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Here's an update on the chart in a breakout shoemaker that is giving Nike a run for its money. In May, I wrote about On Holding AG (ONON) ahead of its earnings with a buy recommendation. You'll notice that the stock popped on the week of May 14th following the earnings report above the 2023 highs of $36.90. Looking at the valuation, NKE is trading about 26 times 2024 expected earnings and 25 times 2025 expected earnings. DECK is ranging from 10% to 20% revenue growth from the same period last year and ONON is running from 20% to 33% revenue growth.
Persons: NKE, outperformance, ONON, Roger Federer, Todd Gordon, Gordon Organizations: Nike, Holding, Inside Edge, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailAI will probably be as big as the internet revolution, says Lead Edge Capital's Mitchell GreenMitchell Green, founder of Lead Edge Capital, says AI will be as big as the internet revolution, but it will take a lot longer than people think.
Persons: Capital's Mitchell Green Mitchell Green Organizations: Lead Edge
Meta poised for another breakout, according to the charts
  + stars: | 2024-06-18 | by ( Todd Gordon | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
Meta (META) is about 5% from all-time highs and technically set up for a move to break to a new record. Since then during its 'year of efficiency' free cash flow has been built back to about $11-$13 billion per quarter for a yearly cash flow of about $50 billion. Meta is already making significant progress as its AI-generated content recommendation systems on Instagram Reels has made sharing among users increasingly popular. Analysts are expecting Meta to grow earnings by 14% for the next two years and revenues by about 12%. -Todd Gordon, founder of Inside Edge Capital, LLC DISCLOSURES: (Gordon owns META personally and in his wealth management company Inside Edge Capital Management, LLC Charts.)
Persons: we've, Todd Gordon, Gordon Organizations: Inside Edge, Reality Labs, Meta, Nvidia, Apple, Alpha, Inside Edge Capital Management
Back in April we covered the breakout in Southern Copper (SCCO) from $116 a share. I think it can hold that support again and, along with underlying copper futures, mount another attack on the highs. Copper demand just recently exceeded 25 million metric tons this year and with the explosion in AI and with the move towards clean energy, copper demand is expected to reach 40 million metric tons in the next 15 years. Turning to our focus stock, Southern Copper (SCCO), the chart is also pulling back into a very similar correction with anticipated support in the $115-$105 zone. Southern Copper beat their top and bottom line earnings estimates for Q1 in April, and looking ahead the growth is expected to continue.
Persons: Jensen Huang, We're, Todd Gordon, Gordon, SCCO Organizations: Nvidia, Elliott, Edge, . Southern, Inside Edge, Inside Edge Capital Management Locations: South America, China, .
Are AI companies overvalued?
  + stars: | 2024-05-29 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailAre AI companies overvalued? Mitchell Green, Lead Edge Capital founding partner, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the state of the AI technology races, whether some AI companies are overvalued, and more.
Persons: Mitchell Green Organizations: Edge Capital
Crowdstrike (CRWD) is a best-in-class cybersecurity leader that is poised for a technical breakout from resistance, despite being richly valued. One of the top concerns for firms in a post-pandemic world of remote, at-home workers is cybersecurity. Plus, the industry will also benefit greatly from the generative AI and cloud computing boom. And the long-term outlook for cybersecurity stocks is quite bullish as we power into what Nvidia's Jensen Huang refers to as 'the next industrial revolution'. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.
Persons: Cybersecurity, Morgan Stanley, Elliott, Nvidia's Jensen Huang, Todd Gordon, Gordon, CRWD Organizations: Alto Networks, Palo Alto Networks, Tactical Alpha, Edge, Inside Edge, Inside Edge Capital Management
Breaking down the market charts The S & P 500 broke out above the 2021 highs of 4,820 in the first two weeks of this year. Again, I don't know. I don't know. And I'm content to come before you and say I don't know and we can't know. This measures how much premium is embedded in the at the money puts and calls in the S & P 500.
Persons: Todd Gordon, Gordon Organizations: Nvidia, Inside Edge, Inside Edge Capital Management
Celsius (CELH) is an energy drink company that emerged from small cap status in 2020 to a $21 billion market cap company today. The stock carries a hefty valuation, but with the recent breakout following earnings last week I think it can rally even higher. I first wrote about Celsius here on Jan 17 as the stock was gearing up to break through the $63 and $69 resistance levels. The fundamental case Even so, last week's Q1 earnings report was met with some confusion. The chart below shows CELH quarterly revenue growth with the most recent quarter showing a slight lower-high based on that $355 million top line figure.
Persons: Red Bull, we'll, Todd Gordon, Gordon, CELH Organizations: Red, Monster Beverage, Elliott, Pepsi, Tactical Alpha, Inside Edge, Inside Edge Capital Management
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTop stocks to play if the markets pull back from their record highsJeff Kilburg, Founder and CEO of KKM Financial, and Todd Gordon, Founder of Inside Edge Capital, discuss how they're playing the markets with the major indexes near record highs.
Persons: Jeff Kilburg, Todd Gordon Organizations: KKM, Inside Edge
Has the time arrived for the stock to break free from a range heading into earnings next week? There has been much hype around this emerging Swiss company that grew revenues by 68% in 2022, 46% in 2023, and are expected to grow revenues by more than 25% in 2024 and 2025. Technically speaking ,that range of overhead resistance for On Holding (ONON) is easy to see on the weekly chart below. There was weekly downtrend line resistance originating from the 2022 high that was broken in Q1 '24. On earnings ahead Heading into earnings, I think it's wise to refer back to Q4 of 2023 earnings announced on March 12.
Persons: Shoemaker, I've, CROX, Todd Gordon, Gordon, ONON Organizations: Nike, Air, swiss, Inside Edge, Edge Capita Locations: Swiss, U.S, SKX
Is the company re-inventing itself as one of the premier players in the AI server business? But there are headwinds that have the analyst community concerned about a moderate pullback in AI infrastructure spend by corporate management teams. Let's examine the weekly Relative Rotation Graph of 3 key hardware stocks Apple (AAPL), Super Micro Computer (SMCI), and Dell (DELL). Turning to the technical price chart of Dell, we see this chart falling into an triangle consolidation pattern, which according to the Elliott Wave principle has 5 swings of lower-highs and higher-lows. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.
Persons: Dell, SCMI, Elliott, Todd Gordon Organizations: Dell Technologies, Apple, Micro, Dell, DELL, Inside Edge
Tesla recently made new yearly lows with no apparent support level in sight until another 30% lower at the early 2023 bottom of $101.81. We're heading into Q1 earnings this evening plagued with a plethora of negative news headlines clouding this stock. Tesla shareholders, me included, are coming to the realization that consumer appetite for electric vehicles combined with increased competition are significant headwinds for the stock. All that being said, the phrase "it's always darkest before the dawn" usually applies to beaten-down fundamental stories that are approaching technical support. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.
Persons: Tesla, Cybertruck, Elliott, Elon Musk, — Todd Gordon, Todd Gordon, TSLA Organizations: Tesla, Inside Edge, Inside Edge Capital Management Locations: Europe, Asia, Elon
If you look at the other metals like copper and steel and their associated stocks you'll see breakouts as well, and in fact, they are showing more strength than gold stocks. Looking at a chart of copper we'll see a clear breakout above the early 2023 high of $4.35 with the 2022 highs of $5.00 targeted. Fundamentally speaking copper is an industrial metal heavily needed in China and India for infrastructure, transportation, and the green energy buildout. 'Bull flag' pattern The way I'm expressing this bullish thesis in copper is through my holdings in Southern Copper Corp (SCCO) in the dividend portfolio at Inside Edge Capital. That's not exactly cheap, but with the forecasted global demand of copper we think that multiple is justified.
Persons: There's, COPX, That's, Todd Gordon, Gordon, SCCO Organizations: Gold Miners, Copper Miners, Southern Copper Corp, Edge, Inside Edge, Inside Edge Capital Management Locations: China, India, Panama, GDX, COPX, Arizona
A flagship stock like Nvidia (NVDA) takes a month-long breather and many investors want to throw in the towel on the uptrend and say enough is enough. The last time we spoke about NVDA was on Feb 21st just before the earnings report, while I was on a ski vacation. Turning down to the 195-minute chart (that is a half-day chart), we can fine tune our entry on this idea. I added a one-half position size to our short-term Active Opportunities portfolio with stops just below the $832 low. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.
Persons: NVDA, it's, Elliott, Todd Gordon, Gordon Organizations: Nvidia, PPI, Inside Edge, Inside Edge Capital Management
The S & P 500 is under pressure in the first few trading sessions of the second quarter as economic data continues to be strong and inflationary pressures remain elevated. The stock market rally has been nothing short of amazing reflecting the strong underlying economy and strong earnings companies reported in Q1. Fibonacci levels to watch In 2022, the S & P 500 dropped 1,327 points, or 27.5%. The market gathered itself, broke to new highs, and is now testing the next key Fibonacci extension level of 127.2% at S & P 5259. If however this resistance zone does not reverse price, then the next extension level we'll be targeting is the 1.618% at 5880.
Persons: I've, they've, Pythagoras, you'll, Todd Gordon Organizations: Inside Edge Locations: Italian, Greece
Arm Holdings is a UK-based semiconductor and software design company that has been around for quite some time and been through multiple corporate events, changes of ownership and multiple large investors. The majority shareholder of Arm (ARM) is Japanese conglomerate Softbank, which bought the company in 2016 before taking it public again on the Nasdaq in 2023. The stock formed a base into March, held $120-area support and is now mounting another attack after breaking the gray dotted downtrend resistance/trigger level at $135. I do not yet hold the stock, but I am looking to add to our holdings at current levels and will require the stock to remain above that $135 breakout level now serving as support. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.
Persons: we're, They're, Gordon Organizations: Nasdaq, ARM, Nvidia, Cadence Design Systems, IBM, Intel, AMD, Apple, Facebook, Google, Inside Edge Locations: UK
Is the breakout from resistance likely and should you consider allocating exposure to this basket of 2000 small capitalization stocks? I think the breakout should occur, but I don't think we should increase exposure to the Russell 2000 for two reasons. Ideally the rotation was going to carry through into the upper-right green quadrant indicating confirmed outperformance relative to the S & P 500. I'm not saying we shun small caps all together and continue to focus on the large caps. We need to focus on fundamentally sound small cap companies and we can do so through the Pacer US Small Cap Cash Cows 100 ETF (CALF) .
Persons: Russell, Powell, Gordon, POWL Organizations: Federal Reserve, Powell Industries, Edge, Inside Edge Capital Management
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailByteDance investor Mitchell Green: We would not sell even if TikTok was bannedMitchell Green, Lead Edge Capital founding partner, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the TikTok bill in Congress, what it means for a ByteDance investor like Green, how likely a ban will take effect, and more.
Persons: Mitchell Green, TikTok, Green Organizations: Edge Capital
Let's breakdown the potential breakout in Shake Shack (SHAK) . Shake Shack recently reported exceptional earnings and the stock has jumped on strong trading volume. On the way back we stopped at Shake Shack in the Denver airport and the consensus was 8 out of 10. On Feb 15, SHAK reported earnings and revenue ahead of expectation. Breaking down the chart Turning to the technicals, the breakout through the $80 resistance level on significant volume following those fourth-quarter earnings was very impressive.
Persons: Shake Shack, SHAK, Randy Garutti, Gordon Organizations: Shake, Edge Locations: San Diego, U.S, Breckenridge, Denver, West Coast, East Coast
Nvidia has been awarded the flagship status of companies leading the artificial intelligence revolution, and all eyes turn to fourth-quarter earnings after the bell Wednesday. The expectations are massive compared to the same quarter last year — and even compared to last quarter's earnings. The massive gains in price reflect this historic growth and the question is will the chart continue its rally following earnings? On Jan. 9 , I wrote about NVDA breaking through the 2023 resistance zone of $500 with targets of $650 in the first half of this year, and $775 in all of 2024. Expectations are for earnings of $4.59 per share vs 88 cents in Q4 of '23 and $4.02 in Q3 of '24.
Persons: It's, Eli Lilly, Elliott, Gordon, NVDA Organizations: Nvidia, UBS, Elliott, Tactical Alpha, Edge
Amazon (AMZN) is set to report earnings this Thursday after the bell with the stock on a roll and expectations high. However, there are signs that the impressive run may be headed for overhead resistance, according to the charts. Further, there are signs within the consumer discretionary sector that recent underperformance compared to the rest of the 'growth trade' may persist. The consumer discretionary space has been showing signs of weakness relative to the other growth/offensive sectors like technology and communications that continue to power ahead. If so, the sub-mega cap companies in consumer discretionary may have their work cut out for them.
Persons: It's, XLY, Gordon, AMZN Organizations: Edge, Netflix Locations: AMZN, TSLA, Tesla
Netflix has recently been crowned the unofficial king of streaming services and it's scheduled to report earnings this evening. The earnings report could be another good one, but the stock technicals are flashing some warning signs for long-term investors. From a fundamental standpoint, NFLX has been anointed 'the one' in the streaming space after delivering on multiple initiatives. Combined that with such strong projected growth rates creating a stretched forward valuation making investors even more cautious. At the current price of $486.50 and an expectation of $15.94 in earnings, that puts NFLX at 30.50 times 2024 earnings.
Persons: NFLX, Julius de Kempenaer, Hope, you'll, Gordon Organizations: Netflix, Tactical Alpha, Edge, candlestick Locations: I'm
Some closely watched momentum indicators and a bullish overall chart suggest popular AI chipmaker Advanced Micro Devices is headed for new highs in the near future. The stock hit a new 52-week high and now sits 3.6% below the stock's all-time high of $164.46 set in the fourth quarter of 2021. Many chart analysts expect the stock to blow past that level in the near future. "Anytime a stock makes a new all-time high, it tells me something special is taking place with the company," said JC O'Hara, chief technical strategist at Roth Capital Partners. "Investors should be positioned in these risk stocks that typically outperform in a rising market environment and AMD checks that box," he said.
Persons: Dan Wantrobski, Janney Montgomery Scott, JC O'Hara, Wantrobski, Capital's Todd Gordon, Oppenheimer's Ari Wald Organizations: Devices, AMD, Roth Capital Partners, Nasdaq
Lead Edge Capital talks about investing in China
  + stars: | 2023-11-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailLead Edge Capital talks about investing in ChinaMitchell Green, partner and founder of Lead Edge Capital, discusses China's tech sector, regulations and international outlook.
Persons: China Mitchell Green Organizations: Capital, Lead Edge Locations: China Mitchell
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChinese tech stocks are trading at low multiples due to uncertainty: Lead Edge Capital CEOMitchell Green, Lead Edge Capital founding partner, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss China's tech economy, the state of the tech sector and market outlook.
Persons: Mitchell Green Organizations: Edge, Edge Capital
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