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☆ Why Haley Could Win and Why Trump Could Win New Hampshire - The New York Times
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-22 | by ( Jane Coaston | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

Donald Trump won Iowa and wants to win New Hampshire and seal up the nomination. Nikki Haley wants to come from behind, win New Hampshire, and gain some momentum before heading to her home state of South Carolina. What matters to people in New Hampshire? So I spoke with Dante Scala, a professor of political science at the University of New Hampshire and an expert in presidential primaries and New Hampshire politics. Jane Coaston: We spoke just before the Iowa caucus and you said that you believed that Nikki Haley was in a strong second place in New Hampshire after Chris Christie’s exit from the race.

Persons: Donald Trump, Nikki Haley, Trump, they’re, Pat Buchanan, Dante Scala, Jane Coaston, Chris Christie’s Organizations: Iowa, New Hampshire, Republican Party, University of New Locations: New, South Carolina, New Hampshire, Hampshire, Iowa, New England, University of New Hampshire

The poll, taken Tuesday through Friday, also found more registered Republicans in the state view Haley unfavorably (47%) than favorably (31%). Trump, meanwhile is viewed favorably by 76% of registered Republicans and unfavorably by just 16%. Some Haley supporters interviewed at her events are left-leaning voters who have little ideological overlap with Haley but are intent on stopping Trump. The day before, he won a rousing endorsement from South Carolina Sen. Tim Scott, whom Haley appointed to the Senate when she was governor. “I think I know what favorable territory is in South Carolina.

Persons: — Richard Anderson, he’s, Anderson, Jackson, Nikki Haley, Donald Trump, “ I’ll, she’s, ”, John McCain, Republicans ’, Nathan Shrader, —, Haley, Trump, Corinne Pullen, Pullen, Haley’s, “, ” Trump, Chris LaCivita, South Carolina Sen, Tim Scott, that’s, Dante Scala, McCain, ” Haley doesn’t, Chris Sununu, Ron DeSantis, I’m, Phil Scott, Biden, Kristen Mansharamani, Mansharamani, Haley’s caucusgoers, Amy Watson, Hollis, Emily Swanson, Jill Colvin, Joseph Frederick, Linley Sanders Organizations: CONCORD, Republican, Mount Washington, New, Republicans, New England College, GOP, CNN, University of New, Trump, Democrats, South, Senate, South Carolina, PAC, New Hampshire Gov, ”, Florida Gov, Vermont Gov, New Hampshire voters, Trump Republicans, AP VoteCast, Washington , Associated Press, Associated Press Locations: N.H, New, New Hampshire, University of New Hampshire, Canterbury, South Carolina, Tuesday's, Trump, Vermont, Lincoln, In Iowa, Iowa, Washington ,, Washington

☆ New Hampshire Primary: Wake-Up Call or Last Call?
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-19 | by ( Susan Milligan | ) www.usnews.com time to read: +7 min

Should Trump's lead hold, says Andrew Smith, director of the University of New Hampshire poll, Trump will become the first candidate – aside from sitting presidents – to win both the Iowa caucuses and the New Hampshire primary. "We're so far past the days when voters nationally were really just waking up" to the campaign debates in the early weeks of a presidential election year, says Dante Scala, a University of New Hampshire professor and author of the book "Stormy Weather: The New Hampshire Primary and Presidential Politics." New Hampshire GOP voters, however, are a different breed of Republicans, Smith says, focusing more on fiscal conservatism and small government. Haley has 36% support and DeSantis 6% backing among primary voters. Trump seems to think so, too: He has focused much of his vitriol in the waning days of the New Hampshire campaign on Haley.

Persons: Bill Clinton, Sen, John McCain's, Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, aren't, isn't, Marianne Williamson, Dean Phillips, Trump, Nikki Haley, Ron DeSantis, Andrew Smith, –, Haley, Williamson, Phillips, Biden, Dante Scala, Smith, Chris Christie, Vivek Ramaswamy, Christie, Ramaswamy, DeSantis, Michael Binder, Binder, He's, Barack Hussein Obama Organizations: Hillary Clinton Democratic, Democratic, Democratic National Committee, New Hampshire, Gov, Florida Gov, University of New, New, Biden, Trump –, GOP, New Hampshire GOP, Independents, Trump, New Jersey Gov, Saint Anselm College Survey Center's New Hampshire Institute of Politics, United Nations, Suffolk University, Boston Globe, University of North, Palmetto State, Republican Party, Social Security Locations: New Hampshire, New, University of New Hampshire, Iowa, Hawkeye, New Jersey, Boston, University of North Florida, South Carolina, Palmetto, Portsmouth

☆ A Left Turn for Democrats in New Hampshire?
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-22 | by ( Louis Jacobson | ) www.usnews.com time to read: +8 min

Since their narrow victories in 2016, Democrats have won every federal race in New Hampshire – and have done so by widening margins. But Sununu, the scion of a New Hampshire Republican dynasty, decided not to run for a new term in 2024. Depending on vacancies and special elections, the Democrats might be able to flip control of the chamber even before the 2024 election. Under Biden, Democrats changed the order of their primaries to place New Hampshire tied for second, rather than first. Regardless, the unusual nature of the 2024 primary could have negative consequences for Democrats, Galdieri said.

Persons: Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump, Maggie Hassan, Republican Sen, Kelly Ayotte, Trump, Republican Party –, Joe Biden, Louis Jacobson, It’s, Kenneth M, Johnson, Dante Scala, Andrew Smith, Smith, ”, Chris Galdieri, Karoline Leavitt, Bob Burns, Don Bolduc, ” Galdieri, Biden, Biden’s, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Cornel West, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, Chris Sununu, Republicans ’, Sununu, “ Donald Trump, ” Sununu, “, He’s, there’s, Dean Phillips, Phillips, Galdieri, Barack Obama Organizations: MANCHESTER, Republicans, Republican, Republican Party, GOP, New Hampshire –, Democrats, Democratic, U.S . News, New, University of New, Anselm College in, Biden, Trump, CNN, Emerson College, South Carolina Gov, New Hampshire Republican, New Hampshire, New Hampshire Democratic Locations: N.H, New Hampshire, Massachusetts, University of New Hampshire, Anselm College in Manchester, New England, Hampshire, Israel, Gaza, New, Minnesota

☆ How Haley could eclipse DeSantis to become the Trump alternative
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-14 | by ( Ron Brownstein | Analysis Ronald Brownstein | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +16 min

But many Republican strategists believe that DeSantis’ struggles to connect with voters, and his choice to run at Trump solely from the right, have opened a lane for Haley to eclipse the Florida governor. An array of recent polls, both nationally and in the battleground states, signal that DeSantis and Haley have separated themselves from the rest of the candidates chasing Trump. “Absolutely, Nikki Haley has more upside than DeSantis if they are both viable after the first two,” argued Alex Stroman, a former executive director of the South Carolina GOP. DeSantis, Ayres argued, has “has tried to appeal to some of the ‘always Trump’ voters, but the ‘always Trump’ voters are always Trump for a reason. Nikki Haley seems to have figured out the job is to consolidate the ‘maybe Trump’ voters who supported Trump twice but now … want a different style and different temperament.”Republicans sympathetic to DeSantis argue that it is Haley who has boxed herself in.

Persons: Donald Trump’s, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, Trump, “ You’ve, ”, Tom Rath, Donald Trump, DeSantis, Haley, Republican pollster Whit Ayres, Alice Stewart, Chris Christie, Vivek Ramaswamy, South Carolina Sen, Tim Scott, Scott, Mike Huckabee, Rick Santorum, Ted Cruz, Kim Reynolds, Huckabee, Santorum, Cruz, John McCain, Mitt Romney, ’, Ayres, Rath, George W, Bush, “, ” Dante Scala –, –, Scala, GOPers, ” Haley, McCain, Linus, ‘, ’ ”, he’s, Newt Gingrich, Alex Stroman, DeSantis “, ” Ayres, Ayres ’ “, tellingly, MAGA —, dethroning, ” Scala, Mike Murphy, who’s, Joe Biden, ” Murphy, There’s, Sen, Gary Hart parlayed, Hart, Walter Mondale, Chris Sununu, DeSantis ’, Yogi Berra, ” Rath Organizations: CNN, GOP, Florida Gov, South Carolina Gov, ”, Republicans, Trump, Republican, Washington Post, New, New Jersey Gov, South, Huckabee, New Hampshire GOP, University of New, Romney, South Carolina GOP, “, dethroning Trump, Democratic Locations: Florida, New Hampshire, South Carolina, Iowa, New Jersey, Granite State, University of New Hampshire, After New Hampshire, Gaza, DeSantis, Haley, Iowa , New Hampshire

☆ Trump’s Campaign From the Courthouse
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-06 | by ( Lauren Camera | ) www.usnews.com time to read: +8 min

But the front-running GOP presidential primary candidate was there – and he was pissed. Yet Trump was seething for another reason altogether – or so he claimed: His mounting legal challenges were preventing him from campaigning. “Trump campaigning from a courtroom is so Trumpian,” says Tobe Berkovitz, associate professor of advertising emeritus at Boston University. Separately from the civil trial in New York focusing on fraud, Trump faces 91 criminal charges stemming from four state and federal cases. And like the mug shot, Trump’s presence in the courtroom this week gave his supporters something he can’t give them on the campaign trail – a physical representation of the system he claims is out to get him.

Persons: Donald Trump wasn’t, Letitia James, Trump, ”, I’ve, “ Trump, Tobe Berkovitz, that’s, Stormy Daniels, Jean Carroll, ” Berkovitz, it’s, Donald Trump, Chuck Schumer, “, Arthur Engoron, James, Dante Scala, ” Scala, ” Trump’s, Engoron, I’m, ” James Organizations: New York Supreme, New York, Trump, Trump National Golf, Boston University, Washington , D.C, White, Donald Trump View, University of New, Republican Locations: Manhattan, Iowa , New Hampshire, South Carolina, New York, Washington ,, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, New Hampshire, University of New Hampshire, “, Georgia’s Fulton County, Ohio

☆ No Trump bump in New Hampshire as possible criminal charges loom
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-24 | by ( Nathan Layne | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

LACONIA, New Hampshire, March 24 (Reuters) - Longtime Donald Trump supporter Doug Lambert agrees with the former president that the potential criminal charges he faces in New York are being cooked up by his enemies on the left. But, Lambert worries about the "messiness" of a Trump presidential candidacy and is leaning towards voting for someone else. In a University of New Hampshire poll in January, likely Republican voters preferred DeSantis over Trump by a 12-point margin, 42% to 30%, with Sununu at 4%. "The more indictments, the more points of leverage a DeSantis or whoever can use to make the case against Trump." Reporting by Nathan Layne in Laconia, New Hampshire Editing by Ross Colvin and Alistair BellOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Biden personally adds mentions of an assault weapons ban to his planned public remarks, a White House official said. "We're going to ban assault weapons again," he said on Thursday at a Lunar New Year reception at the White House, to applause. As vice president, he spearheaded a set of gun control proposals for Barack Obama after Sandy Hook that included a recommendation for a new assault weapons ban. However the Quinnipiac and other polls show that just about half of Americans support an assault weapons ban. Even though an all-out assault weapons ban seems unlikely, a very thin Republican majority in the House means that something more modest, such as raising the age to 21 to buy assault weapons, could be possible, the University of New Hampshire's Scala said.

Democratic leaders in New Hampshire and Iowa quickly responded that they plan to ignore the DNC, follow state law and hold their nominations as planned. A New Hampshire law explicitly sets the state's primary date ahead of any DNC calendar. The changes could ease Biden's path to re-election by reshuffling the calendar to favor states that supported his nomination, in particular South Carolina. Biden's 2020 presidential campaign was struggling until he won South Carolina and went on to gain the party's nomination. "Joe Biden's political career was defined when South Carolina Democrats essentially handed him the Democratic Party nomination and the presidency," said Scala.

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