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☆ Even the strongest pillar of the Chinese economy is showing signs of weakness
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-15 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

China's export growth slowed in September, raising concerns about future economic stability. China may delay further economic stimulus ahead of the US election, anticipating potential tariffs. The market had expected China's exports to grow 6% on-year in September, according to a Reuters' poll of economists. AdvertisementThe timing of the decline in China's exports also came at an untimely moment — weeks before the US presidential election. Beijing has rejected this view, saying the West's accusations are protectionist and aimed at containing China's economic growth.

Persons: —, hasn't, Lu Daliang, Donald Trump, Rory Green, GlobalData.TS Lombard, Green Organizations: Service, Reuters, EU, Administration of Customs, Nomura, BofA Securities, Republican, Authorities, Trump, US Locations: China, Japan, South Korea, Beijing

☆ China released a blitz of stimulus measures to boost its economy. Now begins the balancing game.
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

AdvertisementVarious Chinese ministries and local governments are likely to roll out a variety of stimulus measures in the coming weeks — useful or not, they added. China still has a massive property problem that's unlikely to be solved with one set of stimulus measures. China's stock markets, which are dominated by retail investors fixated on social media, are blistering hot. China's stock markets are closed for weeklong National Day public holidays and are set to reopen on Tuesday. "Stimulus measures could add more fuel to the fire when stock markets are already heated.

Persons: —, it's, Nomura, Freya Beamish, Rory Green, Ben Harburg, Larry Hu, Hu, Magdalena Polan, Polan, China's Organizations: Service, Global Data.TS, —, MSA, Macquarie Group, CSI, Nomura Locations: China, Saudi Arabia, Beijing, Harburg

☆ China's stimulus isn't enough for its economic woes. But its stock rally could help.
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-30 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

China's aggressive stimulus measures have sparked a significant stock market rally. Still, traders, investors, and speculators have sent China's stock market to its best month in nearly a decade, signaling that the market players think that Beijing's moves are a "bazooka." The People's Bank of China's stock market stimulus was unusual. An active stock market and improved investor confidence will improve expectations for economic development," the media outlet wrote. Mainland China's stock markets will also be closed from Tuesday to Monday.

Persons: —, Vishnu, Pan Gongsheng, Pan, Criss Wang, Data.TS, Varathan Organizations: Service, CSI, People's Bank, China Securities Journal, Chinese Communist Party, Hong Kong Stock Exchange Locations: China, Asia, Japan

☆ China's stock markets are partying like it's 2008, overwhelming systems
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-27 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

China's stock markets surged this week, marking the best weekly performance since late 2008. AdvertisementChina's stock markets closed sharply higher Friday, notching their best week in 16 years as investors joined the rally party. The stock market party overwhelmed tech systemsThe stock market party got too hot to handle. AdvertisementFurthermore, the US Federal Reserve has started cutting interest rates, which has historically benefited Chinese markets, they added. So even if Beijing's stimulus isn't enough for China's economy, a liquidity or leverage-driven market rally could still be "very powerful," they wrote.

Persons: —, Vishnu Varathan, Hong, Hao Hong, Pan Gongsheng, Data.TS, Freya Beamish, Rory Green Organizations: Service, Grow Investment, Shanghai Stock Exchange, of America, Bank of America, US Federal Reserve, People's Bank of China Locations: China, Beijing, Asia, Japan, Shanghai, India

☆ Beijing is no longer hiding its panic about the state of its economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-25 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

The measures were significant because Beijing has been holding back on a "bazooka" stimulus even though China's economy has been struggling to stage a convincing recovery post-pandemic. To be sure, this is not the first attempt China has made at boosting its economy in the past few years. However, Beijing's display of resolve also triggered market speculation that it's alarmed and panicked over the state of its economy, which is facing multiple challenges. Related storiesNotably, even on the heels of China's big stimulus announcement, most analysts also think Beijing still needs to do more to boost China's economy, particularly in boosting gloomy domestic demand. "Onshore stocks are a policy- and momentum-driven market, and policy signals don't get much clearer than this," they wrote.

Persons: —, Pan Gongsheng, Andrew Rocco, Rocco didn't, Pan, Freya Beamish, Rory Green, Anthony Sassine, Sassine, Rocco, macroeconomy, China's CSI300 Organizations: Service, People's Bank of China, Business, Lombard, Investors, Zacks Investment Research, Global Data.TS, Yahoo Finance, Data.TS Locations: China, Beijing, Swiss, London

☆ Xi may be holding back on economic stimulus because of Trump's tariff threat, an economist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

China may be delaying economic stimulus ahead of the US election, economist Rory Green says. Beijing is cautious due to potential Trump tariffs, which could impact growth in 2025. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementChina may be holding back on economic stimulus ahead of the US presidential election, an economist wrote on Thursday. This is because Beijing is keeping its powder dry in case Republican candidate Donald Trump wins in the November polls, wrote Rory Green, the chief China economist at GlobalData.TS Lombard.

Persons: Rory Green, —, Donald Trump, Trump Organizations: Service, GlobalData.TS Lombard, Business Locations: China, Beijing, GlobalData.TS

☆ Nvidia's Jensen Huang receives a rockstar reception in Taiwan amid a record high stock market
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-31 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Read previewNvidia cofounder and CEO Jensen Huang is in Taiwan this week, where he's getting rockstar reception and boosting the stock market. The drills started on Thursday, but Taiwan's stock market was little changed over the period. "In this case, the AI equity theme, physical investment in AI, and the wider upturn in electronic component demand are driving robust Taiwanese growth and the strong stock market performance," wrote Green. He added that an outright invasion of Taiwan by China is "very unlikely" due to high military and economic risk. "If the macro backdrop is positive and China remains far from achieving 'fortress-like' economic conditions, future sell-offs may offer attractive buying opportunities," Green wrote.

Persons: —, Jensen Huang, Huang, Li Xi, Morris Chang, Lisa Su —, Pat Gelsinger, Cristiano Amon, Rene Haas, Rory Green, It's, Green Organizations: Service, China's People's Liberation Army, Business, Local, rockstar, Asus, AMD, Qualcomm, Semiconductor, PLA, Investors, Philadelphia Stock Exchange, Nvidia Locations: Taiwan, China, Beijing, TSMC, Taipei, Taiwan's, GlobalData.TS, Ukraine, Russia

☆ China's economy looks like a mess — but some sectors are quietly doing well in its '2-speed economy'
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-29 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Meanwhile, its financial markets are bleeding, the property market has gone up in smoke, local government debt appears alarming, and foreign investors are exiting in droves. Real estate — which was a huge part of China's economy — has been hit badly, he said. AdvertisementTravel has picked up after years of pandemic lockdownServices is another pillar of China's economy that Beijing has been trying to build up. AdvertisementThis is in part because new growth industries are not able to take the place of real estate — yet. Because the property market accounts for one-quarter of China's GDP and more than two-thirds of household wealth, its overall drag on China's economy is much greater than whatever is doing well right now.

Persons: —, Rory Green, GlobalData.TS Lombard, AllianceBernstein, John Lin, Lin, Donald Trump's, Louise Loo, Wood Mackenzie, AllianceBerstein's Lin, Nomura, Loo Organizations: Service, Business, Bloomberg TV, Oxford Economics, Nomura, Oxford Locations: China, GlobalData.TS, Real, COVID, Beijing, Europe, Taiwan, South Korea

☆ China is heading for a 'lost decade' if it doesn't reform and grow, an analyst says
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-16 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

China risks a "lost decade" of slow growth if it doesn't reform its economy, warns an economist. AdvertisementChina faces a "lost decade" of sluggish economic growth much like Japan if it doesn't reform its economy, according to an economist. "China could certainly have a lost decade of growth," Rory Green, the chief China economist at GlobalData.TS Lombard, wrote in a note on Thursday. Leaders are attempting to create a new political-economic model, one less reliant on debt-fueled property-led growth," wrote Green. Meanwhile, technocrats in China generally believe China needs to reform and grow — or risk a Japan-style lost decade, Green added.

Persons: Beijing's, —, Rory Green, GlobalData.TS Lombard, Xi Jinping, Green Organizations: Service, cri sis Locations: China, Japan, GlobalData.TS, Beijing, technocrats

☆ Bad news, Beijing: Real-estate booms like the one in China nearly always end with a major banking crisis
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-10 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

China's trying to manage its property crisis so the sector's troubles don't spill over. However, history shows that credit-fueled real-estate booms nearly always end with a major banking crisis, said an analyst. Real estate was a key driver of China's economy that has been struggling to recover post-pandemic. AdvertisementChina's trying to manage its real-estate crisis so that its troubles don't spill over to the rest of the economy, which has been struggling to recover post-pandemic. "History shows that credit-fuelled real-estate booms do not end in a whimper; rather, they end with a bang — and nearly always with a major banking crisis," wrote Andrew Lawrence, the head of Asia property at GlobalData.TS Lombard, in a note on Tuesday.

Persons: —, Andrew Lawrence Organizations: Service Locations: Asia, GlobalData.TS

☆ Here's what to expect from the Federal Reserve meeting Wednesday
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-25 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

WASHINGTON, DC - JUNE 21: Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell testifies before the House Committee on Financial Services June 21, 2023 in Washington, D.C. Powell testified on the Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report during the hearing. Win Mcnamee | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesDespite an improving inflation picture, the Federal Reserve is expected on Wednesday to approve what would be the 11th interest rate increase since March 2022. That would push the upper boundary of the federal funds rate to its highest level since January 2001. But apparently the folks at the Fed think they need one more at least." Likewise, Steven Blitz, chief U.S. economist at Globaldata.TSLombard, said a "dovish hike and talk of soft landings" at Wednesday's meeting would be a mistake for the Fed.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Win Mcnamee, they've, Kathy Jones, Charles Schwab, Jones, —, haven't, Luke Tilley, that'll, " Tilley, I'm, Andrew Hollenhorst, Steven Blitz Organizations: Federal, Financial, Getty, Federal Reserve, Investors, Open Market, Dow Jones, Investment Advisors, Citigroup Locations: WASHINGTON, DC, Washington ,, Central, —, Wilmington, U.S

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