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This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Nvidia sparks rallyThe S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite snapped a three-day slide as Nvidia rebounded from a sell-off. Trump inflation warningSixteen Nobel Prize-winning economists signed a joint letter Tuesday warning of what they see as economic risks if former President Donald Trump were to serve a second term, including 'reignite' inflation. "There is rightly a worry that Donald Trump will reignite this inflation, with his fiscally irresponsible budgets," they said.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Rivian, Donald Trump, Joe, Donald Trump's, Michelle Bowman Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Nvidia, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Boeing, Home, Treasury, Volkswagen, VW, Ford, Detroit automaker, Trump, Federal, European, Microsoft, Salesforce, Dow Locations: New York City, EU
Michelle Bowman, governor of the US Federal Reserve, speaks during the Exchequer Club meeting in Washington, DC, US, on Wednesday, Feb. 21, 2024. Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman said Tuesday the time is not right yet to start lowering interest rates, adding she would be open to raising if inflation doesn't pull back. "However, we are still not yet at the point where it is appropriate to lower the policy rate." The Commerce Department on Friday will release its reading on the May personal consumption expenditures price index, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones expect a 12-month inflation rate of 2.6% on both the all-items and core, which excludes food and energy prices.
Persons: Michelle Bowman, Bowman, Dow Jones, Mary Daly, Daly, CNBC's Deirdre Bosa, it's, Austan Goolsbee, CNBC's Steve Liesman Organizations: US Federal Reserve, Federal, Market, Commerce Department, European Central Bank, San Francisco Fed, Chicago Fed Locations: Washington , DC, London, U.S, San Francisco
CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. The shift presents challenges for tech-focused ETFs and could affect their holdings of heavyweights like Nvidia , Microsoft , and Apple . Markets are pricing in at least two rate cuts this year, while Fed officials have indicated only one rate cut is likely. Nvidia takes the crown Nvidia on Tuesday surpassed Microsoft to become the world's most valuable public company with a market cap of $3.34 trillion. Federal Reserve Governor Adriana Kugler signaled the likelihood of a rate cut later this year.
Persons: Dave Calhoun, Josh Hawley, Calhoun, Hawley, Paul Ashworth, Susan Collins, Collins, Adriana Kugler, " Kugler, Jeff Cox, Cox, Claudia Sahm, , Kif Leswing, Bob Pisani, Leslie Josephs, Alex Harring, Samantha Subin, Spencer Kimball, Yun Li, Lim Hui Jie Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, Federal Reserve, Fed, Boeing, Federal, North, Capital Economics, Boston Federal, Peterson Institute for International Economics Locations: New York City, U.S, North America, Boston, Lawrence , Massachusetts, Washington
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFormer Fed Governor Tarullo: Fed Chair Powell did his best to preserve some optionality for the FOMCDaniel Tarullo, Harvard Law School professor and former Federal Reserve Governor, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the Fed's inflation fight, state of the economy, rate path outlook, and more.
Persons: Tarullo, Powell, Daniel Tarullo Organizations: Former, Harvard Law School, Federal Reserve
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFormer Fed Governor Dan Tarullo: The Fed will need to see more progress on inflation before rate cutDaniel Tarullo, Harvard Law School professor and former Federal Reserve Governor, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the Fed's inflation fight, interest rate path outlook, and more.
Persons: Dan Tarullo, Daniel Tarullo Organizations: Former, Harvard Law School, Federal Reserve
CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Wall Street reaches new highsThe S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite rose to fresh record highs as investors await earnings from AI chipmaker Nvidia after the close on Wednesday. Nvidia's shares rose 0.6% with option traders pricing in swings of as much as 9% up or down in reaction to its earnings. Rate cuts several months awayFederal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said he does not think further rate increases are necessary, but he will need convincing before backing any rate cuts. [PRO] When Nvidia risesCNBC's Ganesh Rao takes a look at six artificial intelligence-related stocks that have historically reacted positively to Nvidia's quarterly earnings.
Persons: Christopher Waller, Waller, Biden, Jennifer Granholm, Walt Disney, Bob Iger, Ganesh Rao Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Dow Jones, Federal, Gasoline, East, Pixar, Studios, Disney, Walt Disney Animation, CSI, Nikkei, Reserve Bank of New Locations: New York City, Israel, Asia, Hong Kong, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, United States, Japan
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Rate cuts several months awayFederal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said he does not think further rate increases are necessary, but he will need convincing before backing any rate cuts. Singapore Airlines: one dead, 30 injuredOne person died and 30 people were injured aboard a Singapore Airlines flight that was hit by severe turbulence and forced to land in Thailand. Singapore Airlines Flight 321 encountered "sudden, severe turbulence" about 10 hours into a flight from London to Singapore, the airline said.
Persons: Christopher Waller, Waller, Biden, Jennifer Granholm, Walt Disney, Bob Iger, Jesse Pound, JPMorgan's Marko Kolanovic Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Dow Jones, Federal, Gasoline, East, Pixar, Studios, Disney, Walt Disney Animation, Singapore Airlines, Singapore Airlines Flight, Boeing, Wall Street Locations: New York City, Israel, Thailand, London, Singapore
Practically no one is phasing out the dollar for trade or foreign reserves, he said. No one is dumping dollars," Christian said of de-dollarization in a recent presentation. Its closest competitor, the euro, accounted for just 19% of all central bank reserves in 2022, down from around 29% several decades ago. Advertisement"There has been a diversification of central bank foreign exchange holdings, but it's not at the expense of the dollar, and it's not away from the dollar," Christian said. "Clearly people are buying dollars in a much greater volume than they are selling dollars," Christian said.
Persons: Jeffrey Christian, , Christian, it's, Chris Wallace, Wallace Organizations: CPM, Service, Bank of International Settlements, Monetary Fund, Federal Locations: Russia, China
Christopher Waller, governor of the US Federal Reserve, during a Fed Listens event in Washington, D.C., on Friday, Sept. 23, 2022. Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller, citing a string of data showing that inflation appears to be easing, said Tuesday that he does not think further interest rate increases will be necessary. Yet Waller said he's not ready to back interest rate cuts. Markets have had to recalibrate their expectations for monetary policy this year. In the early months, futures markets traders priced in at least six rate cuts this year starting in March.
Persons: Christopher Waller, Waller, he's Organizations: US Federal Reserve, Washington , D.C, Federal, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Market, Labor Department Locations: Washington ,, Washington
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFormer Fed Governor Daniel Tarullo: The Fed has become 'data-captive'Daniel Tarullo, Harvard Law School professor and former Federal Reserve Governor, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the Fed's two-day policy meeting today, what to expect from Fed Chair Powell's commentary, and more.
Persons: Daniel Tarullo Organizations: Former, Harvard Law School, Federal Reserve
Noting a number of potential upside risks to inflation, Bowman said policymakers need to be careful not to ease policy too quickly. "Reducing our policy rate too soon or too quickly could result in a rebound in inflation, requiring further future policy rate increases to return inflation to 2 percent over the longer run." The speech, to the Shadow Open Market Committee, comes with markets on edge about the near-term future of Fed policy. Weighing inflation risks, she said that supply-side improvements that helped bring numbers down this year may not have the same impact going forward. Fed officials will get their next look at inflation data Wednesday, when the Labor Department releases the March consumer price index report.
Persons: Michelle Bowman, Bowman, Jerome Powell, Raphael Bostic, Neel Kashkari Organizations: Federal, of Governors, Market, Committee, Atlanta Fed, CNBC, Minneapolis Fed, Fed, Labor Department Locations: New York
Gold holds steady as traders await U.S. data for more Fed cues
  + stars: | 2024-03-28 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices steadied on Thursday as investors digested comments from Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller on interest rate cuts and looked forward to more U.S. economic data for policy clues. Gold prices steadied on Thursday as investors digested comments from Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller on interest rate cuts and looked forward to more U.S. economic data for policy clues. Fed Governor Waller on Wednesday said recent disappointing inflation data affirms the case for the U.S. central bank holding off on cutting its short-term interest rate target. Traders are currently pricing in a 62% probability the Fed will begin cutting rates in June, according to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding bullion.
Persons: Christopher Waller, Ilya Spivak, Fed Governor Waller Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, U.S, Traders Locations: Ukraine
The 2-year Treasury yield was last up by 6 basis points at 4.63%. The yield on the 10-year Treasury had risen 1 basis point to 4.21%. The 2-year Treasury yield ticked higher Thursday as investors considered the path ahead for interest rates following comments from a Federal Reserve official and prepared for key inflation data. Investors weighed the outlook for monetary policy and looked ahead to key economic data as uncertainty around when and how often interest rates will be cut this year persists. Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller on Wednesday said there was "no rush" to cut interest rates, adding that recent economic data indicated that rates may need to stay elevated for longer.
Persons: Christopher Waller, Waller, Dow Jones Organizations: Treasury, Federal Reserve, Investors, Federal, PCE
Dollar firm after Fed comments; yen under close watch
  + stars: | 2024-03-28 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
"There is no rush to cut the policy rate" right now, Waller said in a speech prepared for delivery before an Economic Club of New York gathering. The dollar index , a measure of the greenback against major peer currencies, ticked up in the wake of Waller's comments and last held mostly unchanged at 104.41. Traders await key U.S. core inflation figures due on Friday, following a bigger-than-expected jump in U.S. durable goods orders on Tuesday that has already boosted the dollar against the yen. The greenback reached 151.975 yen on Wednesday, its strongest against the yen since mid-1990. Japan intervened in the currency market three times in 2022, selling the dollar to buy yen, first in September and again in October as the yen slid towards a 32-year low of 152 to the dollar.
Persons: Christopher Waller, Waller, It's, Kyle Rodda, Rodda, Masato Kanda, Shunichi Suzuki, That's, Ray Attrill, Sterling, bitcoin Organizations: U.S, Federal Reserve, Federal, Economic, of New, Traders, Finance, National Australia Bank, Bank of Japan's Locations: of New York, Japan
Stock futures are up slightly Tuesday night following a losing session on Wall Street that pulled the indexes further from record levels. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 69 points, or 0.2%. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures each added 0.1%. With a slide of 0.3%, the S&P 500 saw its third down trading day in a row. As of Tuesday's close, the S&P 500 has added 2.1% in the month and 9.1% in the quarter.
Persons: Dow, Robert Schein, Christopher Waller, There's Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Wealth Management, Federal Reserve
The Fed could be making inflation even hotter with its promises of rate cuts. That's according to former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh, who says the central bank is "goosing" the economy. AdvertisementThe Federal Reserve could be mucking up the economy with its promises that it will cut interest rates later this year, according to former central banker Kevin Warsh. Related stories"The Treasury Department, the Federal Reserve … are goosing this economy," Warsh said. "A Fed promising to cut rates even as asset prices are melting up."
Persons: Kevin Warsh, , Warsh Organizations: Service, CNBC, Federal Reserve, Fed, Treasury Department, Federal
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFormer Fed Governor Kevin Warsh: I'm less impressed about the strength of the U.S. economy todayKevin Warsh, Hoover Institution distinguished visiting fellow and former Federal Reserve Governor, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the relationship between economic and geopolitical instability, state of the U.S. economy, the Fed's interest rate outlook, and more.
Persons: Kevin Warsh, I'm Organizations: Former, Hoover Institution, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFormer Fed governor Jeremy Stein: The Fed's 2% inflation target 'may be challenging'Jeremy Stein, former Federal Reserve governor and Harvard University economics professor, joins 'The Exchange' with CNBC's Steve Liesman to discuss the likelihood of reaching 2.0% inflation in the near future, whether the current economy could return to its past data as the norm, and more.
Persons: Jeremy Stein, Steve Liesman Organizations: Former, Federal Reserve, Harvard University
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFormer Fed Governor Randy Kroszner: Don't expect a June rate cut to be 'baked in the cake'Randy Kroszner, University of Chicago’s Booth School of Business professor of economics and former Federal Reserve Governor, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss the January personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index data, the impact on the Fed's rate path outlook, and more.
Persons: Randy Kroszner Organizations: Former, University, Chicago’s Booth School, Business, Federal Reserve
Christopher Waller, governor of the US Federal Reserve, during a Fed Listens event in Washington, D.C., on Friday, Sept. 23, 2022. Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said Thursday he will need to see more evidence that inflation is cooling before he is willing to support interest rate cuts. on cutting rates, the central bank official said higher-than-expected inflation readings for January raised questions on where prices are heading and how the Fed should respond. He added that there are few signs inflation will fall below 2% anytime soon based on strong 3.3% annualized growth in gross domestic product and employment, with few signs of a potential recession in sight. "That makes the decision to be patient on beginning to ease policy simpler than it might be," Waller said.
Persons: Christopher Waller, Waller Organizations: US Federal Reserve, Washington , D.C, Federal, Committee Locations: Washington ,, Minneapolis
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFormer Fed Governor Frederic Mishkin: The Fed will be very cautious about lowering ratesFrederic Mishkin, former Federal Reserve Governor and Columbia University professor, joins CNBC's 'Squawk Box' to discuss what the latest CPI report means for the Fed and more.
Persons: Frederic Mishkin Organizations: Former, Federal Reserve Governor, Columbia University, Fed
The Federal Reserve is fed up with data revisions
  + stars: | 2024-01-31 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +11 min
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said large revisions in data are tainting his assessments of how the economy is doing. Al Drago/Bloomberg/Getty ImagesThat’s well above the average month-over-month revised change in job totals from 1973 to the latest available revision data, according to the BLS. The official summary of what Fed officials said and discussed during their September meeting — also known as the Fed minutes — stated: “A few participants observed that there were challenges in assessing the state of the economy because some data continued to be volatile and subject to large revisions.”Spokespeople from the Federal Reserve declined to answer which data Fed officials were referring to. Frequent and large revisions to economic data are weighing on Federal Reserve decision-making, Governor Michelle Bowman said. “We want to be data dependent, but not data point dependent,” Williams said.
Persons: Christopher Waller, Waller, it’s, Al Drago, ” Waller, , Michelle Bowman, , Spokespeople, he’s, don’t, Erica Groshen, David Wilcox, Laura Kelter, Kelter, Groshen, Wilcox, John Williams, ” Williams, Organizations: New, New York CNN — Federal Reserve, , of Labor Statistics, BLS, Federal, Bloomberg, Getty, Fed, Ohio Bankers League, Federal Reserve, Commerce Department, Department, Census, Labor, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Employment, CNN, Wilcox . New York Fed Locations: New York, Wilcox . New
Dollar headed for second weekly gain on tempered rates outlook
  + stars: | 2024-01-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Dollar bills and Japanese currency Yen lying on a table on August 03, 2016 in Berlin, Germany. The dollar headed for a second weekly gain in a row on Friday on signs of resilience in the U.S. economy and caution about rate cuts from central bankers. Weekly gains on the risk-sensitive Australian and New Zealand dollars of 1.7% and 2.1% are set to be the largest since November and June respectively. Rabobank revised its one-month forecast for dollar/yen to 148 from 144, expecting further unwinding of bets on the pace of U.S. rate cuts to support the dollar. An unexpected rise in British inflation also drove a sharp pullback in bets on Bank of England interest rate cuts, and leant support to sterling.
Persons: Jane Foley, Christopher Waller, Bitcoin Organizations: New, Bank of Japan, Rabobank, Federal, Bank of Locations: Berlin, Germany, U.S, New Zealand, Asia, Europe, Bank of England
The yield on the 10-year Treasury note edged higher to 4.0694%. The 2-year Treasury yield rose by around 5 basis points to trade at 4.278%. Treasury yields were higher early Wednesday, with the 10-year yield holding above 4%, as investors focused on fresh data and commentary from Federal Reserve members. On Tuesday, yields jumped after comments from Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller, who suggested that while the central bank will likely cut rates this year, it may take its time. At the World Economic Forum in Davos, more European Central Bank members indicated that markets were getting ahead of themselves on rate cut projections.
Persons: FactSet, Christopher Waller, Klaas Knot, Jeff Cox, Pia Singh Organizations: Treasury, Federal Reserve, Investors, Economic, Central Bank, CNBC Wednesday Locations: Davos, Dutch
CNBC Daily Open: The Fed's rude awakening
  + stars: | 2024-01-17 | by ( Shreyashi Sanyal | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
U.S. Federal Reserve Board Chairman Jerome Powell speaks during a news conference at the headquarters of the Federal Reserve on December 13, 2023 in Washington, DC. This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. China shares also fell after the country missed fourth quarter GDP estimates but met its year-end growth target of 5%. [PRO] 'Buy the dip'Morgan Stanley highlights its key picks in Europe's technology hardware sector after a "rollercoaster year" in 2023.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Christopher Waller, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Wall, Morgan Stanley's Organizations: Federal Reserve, Washington , DC, CNBC, Federal, Big Bank, Wall Street's Locations: Washington ,, Asia, Hong Kong, China
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