: Trivariate
Many observers are arguing that some pockets of the market, mainly in the AI trade, have moved too far, too fast and are ripe for pullbacks. Meanwhile, we'll be keeping an eye on Club holding GE Healthcare's appearance Tuesday at Oppenheimer's MedTech and Services conference. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, industrials, there's, we'll, Oppenheimer's, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Nvidia, Club, Linde, Nasdaq, FMC Corp, Procter, Gamble, Truist, Energy, EQT Corp, Boeing, of Justice, Alaska Airlines, Howmet Aerospace, Tech, Oracle, GE, Services, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: Albemarle, Newmont
The soaring price of bitcoin could delay the Federal Reserve's plans to cut interest rates, according to JPMorgan. The bank said signs of froth in risk assets like bitcoin could lead to higher for longer interest rates. AdvertisementThe record rally in bitcoin could lead the Federal Reserve to delay its planned interest rate cuts later this year, according to JPMorgan. That froth could ultimately drive the Fed to hold off on its planned interest rate cuts, which are often stimulative for risk assets, as it could unleash another round of inflation. "This may keep monetary policy higher for longer, as premature rate cutting risks further inflating asset prices or causing another leg up in inflation," Kolanovic said.
Persons: Marko Kolanovic, Kolanovic, Christopher Waller Organizations: JPMorgan, Federal Reserve Locations: bitcoin
"This is not bubbly, it's toppy and there's a very big difference," Jim Cramer said. For the uninitiated, "toppy" is financial slang for a stock market that climbs to new highs and then falls back. Toppy, toppy, toppy." The energy, consumer staples, utilities, and financial sectors were positive despite the weak market action. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER .
Persons: Jim Cramer, we've, Nordstrom, Crowdstrike, Locker, Jim Cramer's, Jim, David Paul Morris Organizations: CNBC, Ross Stores, Jim Cramer's Charitable, Bloomberg, Getty
Zehrid Osmani, a portfolio manager at Martin Currie, a Europe-based affiliate of Franklin Templeton, is one such investor. Osmani told CNBC that he sees "potential risk of froth" in the AI trade as a whole, but not for Nvidia. "Unlike the basket of AI [stocks] that has seen multiple expansion, Nvidia has actually seen multiple contraction. Nvidia's price-to-earnings ratio, using the projections for the next 12 months, is 32.4, according to FactSet. So there will be a critical element of needing to channel more spend toward AI for a corporate," Osmani said.
Persons: Zehrid, Martin Currie, Franklin Templeton, Osmani Organizations: Nvidia, CNBC, Microsoft Locations: Europe, Great Britain, OpenAI
I would argue that, as goes Nvidia, so goes the stock market. As far as the options market is concerned, it's a pretty big coin. We are short shorter-dated options and long longer-dated options, seeking to find a way to sell high options premiums. In our case, the trade looks something like this: You can see, this isn't a cheap trade. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.
Persons: , Carter Braxton Worth, It's Organizations: Nvidia, eBay, CNBC, ~$ Locations: trillions
CNBC's Jim Cramer said Tuesday's sell-off was a result of poor judgment on the part of shareholders. "The market won't bottom all at once — there will be some stocks that will bottom tomorrow — but I think this is a sell-off based on bad judgment, not bad earnings or a bad business environment," he said. Other bullish investors stirred up market froth, buying up many tech companies with unclear business plans, he said. In theory, Cramer said investors would be wise to sell some stock here and then buy it back at lower levels, but admitted that that plan is difficult to execute in practice. "The market can't advance on froth without terrible consequences," he said.
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Tuesday's, offsides, who'll, Cramer Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailArm is an extreme example of 'froth' in this market, says Jim Cramer'Mad Money' host Jim Cramer talks today's market sell-off and how investors should be positioning themselves.
Persons: Jim Cramer
CNBC's Jim Cramer on Monday said he doesn't see a market decline coming soon. After weeks of huge gains for the major indexes, Cramer said this momentum may last longer than some think, and sellers aren't eager to get out just yet. "Without huge chunks of selling, we aren't gonna have that decline," he said. To Cramer, Nvidia stock has hit levels higher than many may have thought possible. "Who wants to walk away from a hot hand, a hot table, a hot dealer and go buy that cashmere sweater I always talk about?"
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Cramer, haven't, Airbnb, he's Organizations: Nvidia
The theme of the night was the movie “Saltburn,” which, based on the number of attendees who arrived dressed in costume, is quickly garnering cult status. It was like hopping in a time machine to 2007. The same tone set the mood for the evening’s festivities. There were “bathwater” cocktails — made with pineapple juice, rum and coconut milk for extra, soapy froth — for sale at the bar. (The drink tasted fine, even if its inspiration, a scene in the film where Barry Keoghan laps up Jacob Elordi’s leftover bathwater, is perhaps less than appetizing.)
Persons: partygoers, Fergie, Justin Timberlake, Sophie Ellis, Bextor, , Barry Keoghan, Jacob Elordi’s Organizations: Veronicas Locations: East Williamsburg, Brooklyn,
FRANKFURT, Germany (AP) — European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde will likely push back Thursday against expectations for quick interest rate cuts even as Europe's economy sputters and financial markets froth in hopes of cheaper credit that would boost business activity and stock prices. Lagarde has cautioned that the bank will make decisions based on the latest figures about the economy's health rather than making longer-term promises. Fed Chair Jerome Powell said officials discussed prospects for rate cuts at the bank's December meeting, and the U.S. central bank has indicated it would cut its key interest rate three times this year. Rate cuts make riskier investments like stocks more attractive than safer bets like money market accounts and certificates of deposit. Expectations for rate cuts have been fueled by the rapid drop of inflation in Europe to 2.9% in December from the peak of 10.6% in October 2022.
Persons: Christine Lagarde, Lagarde, Jerome Powell, “ Lagarde, Yemen's Houthi Organizations: Central Bank, ECB, U.S . Federal Reserve, Union Locations: FRANKFURT, Germany, Frankfurt, U.S, Europe, Ukraine, Berenberg, Suez, Africa
The loudest investor chatter for months has insisted the heavyweights of the Nasdaq have been everything to the market in 2023. Sunday is the second anniversary of the all-time closing high in both the Nasdaq Composite and Nasdaq 100 indexes, which remain 12% and 4 % underwater even after their monster gains in recent months. It's relatively rare for the Nasdaq 100 – the most easily investable part of the Nasdaq and the one most reflective of the mega-cap dominance – to enter a two-year downturn. Only three of the Big Seven have outperformed the Nasdaq 100 over the past two years – Apple, Nvidia and Microsoft — while Meta Platforms has kept pace and Amazon, Alphabet and Tesla have lagged. Friday showed signs of outright rotation, the Russell 2000 up 1.3% versus a flat Nasdaq 100.
Persons: Invesco, Scott Chronert, we've, I've, , Chronert, Apple's, What's, Berkshire Hathaway, Tony Pasquariello, Goldman Sachs, Russell, disinflation Organizations: Nasdaq, Sunday, QQQ, Citi, Apple, Nvidia, Microsoft, Meta, Berkshire, Fed Locations: lockstep, Berkshire, Whereto
Stocks rallied hard on Tuesday after new inflation data signaled a possible end to the Federal Reserve's rate-hiking campaign. The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped nearly 500 points after the closely watched consumer price index (CPI) reading for October came in flat, softer than economists' estimate of 0.1% growth month over month. Wall Street took the news as a sign that inflation was coming down enough for the central bank to stop raising interest rates. Barring a surprise rebound in inflation, rates seem to have peaked and the "soft landing" for the economy is still in play. We like to buy stocks when the market is oversold, and sell stocks when there is too much buying.
Persons: Stocks, It's, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Wall, CPI, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Xinhua News Agency, Getty Locations: Foster City , California, United States
Regulators have so far not mandated any minimum net worth or investor qualifications for those trading stock options, and the stock markets almost always rise each year - both recipes for higher risk-taking and complacency. The "stark" increase in daily options trading turnover raises issues of investor protection, said Ajay Tyagi, former SEBI chief. The platform has seen an uptick in futures and options trading activity, Zerodha said in response to Reuters queries. Siddharth Joshi, a 36-year old from Surat in western India, said he lost 200,000 rupees trading options on Adani Enterprises (ADEL.NS) shares in January. "In options trading, I know my loss is capped but there is an opportunity to make maximum profit," he said.
Persons: Francis Mascarenhas, Mihir Vora, SEBI, Ashish Chauhan, Ajay Tyagi, Kailash, Bhavesh Shah, Shah, Zerodha, Siddharth Joshi, he's, Ira Dugal, Vidya Ranganathan, Raju Gopalakrishnan Organizations: Bombay Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Rights, Securities, Exchange Board of India, Trust Mutual Fund, National Stock Exchange of India Ltd, BSE Ltd, Reuters, Axis Mutual Fund, National Stock Exchange, Adani Enterprises, Thomson Locations: Mumbai, India, Rights MUMBAI, South Korea, Bhavesh, Ahmedabad, Surat
CNN —A thick layer of toxic foam has once again coated parts of a sacred river near New Delhi as the Indian capital battles an acrid and noxious smog that has settled across the city. The pungent foam contains high levels of ammonia and phosphates, which can cause respiratory and skin problems, according to experts. Yamuna river covered with a thick layer of toxic foam due near Kalindi Kunj, on September 10, 2023 in New Delhi, India. The river is most polluted in areas surrounding Delhi, owing to the area’s dense population and high levels of waste. Pictures from September also showed toxic foam forming on the Yamuna.
Persons: Salman Ali, Surya Organizations: CNN, Press Trust of India, Hindustan Times Locations: New Delhi, India’s, Tamil Nadu, Kalindi, India, Delhi, Oslo, Beijing, Kolkata, Mumbai
The Discord app is seen on an iPhone in this photo illustration in Warsaw, Poland on April 3, 2021. Two years ago, during the height of tech market froth, Discord was valued at $15 billion, more than doubling in a matter of months. But Discord has stood pat, avoiding a return to the capital markets, even as public funds have reduced the value of their shares. Discord, which ranked 18th on this year's CNBC's Disruptor 50 list, is now pushing into a new business as it seeks to justify that lofty valuation. Within the new marketplace, Halloween-themed avatar decorations, including a black cat resting on a gravestone, will be available to users for $8, Sellis said.
Persons: Peter Sellis, it's, Sellis Organizations: CNBC Locations: Warsaw, Poland
Morgan Stanley hiked its rating on Netflix following the streaming giant's stellar earnings report, seeing the shares potentially rising 20% on strong revenue growth. The Wall Street firm's analyst Benjamin Swinburne upgraded Netflix to overweight from equal weight Thursday, while raising his 12-month price target to $475. Netflix's subscriber growth was driven by a password-sharing crackdown efforts and interest in its new ad-supported tier. The analyst's bull case for Netflix in the most optimistic scenario calls for a $550 price target, or 40% upside. For the bear case, the analyst sees Netflix shares falling as low as $300, or 25% downside.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Benjamin Swinburne, Swinburne, Netflix Morgan Stanley, Netflix's, CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Netflix Locations: U.S
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