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☆ America sort of likes Kamala Harris – and that might just be enough
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-21 | by ( Brent D. Griffiths | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

The 2024 White House race remains too close to call, but Vice President Kamala Harris' momentum is evident when you look just a little past the horse race. Earlier this week, Harris' favorability emerged above water for the first time since shortly after President Joe Biden took office. Soltis Anderson discussed a poll that the interest group commissioned, which found Harris has expanded Biden's once-meager lead over women voters aged 50 and over. Unlike Clinton, Walsh pointed out Harris hasn't spent decades in the spotlight and isn't faced with assuaging voters' fears of a potential political dynasty. Harris' favorability was up slightly in both Pennsylvania and Michigan.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Harris, favorability, Joe Biden, She's, Kristen Soltis Anderson, Soltis Anderson, Debbie Walsh, Tim Malloy, Likability, Barack Obama's, Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump's, Nikki Haley, Gabe Fleisher, reexamined, Trump, Nate Silver's, Walsh, There's, Clinton, Harris hasn't, isn't, Clinton's favorability, Obama's, Mark Robinson, Robinson, Sen, JD Vance, he's, Malloy Organizations: Service, AARP, Business, Center for American Women, Politics, Quinnipiac University Poll, Democratic, Research, Pew Research, State, Rutgers University, Gov, CNN, Republicans, Trump Tower, Trump Locations: North Carolina, Nazi, Nebraska, FiveThirtyEight's, Trump, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin

☆ Elon Musk boosts fake Trump rally bomb threat and false claims about the election
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Liam Reilly | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

New York CNN —Elon Musk is using his social media platform to promote misinformation about the presidential candidates in the lead up to the November election, amplifying false claims Wednesday about a Trump rally bomb threat and immigrants eating pets in Ohio. Then on Wednesday, Musk reshared a bogus claim that a bomb had been discovered near the site of a planned Trump rally in Long Island. Musk’s own post has been earmarked with a crowd-sourced “community notes” fact-check that makes clear the claim was false. X did not respond to a CNN request for comment Wednesday on Musk’s posts. Musk is far from the only figure spreading false information on the platform, though he is easily one of its biggest voices.

Persons: New York CNN — Elon, Donald Trump, Musk, Biden, Kamala, ”, Kamala Harris, Musk’s, Trump, JD Vance, Nate Silver, Silver, Harris Organizations: New, New York CNN, Trump, ABC, Long Island . Police, CNN, Twitter Locations: New York, Ohio, Long Island, Springfield , Ohio, Springfield, Nevada , Wisconsin , Michigan, Pennsylvania

☆ The 2024 election is anybody's race at this point, says FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe 2024 election is anybody's race at this point, says FiveThirtyEight's Nate SilverNate Silver, FiveThirtyEight founder and ‘On The Edge: The Art of Risking Everything’ author, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the state of the 2024 election, the art of risk-taking, difference between 'the river' and 'the village', and more.

Persons: Nate Silver Nate Silver

☆ Opinion | Nate Silver on How Kamala Harris Changed the Odds
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-13 | by ( Ezra Klein | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +81 min

You know, Hillary Clinton, who was, I think, kind of a terrible candidate, won the popular vote by two points. So I don’t think they gave her a very good hand to play. It doesn’t matter who you are, it matters that you’re right and you’re able to prove it or bet on it in some way. What wasn’t in the Harris model that should have been?” “Yeah, maybe you really can meme your way to victory. And there’s something in it that I don’t think she can explain how she does it, but it makes her a fascinating leader.

Persons: Nate Silver, ”, ESPN’s Nate Silver, Silver, He’s, “ Savage, ” “, he’s, Ezra, Harris, we’ve, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump’s, There’s, Hillary Clinton, she’s, She’s, Gavin Newsom, It’s, Biden, I’m, you’re, Joe Biden, Democratic Party Harris, Liz, —, “, Donald Trump, that’s, George W, Bush, Donald Trump wasn’t, it’s, Michael Jackson, Woody Allen, ’, Chick, don’t, George Floyd, ‘ COVID, COVID, Peter Thiel, Elon Musk, Michael Moritz, Elon, Mark Cuban, Thiel, Max Chafkin, Mark Zuckerberg, Larry Page, Sergey Brin, Marc Andreessen, Ted Cruz, Sam Bankman, Tom Brady, SBF, Carrick Flynn, Oregon’s, I’m Carrick Flynn, Tara MacAulay, vouched, Bill Clinton, Tyler Cowen, they’ve, Jane, JD Vance, Peter Thiel’s, Vance, Trump, Steve Bannon, Don Trump, Jr, Tucker Carlson, Tim Walz, Josh Shapiro, Tell, you’ve, Shapiro, Walz, I’ve, Iglesias, Obama, Susan Collins, Joe Manchin —, Jon Tester, ” “ Sherrod Brown, I’d, Dana White, Hulk Hogan, Joe Biden’s, — let’s, Mike Donilon, Kennedy, ” “ Tim Alberta, Georgia —, Brian Kemp, Blake Masters, Rick Scott, ” “ Trump, Doug Burgum, Black, didn’t, — Woodrow Wilson, Harry Truman, Michael Jordan, everyone’s, Nancy Pelosi’s, Nancy Pelosi, Joe ’, we’re, I’ll, John Coates, Richard Rhodes, Natasha Schüll, Natasha Organizations: Oracle, Trump, Democratic Party, Facebook, Twitter, The New York Times, ’ Harvard University, Democratic White House, Republican White House, Democratic, Silver, George, Vegas, Poker, extroversion, Elon, Sequoia Capital, McLaren, Paypal, Republican, New, PAC, Alameda, Las, Ohio Senate, underperform, White, UFC, RNC, Biden, Biden ., National Association of Black Journalists, Deutsche Bank, Manhattan Project, Design Locations: Nate, Russian, Russia, ’, Elon, Florida, predestiny, Bahamas, Sam, Africa, New York, Oregon, Las Vegas, Petersburg, United States, Ohio, Trump, Minnesota, ” “ Pennsylvania, Pennsylvania, Gaza, Chicago, Montana, Nevada, North Carolina, Georgia, Nevada , Arizona, Biden . Georgia, Carolina, Arizona, Ukraine, LA, It’s, Vegas

☆ Secret to Startup Success: Being an Obnoxious Risk-Taker
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-13 | by ( Nate Silver | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +11 min

Of the billionaires on the 2023 Forbes 400 list — the 400 richest people in the United States — 70% are basically self-made. In 1982, only 40% of the Forbes 400 had started their own business; the majority were simply scions of inherited wealth. The Forbes 400, however, is the extreme right tail of the curve. But you're not sniffing the Forbes 400 list, where the bidding starts at about $3 billion. I don't think VCs are deliberately picking founders they think are unreliable, although sometimes it seems like it.

Persons: Raj Chetty, That's, Chamath Palihapitiya, Palihapitiya, Josh Wolfe, Wolfe, Elon Musk, Thiel, Jeff Bezos, we're, Sam Bankman, Andreessen Horowitz, A16z, Adam Neumann, Neumann, WeWork, Marc Andreessen, Ben Horowitz, Horowitz, they've, Benchmark's Gurley, Gurley, Nate Silver Organizations: Forbes, United States —, Social Capital, Burger, Lux, VCs, New York Times, Penguin Press, Penguin Publishing, Penguin Random Locations: United States, America, Sri Lanka, Canada, Coney, Israeli, Silicon, Canyon Point , Utah

☆ See How Biden Lost Support in the Polls Before He Dropped Out
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-23 | by ( Albert Sun | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +3 min

See How Biden Lost Support in the Polls Before He Dropped OutPresident Biden ended his re-election campaign on Sunday after a post-debate slump in national and swing-state polls. Note: Times polling averages for the Biden vs. Trump matchup are archived here. The New York TimesMr. Biden fell again in the polls after a gunman’s attempted assassination of Mr. Trump at a Pennsylvania rally on July 13. Polls and the Electoral CollegeBoth Mr. Biden and Mr. Trump had states they could count on in November, but they needed to get to 270 electoral votes. By The New York TimesMight the polls have been wrong, or have underestimated support for Mr. Biden?

Persons: Biden, Donald J, Mr, Trump, Kamala Harris Organizations: Biden, Trump, New York Times, The New York Times, Democratic, Electoral, Mr, Nev, Times Locations: Michigan , Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Wisconsin , Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wis, Pa, Mich, N.C

☆ China finally agrees with Trump on something — they both think Kamala Harris can't win
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-22 | by ( Matthew Loh | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Read previewPresident Joe Biden's ditched election bid has gone viral in China, where online consensus is veering toward former President Donald Trump's campaign rhetoric. AdvertisementVice President Kamala Harris met briefly with Chinese leader Xi Jinping in 2022 at her request during the APEC forum that year. As for Trump, the former president is often the subject of memes in China, mocking him as a secret agent for Beijing. Montages of Harris laughing on camera have also surfaced in China, though most are not derogatory. Most July polls put either Democratic leader behind Trump, though typically by a slim disadvantage of one to five percentage points.

Persons: —, Joe Biden's, Donald Trump's, Kamala Harris —, Biden, Harris, Joe Biden, Trump, there's, Wu Dalang, Xi Jinping, Antony Blinken, Kamala Harris, Ding Haitao, She's, Doug Emhoff, Blinken —, China —, Laffin, Kamala Organizations: Service, Democratic, White, Business, Republican, APEC, Getty, Trump, Biden Locations: China, Gansu, Weibo, Bangkok, Xinhua, Beijing, Trump

Gavin Newsom of California, had previously said he would not challenge Ms. Harris. He often rambles incoherently in interviews and at campaign rallies and has confused names, dates and facts just as Mr. Biden has. Mr. Biden consistently maintained that his experience was an advantage, enabling him to pass landmark legislation and manage foreign policy crises. He maintained that he was the Democrat best equipped to defeat Mr. Trump given that he did so in 2020. On the international front, Mr. Biden revitalized international alliances that frayed under Mr. Trump, rallying much of the world to stand against Russia’s unprovoked invasion of Ukraine.

Persons: Biden, Kamala Harris, Donald J, Trump, ”, Mr, Ms, Harris, “, it’s, I’ve, Kamala, —, Gretchen Whitmer, Gavin Newsom, pollsters, Franklin, Lyndon, Ketanji Brown Jackson, Israel, Benjamin Netanyahu, Biden’s, James K, Polk, James Buchanan, Rutherford B, Hayes, Lyndon Johnson, John F Organizations: Sunday, Trump, Democratic, Democratic Party, Gov, Mr, Democratic National Convention, Senate, Democrat, White, Roosevelt’s, Society, Supreme, Republican, Republicans, Hamas Locations: Michigan, California, Chicago, Europe, County, Delaware, Ukraine, Israel, Gaza, Rafah, Afghanistan, Kabul, U.S, Vietnam

☆ President Biden's reelection campaign is on its last legs as Democrats' fears extend beyond losing just the White House
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-19 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

In today's big story, President Biden's comeback plan isn't working , and Democratic leaders are ready to move on . President Joe Biden's reelection campaign appears to be on its last legs as calls within his party have grown from whispers to shouts since his disastrous debate last month. AdvertisementBut perhaps the biggest blow to Biden's reelection campaign came with the news that his former running mate has doubts. But for some Democrats, the risk of Biden continuing his reelection campaign could extend from the White House to Capitol Hill. Still, despite mounting pressure, Biden's campaign has remained steadfast about his reelection bid.

Persons: —, Biden's, Mario Tama, Tyler Le, Joe Biden's, it's, Insider's Brent D, Griffiths, Sen, Bernie Sanders, Biden, doesn't, That's, BI's Bryan Metzger, Chuck Schumer, Hakeem Jeffries, Nancy Pelosi, Sarah Gray, Kelsey Vlamis, Barack Obama, Kent Nishimura, don't, Schumer, Jeffries, Adam Schiff, Quentin Fulks, Cros, Steve Schwarzman, it'll, Michael M, Jensen, Goldman Sachs, Peter Naylor, Amy Reinhard, Jamie Dimon's, cushy, Ernst & Young, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, It's, Harris, Harvey Weinstein, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, Annie Smith, Amanda Yen Organizations: Service, American Airlines, United Airlines, Democratic, Business, Getty, Trump, Biden, Capitol, Case, Senate, Wall, Google, Bank of America, Blackstone, Nvidia, Netflix, EV, Mercedes, Benz, Warner Bros Discovery, Warner Bros, Discovery, WarnerMedia, Investors, JPMorgan, McKinsey, Ernst, American Express, Convention Locations: Crowdstrike, Biden's, AFP, New York, London

☆ Donald Trump is favored, but Joe Biden can still win this election
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-12 | by ( Harry Enten | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

If you average the national polls since the debate 15 days ago, Trump’s ahead by 3 points. An NPR/PBS News/Marist College poll out Friday morning even put the race at 50% for Biden to 48% for Trump (a result within the margin of error). Biden was ahead by 9 points in the early July national polls in 2020. I think it’s totally fair to say that Trump is the favorite and that Biden has his work cut out for him. There is also data to suggest that Vice President Kamala Harris would be a stronger Democratic nominee against Trump than Biden.

Persons: Joe Biden’s, Biden’s, Donald Trump, Democrat Michael Dukakis, Republican George H.W, Republican George H.W . Bush, Bush, Dukakis, Biden, Trump’s, Trump, we’ve, Nate Silver, Hillary Clinton, Clinton ”, We’ve, Kamala Harris, Harris Organizations: CNN, NPR, PBS, Marist College, Biden, Trump, Democrat, Republican, Biden’s, Democratic Locations: Republican George H.W ., Michigan , Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Arizona, George , Nevada, North Carolina

☆ A Nobel-winning economist told us 3 ways a Trump presidency could make inflation worse
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-09 | by ( Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Read previewNobel Prize-winning economist Joseph Stiglitz told Business Insider in a June interview the US economy is "remarkably strong." "I think general consensus, not just my view, but almost anybody modeling what is going on would say the Trump administration would be more inflationary," Stiglitz told BI. Related storiesStiglitz noted Trump's promise of large increases in tariffs as one of the things that could make inflation worse. A third factor that could juice inflation would be the "drastic reductions in immigration" that Trump has proposed, Stiglitz said. AdvertisementOutside of the risks to inflation, Stiglitz said a Trump presidency could also mean a slowing GDP.

Persons: —, Joseph Stiglitz, Stiglitz, Trump, Axios, Trump's, Karoline Leavitt Organizations: Service, Democratic, Republican, Business, Republican National Committee, Trump, U.S, Republicans, CNN Locations: U.S

☆ Live Election Updates: Biden Hits the Trail as Concern Among Democrats Grows.
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-07 | by ( Nicholas Nehamas | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +3 min

Pennsylvania is one of the states that Mr. Biden almost certainly must win if he hopes to retain the White House. “President Biden is a fierce supporter of unions, and he won’t cross a picket line,” Lauren Hitt, a Biden campaign spokeswoman, said in a statement. After Philadelphia, Mr. Biden will travel to Harrisburg for a community organizing event with union members on Sunday afternoon. “They don’t need scripted remarks,” said Steve Sisolak, the former Democratic governor of Nevada, who supports Mr. Biden. Be out there, mingle with your folks.”Despite doubts from many Democrats, Mr. Biden has defiantly insisted that he will stay in the race.

Persons: Biden, Mr, Donald J, Trump, Gavin Newsom, “, ” Lauren Hitt, Josh Shapiro, Bob Casey, John Fetterman, Biden’s, ”, Steve Sisolak Organizations: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, Gov, National Education Association, Biden, Sunday, ABC News, Democratic Locations: Pennsylvania, Harrisburg, Philadelphia, California, Western Pennsylvania, Bucks County, Northwest Philadelphia, Nevada

☆ As Europe teeters further to the far right, the UK is doing the opposite
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-05 | by ( Matthew Loh | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Sunak, who conceded defeat on Friday morning UK time, will likely be replaced by Labour Party leader Keir Starmer. Labour's rise, largely telegraphed by pre-election polls, makes the UK a clear outlier in this year's political shifts in Western Europe. Still, the far-right faction there, Vox, struggled to gain a foothold, with only 9.6% of the vote, down from 12.4% in 2019. Reform UK party leader Nigel Farage on July 3, 2024.

Persons: —, it's, Rishi Sunak's, Keir Starmer, Starmer, Jeremy Corbyn, he's, Germany's Scholz, Alice Weidel, Tino Chrupalla, Chancellor Olaf Scholz's, Sean Gallup, Scholz, France's, Emmanuel Macron, Macron, FRANCOIS LO, Le, Giorgia, Massimo Di Vita, Archivio Massimo Di Vita, Spain's, Pedro Sanchez's, Vox, Geert Wilders, Nigel Farage's, Farage, Nigel Farage, Dan Kitwood, Richard Wike Organizations: Service, Conservative Party, Labour Party, Business, European Union, Parliamentary, Chancellor Olaf Scholz's Social Democratic Party, Marine, FRANCOIS LO PRESTI, Getty, Italy, June's, Democratic Party, Spain's People's Party, Party for Freedom, Nigel Farage's Reform, Reform, Pew Research Center Locations: Western Europe, Germany, Berlin, France, AFP, Italy, Europe, Netherlands, Clacton

☆ Forget right or left. Voters are sick of whoever's in charge.
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-04 | by ( Grace Eliza Goodwin | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Though some say right-wing movements are on the rise globally, in this year's elections, that's not universally the case. Andy Soloman/UCG/Universal Images Group via Getty ImagesIn short, voters are just fed up — no matter who's in charge. Voters want a chanceGlobally, it's not hard to see an anti-establishment, anti-incumbency trend playing out. So-called "double haters" — voters who dislike both Trump and Biden — have made up an influential chunk of the electorate in recent polls.

Persons: —, that's, Brian Greenhill, Rishi Sunak's, Andy Soloman, Greenhill, Keir Starmer, Rishi, Emmanuel Macron's, Narendra Modi's, Yoon Suk, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, de, Richard Wike, Sweden —, Wike, Mike Kemp, there's, Biden —, Biden, it's Organizations: Service, Business, SUNY, Environmental, Getty, Voters, Labour, Conservative Party, Reuters, African National Congress, NPR, de Maismont, Pew's, Research, Pew Research, Trump Locations: India, France, SUNY Albany, South Korea, —, United States, AFP, Canada, Germany, Greece, Italy, Japan, Netherlands, Spain, Sweden, America

☆ A Nobel Prize-winning economist breaks down exactly how Trump's proposed policies could make inflation worse
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-28 | by ( Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Read previewNobel Prize-winning economist Joseph Stiglitz told Business Insider the US economy is "remarkably strong." "I think general consensus, not just my view, but almost anybody modeling what is going on would say the Trump administration would be more inflationary," Stiglitz told BI. AdvertisementStiglitz noted Trump's promise of large increases in tariffs as one of the things that could make inflation worse. AdvertisementA third factor that could juice inflation would be the "drastic reductions in immigration" that Trump has proposed, Stiglitz said. Outside of the risks to inflation, Stiglitz said a Trump presidency could also mean a slowing GDP.

Persons: —, Joseph Stiglitz, Stiglitz, Trump, Axios, Joe Biden, Trump's, Karoline Leavitt Organizations: Service, Democratic, Republican, Business, Trump, U.S, Republicans, CNN Locations: U.S

☆ Election Updates: Trump brings out the crowds on Saturday while Biden does debate prep.
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-22 | by ( Chris Cameron | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: 1 min

Image Credit... Doug Mills/The New York TimesFormer President Donald J. Trump will make two appearances today, first addressing the evangelical Faith and Freedom Coalition in Washington, D.C., before holding a campaign rally in Philadelphia. President Biden is at Camp David, the presidential country retreat, for the weekend. The presidential campaign is entering a crucial phase. Mr. Biden and Mr. Trump will face off in an unusually early debate on CNN on Thursday as polls reflect a tightening race. FiveThirtyEight’s aggregate of national polls show Mr. Biden very slightly ahead of Mr. Trump for the first time since recording began in March, while its election forecast shows the outcome of the race as effectively a coin flip.

Persons: Doug Mills, Donald J, Trump, Biden, David Organizations: New York Times, Freedom Coalition, Washington , D.C, CNN Locations: Washington ,, Philadelphia

☆ Biden's approval rating just hit its lowest mark on record
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-10 | by ( Brent D. Griffiths | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Read previewPresident Joe Biden's approval rating remains severely underwater just under five months before Americans will render their verdict on his reelection bid. Joe Biden's approval rating has hit 37.4% in 538's average—an all-time low. https://t.co/sF8buXFup9 pic.twitter.com/lZcLTxOOw2 — Nathaniel Rakich (@baseballot) June 10, 2024On Monday, Biden notched the unpleasant distinction of recording his lowest-ever mark in FiveThirtyEight's weighted tracker of his approval rating with a 37.4% approval. According to FiveThirtyEight's weighted average, Trump has a 41.6% approval rating. Four other modern presidents had an average sub-50% approval rating at this same point in time.

Persons: —, Joe Biden's, sF8buXFup9, lZcLTxOOw2, Nathaniel Rakich, Biden, Donald Trump's, Trump, Gallup, Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama Organizations: Service, Business, Monday, White House, Capitol, Gallup, Biden Locations: Gaza, Afghanistan

☆ Trump says he does not support restricting birth control after saying he was ‘looking at’ contraception
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-21 | by ( Kate Sullivan | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

CNN —Former President Donald Trump on Tuesday said he did not support restricting birth control after saying earlier in the day he was “looking at” contraceptives when asked if he supported any restrictions to the right to contraception. “I HAVE NEVER, AND WILL NEVER ADVOCATE IMPOSING RESTRICTIONS ON BIRTH CONTROL, or other contraceptives,” Trump posted on Truth Social. He wants to rip away our freedom to access birth control too,” Biden campaign spokesperson Sarafina Chitika said in a statement. Legal access to birth control is popular among most Americans. A FiveThirtyEight/Ipsos poll conducted in 2022 found 89% of Americans support mostly or completely legal access to birth control pills and 71% support access to emergency contraception like Plan B.

Persons: Donald Trump, ” Trump, Biden, Trump, ”, Trump “, Donald Trump’s, ” Biden, Sarafina Chitika, Harris, Roe, Wade, Republicans “ Organizations: CNN, Pittsburgh TV, KDKA, Biden, Trump, Republicans, ”, GOP

☆ Trump says RFK Jr. is 'not a serious candidate,' refuses to debate him because his numbers are 'too low'
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-02 | by ( Brent D. Griffiths | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Trump repeatedly attacked Kennedy over social media this past weekend, despite the former president's claim that he knows little about Kennedy. Trump's refusal to debate Kennedy may not be entirely in his hands. But Trump and his allies have been harshly critical of the debate commission. AdvertisementBiden recently told radio host Howard Stern that he would like to debate Trump, but there is rampant speculation such a debate will never occur. The second debate was canceled after Trump refused to accept a virtual format after the then-president tested positive for COVID-19.

Persons: —, Donald Trump, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Trump, Kennedy, Biden, He's, Nicole Shanahan, MAGA, Joe Biden, Ross Perot, Howard Stern Organizations: Service, RFK, Business, NBC News, Trump voters, Capitol, Politico, Republican National, Texas State University, Trump Locations: Manhattan, Texas, San Marcos , Texas

☆ Biden Is Still Losing. His Campaign Should Stop Acting Like He Isn’t. - The New York Times
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-01 | by ( Ross Douthat | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +2 min

In February, there was a flurry of discussion about whether Joe Biden’s advancing age and seeming weakness in a matchup with Donald Trump meant that he should step aside. “The Drumbeat for Biden to Step Aside Will Only Grow Louder” ran one headline from that period, from Robert Kuttner in the American Prospect. All it took was Biden giving a passable State of the Union address: Thereafter his poll numbers marginally improved, the optimists on the Democratic side seized the rhetorical initiative, and the “should Biden step aside?” discourse faded into background noise. But it’s also quite consistent; since last fall, both candidates are bouncing around within a very narrow range. ), because voters aren’t paying close attention yet (but don’t they already know both of the candidates quite well?

Persons: Joe Biden’s, Donald Trump, Biden, Nate Silver, Ezra Klein, Robert Hur, Robert Kuttner, Kuttner, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, it’s, he’s Organizations: Democratic, Trump, Electoral College Locations: Georgia, Michigan, Arizona , Nevada , Pennsylvania, Wisconsin

☆ Biden has become cursing mad over his polling numbers and impatient with staff who try to insulate him from the public
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-17 | by ( Katie Balevic | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

President Joe Biden is mad about his low polling numbers despite his economic successes. Biden also resisted when aides tried to keep him from public events where he could misspeak or trip. The low numbers stemmed from voters' discontent with Biden's response to the war in Gaza, the lawmaker said. "The man's been successful for decades in Congress and became vice president and president," one source who used to work for the administration told NBC. Another source speaking anonymously told NBC that Biden may be "a little mad at himself for not being more forceful with the staff."

Persons: Joe Biden, Biden, —, hasn't, he's, speechwriters Organizations: NBC News, Service, White, NBC, Business Locations: Michigan, Georgia, Gaza

☆ Was Trump’s Nomination Always Inevitable?
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-06 | by ( Charles Homans | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

Nikki Haley’s exit from the presidential race this morning all but assures former President Donald Trump of the Republican nomination, in a contest that has been notably lacking in suspense. But that wasn’t always the case. As recently as a year ago, less than half of Republican voters in FiveThirtyEight’s polling average named Trump their preferred candidate. Or were there moments along Trump’s road to victory that could have led to another outcome? They considered several moments that loom large in retrospect, starting in the final days of Trump’s presidency, and discussed how things might have gone differently.

Persons: Nikki Haley’s, Donald Trump, wasn’t, Trump, Trump’s, Mitch McConnell’s Organizations: Republican

☆ Opinion: Donald Trump defeats Nikki Haley in South Carolina. She should continue fighting
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-24 | by ( Opinion Geoff Duncan | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

Immediately after the polls closed on Saturday night, CNN projected that the former South Carolina governor had come up short to Trump. During the fourth quarter of 2023, Haley out-raised Trump, $24 million to $19 million. In January 2024, as the rest of the GOP field winnowed, Haley’s fundraising again bested Trump’s, $9.8 million to $8.8 million. To her credit, Haley has taken dead aim at both Trump and Putin, accusing the former of emboldening the latter. During the 2016 South Carolina primary, there were still six serious candidates in the GOP race.

Persons: Geoff Duncan, CNN — Nikki Haley’s, Donald Trump, Trump, Haley, Trump’s, Haley —, Joe Biden, Time, Biden, Nancy Pelosi, Alexey Navalny, Vladimir Putin, Putin, “ Vladimir Putin, there’s Organizations: CNN, GOP, America’s Conservative Party, South, Trump, ABC, White, Republican, PBS, Marist, NATO Locations: South Carolina, Egypt, Mexico, Hungary, Turkey, month’s, Hampshire, Russia, Carolina

☆ Trump is now vastly more popular than Nikki Haley in her home state of South Carolina: poll
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-01 | by ( Brent D. Griffiths | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Read previewFormer UN ambassador Nikki Haley's popularity has taken a hit in her home state of South Carolina, a worrying sign ahead of a critical primary race against former President Donald Trump, a new poll reported. According to a Washington Post-Monmouth University poll, Haley's popularity has dropped 31 percentage points in just under five months. FiveThirtyEight's weighted average show Trump with a roughly 31-point lead in South Carolina. Still, Haley's standing among South Carolina Republicans underlines Trump's strength in the race. While she may be the state's former governor, the former president has also secured the endorsements of almost the entire South Carolina congressional delegation.

Persons: —, Nikki Haley's, Donald Trump, Haley, Trump's, Ron DeSantis, Trump Organizations: Service, UN, Washington Post, Monmouth University, Trump, Business, Florida Gov, South Carolina Republicans, GOP Locations: South Carolina, Monmouth, New Hampshire

☆ Trump is clearly annoyed by Nikki Haley's decision to stay in the presidential race
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-24 | by ( John L. Dorman | Bryan Metzger | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Read previewFormer President Donald Trump on Tuesday defeated Nikki Haley in New Hampshire — a state that the former South Carolina governor clearly needed to win. "Could somebody please explain to Nikki Haley that she lost — and lost really badly," Trump wrote on Truth Social early on Wednesday morning. Donald Trump: Nikki Haley "appointed you Tim...and you're the senator of her state...You must really hate her!" It's a strategy he employed last weekend when he invited South Carolina Gov. (McMaster had already endorsed Trump before Haley formally entered the presidential race last year.)

Persons: —, Donald Trump, Nikki Haley, Haley, Trump, South Carolina Sen, Tim Scott, Scott, Tim, Henry McMaster, McMaster, she's, Joe Biden Organizations: Service, Tuesday, South, Business, Truth, South Carolina Gov, GOP Locations: New Hampshire, South Carolina, Iowa

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