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Consumers grew more optimistic about the U.S. economy heading into the contentious presidential election even as job openings hit multi-year lows, according to separate reports released Tuesday. The Conference Board's consumer confidence index for October rose more than 11% to a reading of 138, its biggest one-month acceleration since March 2021. "Views on the current availability of jobs rebounded after several months of weakness, potentially reflecting better labor market data." The drop in openings took the ratio of job vacancies to available workers below 1.1 to 1. Though the openings level moved lower, hires rose 123,000 on the month.
Persons: Dow Jones, Dana Peterson Organizations: Labor Locations: U.S
They Used to Be Ahead in the American Economy. But over 40 years, even as their inflation-adjusted income has remained relatively flat, they’ve fallen well below the average income. But over 40 years, even as their inflation-adjusted income has remained relatively flat, they’ve fallen well below the average income. In the reordering of the U.S. economy since 1980, white men without a degree have been surpassed in income by college-educated women. As the American economy has shifted over the past 40 years away from manufacturing and toward services and “knowledge” work, this less visible hierarchy within the economy has shifted, too.
Persons: Jobs, metalworkers, , , Kathy Cramer, David Autor, Tom Kochan, Susan Houseman, , Lisa Boscola, Arlie Hochschild, , appraisers, Cramer, Scott Paul, who’ve, Stephanie Ternullo, Boscola, they’re, Donald J, Noam Gidron, Trump, Rather, Biden, Kamala Harris, Stefanie Stantcheva, Stantcheva Organizations: University of Wisconsin, Workers, Labor, Upjohn Institute, Employment Research, Democratic, Bethlehem Steel, Berkeley, Alliance for American Manufacturing, Harvard, Electoral College, Democratic Party, Republican, Securities, Bank, Radio, Observers, Mr, Obama Locations: American, U.S, Wisconsin , Michigan, Pennsylvania, M.I.T, Manitowoc County, Wis, Wisconsin, Michigan, , I’m, America, Bethlehem, Pa
The company may have maintained its full-year revenue outlook, but that was taken as good enough after last quarter's debacle. Management also provided a better-than-expected sales, earnings, and recurring revenue outlook. The Good Abbott Laboratories : Sales, earnings and organic growth all exceeded analyst estimates. Broadcom : Sales and earnings outpaced expectations , driven by strong sales of its AI products and VMware software. Alphabet : Delivered largely better-than expected earnings results that showed the search and cloud giant is finally on better footing in the fast-growing AI space.
Persons: we've, Lisa Su, , Eli Lilly, Zepbound, Stanley Black, Stanley, Morgan Stanley, Procter, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Steve Marcus Organizations: Costco, DuPont, Club, Management, Nvidia, Palo Alto Networks, Good Abbott Laboratories, Broadcom, VMware, Wealth Management, Investment Management, Microsoft, Constellation Brands, TJX, Amazon Web Services, Coterra Energy, GE Healthcare, Honeywell, Gamble, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, AMD Locations: China, Covid, Dover, Eaton, Palo, North America, GEHC, Wells Fargo, Las Vegas , Nevada, U.S
Enter underconsumption core, or a lifestyle that involves using just a small rotation of things for years rather than chasing the latest trend. Users are posting videos on TikTok showing off their underconsumption core lifestyles, with many receiving hundreds of thousands of likes. Experts say the underconsumption core trend isn’t just about maintaining a budget or wanting to get rid of stuff. Still, Americans are spendingDespite the underconsumption core trend’s popularity, spending in the US remains strong overall. Suzanne Lambert, a 32-year old consultant based in Virginia, says she canceled her subscription to a beauty box after watching underconsumption core videos.
Persons: , , Megan Doherty Bea, Bea, Stanley, Diana Wiebe, Wiebe, ’ ”, Nikki Baird, Katrina Leibee, Leibee, , Norah Jones Eleanor, Eleanor, June’s, Suzanne Lambert, Lambert, Scott Rick, Rick Organizations: New, New York CNN, University of Wisconsin - Madison, Savings, Kohl’s, , Denver, CNN, Commerce Department, University of Michigan’s Ross School of Business Locations: New York, United States, Ohio, Utah, West Africa, Arlington , Virginia, Virginia
CNN —The US economy appears to be on a knife’s edge, and Friday’s jobs report will be the deciding factor as to the next direction. Economists are expecting that the August report should reaffirm that the labor market is merely cooling versus outright weakening. Inflation had cooled, and the labor market was rolling right along and doing its part to keep consumers spending and the economy churning. Friday’s jobs report should provide further reassurance that the labor market is merely softening and not collapsing, economists predict. “It would be a mistake to define the labor market as being excessively weak at this stage.”Instead, the signals indicate that the labor market has moved from being extremely strong and into better balance, she said.
Persons: ” Tuan Nguyen, , ” Karin Kimbrough, , ” Oliver Allen, ” Allen, , Andrew Challenger, Nick Bunker, Pantheon’s Allen, Beryl “, Mike Skordeles Organizations: CNN, RSM, Federal, LinkedIn, Labor, Department of Labor, “ Companies, Pantheon Macroeconomics, BLS, Employers, ADP, Challenger, Technology, , North America, Bank of America Locations: US, Michigan, Texas
Private sector payrolls grew at the weakest pace in more than 3½ years in August, providing yet another sign of a deteriorating labor market, according to ADP. August was the weakest month for job growth since January 2021, according to data from the payrolls processing firm. Still, the ADP data showed that while hiring has slowed considerably, only a few sectors reported actual job losses. Annual pay increased 4.8% for those who stayed in their jobs, about the same level as July, according to ADP. The ADP count now tees up the more closely watched nonfarm payrolls report, which the Bureau of Labor Statistics will release Friday.
Persons: payrolls, Nela Richardson Organizations: ADP . Companies, Dow, Labor Department, ADP, of Labor Statistics, BLS, Federal
Job openings slumped to their lowest level in 3½ years in July, the Labor Department reported Wednesday in another sign of slack in the labor market. "The labor market is no longer cooling down to its pre-pandemic temperature, it's dropped past it," said Nick Bunker, head of economic research at the Indeed Hiring Lab. "Nobody, and certainly not policymakers at the Federal Reserve, should want the labor market to get any cooler at this point." While the job openings level declined, layoffs increased to 1.76 million, up 202,000 from June. "The still low level of layoffs and tick up in hires suggests the labor market is not cracking.
Persons: Dow Jones, it's, Nick Bunker, Krishna Guha, nonfarm Organizations: Labor Department, Labor, Survey, Federal Reserve, Global Policy, Central Bank, Evercore ISI
Goldman Sachs has cut its probability forecast for a U.S. recession to 20% shortly after raising it, as fresh labor market data sparked a reassessment of market views on the economy. Economists at Goldman earlier this month raised their 12-month U.S. recession probability from 15% to 25% after the U.S. July jobs report of Aug. 2 showed nonfarm payrolls grew by a less-than-expected 114,000. That was down from the downwardly revised 179,000 of June and below the Dow Jones estimate of 185,000. The report triggered widespread concerns about the world's largest economy, and contributed to the sharp — but ultimately brief — stock market sell-off at the start of the month. Goldman initially cited this as a reason for hiking the probability of an economic downturn — but changed tack on Saturday, when it wrote in a note that it saw the odds down to 20% because data released since Aug. 2 showed "no sign of a recession."
Persons: Goldman Sachs, nonfarm payrolls, Dow Jones, Goldman Organizations: Goldman, U.S Locations: U.S
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. The Nasdaq Composite dropped 2.43% and is now in correction territory, having declined more than 10% from its recent high. The unemployment rate rose to 4.3%, the highest since October 2021 when the global economy was still reeling from the Covid-19 pandemic. The stocks had to pass several criteria, including receiving five or more earnings upgrades in the past three months.
Persons: Warren Buffett Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Treasury, Federal, Berkshire Hathaway's, Apple . Berkshire, Exxon, Chevron, CNBC Pro Locations: New York City, Apple ., Berkshire, Guyana, U.S, San Ramon , California, Houston , Texas
Jim Cramer said Friday the Fed should have cut at this week's meeting. Those were in place with AMD because Jim Cramer mentioned the stock on CNBC TV over the past 72 hours. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Dow Jones, here's, Eli Lilly, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Fed, Bond, chipmaker Broadcom, AMD, Palo Alto, Nvidia, Wynn Resorts, Disney, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: U.S, DuPont, Dover, Wells
Job growth in the U.S. slowed much more than expected during July and the unemployment rate ticked higher, the Labor Department reported Friday. The unemployment rate edged higher to 4.3%, its highest since October 2021. "Temperatures might be hot around the country, but there's no summer heatwave for the job market," said Becky Frankiewicz, president of the Manpower Group employment agency. From a sector standpoint, health care again led in job creation, adding 55,000 to payrolls. The labor force also contracted by 214,000, though the participation rate as a share of the working-age population actually edged higher to 62.7%.
Persons: Nonfarm payrolls, Dow Jones, Becky Frankiewicz Organizations: Labor Department, Stock, Manpower Group Locations: U.S
GE Healthcare on Wednesday morning reported a mixed second quarter and shares initially moved sharply lower. Organic revenue growth was 1%. We saw a continued acceleration of Vizamyl doses delivered in the U.S. in the second quarter. This is still a small contributor to sales growth but gives us optimism about its sales potential over the next few years." As a result, we're lowering our total company full-year organic revenue growth guidance."
Persons: Philips, It's, Eli Lilly, GEHC, , Jay Saccaro, We're, Arduini, Peter Arduini, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Pavlo Gonchar Organizations: GE Healthcare, Management, Revenue, LSEG, General Electric, Philips, Siemens, Club, GE Healthcare YTD, GE Healthcare's, Care Solutions, Pharmaceutical Diagnostics, U.S, CNBC, Lightrocket, Getty Locations: China, Eisai, U.S
It also came in above the high end of management's guidance. But here's the root of Thursday's selling: Honeywell downwardly revised its full-year guidance for segment margin, earnings per share, and cash flow guidance. The changes are tied to the inclusion of previously closed and announced acquisitions, as well as a slower-than expected-rebound for short-cycle businesses. Unfortunately, despite some "pockets of short-cycle strength," other short-cycle businesses "are not accelerating as much as we had hoped," CFO Greg Lewis said on the call. But here's the root of Thursday's selling: Honeywell downwardly revised its full-year guidance for segment margin, earnings per share, and cash flow guidance.
Persons: Honeywell downwardly, Greg Lewis, Vimal, Lewis, abate, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Daniel Barry Organizations: Honeywell, Revenue, LSEG, Emerson, Aerospace Technologies, Management, Aerospace, Automation, Carrier's, Solutions, CAES Systems Holdings, Air Products, Industrial Automation, Energy, Sustainability Solutions, CNBC, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: UOP, Morristown , New Jersey
Wall Street’s expectations for a September rate cut rose to roughly 93% on Thursday from 73% the day before, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. “A September rate cut should be a done deal at this point,” wrote Ron Temple, chief market strategist at Lazard, in a Thursday note. Some economists worry that if the Fed doesn’t cut rates by then, cracks could begin to deepen in the labor market. A September rate cut “may not be the magic elixir some investors are seeking,” wrote Brent Schutte, chief investment officer at Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management, in a Monday note. On an annual basis, consumer prices are increasing at their slowest pace since June 2023, matching the lowest annual rate since early 2021.
Persons: , Ron Temple, Jerome Powell didn’t, Brent Schutte, Alicia Wallace, , Elisabeth Buchwald, McDonald’s, Read Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Lazard, Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management, Bureau of Labor Statistics ’, Taco Bell Locations: New York, Burger
Supply and DemandThe case for housing deregulation starts with Econ 101: Allowing builders to significantly increase housing supply leads to much lower prices. It isn’t rising demand, as the U.S. population rose even faster back when housing prices were roughly stable. Standard of LivingWhat would happen if homebuilders could once again freely build until housing prices were driven back down to cost? The admittedly small number of studies on the link between YIMBY and babies support common sense: Less regulation lowers housing prices, and lower housing prices generally raise birth rates and hasten child-bearing. In a rational world, the panacea policy of housing deregulation would be a done deal.
Persons: Ben Denzer, Taylor, Wharton, homebuilders, Thomas Piketty’s, , Matthew Rognlie, Peter Ganong, Daniel Shoag, Anne Case, Angus Deaton Organizations: Republicans, Research, Area, Wharton, Francisco, Francisco Los Angeles New, Francisco Los Angeles New York Phoenix Denver Houston Dallas, Japan Japan France France Britain Britain, Japan Japan France France Britain Britain Canada, → Utah Nevada Arizona New, San, San Francisco New, Atlanta Houston Boston, Democrats, Republican Locations: Minnesota , Oregon, California, New York City, Houston, Dallas, Francisco Los, Francisco Los Angeles New York, Wharton, United States, Japan, France, Britain, Canada, U.S, Japan Japan France France, Japan Japan France France Britain Britain Canada Canada, Bay, Dodge, → California Nevada Florida New York Arkansas, → Utah Nevada Arizona, → Utah Nevada Arizona New York West Virginia, Washington, San Francisco, San Francisco New York Los Angeles Rochester, N.Y, Atlanta
Job seekers attends the JobNewsUSA.com South Florida Job Fair held at the Amerant Bank Arena on June 26, 2024 in Sunrise, Florida. Joe Raedle | Getty ImagesThe U.S. economy again added slightly more jobs than expected in June though the unemployment rate increased, the Labor Department reported Friday. The unemployment rate unexpectedly climbed to 4.1%, tied for the highest level since October 2021 and providing a conflicting sign for Federal Reserve officials weighing their next move on monetary policy. A broader unemployment rate which counts discouraged workers and those holding part-time jobs for economic reasons held steady at 7.4%. Household employment, which is used to calculate the unemployment rate, increased by 116,000.
Persons: Joe Raedle, Nonfarm, Dow Jones Organizations: Amerant, Labor Department, Dow, Federal Reserve Locations: Florida, Sunrise , Florida
New York CNN —A stalemate in Washington could destroy a landmark tax deal that was painstakingly hammered out among 140 countries over the better part of a decade. Some analysts say that the United States’ inability to ratify the deal could lead to a tax war among the richest nations that would hit tech behemoths like Google, Apple, Meta and Amazon particularly hard. Canada recently implemented a local tax on the world’s largest tech companies, something the OECD treaty had sought to avoid. New Zealand has also said it will implement its own digital services tax on large multinational companies beginning in 2025. The FTC also said that documents showed that competing mattress suppliers would lose access to its most important retail channel.
Persons: Donald Trump, he’s, Manal Corwin, , Megan Funkhouser, won’t, Alicia Wallace, Economists, Ramishah Maruf, Tempur Sealy, , Foster Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Apple, Meta, Economic Co, Development, OECD, Biden, Republicans, Finance, OECD’s, Tax, Administration, Information Technology Industry Council, CNN, Bureau of Labor Statistics ’, Labor, Labor Statistics, Federal Trade Commission, United, FTC, Pedic, Sealy Locations: New York, Washington, United States, Canada, Zealand, New Zealand, Stearns
CNN —The number of available jobs in the US unexpectedly grew in May, signaling continued resilience in the nation’s labor market. Job openings jumped higher to 8.14 million in May, from a downwardly revised 7.91 million in April, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ latest Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) report released Tuesday. While both hires and job openings rates (as a percentage of total employment) ticked higher for May, the quits rate and layoffs rate were unchanged. The labor market appears to be at a crossroads, Nick Bunker, Indeed Hiring Lab’s head of economic research, wrote in commentary posted Tuesday. But some Fed officials have noted that the job market has lost momentum recently and that it’s highly unclear whether it will continue to hold steady or weaken further.
Persons: Economists, , ” Robert Frick, switchers, David Tinsley, Nick Bunker, ” Bunker, , you’ve, Austan Goolsbee, ” Marisa DiNatale Organizations: CNN, Bureau of Labor Statistics ’, Labor, Navy Federal Credit Union, Industries, Bank of America, Bank of America Institute, , Federal Reserve, Chicago Fed, Bloomberg, European Central Bank, Moody’s, Labor Statistics Locations: Sintra , Portugal
Americans could be on a tight budget this summer
  + stars: | 2024-06-20 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +6 min
New York CNN —Americans tend to shell out in the summer as they venture outdoors, book trips and step away from their desks. Consumers plan to spend less on away-from-home entertainment and vacations this summer, according to the 2024 KPMG Consumer Pulse Survey released Tuesday. That’s a contrast to last year when Americans shelled out on the “Barbenheimer” phenomenon, Taylor Swift and Beyoncé concert tickets and getaways. Retailers that offer Americans more bang for their buck including Ross Stores, TJ Maxx and HomeGoods-parent TJX, Dollar General and Walmart have benefitted. Americans are also feeling worse about the economy as they struggle with elevated inflation and high borrowing rates.
Persons: Taylor Swift, It’s, , Duleep Rodrigo, TJ Maxx, Mark Thompson, Henley, ” Hannah White, , OpenAI’s Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Pulse Survey, Commerce Department, Federal Reserve, Retailers, Ross Stores, Walmart, Abercrombie, Fitch, Williams, University, Michigan’s, Millionaires, Labour, Henley & Partners, Institute for Government, City of, Henley Private Wealth, Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple Locations: New York, Sonoma, Britain, United Kingdom, City of London
Retail sales rose less than expected in May
  + stars: | 2024-06-18 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +1 min
Washington CNN —Sales at US retailers rose last month at an unexpectedly weak pace as US consumers continue to deal with still-high inflation and elevated interest rates. Retail sales rose just 0.1% in May from the prior month, the Commerce Department reported Tuesday. That’s better than April’s downwardly revised 0.2% decline but below the 0.3% gain economists projected in a FactSet poll. Meanwhile, spending was the strongest at specialty stores that sell sporting goods, books, and musical instruments, which jumped by 2.8% last month. Monthly retail sales have increased four times over the past six months through May, but figures for April and March were revised lower, the Commerce Department said Tuesday.
Persons: That’s Organizations: Washington CNN —, Commerce Department, Federal Reserve
May retail sales rise 0.1%, weaker than expected
  + stars: | 2024-06-18 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
A worker assists with check-out at a Costco store in Teterboro, New Jersey, US, on Wednesday, Feb. 28, 2024. Retail spending was weaker than expected in May as consumers continued to wrestle with stubbornly higher levels of inflation. Sales rose just 0.1% on the month, one-tenth of a percentage point below the Dow Jones estimate, according to a Commerce Department report Tuesday that is adjusted for seasonality but not inflation. On a year-over-year basis, sales rose 2.3%. The sales number was worse when excluding autos, with a decline of 0.1% against the estimate for a 0.2% increase.
Persons: Dow Jones, Patrick Harker Organizations: Costco, Commerce Department, Federal Reserve, Fed, Philadelphia Fed Locations: Teterboro , New Jersey, US
The 2-year Treasury yield was last more than two basis points higher to 4.8909%. U.S. Treasury yields were higher on Monday as investors looked ahead to the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting and key inflation data due this week. Due this week are the latest Federal Reserve interest rate decision and policy guidance, as well as fresh key economic data, including inflation data. The Fed is due to meet Tuesday and Wednesday, and is widely expected to leave interest rates unchanged at the conclusion of its meeting. Policymakers have repeatedly said that they are looking for more data evidence to be sure that inflation is easing sustainably toward the 2% target before making interest rate cuts.
Persons: downwardly Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Federal
Private job creation slowed more than expected in May, according to a report Wednesday from ADP that signals further sluggishness in the labor market. A number of sectors saw job losses on the month. The report comes two days ahead of the more closely watched nonfarm payrolls count from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The ADP report showing private payroll growth of 188,000 in April overshot the BLS count of 167,000. Correction: The ADP figure for May was the lowest monthly level since January.
Persons: Dow Jones, Nela Richardson, nonfarm Organizations: Dow, Bureau of Labor Statistics, BLS, Wall Locations: Central, San Francisco , California, Trade
People are exiting the stock market in droves
  + stars: | 2024-06-05 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +7 min
The US stock market is shrinking, and investors are pulling their money out at a near-record pace as storm clouds gather over the US economy. A shrinking market: The stock market isn’t the economy (for the most part). Fear is currently driving the US market, according to CNN’s Fear and Greed Index. “We really need to consider: Is this the outcome we want?”CEOs are making almost 200 times what workers areCEOs raked in fat pay packages last year as the US stock market boomed, reports my colleague Matt Egan. Economists were expecting job openings to register 8.36 million, according to FactSet estimates.
Persons: , Morgan Stanley, Lisa Shatlett, We’ve, Torsten Slok, Jamie Dimon, Dimon, , Matt Egan, Bosses, Alicia Wallace Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, titans, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, Federal, Dow, Apollo Global Management, Privately, JPMorgan, Associated Press, Workers, Bureau of Labor Statistics ’, Labor, Federal Reserve Locations: New York, Nantucket, That’s
CNN —The number of job openings in the US shrank for the second month in a row, setting a new three-year low amid further signals of cooling in the labor market. There were 8.06 million available jobs posted in April, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ latest Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) report released Tuesday. Economists were expecting job openings to register 8.36 million, according to FactSet estimates. Layoffs remain lowIn addition to the decline in job openings, other measures of labor turnover showed minimal movement in April. Second, the labor market is a different animal than it was 10 or 20 years ago.
Persons: Nancy Vanden Houten, ” Vanden Houten Organizations: CNN, Bureau of Labor Statistics ’, Labor, Oxford Economics, Federal Reserve, Federal, JOLTS, Boomers Locations: That’s
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