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☆ Deutsche Bank: These are the 29 top stock picks for the next 12 months, from a list that's outperformed the S&P 500 over the last six years
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-11 | by ( Lisa Kailai Han | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Deutsche Bank analysts recently shared their 29 top stock picks for the next 12 months. Upcoming rate hikes and a looming recession have kept investors apprehensive about the future of the stock market — but not enough to impede the ongoing bull rally. 29 top stock picks for the next yearIn a report from July 7, Deutsche Bank analysts updated their quarterly Fresh Money List, which reflects their top investment ideas to hold over the next twelve months. Since the creation of this list in 2017, Deutsche Bank's basket of stocks has outperformed the S&P 500, returning 167% versus the S&P's 124% gain. The full list of Deutsche Bank's updated basket is below, along with each company's ticker, market capitalization, price target, sector, and respective analyst commentary.

Persons: That's, Charles Schwab's Joe Mazzola, Dave Sekera, Diane Jaffee Organizations: Deutsche Bank, Nasdaq, Deutsche

☆ A lead portfolio manager at a $205 billion asset manager explains why there's no recession ahead for the US economy — and shares 8 mid-sized stocks set to beat the market going forward
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-07 | by ( Lisa Kailai Han | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Diane Jaffee — lead portfolio manager at TCW, which manages $205 billion in assets — sits solidly in this latter camp. "Historically, mid-caps and small-caps outperform large caps over time, but you have to go back to a 20 year time horizon before that's true," Jaffee explained. 8 mid-cap stocks set to outperformWithin her mid-cap fund, some of Jaffee's financials holdings include insurance broker Arch Capital Group (ACGL) and private equity firm Apollo Global Management (APO). "It has a great management team that comes from JPMorgan, and they're an economic focus for Puerto Rico," Jaffee explained. Within consumer discretionary stocks, Jaffee also noted homebuilder Toll Brothers (TOL) as another top holding.

Persons: Diane Jaffee, Jaffee, Morgan Stanley, Seth Carpenter, Carpenter, that's, We've, They've, homebuilder, she's, LEN Organizations: Wall, Federal Reserve, —, Arch Capital, Apollo Global Management, Banco Popular, JPMorgan, Puerto, Darden, Medicaid outlays Locations: TCW, financials, Puerto Rican, Puerto Rico, Olive

That is the biggest net short position since October 2011, and marks the fourth week in five that funds have increased their bet on weaker U.S. stocks. Reuters ImageA short position is essentially a wager that an asset's price will fall, and a long position is a bet it will rise. It has been a mixed bag with almost a fifth of the S&P 500 firms having reported. The S&P 500 has rebounded nearly 10% from the March banking shock lows, and if the options market is any guide, traders are sanguine about the near-term outlook. The VIX index of implied volatility - the Wall Street "fear index" - last week hit its lowest since November 2021.

ORLANDO, Florida, April 21 (Reuters) - Even though it may surprise some that it's positive at all, the risk premium on equity over bonds has hit historic lows - a key driver of the recent dash for fixed income. The so-called equity risk premium (ERP), the extra return investors can expect for holding stocks over risk-free government bonds, is hovering around its lowest level since before the Great Financial Crisis. The S&P 500 earnings yield is calculated dividing the latest or forecast 12-month earnings per share by the market's current level. The ERP is then arrived at by subtracting a benchmark bond yield, say 10-year, from the equity market earnings yield. "The earnings yield is not what it used to be but it is still attractive relative to other opportunities," Jaffee said.

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