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☆ The stock market is having its best election year ever
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-24 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +9 min

The S&P 500 alone has generated an average return of 7% during presidential election years since 1952, according to LPL Financial. If you limit that to election years in which the incumbent president is running for reelection, the average jumps to 12.2%. Yes, but: Market volatility in an election year tends to pick up in October and there are many months left in this cycle with potential surprises to come. “An autumn pullback fits well time wise with potential downside earnings revisions, make-or-break decision time for the Fed, and election uncertainty. The first round of the French election will be held on June 30, with a second round on July 7.

Persons: Goldman Sachs —, Ed Clissold, Ned Davis, they’re, It’s, Goldman Sachs ’ Scott Rubner, “, ”, Mark Hackett, Scott Chronert, Goldman Sachs, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Jim Reid, There’s, Emmanuel Macron, Katie Nixon, Chris Isidore ., they’ve, Samantha Murphy Kelly, ChatGPT —, Siri —, OpenAI, Siri, ChatGPT, hasn’t, — Organizations: London CNN — Traders, Investors, White, Ned, Ned Davis Research, Nasdaq, Citigroup, Goldman, Barclays, Deutsche Bank, UBS, Deutsche, Fed, United, Labour Party, Renaissance, Northern Trust Wealth Management, Alaska Airlines, Alaska —, Southwest —, Southwest, Railway Labor, Apple, Apple Intelligence, Microsoft, Google, Meta, Samsung, Cyberspace Administration, Wall, IDC Locations: United States, France, “, Alaska, China

☆ Citi downgrades European stocks to neutral
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCiti downgrades European stocks to neutralBeata Manthey, head of European Equity Strategy at Citi Research, joins CNBC's 'The Exchange' to discuss increasing risk in Europe in the wake of EU's elections, how investors can position, and more.

Persons: Beata Manthey Organizations: Citi, Equity, Citi Research Locations: Europe

☆ Morningstar: The selloff in European markets is largely overdone
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMorningstar: The selloff in European markets is largely overdoneMorningstar European equity strategist Michael Field says despite the recent downturn in Europe equities, there are still plenty of opportunities for investors.

Persons: Michael Field Organizations: Morningstar

☆ Snap election will drive up volatility over the coming weeks, says Deutsche Bank's Uleer
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSnap election will drive up volatility over the coming weeks, says Deutsche Bank's UleerMaximilian Uleer, Deutsche Bank's head of European equity and cross-asset strategy, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss how to measure the impacts of recent events in Europe, whether the moves in the French market index are an overreaction, and what the European markets are afraid of.

Persons: Bank's, Bank's Uleer Maximilian Uleer Organizations: Bank's Uleer, Deutsche Locations: Europe

☆ Mixed data means ECB could take a cautious approach to further interest rate cuts, strategist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-06 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMixed data means ECB could take a cautious approach to further interest rate cuts, strategist saysEmmanuel Cau, head of European equity strategy at Barclays, discusses the European Central Bank’s highly anticipated monetary policy meeting and says that investors will be closely monitoring ECB President Christine Lagarde’s press conference for clues on the expected number of interest rate cuts later in the year.

Persons: Emmanuel Cau, Christine Lagarde’s Organizations: Barclays, Central

☆ European stocks head for lower open ahead of fresh inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-31 | by ( Karen Gilchrist | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

European stocks are poised for a lower open Friday, reversing gains from the previous session as investors await fresh inflation data. Euro zone inflation data due later in the session will by closely watched by investors for a signal on the path for monetary policy. Regional markets closed higher Thursday, shaking off negative sentiment from the previous two sessions as rising bond yields weighed on investor sentiment. U.S. stock futures ticked lower Friday as investors assessed the latest set of corporate earnings and looked ahead to a key inflation report. In Asia Pacific, markets rose on the back of fresh data from major economies across the region.

Organizations: Gross Locations: Italy, Asia Pacific

☆ European markets hit record highs
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEuropean markets hit record highsEmmanuel Cau, Barclays head of European equity strategy, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss the recent performance of European equity markets, whether geopolitical risk appears to be draining out of the market, and more.

Persons: Emmanuel Cau Organizations: Barclays

☆ 'Beaten up' UK homebuilders could get the biggest boost from interest rate cuts, strategist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email'Beaten up' UK homebuilders could get the biggest boost from interest rate cuts, strategist saysMichael Field, European equity market strategist at Morningstar, discusses the outlook for European sectors and says homebuilders, particularly in the U.K., could see the biggest boost should the Bank of England start cutting interest rates.

Persons: Michael Field Organizations: Morningstar, Bank of England

☆ Breaking down the next leg of the European equity rally
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBreaking down the next leg of the European equity rallyMaximilian Uleer, Head of European Equity and Cross Asset Strategy at Deutsche Bank, and Kristina Hooper, Chief Global Market Strategist at Invesco, discuss the European rally as the STOXX 600 and FTSE 100 hit fresh all-time highs.

Persons: Maximilian Uleer, Kristina Hooper Organizations: European Equity, Cross, Deutsche Bank, Chief Global

☆ UBS names top luxury stocks as market shifts toward 'quality'
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-22 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailUBS names top luxury stocks as market shifts toward 'quality'Gerry Fowler, UBS's head of European equity strategy, names his top luxury picks, as the market shifts in favor of '"quality" stocks.

Persons: Gerry Fowler, UBS's Organizations: UBS

☆ Small-caps set to gain as interest rate cuts come through, UBS says
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-22 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSmall-caps set to gain as interest rate cuts come through, UBS saysGerry Fowler, UBS's head of European equity strategy, says small-cap stock performance looks set to improve as central bank interest rate cuts play out.

Persons: Gerry Fowler, UBS's Organizations: UBS

☆ Feeling FOMO over Reddit or Truth Social? Here's another way to cash in on meme stocks
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-03 | by ( Ganesh Rao | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Meme stocks, which gained popularity through social media platforms like Reddit and Twitter, have attracted retail investors looking to make a quick profit. In 2021, GameStop shares skyrocketed by more than 1,500% in just a few weeks, driven by a coordinated effort from retail investors on the Reddit forum r/WallStreetBets . This means that retail investors are often in a disadvantaged position when trading. Cashing in So, what can investors do to capitalize on the trading phenomenon without taking on the risks associated with meme stocks? Gooch-Peters suggests looking at the exchanges themselves, citing Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) as an example.

Persons: Hannah Gooch, Peters, Gooch, Gerry Fowler, Fowler Organizations: GameStop, Sanlam Investments, Twitter, UBS, Intercontinental Exchange, ICE, Quality, New York Stock Exchange, Nasdaq, CBOE

☆ This payments firm has Nvidia-like profit margins — and it's even more sustainable, investor says
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-01 | by ( Ganesh Rao | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Gooch-Peters pointed to Visa — which has a 60% operating profit margin — as a more sustainable investment opportunity. This creates a strong competitive moat and helps to sustain the company's high profit margins over time. Gerry Fowler, chief European equity strategist at UBS, echoed the sentiment about the importance of a company's competitive moat while picking stocks. The UBS strategist pointed to the attempts of Apple, then the world's biggest company, to break into the payments network sector. The UBS strategist also cautioned that impenetrable moats might sometimes pose a downside risk to investors.

Persons: Hannah Gooch, Peters, you've, Gooch, London Business School . Gooch, " Gooch, Gerry Fowler, Fowler, Flower Organizations: Nvidia, Sanlam Investments, CNBC, London Business School, Visa, Sanlam's, Quality, UBS, Apple, world's, MasterCard, Apple Card, Mastercard, U.S

☆ U.S. or Europe — where's best to invest right now? CNBC Pro Talks goes on the road to find out
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-26 | by ( Cnbc.Com Staff | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

This Wednesday at London Business School, CNBC's Steve Sedgwick will ask two market experts where's best to invest right now. Fowler leads UBS' European equity strategy and global derivative strategy teams. Gooch-Peters is a member of Sanlam's global high-quality equity team and leads the global equity team's investment strategy. Fowler leads UBS' European equity strategy and global derivative strategy teams. Gooch-Peters is a member of Sanlam's global high-quality equity team and leads the global equity team's investment strategy.

Persons: Steve Sedgwick, Gerry Fowler, Hannah Gooch, Peters, Fowler, Gooch, Hannah Organizations: CNBC, London Business School, UBS, Chief European, Sanlam Investments, BNP Paribas, Citi, Sanlam Locations: Abrdn, London, . New York, Singapore

☆ European stocks are up 7 weeks in a row. Here’s how long winning streaks typically last
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-14 | by ( Ganesh Rao | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The STOXX Europe 600 hit 500 points for the first time last week, and the benchmark index has since notched yet another all-time high. When stocks fell immediately after seven weeks of gains, they lost 1.17% on average. The Stoxx Europe 600 recorded its longest winning streak between June and August 1993, when the market rose for 12 straight weeks. The weighted average of analyst price targets for the companies in the Stoxx Europe 600 points toward a 9.1% upside potential for the index, according to FactSet data. The bank has an end-of-year price target of 510 points for the Stoxx Europe 600.

Persons: Sebastian Raedler, Emmanuel Cau Organizations: CNBC, of America's, Barclays Locations: Europe

☆ Europe is having its worst earnings season since the onset of Covid — with little hope of a quick turnaround
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-01 | by ( Silvia Amaro | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

As of Feb. 29 with 313 companies having reported, 50.2% posted a beat, according to a CNBC analysis of FactSet data. This was the smallest percentage of beats — thus the worst earnings season — since the first quarter of 2020 when the pandemic first hit European firms. Share buyback bonanzaSharon Bell, a senior European strategist at Goldman Sachs, told CNBC that she had noticed a new trend for European corporates during this earnings season. "What you have seen is a lot of companies announcing buybacks," she told CNBC's "Squawk Box Europe" Tuesday. "It is absolutely huge, you've never really seen this before in 20, 30 years, European companies pay dividends, they don't do buybacks," she said.

Persons: —, Edward Stanford, Philippe Ferreira, Kepler Cheuvreux, Sharon Bell, Goldman Sachs, CNBC's, you've, Bell, Ferreira Organizations: CNBC, HSBC, L'Oreal, European Central Bank, Shell, Deutsche Bank, Novo Nordisk, UBS Locations: Triomphe, France, Europe, China, Ukraine, European

☆ The 11 GRANOLAS stocks power Europe to record highs, drawing Magnificent Seven comparisons
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-27 | by ( Elliot Smith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The German share price index DAX graph is pictured at the stock exchange in Frankfurt, Germany, January 19, 2024. Staff | ReutersOver the last 12 months, just 11 stocks made up half of the gains that powered the pan-European Stoxx 600 stock index to a record-high close on Friday. "From a Global point of view, the GRANOLAS have even outperformed the so-called Magnificent 7 over the past two years. Their (out)performance is even more impressive on a risk-adjusted basis: with a volatility 2x lower than for the Magnificent 7, the GRANOLAS help to boost the Sharpe ratio." "This suggests that, in Europe, nearly all revenue growth of the STOXX 600 will come from the GRANOLAS.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Sanofi —, Goldman, Tim Hayes, Ned Davis, Hayes Organizations: Staff, Reuters, GSK, Roche, ASML, Nestle, Novartis, Novo Nordisk, L'Oreal, LVMH, AstraZeneca, SAP, Sanofi, Street, Ned, Ned Davis Research, CNBC Locations: Frankfurt, Germany, Europe

☆ There is a case to 'stick with equities,' especially in the U.S., CIO says
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThere is a case to 'stick with equities,' especially in the U.S., CIO saysWillem Sels, global CIO of HSBC's Global Private Banking and Wealth division, discusses U.S. vs European equity markets and which sectors are performing well.

Persons: Willem Sels Organizations: HSBC's, Private Banking, Wealth Locations: U.S

☆ Goldman names 3 'attractive' value stocks that offer more than 50% upside
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-13 | by ( Ganesh Rao | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Goldman Sachs has identified three "attractive" value stocks that could see significant share price appreciation over the next 12 months. The Wall Street bank's analysts see over 50% upside potential in British Airways parent International Consolidated Airlines Group , agricultural machinery maker CNH Industrial , and health technology company Philips . Goldman Sachs said all three companies stand out amongst their European peers for their cheap valuations compared to earnings growth prospects. IAG-GB 1Y line Philips Goldman recommends buying Philips and expects the shares to be up 51% over the next 12 months. CNH Industrials Goldman Sachs upgraded CNH to buy last month.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, John Sawtell, Goldman's, Patrick Creuset, Creuset, Philips Goldman, Roy Jakobs, CNH Industrials Goldman Sachs, Michael Bloom Organizations: British Airways parent International Consolidated Airlines Group, Philips, CNBC Locations: Europe, United States

REUTERS/Andrew Kelly Acquire Licensing RightsSummary poll dataBENGALURU, Nov 22 (Reuters) - Most key global stock indexes are forecast to rise modestly over the coming year, closing 2024 below record highs, while a slim majority of stock market experts polled by Reuters expected their markets to touch new peaks within the next six months. However, only a handful of the 15 top stock indexes were predicted to trade at record peaks by end-2024, based on a wider Nov. 9-22 poll of more than 120 stock market experts. LOWER BOND YIELDSFor now, markets are pricing in a series of 2024 rate cuts, which is sending bond yields lower and stock prices higher. "Falling bond yields are being interpreted by equity markets as a positive in the near-term," said Marko Kolanovic, chief global markets strategist at J.P. Morgan. Canada's main stock index was expected to rise less than previously thought over the coming year as a slowdown in the global economy weighs on the outlook for corporate earnings.

Persons: Andrew Kelly, Ajay Rajadhyaksha, Marko Kolanovic, Morgan, Hari Kishan, Indradip Ghosh, Ross Finley, Alex Richardson Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Reuters, Traders, U.S . Federal, Barclays, Nikkei, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, BENGALURU, Monday's, Bengaluru, Buenos Aires, London, Mexico City, Milan, New York, San Francisco, Sao Paulo, Tokyo, Toronto

Money market traders are betting September's hike was the last, with almost 90 basis points of rate cuts priced by the end of 2024. European shares underperforming their U.S. counterparts was a common expectation amongst the survey's European respondents as the robust American economy looks more likely to achieve a 'soft landing' than Europe. European shares are much cheaper than those in the U.S., possibly reflecting the worse economic outlook. The STOXX Europe 600 trades at over 12 times 12-month forward earnings, a 35.6% discount to the S&P 500 (.SPX). "Still, as the broader economic slowdown takes hold of the continent's markets, we expect to see a rather challenging second half of 2024."

Persons: Chris Beauchamp, Thomas Monteiro, Germany's DAX, Fiona Cincotta, Cincotta, Investing.com's Monteiro, Monteiro, Samuel Indyk, Danilo Masoni, Pranoy Krishna, Rahul Trivedi, Sarupya Ganguly, Jason Neely Organizations: IG, European Central Bank, ECB, Investing.com, FTSE, Bank of England, Thomson Locations: Europe, Germany, riskier, U.S, Bengaluru

The U.S. central bank could even be forced to raise rates to ensure the pace of inflation remains on a downward trajectory and does not bounce back, Goldberg said. Markets also imply about an 80% probability the European Central Bank (ECB) will cut rates by April, while the Bank of England (BoE) is seen easing in August. An outlier is Australia's central bank, which is considered likely to resume raising rates at a policy meeting on Tuesday as inflation there stays stubbornly high. The head of the central bank said on Monday it was closer to achieving its inflation target, but it was still not enough to end ultra-loose policy. The drop in the dollar and yields has helped underpin gold, as investors have cautiously turned back to riskier assets.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Gennadiy Goldberg, Goldberg, Anthony Saglimbene, Saglimbene, We're, BoE, Jerome Powell, Herbert Lash, Wayne Cole, Alun John, Nick Macfie, Will Dunham, Mark Potter, Marguerita Choy Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Wall, Federal Reserve, TD Securities, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, European Central Bank, Bank of England, ECB, The Bank of Japan, ., Germany's, Brent, U.S, West Texas, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Europe, New York, France, Germany, Italy, Spain, Troy , Michigan, Asia, Pacific, Japan, Korea, Saudi Arabia, Russia

Hopes for lower borrowing costs overnight helped shares in Asia, which missed out on Friday's rally that was inspired by the U.S. jobs data. DOLLAR DROPSTwo-year Treasury yields , which reflect interest rate expectations, rose 5.9 bps to 4.891% after falling 18 bps last week. The recent retreat in Treasury yields pulled the rug out from under the dollar last week. The dollar index, a measure of the U.S. currency against six others, was steady at 105.07 after sliding 1.4% last week. U.S. crude rose 1.73% to $81.90 per barrel and Brent was at $86.07, up 1.39% on the day.

Persons: Issei Kato, Gennadiy Goldberg, Goldberg, BoE, Samy Chaar, Jerome Powell, Brent, Herbert Lash, Wayne Cole, Alun John, Nick Macfie, Will Dunham, Mark Potter Organizations: REUTERS, Wall, Federal Reserve, TD Securities, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, European Central Bank, Bank of England, Lombard, ECB, The Bank of Japan, ., Palestinian, Hamas, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Europe, New York, U.S, Asia, Pacific, Korea, Saudi Arabia, Russia, East, Israel, Gaza

☆ Global equity funds experience notable outflows amid U.S. yield worries
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-27 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Investors pulled out a net $7.46 billion from global equity funds during the week, extending outflows into a sixth straight week, data from LSEG showed. European equity funds logged about $7.39 billion worth of outflows during the week, the biggest amount since Sept. 28, 2022. Investors also divested $2.69 billion worth of U.S. equity funds but poured $2.53 billion in Asian funds. Investors also accumulated $18.3 billion worth of money market funds after $108.7 billion worth of net selling a week ago. Data covering 28,654 emerging market funds showed that investors exited EM equity funds of $2.55 billion, extending outflows into an 11th straight week.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, Gaurav Dogra, Patturaja, Alison Williams Organizations: REUTERS, Global, Investors, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Treasury, Commodities, Energy, Thomson Locations: outflows, LSEG, Bengaluru

☆ Earnings will 'make or break' European stocks — here's what to watch, according to analysts
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-24 | by ( Ganesh Rao | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Investors will look to the upcoming earnings season to see whether stocks can recover from recent losses or if more declines are ahead. "All year, we've seen the steady weakening in European soft data and, more recently, hard data. In a note titled "Q3 Earnings - Make or break," Barclays analysts echoed that sentiment, suggesting that despite resilient earnings thus far, more mixed third-quarter economic indicators hint at equally varied results. UBS analysts have identified stocks that could surprise, both positively and negatively, when their earnings results are released in the coming weeks. Fowler said UBS analysts have historically been pretty accurate at predicting surprises, especially when combined with a value investing bias, which has tended to outperform.

Persons: Gerry Fowler, we've, Fowler, CNBC's, Fowler isn't, Emmanuel Cau, Stocks Organizations: UBS, Barclays, Santander, Ryanair, Siemens Energy, Nordic, Universal Music, AstraZeneca Locations: Europe

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