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Read previewWestern restrictions on how Ukraine can hit targets in Russia make its F-16 fighter jets less effective, military experts told Business Insider. This, in turn, leaves Russia's weaponry more free to hit Ukrainian jets, making them more vulnerable and less able to fly close to the front lines. A still from footage by Ukraine's air force that shows a Storm Shadow missile being launched. A limited number of F-16sThe effectiveness of Ukraine's F-16s faces other challenges, too. Ukraine and its allies, as well as warfare experts, also describe Ukraine's F-16 program as being in its infancy.
Persons: , George Barros, Barros, DIMITAR DILKOFF, Michael Bohnert, Gordon B, Skip, Davis, Jr, Volodymyr Zelenskyi, Vitalii, it's, Czarek, Michael Clarke, Volodymyr Zelensky, Keir Giles, Oleksiy, Zelenskyy, Ukraine's Organizations: Service, Business, Getty, RAND Corporation, Shadow, YouTube, Ukrainian Air Force, AP, Chatham House's, Air, Libkos, Ukraine US Locations: Ukraine, Russia, AFP, Kursk, Denmark, Norway, Belgium, Netherlands, Poland, Chatham House's Russia, Eurasia, Russian, Ukrainian, Shepetivka, Britain
Zelensky suggested Moscow should send a delegation to the next peace summit that he hopes to hold in November. Kyiv is currently facing the double whammy of a difficult frontline situation and political uncertainty over the level of future support from Ukraine’s closest allies. Trump and Zelensky spoke on Friday in what Trump called a “had a very good phone call”. Putin said Russia would end its war in Ukraine if Kyiv surrendered the entirety of four regions claimed by Moscow: Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson and Zaporizhzhia. Despite being considerably bigger and stronger than Ukraine, Russia has not managed to fulfil its territorial goals – even when Kyiv was receiving only limited help from the West.
Persons: Volodymyr Zelensky, Zelensky, , Germany –, Ukraine John Herbst, Donald Trump, JD Vance, Herbst, Trump, , Vladimir Putin, Putin, Orysia Lutsevych, Russia … Putin, Lutsevych, Riley Bailey, Bailey, , ” Bailey, hasn’t, Vance, Libkos, Ukraine wasn’t, doesn’t, ” Herbst, Ukraine doesn’t, you’re Organizations: CNN, NATO, Monday, Aspen Security, , Chatham House, Kyiv, Trump, Democrats, Locations: Russia, Moscow, Switzerland, Ukraine, Kyiv, Ukraine’s, United States, Germany, Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson, Zaporizhzhia, Eurasia, Chatham, Kharkiv, Europe, Afghanistan, Crimea, Kerch, Russian
Read previewUkraine's sustained attacks against Russia's air defenses could make occupied Crimea untenable as a military staging ground, war analysts said. Ukraine has repeatedly hit Russia's air defenses in Crimea over the last few months, with attacks intensifying this week. AdvertisementAccording to reports, one Russian S-400 "Triumf" and two S-300 air-defense missile systems were targeted overnight on Sunday into Monday, with suggestions that Ukraine used US-supplied Army Tactical Missile Systems, known as ATACMS. AdvertisementForbes reached a similar conclusion on Wednesday, saying Russia's S-400 missile systems can't defend nearby Russian troops or even themselves. AdvertisementBut despite Ukraine's recent successes, its campaign of long-range air strikes won't be the silver bullet that ends Russia's occupation of Crimea, military experts told BI.
Persons: , Ukraine's, Forbes, Russia's, Kyrylo Budanov, Keir Giles, Giles, they're, Matthew Savill, James Black, Putin Organizations: Service, Institute for, Business, Army Tactical Missile Systems, Staff of, Armed Forces, Chatham House's, Eurasia Programme, Royal United Services Institute, RAND Europe, Kremlin Locations: Crimea, Russia, Ukraine, Russian, Chatham House's Russia, Eurasia, Ukrainian
Advertisement"The military logic of allowing Ukraine to use weapons against targets in Russia is straightforward," he said, but "there are structural limits, which Ukraine is now facing." AdvertisementOn Tuesday, France said Ukraine should be allowed to use Western weapons to hit targets in Russia — but only sites that Russia is using to launch attacks on Ukraine. Related storiesThree unnamed officials told Politico on Thursday that Ukraine can now use US-supplied weapons to strike inside Russia. AdvertisementUkraine could also struggle to develop the intelligence needed to find and quickly strike targets farther inside Russia. Advertisement"This does not mean that allowing Ukraine to hit targets in Russia will not help — but it is clearly not a silver bullet to win the war," he said.
Persons: , Keir Giles, should've, Alexander Libman, Vladimir Putin, hadn't, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Giles, John Hardie Organizations: Service, Business, Chatham House's, Eurasia Programme, Free University of Berlin, NATO, Politico, Times, Russia's, Foundation for, Defense of Democracies, Ukraine, New York Times, EU, intel Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Chatham House's Russia, Eurasia, Kharkiv, Ukraine's, France, Ukrainian, London, Russian
He is the author of “Russia’s War on Everybody: And What it Means for You.” The views expressed in this commentary are his own. CNN —Russia’s war on Ukraine will soon enter another winter. And as the fighting drags on into 2024 and potentially beyond, Western backers will find it ever harder to provide what Ukraine needs. The US’s generous support for Ukraine is under threat from political trends there even before a potential change of presidency. But making Ukraine stronger is a key ingredient for Europe’s long-term security as well as for the outcome of the present war.
Persons: Keir Giles, , CNN —, Keir Giles Munira, Abrams, , It’s, there’s, Volodymyr Zelensky, it’s, Vladimir Putin Organizations: Chatham House, CNN, Patriot, West, Tactical Missile Systems, UN, Challenger, British Army, Twitter, Facebook Locations: Russia, Eurasia, Ukraine, Washington, Germany, America, Sweden, Russian, Crimea, China, Europe
Providing weapons to Russia "is not going to reflect well on North Korea and they will pay a price for this in the international community," U.S. national security adviser Jake Sullivan told reporters at the White House. "We will continue to call on North Korea to abide by its public commitments not to supply weapons to Russia that will end up killing Ukrainians," Sullivan said. As Russia's isolation over its war in Ukraine has grown, it has seen increasing value in North Korea, according to political analysts. The United States in August imposed sanctions on three entities it accused of being tied to arms deals between North Korea and Russia. North Korea has conducted six nuclear tests since 2006 and had been testing various missiles over recent years.
Persons: Vladimir Putin, Kim Jong, Alexander Zemlianichenko, Kim Jong Un, Jake Sullivan, Kim, Sullivan, Adrienne Watson, Putin, Dmitry Peskov, Sergei Shoigu, Keir Giles, Andrei Lankov, Trevor Hunnicutt, Andrew Osborn, Heather Timmons, Grant McCool Organizations: REUTERS, WASHINGTON, U.S, White, . National Security, New York Times, Russia's, Chatham House's, Eurasia, Russia, Seoul's Kookmin University, The, China, . Security, Thomson Locations: Vladivostok, Russia, MOSCOW, North Korea, Ukraine, Moscow, Soviet Union, PYONGYANG, Korean, Pyongyang, North, Chatham House's Russia, Russian, Korea, The United States, U.S
Opinion: The Wagner mutiny shows Ukraine can win
  + stars: | 2023-06-27 | by ( Opinion Keir Giles | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +6 min
What the Wagner showdown demonstrates is that, instead, now is the time to redouble support to Ukraine. It also means lifting all of the artificial constraints of what Ukraine can do with the weapons they are provided. Above all, the fear in some Western capitals of Ukrainian victory, and Russian defeat, must be overcome. Our unanimous conclusion is that the only way to make Europe safer from Russia lies through urgently increasing assistance to allow Kyiv to win. Arms supplies to Ukraine, and full backing for Kyiv to defeat and evict Russia’s invading army, are an investment in peace.
Persons: Keir Giles, , Yevgeny Prigozhin’s, Wagner, Keir Giles Munira Mustaffa, they’re, Vladimir Putin, Putin, Prigozhin, , hasn’t, , Ukraine hasn’t, Russia’s Organizations: Chatham House, CNN, Kremlin, Ukraine, Western, Twitter, Kyiv Locations: Russia, Eurasia, Moscow, Ukraine, Ukrainian, Kyiv, Germany, Europe
Ukraine has 'conflicting priorities,' says analyst
  + stars: | 2023-05-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailUkraine has 'conflicting priorities,' says analystKeir Giles, senior consulting fellow for the Russia and Eurasia Programme at Chatham House, discusses tensions as Russia holds a military parade, while simultaneously launching attacks on Kyiv and Odessa.
Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelenskyy in Kherson, Ukraine, on Nov. 14, 2022. Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelenskyy on the cover of Time Magazine's 2022 "Person of the Year" edition. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy Zelenskyy enjoys high approval ratings among Ukrainians for rallying both the country's forces and public on a daily basis. Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelenskyy visits Kherson, Ukraine, on Nov. 14, 2022. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy in Kherson, Ukraine, on Nov. 14, 2022.
That blast, which was used by the Kremlin as a justification for Monday’s onslaught, bruised the Russian psyche and handed Ukraine a significant strategic boost. And the airborne strikes distract from what has been a dismal stretch for Russia in the ground war. They were “an indication of the nature of the threat from Russia,” Giles said. “The reopening of a northern front would be another new challenge for Ukraine,” Giles said. Beyond weapons supplies, Ukraine will be watching to ensure that Western resolve stays firm if Russia tightens energy supplies even further.
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