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‘Go wild’ with RFK Jr.Trump has promised to give Kennedy leeway to remake the way the government health apparatus protects Americans. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and former President Donald Trump shake hands during a campaign rally at Desert Diamond Arena on August 23, 2024, in Glendale, Arizona. Both Trump and Kennedy have expressed vaccine skepticism, and Kennedy has been a longtime activist pushing debunked theories about vaccines. In a potential new Trump administration, Musk promises a reinvention of the federal bureaucracy. “Let’s start from scratch,” Musk said at an event in October in Pittsburgh, suggesting a drastic remaking of the federal bureacracy.
Persons: Donald Trump, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, , Trump, Kennedy, “ I’m, ” Trump, Anne Frank, Rebecca Noble, we’ve, ” Kennedy, Aaron Pellish, Trump’s, “ Trump’s, CNN’s Meg Tirell, Musk, It’s, Musk’s, ” Musk, Elon Musk, Dave McCormick, Michael Swensen, CNN’s David Goldman, “ Musk, ” Goldman, Larry Summer, ” Summers, Summers, Mike Johnson, , ” Johnson, Kamala Harris, Johnson Organizations: CNN, Trump, Elon, RFK Jr, Madison, PAC, New York Times, Desert Diamond Arena, HHS, Department of Health, Human Services, CDC, Centers, Disease Control, FDA, Food, Drug Administration, National Institutes of Health, USDA, Department of Agriculture, SpaceX, Tesla, “ Department, Government, Fox News, Congressional, Social Security, Republicans, Health Locations: Nazi Germany, Glendale , Arizona, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, White
Inside one of Equinix's internal operations at Equinix Data Center in Ashburn, Virginia, on May 9, 2024. Measures aimed at curbing U.S. investments into China in sensitive technologies are in the final stage of review, a U.S. government update showed. Under this set of rules, the Treasury Department will require notification of outbound investments into China in sensitive technologies including artificial intelligence, semiconductors, microelectronics and quantum computing that can be employed for developing military capabilities. The final rules will likely be released within the "next week or so," according to Reuters. In June last year, U.S. Treasury Department released proposals that include potential outright bans on certain investments into China in these cutting-edge technologies.
Persons: Joe Biden, Laura Black, Organizations: Equinix Data, Treasury Department, Reuters, U.S . Treasury Department, Former Treasury, — Reuters, Treasury Locations: Ashburn , Virginia, China, U.S
Nouriel Roubini says stagflation risk will rise if Donald Trump wins the election. AdvertisementThe US economy might confront a fate more challenging than a recession if Donald Trump retakes the White House, famed economist Nouriel Roubini said. According to Roubini, Trump's proposals would fuel these two key ingredients: lower growth and higher inflation. In July, JPMorgan's chief global strategist David Kelly called Trump's tariff and immigration policy mix an "elixir for stagflation." AdvertisementRoubini said tensions in the Middle East make the threat of stagflation under Trump worse.
Persons: Nouriel Roubini, Donald Trump, Doom, , Donald Trump retakes, Trump, Kamala Harris, stagflation, Roubini, Larry Summers, David Kelly Organizations: Greenwich Economic, Treasury, Service, Bloomberg, Barclays, Republican, Peterson Institute, Trump Locations: Greenwich, Israel, Iran
But as we wind down 2024, one thing appears clear: The naysayers on Team Hard Landing got it wrong. The “soft landing” versus “hard landing” metaphor — perhaps overused but visually handy — refers to the economy as an airplane and the Fed as the pilot. Pull the right levers at the right time, and you get a nice comfortable soft landing, with inflation cooling and the labor market thriving. He was far from alone in thinking that a soft landing was little more than a fantasy. “We should just drop the soft landing versus hard landing discourse and start talking about a robust expansion at mid-cycle,” Joe Brusuelas, chief economist at RSM, told Schwab Network in an interview.
Persons: CNN Business ’, everyone’s, , Sung Won Sohn, we’d, ” Aaron, , there’s, Justin Wolfers, Bill Dudley, “ I’ve, Dudley, Larry Summers, they’re, Joe Brusuelas Organizations: CNN Business, New York CNN, Loyola Marymount University, Fed, . Upjohn Institute, Employment Research, ICYMI, Bureau of Labor Statistics —, Federal Reserve Bank of New, Bloomberg, RSM, Schwab Network Locations: New York, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailA 'mixed mood' here in Israel a year after Oct. 7 attacks, says the U.S. Ambassador to IsraelJack Lew, former Treasury Secretary and U.S. ambassador to Israel, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss the current mood in Israel, the notion that Iran is currently exposed, and much more.
Persons: Israel Jack Lew Organizations: U.S Locations: Israel, Iran
The Fed will still deliver jumbo rate cuts to stabilize the weakening job market, the firm predicted. AdvertisementThough most on Wall Street are cheering September's blowout labor report, not everyone is so sure the labor market is booming. Advertisement"The extremely low response rate to the payroll survey waves a red flag," the firm wrote on Friday. The firm scrutinized last month's payroll strength against the fact that other labor market indicators have shown a pullback in hiring. Meanwhile, this week's JOLTS data prompted Deutsche Bank to question how tight the labor market really is.
Persons: , Larry Summers Organizations: Macroeconomics, Service, Deutsche Bank, of Labor Statistics, Conference, Federal, Bank of America Locations: joblessness, tanked
WASHINGTON — A group of national security experts led by Cabinet members from the Trump administration endorsed former President Donald Trump on Wednesday, citing his foreign policy record and calling him "a peacemaker." The group, organized by former Trump national security adviser Robert O'Brien and former National Security Council chief of staff Alex Gray, wrote in a letter that "securing peace" is "the legacy of Trump." The letter comes amid an escalating conflict in the Middle East between Iran and Israel, as well as Russia's war in Ukraine. "The policies of the Biden-Harris Administration have invited conflict, diminished America’s standing around the globe, and imperiled our national security," the letter says. The signers do not include Trump's first secretary of state, Rex Tillerson, or his secretaries of defense, James Mattis and Mark Esper.
Persons: WASHINGTON, Trump, Donald Trump, Robert O'Brien, Alex Gray, Nikki Haley, Mike Pompeo, Steven Mnuchin, John Ratcliffe, Jack Smith, William Barr, Barr, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Harris, America’s, , Trump's, Rex Tillerson, James Mattis, Mark Esper Organizations: Cabinet, Trump, National Security Council, Republican, National Intelligence, Prosecutors, PBS, Biden, Harris Administration Locations: East, Iran, Israel, Ukraine, Russia
The Fed probably can't take rates as low as it would like to, according to Larry Summers. Summers pointed to the Fed's target of 2.9% for the so-called neutral rate. Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! AdvertisementThe Fed doesn't have the wiggle room to cut interest rates as low as it hopes to, according to ex-Treasury Secretary Larry Summers. In an interview with Bloomberg, Summers said central bankers have likely underestimated the so-called neutral rate, which is the level that neither expands nor contracts the economy.
Persons: Larry Summers, Summers, Organizations: Service, Bloomberg, Business
In a Monday-morning appearance on CNBC, Evercore founder Roger Altman praised the Fed for delivering "nearly perfect" economic conditions, citing strength in equities, profits, and employment. Only inflation — which still hovers above the Fed's 2% target rate — is holding off an official soft landing declaration, he said. AdvertisementAlthough there are some concerns rate cuts will reignite inflation, Altman is expecting to see a slowdown this week when new consumption-expenditures data is released. Related stories"I think what essentially happened was that the Fed saw the path on inflation steadily downward as more certain than the path on labor markets, a little more uncertainty about labor markets," Altman said. "So it took a stronger step to fortify labor markets, and went for 50."
Persons: , Roger Altman, Powell, Altman, Larry Summers Organizations: Service, CNBC, Business, Fed
One of the main takeaways was that the biggest threats to dollar dominance are swelling US debt levels and fiscal deficits, which officials in Washington could step up to tackle. "The biggest challenge to US dollar dominance is the US itself given the mounting public debt levels and elevated fiscal deficits," JPMorgan said, in a note summarizing the webinar. For instance, many alarmists have focused on the dollar's share in foreign reserve holdings, often pointing out that the foreign central banks have piled into gold as an alternative. But this fixation omits the fact that bank deposits, sovereign wealth fund assets, and other dollar instruments have been on the rise among reserve holdings, JPMorgan said. "In China's case, it has had an explicit target to bring down dollar holdings in FX reserve but has shifted USD holdings to state-owned entities.
Persons: , Peter G, Mark Sobel —, Trump, Sobel Organizations: JPMorgan, Service, US, Peterson Foundation, Treasury, Monetary, Financial, greenback Locations: Washington, China
So it is noteworthy that Democratic and Republican leaders both appear to want to establish a sovereign wealth fund to help the United States pay for stuff. Saudi Arabia's Public Investment Fund, which manages about $925 billion in assets, reported a $36.8 billion profit for 2023, according to Reuters. This isn't the first time Washington has toyed with the idea of a sovereign wealth fund. Last March, a group of bipartisan lawmakers led by Sen. Angus King and Sen. Bill Cassidy began discussing a sovereign wealth fund to pay for Social Security. The White House's interest in a sovereign wealth fund stems partly from its desire to compete with China, which has multiple state-owned funds itself.
Persons: , Joe Biden, Jake Sullivan, Daleep Singh, Biden, Donald Trump, LIV Golf, Sen, Angus King, Bill Cassidy, Mitt Romney, John Paulson, Larry Summers Organizations: Service, Democratic, Republican, National, Bloomberg, Business, White, Economic, of New, Fund, Reuters, Norges Bank Investment Management, Saudi Arabia's Public Investment Fund, Blackstone, LIV, Social Security, America, Bloomberg Television Locations: United States, of New York, Saudi Arabia, Norway, Norway's, PIF, Heathrow, American, Washington, China
The former Treasury Secretary told Bloomberg TV that the central bank's interest rate strategy has largely succeeded, even though Fed officials made a major blunder by first underestimating pandemic-era inflation. In 2021, the Fed mischaracterized inflation as "transitory," citing that COVID supply chain disruptions would eventually blow away. Once central bankers grew to understand that inflation needed an interest rate response, the Fed initiated the most aggressive policy-tightening campaign in recent history. In that period, Summers often showcased skepticism that the Fed could clamp down on inflation this way without economic consequences. AdvertisementNow, the main question is how far interest rates could fall during the Fed's September meeting.
Persons: , Larry Summers, Summers, I've, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Service, Bloomberg, Business, Fed
Endowment tax in focus: Here's what to know
  + stars: | 2024-08-08 | by ( Robert Frank | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEndowment tax in focus: Here's what to knowCNBC's Robert Frank, Natasha Sarin, Yale Law School and Yale School of Management professor and former Treasury Department official, and William Trachman, Mountain States Legal Foundation general counsel and former Trump education department appointee, join 'Squawk Box' to discuss JD Vance's plan to tax university endowments, how much revenue the tax would raise, and more.
Persons: CNBC's Robert Frank, Natasha Sarin, William Trachman, JD Organizations: Yale Law School, Yale School of Management, Treasury Department, States Legal Foundation, Trump Locations: States
U.S. Vice President and Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris arrives to boards Air Force Two at Joint Base Andrews in Maryland, U.S. on July 24, 2024. Vice President Kamala Harris' allies on Wall Street huddled on a private Zoom call Wednesday to strategize how to defeat former President Donald Trump, according to people familiar with the matter. The call featured dozens of major financiers backing Harris, and lasted over an hour. Those who spoke to CNBC did so anonymously in order to speak freely about private matters. "We need to raise a ton of money," said someone on the call, describing the first portion of the conversation.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, Marc Lasry, Blair Effron, Ray McGuire, Robert Rubin, Tony Coles, Paul, Weiss, Brad Karp, Robert Wolf, Brian Mathis, Jon Henes, Joe Biden, Rufus Gifford Organizations: Democratic, Air Force, Joint Base Andrews, Avenue Capital, Centerview Partners, Lazard, C, Advisory, CNBC Locations: Maryland, U.S
Speaking at Coatue's annual conference, billionaire Philippe Laffont unveiled some AI predictions. He believes there'll be "humanoid" robots widespread across the developed world in 15 years. He also told the audience that he's been "buying high and selling low" for 25 years. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . But Coatue's billionaire founder, Philippe Laffont, told the audience at his firm's annual East Meets West conference last week that, for a quarter of a century, he's done the opposite.
Persons: Philippe Laffont, there'll, he's, , Uber, Dara Khosrowshahi, Larry Summers Organizations: Service, Meets, Business
Read previewHomeownership is helping some millennials get rich — but Gen Zers might have a hard time following in their footsteps. Some Gen Zers managed to get in on the fun — about a quarter of Gen Zers between the ages of 19 and 26 owned a home as of 2023, per Redfin. AdvertisementWhat's more, Silk said there's a larger reason Gen Zers shouldn't count on homeownership to boost their wealth. AdvertisementThese costs are already putting pressure on current homeowners, and by the time more Gen Zers buy homes, they could be even more burdensome. Their monthly payment is gone forever, and it has zero chance of providing an investment return.
Persons: , Zers, millennials, Gen Zers, Roger Silk, Silk, hasn't, It's, it's Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Business, World Bank
Experts hold drastically different views, creating a new hot-button topic that will continue to be debated up until the election in November. The camp staunchly opposed to Trump's policiesThe base argument against Trump's fiscal platform is that tariffs are, by nature, inflationary. AdvertisementIn a recent op-ed for the Financial Times, he cited the "benign" impact Trump's first-term tariffs had on the US economy. Looking ahead to a new term, Yardeni thinks Trump's most extreme pursuits will likely be watered down by Congress. AdvertisementRepublican donor Kyle Bass — who serves as the chief investment officer of Hayman Capital Management — has taken a different tact in his support of Trump's fiscal agenda.
Persons: , Donald Trump, Trump's, Trump, he's, David Kelly, Larry Summers, Paul Krugman, Goldman Sachs, Ed Yardeni, Yardeni, Steve Eisman, Kyle Bass —, Hayman Capital Management —, Joseph Stiglitz, Biden Organizations: Service, Donald Trump White House, Business, Trump, House Republicans, Foundation, New York Times, Peterson Institute, Yardeni Research, Financial Times, Congress, CNBC, Hayman Capital Management, Oxford Economics Locations: China, It's
If elected, Donald Trump has promised to maintain the dollar as the world's reserve currency. But his policies risk deteriorating faith in the greenback, according to one think tank. At number 13, the former president pledged to keep the US dollar in place as the world's main reserve currency. But a second Trump term might actually erode greenback's dominant role, wrote Mark Sobel, US chair of the Official Monetary and Financial Institutions Forum. During his first term, Trump threatened to leave NATO and took the US out of key agreements, such as the Iran nuclear deal, Paris Climate Accord and Trans-Pacific Partnership, Sobel wrote.
Persons: Donald Trump, OMFIF, , Donald Trump's, Mark Sobel, Sobel, Trump, Biden Organizations: Service, Republican National, Trump, Monetary, Financial, Treasury, Social Security, NATO, Paris Climate Accord, Pacific Partnership Locations: Iran, Paris
Wall Street’s game theoryAs more leading Democrats say privately that President Biden should withdraw from the presidential race, some of the party’s most prominent backers on Wall Street spent the holiday weekend debating what to do next. If they favor calling for him to step back, they discussed what their next moves should be. Wall Street is taking a different approach than Hollywood. (Many are also reportedly irate at Jeffrey Katzenberg, Biden’s campaign co-chair.) And many donors want to maintain their influence within the Democratic Party.
Persons: Biden, Larry Fink, BlackRock, Robert Rubin, Jon Gray, Blackstone, Peter Orszag, Lazard, Blair Effron, Robert Wolf, Barack Obama —, DealBook, Reed Hastings, Barry Diller, Rob Reiner, Abigail Disney, Jeffrey Katzenberg Organizations: Wall, Treasury, Centerview Partners, UBS, Hollywood, Netflix, IAC, Democratic Party
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Read previewDonald Trump's pledge to raise trade barriers and deport immigrants could be policy shocks that trigger a recession, JPMorgan's David Kelly told Bloomberg TV. On trade, Trump has announced plans for a universal 10% duty on all imports to the US, and has separately touted higher tariffs as a replacement for some income taxes. As for immigration, the Republican candidate has promised to carry out the largest deportation program in US history. "If you took his word on immigration, the economy would come to a halt because of deportation of unregistered immigrants or illegal immigrants."
Persons: , Donald Trump's, JPMorgan's David Kelly, Trump, he's, you've, Kelly, Larry Summers, Adam Posen, that's Organizations: Service, Bloomberg, Business, Republican, Peterson Institute, Peterson
Oracle warns that a TikTok ban would hurt business
  + stars: | 2024-06-24 | by ( Jordan Novet | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
A U.S. ban of TikTok might hurt Oracle 's business, the software company acknowledged in its annual report on Monday. TikTok said Oracle would also be responsible for compiling the app and delivering it to third-party app stores. "The one thing I can tell you is we have an excellent relationship with the folks at TikTok," Oracle CEO Safra Catz said on a 2022 conference call with analysts. Following the bipartisan legislation this year targeted at TikTok, and Biden's signing of the bill mandating its sale, TikTok filed a lawsuit arguing that the law violates First Amendment free speech protections. Oracle's cloud infrastructure revenue for the fiscal year came to $6.9 billion.
Persons: Safra, Oracle, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Weeks, TikTok, Safra Catz, Frank McCourt, Steven Mnuchin, Oracle hasn't, TikTok didn't, Carnegie's Peter Harrell Organizations: Oracle, Capitol, Palantir Technologies, Oracle Corp, Hamas, Microsoft, U.S . Treasury Department Locations: Washington, Israel, Gaza, U.S, China, TikTok, Texas
U.S. is closer to curbing investments in China's AI, tech sector
  + stars: | 2024-06-22 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
Public comments on the proposed rules will be accepted until Aug. 4. watch nowTreasury said the new rules were intended to implement "a narrow and targeted national security program" focused on certain outbound investments in countries of concern. Treasury had mapped out the contours of the proposed rules in August. Certain third-country transactions determined to be addressing national security concerns, or in which the third country adequately addressed the national security concerns, could also be exempted, Treasury said. "U.S. investors will need to engage in more extensive due diligence when making investments in China or investments involving Chinese companies that operate in the covered sectors," she said.
Persons: Joe Biden, Investment Security Paul Rosen, Laura Black, Akin Gump, Black, Treasury's Organizations: U.S . Treasury Department, Investment Security, Treasury, Treasury Department, U.S Locations: Europe, United States, Binzhou, East China's Shandong province, China, U.S, Macao, Hong Kong, Washington
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailAt some point we'll have to address the exploding entitlement spending, says PwC's Rohit KumarKitty Richards, former Treasury official, and Rohit Kumar, former policy director for Sen. Mitch McConnell, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the CBO's $1.9 trillion federal budget deficit estimate for 2024, how tax proposals by President Biden and former President Donald Trump will impact the deficit, and more.
Persons: PwC's Rohit Kumar Kitty Richards, Rohit Kumar, Sen, Mitch McConnell, Biden, Donald Trump Organizations: Treasury
Interest payments aren’t counted in the inflation rate. I get lots of mail from people saying the absence of interest rates from the Consumer Price Index seems like sleight of hand by the government, the economics profession or both. So I probably won’t win a lot of friends by saying that I think the way the government economists do things is correct. But when they’re right, they’re right. I’ll grant that higher interest payments do feel just as inflationary as higher prices for ice cream, bowling balls and haircuts.
Persons: Lawrence Summers Organizations: Consumer, Treasury, Harvard
This disastrous mindset has hollowed out Silicon Valley's ability to innovate and caused regular people to grow increasingly frustrated with everyday tech. The large platforms have generally ignored this feedback for one big reason: The tech industry has been taken over by career managers. Now Google Search is more profitable and worse, elevating spammy content and outright scams, a problem exacerbated by artificial intelligence. AdvertisementBut today's tech products feel built to sell a dream of the future rather than solve a customer's existing pains. As long as the tech industry is controlled by people who don't build things, it will continue to build products that help raise growth metrics rather than help consumers with tangible problems.
Persons: scammers hawking, Meta's, Hewlett Packard, Kevin Systrom, Mike Krieger, Adam Mosseri, Systrom, Krieger, Mosseri, Mark Zuckerberg, Instagram, Kylie Jenner, Kim Kardashian, Sundar Pichai, Prabhakar Raghavan, Raghavan, Ben Gomes, Gomes, it's, Sam Altman, Helen Toner, Ilya Sutskever, Larry Summers, Fidji Simo, Meta —, , Steve Jobs, Steve Wozniak Organizations: Facebook, Google, Microsoft, Amazon, Oracle, Adobe, Meta, Builders, Apple, Xerox, HP, Department, Reuters Institute, Oxford University, Silicon Valley Locations: Silicon, Silicon Valley
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