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☆ America sort of likes Kamala Harris – and that might just be enough
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-21 | by ( Brent D. Griffiths | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

The 2024 White House race remains too close to call, but Vice President Kamala Harris' momentum is evident when you look just a little past the horse race. Earlier this week, Harris' favorability emerged above water for the first time since shortly after President Joe Biden took office. Soltis Anderson discussed a poll that the interest group commissioned, which found Harris has expanded Biden's once-meager lead over women voters aged 50 and over. Unlike Clinton, Walsh pointed out Harris hasn't spent decades in the spotlight and isn't faced with assuaging voters' fears of a potential political dynasty. Harris' favorability was up slightly in both Pennsylvania and Michigan.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Harris, favorability, Joe Biden, She's, Kristen Soltis Anderson, Soltis Anderson, Debbie Walsh, Tim Malloy, Likability, Barack Obama's, Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump's, Nikki Haley, Gabe Fleisher, reexamined, Trump, Nate Silver's, Walsh, There's, Clinton, Harris hasn't, isn't, Clinton's favorability, Obama's, Mark Robinson, Robinson, Sen, JD Vance, he's, Malloy Organizations: Service, AARP, Business, Center for American Women, Politics, Quinnipiac University Poll, Democratic, Research, Pew Research, State, Rutgers University, Gov, CNN, Republicans, Trump Tower, Trump Locations: North Carolina, Nazi, Nebraska, FiveThirtyEight's, Trump, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin

☆ The 2024 election is anybody's race at this point, says FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe 2024 election is anybody's race at this point, says FiveThirtyEight's Nate SilverNate Silver, FiveThirtyEight founder and ‘On The Edge: The Art of Risking Everything’ author, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the state of the 2024 election, the art of risk-taking, difference between 'the river' and 'the village', and more.

Persons: Nate Silver Nate Silver

☆ As Europe teeters further to the far right, the UK is doing the opposite
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-05 | by ( Matthew Loh | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Sunak, who conceded defeat on Friday morning UK time, will likely be replaced by Labour Party leader Keir Starmer. Labour's rise, largely telegraphed by pre-election polls, makes the UK a clear outlier in this year's political shifts in Western Europe. Still, the far-right faction there, Vox, struggled to gain a foothold, with only 9.6% of the vote, down from 12.4% in 2019. Reform UK party leader Nigel Farage on July 3, 2024.

Persons: —, it's, Rishi Sunak's, Keir Starmer, Starmer, Jeremy Corbyn, he's, Germany's Scholz, Alice Weidel, Tino Chrupalla, Chancellor Olaf Scholz's, Sean Gallup, Scholz, France's, Emmanuel Macron, Macron, FRANCOIS LO, Le, Giorgia, Massimo Di Vita, Archivio Massimo Di Vita, Spain's, Pedro Sanchez's, Vox, Geert Wilders, Nigel Farage's, Farage, Nigel Farage, Dan Kitwood, Richard Wike Organizations: Service, Conservative Party, Labour Party, Business, European Union, Parliamentary, Chancellor Olaf Scholz's Social Democratic Party, Marine, FRANCOIS LO PRESTI, Getty, Italy, June's, Democratic Party, Spain's People's Party, Party for Freedom, Nigel Farage's Reform, Reform, Pew Research Center Locations: Western Europe, Germany, Berlin, France, AFP, Italy, Europe, Netherlands, Clacton

☆ Forget right or left. Voters are sick of whoever's in charge.
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-04 | by ( Grace Eliza Goodwin | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Though some say right-wing movements are on the rise globally, in this year's elections, that's not universally the case. Andy Soloman/UCG/Universal Images Group via Getty ImagesIn short, voters are just fed up — no matter who's in charge. Voters want a chanceGlobally, it's not hard to see an anti-establishment, anti-incumbency trend playing out. So-called "double haters" — voters who dislike both Trump and Biden — have made up an influential chunk of the electorate in recent polls.

Persons: —, that's, Brian Greenhill, Rishi Sunak's, Andy Soloman, Greenhill, Keir Starmer, Rishi, Emmanuel Macron's, Narendra Modi's, Yoon Suk, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, de, Richard Wike, Sweden —, Wike, Mike Kemp, there's, Biden —, Biden, it's Organizations: Service, Business, SUNY, Environmental, Getty, Voters, Labour, Conservative Party, Reuters, African National Congress, NPR, de Maismont, Pew's, Research, Pew Research, Trump Locations: India, France, SUNY Albany, South Korea, —, United States, AFP, Canada, Germany, Greece, Italy, Japan, Netherlands, Spain, Sweden, America

☆ Biden's approval rating just hit its lowest mark on record
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-10 | by ( Brent D. Griffiths | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Read previewPresident Joe Biden's approval rating remains severely underwater just under five months before Americans will render their verdict on his reelection bid. Joe Biden's approval rating has hit 37.4% in 538's average—an all-time low. https://t.co/sF8buXFup9 pic.twitter.com/lZcLTxOOw2 — Nathaniel Rakich (@baseballot) June 10, 2024On Monday, Biden notched the unpleasant distinction of recording his lowest-ever mark in FiveThirtyEight's weighted tracker of his approval rating with a 37.4% approval. According to FiveThirtyEight's weighted average, Trump has a 41.6% approval rating. Four other modern presidents had an average sub-50% approval rating at this same point in time.

Persons: —, Joe Biden's, sF8buXFup9, lZcLTxOOw2, Nathaniel Rakich, Biden, Donald Trump's, Trump, Gallup, Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama Organizations: Service, Business, Monday, White House, Capitol, Gallup, Biden Locations: Gaza, Afghanistan

☆ Trump says RFK Jr. is 'not a serious candidate,' refuses to debate him because his numbers are 'too low'
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-02 | by ( Brent D. Griffiths | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Trump repeatedly attacked Kennedy over social media this past weekend, despite the former president's claim that he knows little about Kennedy. Trump's refusal to debate Kennedy may not be entirely in his hands. But Trump and his allies have been harshly critical of the debate commission. AdvertisementBiden recently told radio host Howard Stern that he would like to debate Trump, but there is rampant speculation such a debate will never occur. The second debate was canceled after Trump refused to accept a virtual format after the then-president tested positive for COVID-19.

Persons: —, Donald Trump, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Trump, Kennedy, Biden, He's, Nicole Shanahan, MAGA, Joe Biden, Ross Perot, Howard Stern Organizations: Service, RFK, Business, NBC News, Trump voters, Capitol, Politico, Republican National, Texas State University, Trump Locations: Manhattan, Texas, San Marcos , Texas

☆ Trump is now vastly more popular than Nikki Haley in her home state of South Carolina: poll
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-01 | by ( Brent D. Griffiths | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Read previewFormer UN ambassador Nikki Haley's popularity has taken a hit in her home state of South Carolina, a worrying sign ahead of a critical primary race against former President Donald Trump, a new poll reported. According to a Washington Post-Monmouth University poll, Haley's popularity has dropped 31 percentage points in just under five months. FiveThirtyEight's weighted average show Trump with a roughly 31-point lead in South Carolina. Still, Haley's standing among South Carolina Republicans underlines Trump's strength in the race. While she may be the state's former governor, the former president has also secured the endorsements of almost the entire South Carolina congressional delegation.

Persons: —, Nikki Haley's, Donald Trump, Haley, Trump's, Ron DeSantis, Trump Organizations: Service, UN, Washington Post, Monmouth University, Trump, Business, Florida Gov, South Carolina Republicans, GOP Locations: South Carolina, Monmouth, New Hampshire

☆ Trump is clearly annoyed by Nikki Haley's decision to stay in the presidential race
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-24 | by ( John L. Dorman | Bryan Metzger | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Read previewFormer President Donald Trump on Tuesday defeated Nikki Haley in New Hampshire — a state that the former South Carolina governor clearly needed to win. "Could somebody please explain to Nikki Haley that she lost — and lost really badly," Trump wrote on Truth Social early on Wednesday morning. Donald Trump: Nikki Haley "appointed you Tim...and you're the senator of her state...You must really hate her!" It's a strategy he employed last weekend when he invited South Carolina Gov. (McMaster had already endorsed Trump before Haley formally entered the presidential race last year.)

Persons: —, Donald Trump, Nikki Haley, Haley, Trump, South Carolina Sen, Tim Scott, Scott, Tim, Henry McMaster, McMaster, she's, Joe Biden Organizations: Service, Tuesday, South, Business, Truth, South Carolina Gov, GOP Locations: New Hampshire, South Carolina, Iowa

☆ Everything you need to know about the 2024 New Hampshire Republican primary
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-22 | by ( Brent D. Griffiths | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Polls show Trump still has a double-digit lead ahead of Tuesday's New Hampshire primary. AdvertisementNew Hampshire is only the second state to vote in the 2024 Republican presidential primary, but some of former President Donald Trump's foes already look desperate. Iowa's Republican caucuses were the first contest, but New Hampshire has gone to great lengths to ensure its primary election is always the first primary. The biggest difference is that unlike Iowa, New Hampshire has a more open primary system. New Hampshire also doesn't have anywhere near the number of white evangelical conservatives that vote in the Republican primary as Iowa does.

Persons: Nikki Haley's, —, Donald Trump's, Nikki Haley, Ron DeSantis, Trump, Haley, Chris Sununu, Joe Biden's, Sen, John McCain, It's, Chris Christie, DeSantis Organizations: Trump, Former UN, Service, Republican, UN, Press, Democratic National Committee, New, New Hampshire Democrats, New Jersey Gov Locations: Tuesday's, Hampshire, South Carolina, New Hampshire, Granite, Dixville, Iowa, Iowa ? New Hampshire, American, Iowa , New Hampshire, In Iowa, . New Hampshire, Granite State, New Jersey, — Iowa, New Hampshire , Nevada

☆ Ron DeSantis is running a textbook Iowa caucuses campaign. Trump still seems like he's going to completely blow him out.
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-29 | by ( Brent D. Griffiths | John L. Dorman | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Ron DeSantis, who is behind in Iowa, has received major endorsements in the state. Ron DeSantis has bet his political future on Iowa. The positive news came on the heels of Iowa Gov. ("Ron DeSantis and Nikki Haley have partisans. No recent nominee has failed to win Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, or Nevada.

Persons: Ron DeSantis, Kim Reynolds, Bob Vander Plaats, —, Donald Trump's, DeSantis, Reynolds, Grassley, Trump, Nikki Haley, Donald Trump, Scott Olson, trashing Reynolds, Grant Wood, Ben Jacobs, Texas Sen, Ted Cruz, Pennsylvania Sen, Rick Santorum, Mike Huckabee, Sen, Bernie Sanders, Barack Obama, Ron Brownstein, Cruz, Santorum, Huckabee, what's, Ricky Bobby, it's Organizations: Florida Gov, Iowa Gov, Trump, GOP, Service, Republican, CBS, Iowa State University, Iowa GOP, DeSantis, Getty, rockstar, Arkansas Gov, Iowa Republicans, Iowa, Hawkeye State Locations: Florida, Iowa, VFW, Texas, Pennsylvania, North Dakota, New Hampshire, South Carolina, Nevada, Hawkeye

☆ Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-23 | by ( Walt Hickey | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Make no mistake, though: There's still a pretty solid chance he pulls it off and becomes the president again. Despite the 91 felony charges across multiple indictments, yeah, Trump obviously still has a shot at winning again. An extra 11,000 votes in Arizona, an extra 20,000 votes in Wisconsin, an extra 12,000 votes in Georgia, and Trump wins the 2020 election. That's fanciful thinking, and a second Trump presidency is well within the realm of the possible. Most significantly, Trump is running the table on a field of some pretty solid and rather electable Republican alternatives.

Persons: Donald Trump, There's, Trump, We're, Biden, It's, Ron DeSantis, Mike Pence, Joe Biden, Susan Walsh, doesn't Organizations: Biden, Trump, Service, GOP, Independents, Florida Gov, AP Locations: Wall, Silicon, Arizona, Wisconsin, Georgia, Florida, New York

☆ Christie says Americans should question Trump's 'psychological capacity' to be president
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-07 | by ( Brent D. Griffiths | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Chris Christie questioned former President Donald Trump's mental capacity. "[W]hat he was saying yesterday is just so odd and disturbing," Christie told Hugh Hewitt. I call him sloppy Chris," Trump told Hewitt on Wednesday. I think he's not a very smart person," the former president said. For the moment, Trump continues to hold a commanding lead over the rest of the GOP presidential field.

Persons: Chris Christie, Donald Trump's, Christie, Hugh Hewitt, Trump, Donald Trump, Chris, Hewitt, Jack Smith, Ron DeSantis Organizations: Service, New Jersey Gov, Republican, GOP, Florida Gov Locations: Wall, Silicon, New Jersey, New Hampshire

☆ Anderson Cooper says there was a steep learning curve in figuring out how to cover a candidate like Trump
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-04 | by ( Lakshmi Varanasi | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Cooper discussed the challenges of covering a Trump in an interview with the NYT. He said there was a "steep learning curve in figuring out how to deal with a candidate who is completely willing to lie." Cooper also defended CNN's town hall with Trump, calling him a "front-runner" in the Republican presidential primary. "There was a steep learning curve in figuring out how to deal with a candidate who is completely willing to lie and lies repeatedly and often," Cooper told the NYT. Aside from the challenges posed by Trump, Cooper also reflected on broader developments in the media landscape.

Persons: Cooper, Donald Trump —, Anderson Cooper, Michael Cohen's, Trump, CNN's, Chris Licht, Licht, — Cooper, Eric Sevareid — Organizations: Trump, Republican, Morning, New York Times, CNN, Republican Party, GOP, Cronkite Locations: CNN's, Trump

☆ Trump raked in $9.4 million as his campaign sold tens of thousands of mugshot t-shirts and coffee mugs
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-30 | by ( Brent D. Griffiths | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Donald Trump's campaign has raked in $9.4 million since his historic mugshot was released. The former president's campaign has sold over $1 million in t-shirts emblazoned with the mugshot. Of that special merchandise, they sold 36,000 T-shirts for more than $1.7 million. The campaign also sold 8,600 mugshot posters for another $352,000. Trump's 2020 campaign even made just shy of $500,000 by trolling liberals who wanted to ban plastic straws.

Persons: Donald Trump's, Trump, Obama, Hope, Shepard, Cortez, Michael Cohen's, Ron DeSantis, Vivek Ramaswamy Organizations: Service, Sheriff's, Trump, Fox News, Florida Gov, GOP Locations: Wall, Silicon, Fulton County, Fulton, Alexandria

☆ Vivek Ramaswamy, the candidate with the least political experience, once attended a town hall where he asked why Americans should vote for the candidate with the least political experience
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-30 | by ( Madison Hall | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Al Sharpton why he should vote for him given his lack of formal political experience. Twenty years later, Ramaswamy is now a GOP presidential candidate with no political experience. In the clip, Ramaswamy, who was a college student at Harvard University at the time, asked then-Democratic presidential candidate Rev. "Of all the Democratic candidates out there," Ramaswamy asked, "why should I vote for the one with the least political experience?" At the first GOP presidential debate, candidates took turns throughout the night to try and discredit Ramaswamy over his experience.

Persons: Vivek Ramaswamy, Al Sharpton, Ramaswamy, Sharpton, Mike Pence, Nikki Haley Organizations: Harvard University, GOP, Service, Democratic, United Locations: Wall, Silicon, Milwaukee , Wisconsin, United States, FiveThirtyEight's, America

☆ Chris Christie thinks Trump isn't showing up to the GOP debates because he's scared of him
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-22 | by ( Sonam Sheth | Brent D. Griffiths | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Chris Christie thinks Trump is skipping the GOP primary debates because he's scared of him. Trump is averaging 52.5% support in the 2024 Republican primary, according to FiveThirtyEight. The former president is currently averaging 52.5% support in the Republican primary, per FiveThirtyEight's weighted average. On Sunday night, Trump made it clear he will not be attending the first GOP primary debate in Milwaukee on Wednesday. "Christie, he's eating right now, he can't be bothered," Trump recently said at a New Hampshire rally.

Persons: Chris Christie, Trump, FiveThirtyEight, Christie, Donald Trump, Tucker Carlson, Joe Biden, he's Organizations: Republican, Service, Politico, Fox News, CBS, Energy Independence, Military, New, Trump Locations: Wall, Silicon, New Jersey, Milwaukee, New Hampshire

☆ 'I fully expected the downfall': Former Florida GOP chairman says the more people meet DeSantis 'the more they are not going to like him'
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-14 | by ( Brent D. Griffiths | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

He's the latest former DeSantis ally to take a shot at the governor's struggling presidential campaign. Gruters told The Washington Post that he "fully expected the downfall" of DeSantis' campaign. DeSantis' campaign has clearly struggled early on. Rep. Byron Donalds, another former DeSantis ally who also endorsed Trump, said he knew that DeSantis just didn't excel at building relationships. A representative for DeSantis' campaign did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

Persons: Joe Gruters, Ron DeSantis, Gruters, It's, DeSantis, Donald Trump, Byron Donalds, Trump, Donalds, Paul Renner, He's, I'm, Renner Organizations: Florida GOP, Gov, Washington Post, Service, Former, Former Florida GOP, Trump, Florida Republican, Republican, GOP, Florida's Locations: Florida, Wall, Silicon, Former Florida, Washington

☆ DeSantis ditches his campaign manager, but it's a reset that may have come too late
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-08 | by ( Brent D. Griffiths | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Ron DeSantis completed his campaign reset by replacing his campaign manager. Ron DeSantis on Tuesday completed the full-scale reboot of his once-promising presidential campaign, reassigning his campaign manager and elevating a loyal hand from his governor's office. James Uthmeier, DeSantis' chief of staff in Tallahassee, will now lead his campaign, news first reported by The Messenger. DeSantis' former campaign manager Generra Peck, who also led DeSantis' midterm reelection romp, will remain as a chief strategist. Uthmeier's elevation comes after the DeSantis campaign laid off more than a third of its staff that once boasted more than 90 people.

Persons: Ron DeSantis, DeSantis, James Uthmeier, Uthmeier, reassigning, Trump's, Donald Trump, it's, Trump, Joe Biden, Generra Peck, Peck, David Polyansky, Andrew Romeo, FiveThirtyEight Organizations: Service, Gov, GOP, Florida Republican, PAC, Republicans, Trump, Politico Locations: Wall, Silicon, Milwaukee, Tallahassee, Florida, Iowa, Trump

☆ Boos, corn and criminal charges: Trump and GOP rivals storm Iowa
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-31 | by ( Kevin Breuninger | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Former US president and 2024 Republican Presidential hopeful Donald Trump arrives to speak at the Republican Party of Iowa's 2023 Lincoln Dinner at the Iowa Events Center in Des Moines, Iowa, on July 28, 2023. The dynamic between Trump and his would-be challengers has held firm even as Trump racks up criminal charges in multiple cases, with possible additional indictments forthcoming. Republican presidential candidate former Texas Congressman Will Hurd speaks to guests at the Republican Party of Iowa 2023 Lincoln Dinner on July 28, 2023 in Des Moines, Iowa. Republican presidential candidate businessman Perry Johnson speaks to guests at the Republican Party of Iowa 2023 Lincoln Dinner on July 28, 2023 in Des Moines, Iowa. "If I weren't running, I would have nobody coming after me," he said at the Lincoln Dinner.

Persons: Donald Trump, Sergio Flores, —, Ron DeSantis —, Trump, DeSantis, Ron DeSantis, Scott Morgan, Nikki Haley, South Carolina Sen, Tim Scott, Vivek Ramaswamy, Mike Pence, Will Hurd, Scott Olson, Hurd, Asa Hutchinson, Joe Biden's, Perry Johnson, Biden Organizations: Republican Party of, Iowa, AFP, Getty, Republican, Florida Gov, GOP, Florida Governor, Republican Party of Iowa's, Reuters, Trump, White, Iowa Republicans, Former Texas Rep, Republican Party of Iowa, Former Arkansas Gov, NBC, New York Times, Siena, DeSantis, Biden, The New York Times, Save, Former U.S Locations: Des Moines , Iowa, Iowa, Des Moines, Corn, U.S, South Carolina, Manhattan, Former

☆ Trump says he'll stay in the presidential race even if he's awaiting prison
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-28 | by ( Brent D. Griffiths | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Trump repeated his vow that even a conviction would not stop his presidential campaign. "Not at all," Trump told conservative radio host John Fredericks when asked if a conviction and sentence would end his campaign. The former president is correct there is nothing that would stop a presidential candidate from campaigning if one were to be convicted. Trump faces a growing array of legal issues, underlining how his presidential campaign has increasingly become a fight for his own survival. "It's always unpleasant when you have to go and tell your wife, tomorrow sometime I'm going to be indicted," Trump said.

Persons: Trump, Donald Trump, John Fredericks, Eugene V . Debs, Lyndon LaRouche, Jack Smith, pardoning, Ron DeSantis, Melania Trump, Barron Organizations: Service, Capitol, Trump, GOP, Florida Gov, Republican, New York Times Locations: Wall, Silicon

☆ DeSantis fires 38 campaign staffers in the latest sign he's losing ground to Trump
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-25 | by ( Brent D. Griffiths | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Ron DeSantis' campaign has laid off roughly 1/3 of its staffers in recent weeks. DeSantis' campaign confirmed Politico's reporting that the Florida governor is organizing a massive reset. "Following a top-to-bottom review of our organization, we have taken additional, aggressive steps to streamline operations and put Ron DeSantis in the strongest position to win this primary and defeat Joe Biden," Campaign Manager Generra Peck said in a statement released by DeSantis' campaign. Politico reported on Tuesday that DeSantis' campaign has laid off a total of 38 aides and advisors as it seeks to achieve a reset of its efforts. According to FiveThirtyEight's weighted average, DeSantis started the year roughly six points behind Trump in national polling.

Persons: Ron DeSantis, DeSantis, Trump's, Donald Trump's, Joe Biden, Generra Peck, Biden, Trump Organizations: Service, Gov, Politico, Trump Locations: Florida, Wall, Silicon, Iowa

☆ Unnamed GOP advisor dismissed surging Vivek Ramaswamy as noisy 'fajitas that go by you at the restaurant'
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-20 | by ( Brent D. Griffiths | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

An unnamed advisor to a GOP presidential hopeful was snark about Vivek Ramaswamy's rise. The advisor told Semafor that Ramaswamy is like noisy "fajitas that go by you at the restaurant." An advisor to an unknown GOP hopeful is so annoyed by conservative entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy that they compared the surging foe to noisy "fajitas." "Vivek is like the fajitas that go by you at the restaurant," one advisor on a rival campaign told Semafor. Besides being wrong about head-turning fajitas, the snark underlines how Ramaswamy's rise is starting to grate on some of his fellow primary foes.

Persons: Vivek Ramaswamy's, Semafor, Ramaswamy, Vivek Ramaswamy, Vivek, Nikki Haley, Sen, Tim Scott, Chris Christie, Donald Trump Organizations: Service, Republican, New, New Jersey Gov, reining, Trump Locations: Wall, Silicon, New Jersey, Milwaukee, China

☆ The GOP debate could have anti-Trump firebrands on stage thanks to a new clarification of which polls count
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-13 | by ( Madison Hall | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

To get to the GOP presidential debate stage, candidates must hit certain fundraising and polling requirements, as per the RNC. A key stipulation is that candidates must poll 1% or higher in 3 national polls with 800 or more registered Republican likely voters. Additionally, the RNC said the polls must each survey at least 800 registered likely Republican voters for it to count. As Insider's Walt Hickey previously wrote, surveys containing "800 registered likely Republican voters" are not easy to come by. It's also, coincidentally, the only survey tracked by FiveThirtyEight with more than 800 registered likely Republican voters that has Hutchinson and former New Jersey Gov.

Persons: Chris Christie, Asa Hutchinson, Hutchinson —, Insider's Walt Hickey, FiveThirtyEight's Nathaniel Rakich, It's, Hutchinson, Christie Organizations: RNC, Republican, Trump, Service, Republican National Committee, New, New Jersey Gov, Arkansas Gov, GOP, Politico Locations: Wall, Silicon, New Jersey, Milwaukee

☆ Ron DeSantis vows to attend the first debate whether Trump shows or not
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-07 | by ( Brent D. Griffiths | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Ron DeSantis said he will show up to the first GOP debate regardless of what Trump does. Ron DeSantis is vowing to attend the first Republican presidential debate regardless of what Donald Trump does. "I'll be there, regardless," DeSantis told Fox News on Thursday evening. Former Vice President Mike Pence has said he is unafraid to challenge Trump directly, should his former running mate actually show up. Former Vice President Mike Pence, former UN ambassador Nikki Haley, conservative entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy, and Sen. Tim Scott of South Carolina follow.

Persons: Ron DeSantis, Trump, DeSantis, goad Trump, —, Donald Trump, Mike Pence, I've, Pence, Hugh Hewitt, Chris Christie, Christie, CNN's Jake Tapper, Tim Scott, Nikki Haley, FiveThirtyEight's, Vivek Ramaswamy, Sen, Tim Scott of Organizations: Trump, reconsidering, Service, Gov, Fox News, PAC, Former New Jersey Gov, Republican National Committee Locations: Florida, Milwaukee, DeSantis, Tim Scott of South Carolina

Trump's prior indictment in New York on charges alleging falsification of business documents didn't move the political needle much. But there is recent polling that explains what Americans think about the prospect of Trump being charged with crimes, including some specifically about an indictment related to his handling of classified documents. Meanwhile, 63% of Americans, called "taking highly classified documents from the White House and obstructing efforts to retrieve them" a serious crime. Ahead of Trump's indictment in Manhattan, Quinnipiac University asked Americans whether they thought criminal charges, not an indictment, should disqualify Trump from running. A slim majority of all voters, 52%, said that in his New York indictment, Trump has been treated like anyone else accused of those same crimes and hasn't been unfairly targeted.

Persons: Donald Trump, —, Trump's, Trump, it's, Joe Biden, hasn't, Jan Organizations: —, White House, Republicans, Trump, White, Yahoo, Quinnipiac University, NBC, Republican, GOP, DeSantis, Associated Press, NORC Center for Public Affairs Research Locations: New York, Manhattan, York, Florida

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