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CNBC Daily Open: Focus turns to key inflation data
  + stars: | 2024-03-28 | by ( Sumathi Bala | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Photographer: Christopher Dilts/Bloomberg via Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Xi on China tech progressChinese President Xi Jinping told Dutch Prime Minister Mark Rutte that no force can stop China's tech advance. Separately, Xi also told U.S. executives that bilateral ties can have a "brighter future" and vowed to improve the business environment. The next few days could prove crucial in diverting trade away from the port, logistics executives told CNBC, after a container ship collided into the Francis Scott Key Bridge early Tuesday.
Persons: Christopher Dilts, Topix, Xi, Xi Jinping, Mark Rutte, Janet Yellen, Yellen, Francis Scott Key, David Neuhauser Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, CNBC, Nikkei, U.S ., CSI, Dow, Nasdaq, Dutch, Xinhua News Agency, U.S, Treasury, Francis Scott Key Bridge, Livermore Partners Locations: Chicago , Illinois, Japan, Seng, China, Beijing, U.S, Baltimore, Port of Baltimore
The bad news: Consumers aren't expected to spend more this holiday season. With spending in line with last year, this holiday shopping season becomes a market share story — a zero-sum game. Foot Locker (FL) has issues outside of the holiday season such as an inventory glut, an overreliance on Nike (NKE) and the need to shut down unprofitable stores. We see no reason to change our 4 rating on both stocks ahead of the holiday season. Bottom line We are in a good position to benefit from how discretionary dollars will be spent this holiday season.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Locker, Estee Lauder, Foot, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Christopher Dilts Organizations: Shoppers, Target, Walmart, Costco, Nike, TJX Companies, CNBC, Bloomberg, Getty Images Bloomberg, Getty Locations: Chicago , Illinois
Photographer: Christopher Dilts/Bloomberg via Getty Images Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesAs holiday shopping season begins, lack of big orders from retailers is the rule amid fears that consumer spending will be weak, according to a new CNBC Supply Chain Survey. At the CNBC Evolve Global Summit last Thursday, Target CEO Brian Cornell said the company is doubling down on its cautious outlook for the holiday season. The CNBC Supply Chain Survey was conducted October 21-October 31 among logistics executives who manage freight manufacturing orders and transportation, including those at C.H. Lunar New Year and order volumes The CNBC Supply Chain Survey underscores an overall climate of uncertainty that is defining the market right now. The freight trucking recession Trucking companies get paid per load, and the low expectations for orders imply potentially lower revenue this holiday season.
Persons: Christopher Dilts, Robinson, Noah Hoffman, Hoffman, Jeremy Barnum, Brian Cornell, Raj Subramaniam, restocking, Kuehne, Nagel, Paul Brashier, Tim Robertson, Robertson, Brian Bourke, Elmer Buchta, Jeff Bezos, Uber, Brashier, Berkshire Hathaway, Alan Baer Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty Images Bloomberg, Getty, CNBC Supply Chain Survey, North American Surface Transportation, CNBC, Global, FedEx, Chain Survey, SEKO Logistics, USA, ITS Logistics, Amazon, Maersk, Logistics, Convoy, Tank Transport, U.S ., Union Pacific, BNSF, Norfolk Southern, CSX Locations: Chicago , Illinois, C.H, U.S, China, United States, Montana, Indiana, Panama, West Coast, U.S . West Coast, Los Angeles, Berkshire, West, East Coast
I’m almost embarrassed to share that Zoo Pals are paper plates that feature the bright, adorable faces of animals like pigs, turtles, ducks and whales. And I had an incentive to finish my plate so I could see my Zoo Pal’s face again. In August Hefty relaunched Zoo Pals after discontinuing the plates featuring animals nearly a decade ago. Hefty said one of the reasons it brought back Zoo Pals was "so our fans can relive their fondest childhood memories." Christopher Dilts/Bloomberg/Getty ImagesMattel Inc.’s American Girl doll line has also seen an influx of purchases made by kidults over the past few years, “and it continues to grow in popularity,” Jamie Cygielman, the president of American Girl, told CNN.
Persons: New York CNN —, I’m, , Covid, Krystine Batcho, , Batcho, she’s, Gen, Juli Lennett, ” Lennett, Christopher Dilts, kidults, ” Jamie Cygielman, Cygielman, Z, Instagramers, @inbloombyemily, hasn’t, , Lennett, ” Batcho Organizations: New, New York CNN, Zoo, CNN, Le Moyne College, Consumers, Lego, Bloomberg, Getty, Mattel Inc, American, Girl, Social Locations: New York, United States, Syracuse , New York, Chicago, American
It's time to dump shares of Dollar General as consumers come under increasing pressure, according to JPMorgan. Analyst Matthew R. Boss downgraded shares to underweight from neutral, saying the company's core low-to middle-income shopper is under strain from diminishing savings and rising inflation. The downgrade comes after JPMorgan hosted a recent fireside chat with Dollar General finance chief Kelly Dilts. DG 1D mountain Dollar General shares 1-day All this charts an uncertain path forward for Dollar General, the analyst said. On Aug. 31, the stock dropped 12% after Dollar General reported weaker-than-expected second-quarter results.
Persons: Matthew R, Boss, Kelly Dilts, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: JPMorgan, SNAP, Dollar, Dilts
Dollar General shopping carts are seen outside a store in Mount Rainier, Maryland, U.S., June 1, 2021. The Goodlettsville, Tennessee-based retailer has fallen short of the average analyst forecast for four straight quarters, and on Thursday cut its annual profit and sales targets for the second time this year. The quarter "marks the fourth consecutive guide down for Dollar General, which admittedly creates further uncertainty if we are hitting the bottom yet," said Raymond James analyst Bobby Griffin. "While we expect traffic trends to improve, we do not expect positive traffic until the fourth quarter," CFO Kelly Dilts said. To better compete with rival Dollar Tree and bigger grocer Walmart (WMT.N), Dollar General has been investing to keep prices low for its everyday staples, improve merchandise mix and increase wages.
Persons: Erin Scott, Raymond James, Bobby Griffin, Kelly Dilts, Savyata Mishra, Pooja Desai Organizations: REUTERS, Dollar, Walmart, Thomson Locations: Mount Rainier , Maryland, U.S, , Tennessee, Bengaluru
Eva Marie Uzcategui | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesIt's not your imagination: Companies are getting stingier with customer rewards. Raising the barSome of the biggest shifts in customer perks have come in the airline industry. At many retailers, customers must now pay a return fee if they want to ship back unwanted clothing, shoes or other items. "To drive that online demand, free shipping and free returns were put in place, but now we all know it costs significant money," he said. Both companies aim to make sure membership isn't shared with people who aren't paying, particularly as the companies chase new avenues of growth.
Persons: Eva Marie Uzcategui, Dunkin, Cowen, David Garfield, Yuping Liu, Stephanie Keith, Marshal Cohen, Circana, Nordstrom, Christopher Dilts, Kohl's, Macy's, they're, Amit Sharma, Heidi Isern, Levi Strauss, Ann Taylor, Crocs, Brooks, reining Organizations: Brickell City Centre, Bloomberg, Getty, Retailers, Ross, uptick, American Airlines, Delta Air Lines, United Airlines, Old Dominion, Strome School of Business, LaGuardia, American Express, American, IRI, NPD, Urban Outfitters, Abercrombie, Fitch, Nordstrom, Amazon, Foods, Netflix, Costco Locations: Brickell, Miami , Florida, Queens, New York, Delta, Schaumburg , Illinois
Wealthy shoppers are increasingly turning to discount stores like Aldi, Dollar Tree, and Dollar General. This is because of inflation, improved product quality, and changing attitudes to discount stores. Morgan Pierce, who The Journal reported earns about $200,000 a year working at McDonald's corporate office in Chicago, visits Aldi and dollar stores for staples. People who The Journal spoke to said that the idea of shopping at discount stores was no longer as stigmatized. Soaring inflation during 2021 and 2022 combined with better-quality budget products and a rising number of brand-agnostic shoppers have all helped to push wealthier shoppers to discount stores.
Persons: , Morgan Pierce, I'm, Pierce, Rick Dreiling, Kelly Dilts, Bob Gillman, Bethenny Frankel, It's, Dreiling Organizations: Service, Wall Street, Aldi, Dollar, YouTube, Housewives, New Locations: Aldi, Chicago, New York City
Dollar General cut its profit estimate for 2023 on Thursday. The first of two jarring pieces of evidence comes in the form of first-quarter earnings from Dollar General. The fact that they're not immune to a broader pullback in consumer spending is a big red flag for the US economy. Speaking of which, a bit further up the affluence scale, Macy's turned in an earnings stinker of its own. The department-store giant offered disappointing second-quarter projections and — like Dollar General — slashed full-year projections.
Persons: It's, Macy's, , Jeffery Owen, Kelly Dilts, it's, Jeff Gennette, Paul Tudor Jones, Larry Summers —, Target Organizations: Service, Dollar, Federal Reserve, Walmart, Target Locations: Wall, American
Low-cost retailers like Dollar General face stiff competition from bigger retailers like Walmart in the grocery and food business, which has lifted its annual outlook as it offers lower prices on groceries compared to rivals Target Corp (TGT.N). Shares of Dollar General were set for their worst day on record, if losses hold, as it also said an earnings decline would be "most significant" in the second quarter. The Tennessee-based company's gloomy outlook echoes disappointing results at its biggest rival Dollar Tree (DLTR.O) last week, which took a hit from slowing demand for non-essentials and elevated cost pressures. The company's first-quarter same-store sales and profit were also below analysts' average estimate as customers appeared to have reduced their spending budgets. Reporting by Savyata Mishra in Bengaluru; Editing by Pooja Desai and Dhanya Ann ThoppilOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Jeffery Owen, Michael Montani, Kelly Dilts, Savyata Mishra, Pooja Desai, Dhanya Ann Thoppil Organizations: General Corp, Walmart, Target Corp, Evercore ISI, Thomson Locations: The Tennessee, Bengaluru
New York CNN —A line of Chicago mayors heavily courted Walmart over the last two decades, brushing aside community protests. Chains like Dollar General and Family Dollar are expanding in low-income areas, but they don’t sell fresh groceries. Walmart is closing neighborhood markets around the country, and three of the four stores closing in Chicago fall into that category. In Chicago, Walmart is closing in both low-income and high-income areas, a sign that it’s struggling across the city. But it’s the stores in low-income areas that will feel the loss most.
[1/2] A "now hiring" sign is displayed outside Taylor Party and Equipment Rentals in Somerville, Massachusetts, U.S., September 1, 2022. Economists polled by Reuters expect a gain of 239,000 jobs in March, with hourly wages rising at a 4.3% annual rate and the unemployment rate remaining at 3.6%, a level seen less than 20% of the time since World War Two. Unemployment is still at a very low level," Boston Fed President Susan Collins said in an interview with Reuters last week. How "slack" in the labor market links to lower inflation may depend on where job growth slows, and over what timeline. "The services sector, in particular, has contributed substantially to recent inflation, reflecting ongoing imbalances in labor markets where supply remains impaired and demand remains robust," they wrote.
In 2020, Covid restrictions ground the nation’s bustling restaurant industry to a halt. Last year, there were about 631,000 restaurants in the United States, according to data from Technomic, a restaurant research firm. Meanwhile, restaurant operators are seeing their own costs, like rent and ingredients, rise, and say it’s hard to hire staff. With conditions so tough, some restaurant owners are advising newcomers to steer clear of the industry altogether. Daniel Jacobs, a chef and restaurant owner, has seen his own network of restaurants shrink over the past few years.
Christopher Dilts/Bloomber/Getty ImagesIt’s easy to imagine that reusing an artificial tree year after year is the more sustainable option. The American Christmas Tree Association, a nonprofit that represents artificial tree manufacturers, commissioned WAP Sustainability Consulting for a study in 2018 that found the environmental impact of an artificial tree is better than a real tree if you use the fake tree for at least five years. “Planting, fertilizing and watering were taken into account for real trees, which have an approximate field cultivation period of seven to eight years.”What are the benefits of real trees? Nathan Howard/Getty ImagesOn average, it takes seven years to fully grow a Christmas tree, according to the National Christmas Tree Association. About 15,000 farms grow Christmas trees in the US alone, employing over 100,000 people either full or part-time in the industry, according to the National Christmas Tree Association.
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