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Gold little changed as traders seek more data for Fed rate cues
  + stars: | 2024-06-03 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices were little changed on Monday as traders awaited more U.S. economic data this week, after recent data showed that inflation stabilized and lifted hopes for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates later this year. Gold prices were little changed on Monday as traders awaited more U.S. economic data this week, after recent data showed that inflation stabilized and lifted hopes for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates later this year. "Gold is getting a little bit of support after the marginally softer than expected Personal Consumption Expenditures numbers supported the notion that the Fed can cut rates this year," Rodda said. Data on Friday showed that the U.S. inflation had stabilized in April, raising bets for a rate cut in September. Spot gold may break support at $2,319 per ounce, and fall towards $2,302, according to Reuters technical analyst Wang Tao.
Persons: Bullion, Kyle Rodda, Rodda, Wang Tao Organizations: Federal Reserve, Capital.com, Institute of Supply, PMI, Traders Locations: .
One kilogram gold bullion at the YLG Bullion International Co. headquarters in Bangkok, Thailand, on Friday, Dec. 22, 2023. Gold prices were set for a fourth straight monthly gain, even as the market struggled for momentum on Friday ahead of a key U.S. inflation reading that could provide more indications on how the Federal Reserve might proceed with rate cuts later this year. Bullion prices are up 0.3% so far this week and 2.5% so far in the month. Spot silver fell 0.8% to $30.95 per ounce, but was set for its biggest monthly gain since July 2020. Platinum was down 0.2% at $1,021.94 and palladium lost 0.2% to $945.56.
Persons: Kyle Rodda, Yeap Jun Rong Organizations: Co, Federal Reserve Locations: Bangkok, Thailand, U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTrump verdict has the potential to create 'chaos' in financial markets: Portfolio managerPhillip Toews of Toews Asset Management says the "long-term playout" of Trump's verdict will last until the U.S. presidential elections in November.
Persons: Phillip Toews Organizations: Management
"Expanding the use of the renminbi in trade is less challenging than increasing its status as an international reserve currency," Liu wrote. The yuan faces challenges in its globalizationWhile the US and China's strategic competition points to a possible race for currency supremacy, the Chinese yuan is far from ready — and even Beijing knows that. AdvertisementHowever, capital controls are not necessarily a dealbreaker for the broader adoption of the yuan in trade, wrote Liu. It also shows it's not so easy to displace the mighty US dollar as the world's top reserve and trading currency of choice. A recent global survey of 1,660 enterprises showed that there is just not enough interest in using the yuan to trade.
Persons: , Zoe Liu, Liu, Russia —, Xi, it's Organizations: Service, China Studies, Council, Foreign Relations, Business, Monetary, Financial, China's Bank of Communications, Renmin University Locations: China, Taiwan, London, Russia, Beijing, East Asia, Southeast, Central Asia
Tighter bank lending means more opportunities for private lenders to lend and make outsize returns on their loans. Financial industry titans Jamie Dimon and Marc Rowan have been trading opposing views on the burgeoning sector for the last year. Last year, Rowan responded to Dimon's comments that higher capital requirements for banks had private lenders like Apollo "dancing in the streets." AdvertisementRowan on Thursday responded by saying that the private-credit industry helps reduce systemic risk caused by the traditional banking industry. "Jamie is an amazing representative of the banking industry," Rowan said.
Persons: , Jamie Dimon, Marc Rowan, Dimon, JPMorgan Chase, Rowan, Apollo, Jamie, Blackstone, — I've, Bernstein, Dimon's Organizations: Service, Financial, JPMorgan, Business, Bank of America Global Research, Apollo Locations: New York City
Beijing's goal now is to minimize any impact from potential sweeping sanctions from the West in "extreme geopolitical scenarios," such as a military conflict over Taiwan, which China claims as its territory, wrote Liu. "Expanding the use of the renminbi in trade is less challenging than increasing its status as an international reserve currency," Liu wrote. AdvertisementHowever, capital controls are not necessarily a dealbreaker for the broader adoption of the yuan in trade, wrote Liu. It also shows it's not so easy to displace the mighty US dollar as the world's top reserve and trading currency of choice. A recent global survey of 1,660 enterprises showed that there is just not enough interest in using the yuan to trade.
Persons: , Zoe Liu, Liu, Russia —, Xi, it's Organizations: Service, China Studies, Council, Foreign Relations, Business, Monetary, Financial, China's Bank of Communications, Renmin University Locations: China, Taiwan, London, Russia, Beijing, East Asia, Southeast, Central Asia
Washington CNN —US economic data released Thursday was broadly disappointing. And mortgage rates inched higher this week, thrusting the average rate back above the psychological 7% threshold. HousingHousing data released Thursday mostly showed that the market remains tough, especially for first-time buyers. The Fed doesn’t directly set mortgage rates, but its actions, which influence yields, do. There were 219,000 first-time claims filed during the week ended May 25, according to Labor Department data released Thursday.
Persons: ” Oren Klachkin, it’s, Freddie Mac, They’re, ” Lawrence Yun, hasn’t Organizations: Washington CNN, Treasury, Federal, Nationwide, Commerce, Housing, Fed, National Association of Realtors, ” Jobs, Labor Department, Dow, Nasdaq Locations: American
Wall Street sell-side research is a key part of the financial markets, written by analysts working for brokerage firms, investment banks and other institutions. Research reports An analyst's published research report might include a company overview with basic information about a company's business, products and position in the relevant market. This is especially true when an analyst is first initiating research coverage into a particular company or industry. Analyst recommendations affect stock prices every day , especially if an analyst or her firm is highly reputable or believed to hold expertise in a particular area. Contrarian indicators Analyst recommendations can occasionally act as a contrarian indicator , too.
Persons: Merrill Lynch, Henry Blodgett, Merrill Organizations: Research, Wall, Sarbanes, Oxley, Global, Securities and Exchange Commission, National Association of Securities Dealers, CNBC Pro Locations: Sarbanes
Legendary investor John Hussman says the latest stock rally is rooted in the extreme fear of missing out. FOMO factors have surged in markets, and stock prices could fall 50%-70% this cycle. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. The legendary bear, famed for predicting the 2000 and 2008 crashes, reiterated that equities could drop as much as 70% this cycle. "Even the more conventional (but less reliable) S&P 500 price/forward operating earnings multiple is at levels that have no rivals except surrounding the 2000 and 2022 peaks," Hussman said.
Persons: John Hussman, , Hussman, Dow Organizations: Service, Hussman Investment Trust
When mortgage rates shoot up, as they did over the past two years, many would-be sellers decide they don't want to move after all. AdvertisementAs the Federal Reserve began pushing up borrowing rates in the spring of 2022, hoping to reel in rising inflation, mortgage rates went vertical. So far, this system of pooling together mortgage bonds and selling them to investors is pretty close to the American way of doing things. When US homeowners pay off their mortgages, they have only one option: pony up the amount left on the loan. That's not just good for buyers or sellers or mortgage loan officers — it's good for everyone.
Persons: It's, John Campbell, Danes, Freddie Mac, that's, Will Doerner, , aren't, pesky, Campbell, Fannie Mae, Banks, Jesper Berg, there's, That's Organizations: Harvard, Federal Reserve, Federal Housing Finance Agency, Homeowners, Danish Financial Supervisory Authority Locations: America, , Denmark, Zillow, Canada, Australia, Danish
"There could be hell to pay" if private credit markets wobble, Jamie Dimon said. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementJPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon said private credit could spark turmoil if the opaque sector of financial markets weakens. The private credit market—a corner of finance dominated by non-bank lenders who originate loans to private businesses—has grown rapidly in recent years. "And the problems in financial markets are often caused by the 'not good one,' the people that make the mistakes."
Persons: Jamie Dimon, , Dimon Organizations: Service, JPMorgan, Bloomberg
A Goldman Sachs executive and finance industry veteran will take over as the new president of the Cleveland Federal Reserve. The central bank district announced Wednesday that Beth M. Hammack, 52, will take over when Loretta Mester steps down June 30. In the interim, Cleveland Fed First Vice President Mark S. Meder will serve as the president. As the Fed contemplates its next moves with monetary policy, the Cleveland president plays an important role this year as a voter on the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee. Hammack comes to the Cleveland Fed after serving with Goldman Sachs since 1993 in multiple roles, having been a partner since 2010 after being named managing director in 2003.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Beth M, Loretta Mester, Hammack, Mark S, Beth, Heidi Gartland Organizations: Cleveland Federal Reserve, Cleveland Fed, Fourth, Cleveland, Market, Stanford University, University Hospitals
Shein, the online retail giant founded in China, had grand ambitions to go public in New York. The company is now focusing more on the London Stock Exchange for its initial public offering, according to two people with knowledge of the matter. That may not have been the company’s initial choice — but it would be a big win for Britain, which has been wary of its capital city losing its status as a global financial hub. A spokeswoman for Shein declined to comment; the British Treasury also declined to comment. like Shein’s could be seen as a prize that bolsters the local financial market and sets the stage for other companies to follow.
Persons: Jeremy Hunt, Shein Organizations: London Stock Exchange, Britain, British Treasury Locations: China, New York, Washington, Beijing, London, Hong Kong, Dubai, Singapore
Analysts are expecting the Memorial Day weekend to usher in yet another summer of strong consumer spending on travel and other leisure activities. “We haven’t seen Memorial Day weekend travel numbers like these in almost 20 years,” Paula Twidale, senior vice president at AAA Travel, said in a release. Spending this summer will likely be a little softer than last year’s, they said, but still strong. The bank’s consumer travel survey showed that 72% of people said they’re planning to travel, with 36% saying they’ve already planned their trip. Even among respondents making less than $75,000 a year, more than 60% said they’re planning to travel this summer.
Persons: ” Paula Twidale, Royal Caribbean’s, ” David Tinsley, they’ve, Joelle, aren’t, Dogecoin, Shiba Inu “, Atsuko Sato, , Sato, ” Kabosu, Kabosu, Shiba, Loretta Mester, Neel Kashkari, Lisa Cook, Robin, John Williams, Raphael Bostic, Lorie Logan Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, Washington CNN —, Transportation Security Administration, AAA, AAA Travel, Bank of America Institute, Bank of America, Japan, Europe, New York Fed, Public Policy Research, Mizuho Financial, Federal, Global, Index, Board, HP, Dick’s Sporting Goods, Abercrombie, Fitch, Eagle Outfitters, Costco, Dell, Dollar, Hormel, US Commerce Department, US Labor Department, National Association of Realtors, China’s National Bureau of Statistics, Atlanta Fed Locations: Washington, Caribbean, South Korea, Switzerland, Colombia, Costa Rica, Canada, Mexico, Domestically , California, Florida, California, , Sakura, CAVA, Chewy, Burlington, Birkenstock, Nordstrom, Kohl’s
Dollar holds firm as traders trim U.S. rate cut bets
  + stars: | 2024-05-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
"The carry of holding dollars is far juicier," he said, while policymakers' rhetoric has also made traders nervous about inflation and the risk rate cuts would be distant or small. Traders have pushed out the timing of the first Fed rate cut to December. Thursday's business surveys from S&P Global supported the conviction among many traders that the Fed may keep rates higher for longer. But not for traders who are positioned for Fed cuts. Rates markets still price a near 90% chance the ECB cuts rates next month.
Persons: Martin Whetton, Matt Simpson, Sterling, Christopher Waller Organizations: U.S, Westpac, Federal, Traders, P Global, European Central Bank, Federal Reserve Locations: Sydney
Opinion | Return of the Inflation Truthers
  + stars: | 2024-05-21 | by ( Paul Krugman | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +1 min
Inflation swaps, which allow Wall Street in effect to make bets on future inflation, are implicitly projecting just 2.1 percent inflation over the next year. And it’s really hard to deny that inflation is way down from its peak. Yet many Americans don’t believe that inflation has fallen, and there are a number of commentators with large audiences insisting that there has been no improvement. Instead, they became “inflation truthers,” insisting that the benign numbers were fake. Now the inflation truthers are back.
Persons: don’t,
The Trump campaign announced Tuesday it will start accepting cryptocurrency donations, casting the move as one of solidarity with opponents of "socialistic government control" over the U.S. financial markets. "MAGA supporters, now with a new cryptocurrency option, will build a crypto army moving the campaign to victory on November 5th!" The move opens a new source of potential funds for the Trump campaign, which still lags Biden in cash on hand even as it outraised the Democratic incumbent in April. Crypto donations will be reported as in-kind contributions, much like gifts of stock. "Contribution limits and disclosure requirements for crypto donations will follow Federal Election Commission regulations," the Trump campaign said.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Joe Biden, Sen, Elizabeth Warren, Biden, Warren, MAGA, Crypto Organizations: Commerce, Trump, Biden, Democratic, Federal, Pew Research Center Locations: Waukesha, Waukesha , Wisconsin
Practically no one is phasing out the dollar for trade or foreign reserves, he said. No one is dumping dollars," Christian said of de-dollarization in a recent presentation. Its closest competitor, the euro, accounted for just 19% of all central bank reserves in 2022, down from around 29% several decades ago. Advertisement"There has been a diversification of central bank foreign exchange holdings, but it's not at the expense of the dollar, and it's not away from the dollar," Christian said. "Clearly people are buying dollars in a much greater volume than they are selling dollars," Christian said.
Persons: Jeffrey Christian, , Christian, it's, Chris Wallace, Wallace Organizations: CPM, Service, Bank of International Settlements, Monetary Fund, Federal Locations: Russia, China
New York CNN —Major business leaders and economists are worried about America’s growing debt problem. Last week, JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon expressed fear that a crisis is looming and that unchecked deficit spending could explode. The big picture: Between the Trump-era tax cuts and Covid-era stimulus programs, the national debt has exploded in recent years. Trump Media (DJT) reported a loss of $327.6 million during the first three months of the year, compared with a loss of $210,300 a year earlier. The company generated just $770,500 of revenue, marking the second-straight quarter where its revenue totaled less than $1 million.
Persons: Jamie Dimon, , ” Dimon, , Ray Dalio, Columbia Business School Glenn Hubbard, Joe Biden’s, Jason Thomas, Carlyle, ” Thomas, Hanna Ziady, Liz Truss, Treasuries, Hubbard, Thomas, it’s, Donald Trump, Matt Egan, Devin Nunes, Martin Gruenberg, Elisabeth Buchwald, ” Gruenberg, Sen, Sherrod Brown,  Gruenberg, He’s, Cleary Gottlieb Steen, Gruenberg’s, Gruenberg Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN —, JPMorgan, Sky News, Financial, Columbia Business School, United, CNN, IMF, Congressional, Office, Peterson Foundation, Treasury, Trump Media, Trump Media & Technology Group, Truth Social, Company, Big Tech, ” Trump Media, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, Senate Banking Committee, FDIC, Hamilton Locations: New York, Bridgewater, United States, , United, United Kingdom
Gold prices hit an all-time high on Monday as a slowing U.S. inflation trend boosted expectations that the Federal Reserve could deliver its first interest rate cut soon, while silver scaled a more than 11-year peak. Spot gold was up 0.9% at $2,436.76 per ounce, as of 0340 GMT after hitting a record high of $2440.49 earlier in the session. Data last week showed signs of cooling inflation and traders now expect a 65% chance of a U.S. rate cut by September. "Gold prices sneaked in a cheeky record high ahead of China's (market) open on Monday. Spot silver rose 2.5% to $32.28 after hitting an over 11-year high.
Persons: Kyle Rodda, Bullion, Matt Simpson, Wang Tao Organizations: Fort, Federal Reserve, Index, Palladium Locations: Fort Knox Alaska, Kinross, Tetlin , Alaska, U.S, China's, China
People stand in front of a Reserve Bank of India logo at the Global Fintech Fest in Mumbai, India, 5 September, 2023. Instead, there's been a flurry of activity this month at a number of regulators across India's financial system. That frightened bank investors and immediately knocked off more than 3% from the India Nifty PSU Bank index. "RBI has been tightening the screws," Rajeev Agrawal, hedge fund manager and managing partner at DoorDarshi India Fund, told CNBC's Inside India. We also had hedge fund manager Andrew Holland, who spoke on India's infrastructure projects and the outlook for the country's economy.
Persons: Niharika Kulkarni, there's, Nirmala Sitharaman, SEBI, Rajeev Agrawal, Agrawal, Shailendra Singh, India's, they've, Dinesh Kumar Khara, Andrew Holland, Sri Jegarajah Organizations: Reserve Bank of, Global, Securities and Exchange Board of India, Reserve Bank of India, Futures Industry Association, Bombay Stock Exchange, Reuters, India Nifty, DoorDarshi India Fund, Peak XV Partners, Sequoia Capital, CNBC, CNBC Pro, U.S ., State Bank of India, U.S . Federal Reserve, Center Locations: Reserve Bank of India, Mumbai, India, Sequoia, Sequoia Capital India, Southeast Asia, Maldives, Sri Lanka, Sri, Japan, Indian, Chennai
I can’t watch a basketball game on TV without seeing ads urging me to place a bet on one app or another. I can’t walk down the street in New York City without seeing ads about the latest lottery jackpot. And when I sit at my desk in the office, I spend hours studying another type of betting — trading in financial markets, where you can place wagers on companies, bonds, commodities and derivatives of all descriptions. Yet the most consequential betting of all — wagers on elections in the United States — may soon be shut down by regulators. And the commission’s proposed new rule would give it the power to block trading on a broad range of other subjects.
Persons: United States — Organizations: Futures, Commission Locations: New York City, United States
Oil set for weekly gain on signs of improving demand
  + stars: | 2024-05-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Oil prices rose in Asian trading hours on Friday, with global benchmark Brent set for its first weekly increase in three weeks on signs of improving global demand and slowing inflation in top oil consumer the United States. Brent crude oil prices rose 21 cents, or 0.3%, to $83.48 a barrel by 0018 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures rose 18 cents, or 0.2%, to $79.41 a barrel. Brent futures are set to rise about 1% on a weekly basis, and WTI futures are set to gain 1.4%. Recent declines in oil and refined products inventories at major global trading hubs have created optimism over oil demand growth, reversing a trend of rising stockpiles that had weighed heavily on crude oil prices in prior weeks.
Persons: Brent, Alex Hodes Organizations: . West Texas, Brent, ., Financial, Federal Reserve Locations: Tutong district, Brunei, United States, U.S, Europe's Amsterdam, Rotterdam, Antwerp
I started working in a towering office building in London, and I felt completely out of my depth. In 2016, I was about to move into an area I didn't want to work in when JPMorgan headhunted me. I had been stuck in golden handcuffs, but I was lucky that I didn't have some of the financial pressures other people have, like children. But I get much more of a sense of purpose from my work and feel like I am supporting people. If you left a high-paying career and would like to share your story, email Ella Hopkins at ehopkins@businessinsider.com.
Persons: , Lucy Puttergill, It's, JPMorgan headhunted, I'd, I've, weren't, Gabor Mate, Ella Hopkins Organizations: Service, JPMorgan, Citi, Business, impressiveness, Mexico City Locations: South Africa, London, Italy, South America, Mexico, Cape Town , South Africa, ehopkins@businessinsider.com
And simultaneously, we are referring to geopolitical risks. I think that, you know, markets sometimes are underestimating the potential impact of geopolitical risks that are there," Luis de Guindos told CNBC's Annette Weisbach. Rising geopolitical risks present "considerable downside risks," the ECB warned in the report. The report attributes the rally in financial markets to analyst expectations of interest rate cuts from major central banks this year. "And that's the element that you cannot ignore, you cannot overlook this potential impact that could affect risk aversion, risk attraction, commodity prices, growth, overall growth in the global economy."
Persons: Luis de Guindos, CNBC's Annette Weisbach, De Guindos Organizations: European Central Bank, Stock, U.S, ECB Locations: U.S, Europe, East, Ukraine
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