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One basis point equal 0.01%. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield fell more than 3 basis points to 4.518%. The 2-year Treasury yield was down more than 1 basis point to 4.912%. U.S. Treasury yields were slightly lower on Friday after the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation data came in mostly in line with economist expectations. Fed officials have repeatedly indicated that they are looking for more data evidence that inflation is easing before moving to cut rates, and that patience would be required.

Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Federal, PCE, Fed

☆ Inflation seems to be cooling again. Americans aren’t buying it
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-31 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

A slew of big-box retailers have lowered prices on items in recent weeks, citing moderating inflation and frugal customers. Recent economic data has also suggested that inflation is cooling, after data earlier this year spurred fears that progress had stalled. Yet Americans don’t seem convinced that inflation is moderating or that the economy is as healthy as indicators suggest. Mortgage rates have declined in recent weeks but remain near 7%. Target announced plans to cut prices on thousands of consumer basics as inflation cuts into household budgets.

Persons: aren’t, Charles Schwab’s, ”, James Kostulias, Charles Schwab, Joe Raedle, Jerome Powell, Powell, Neel Kashkari, “ I’m, Schumer, Chuck Schumer, General Merrick Garland, “, Elizabeth Warren, Amy Klobuchar, Bernie Sanders, Dick Durbin, Scott Sheffield, Read, Matt Egan, Mat Ishbia, homebuyers, refinances Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Walmart, Target, Ikea, Aldi, CPI, “ Traders, Minneapolis Federal, CNBC, Democrats, Justice Department, Oil, Big Oil, DOJ, Big, Federal Trade Commission, United Wholesale Mortgage, Phoenix Suns NBA Locations: New York, Miami , Florida, Minneapolis, Texas, Sens

☆ Ark Invest's Cathie Wood says lower prices and rates will 'activate coiled equities'
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-24 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Ark Invest CEO Cathie Wood believes stocks are ready to spring upward with easing price pressures and lower interest rates on the horizon. "In the fourth quarter, as the Fed's dot plot began pointing to much lower interest rates, the bull market in equities broadened dramatically," Wood said in an X post on Thursday evening. In our view, more price deflation and lower interest rates will activate coiled equities." She said investors have been flocking to safe havens and cash at a dramatic pace last seen during the 1930s. "In our view, the search for cash and safety in the equity markets today is as intense as that during the Great Depression in the early 1930s," Wood said in the X post.

Persons: Cathie Wood, Wood Organizations: Federal Reserve

☆ Federal Reserve minutes indicate worries over lack of progress on inflation
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-22 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell holds a press conference following a two-day meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee on interest rate policy in Washington, U.S., May 1, 2024. Federal Reserve officials grew more concerned at their most recent meeting about inflation, with members indicating that they lacked the confidence to move forward on interest rate reductions. Minutes from the April 30-May 1 policy meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee released Wednesday indicated apprehension from policymakers about when it would be time to ease. The meeting followed a slew of readings that showed inflation was more stubborn than officials had expected to start 2024. The Fed targets a 2% inflation rate, and all of the indicators showed price increases running well ahead of that mark.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Christopher Waller, FOMC, Stocks Organizations: Federal, Committee, Federal Reserve, Market, Fed, University of Michigan, New York Fed Locations: Washington , U.S

☆ Buckle up America: Powell says interest rates will likely stay higher for longer as inflation stubbornly refuses to come down
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-16 | by ( Ayelet Sheffey | Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Read previewInflation and interest rates are still high, but Americans shouldn't count on any relief just yet. Advertisement"The status of the battle against inflation requires that interest rates remain elevated in the near-term," Hamrick said. "The first quarter in the United States was notable for its lack of further progress on inflation," Powell said during the panel. But while job seekers and workers may find this cooldown concerning, that moderation is also welcome and the labor market is still strong. "Paired with high borrowing costs — like high interest rates on your credit cards — and the current economy can feel quite uncomfortable," Renter added.

Persons: —, That's, Mark Hamrick, Hamrick, Jerome Powell, Powell, Joanne Hsu, Nick Bunker, Ted Rossman, Rossman, Elizabeth Renter, Renter, it's Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Bureau of Labor Statistics, CPI, Business, Federal, University of Michigan, North America Locations: Amsterdam, United States, —

☆ Forget the Magnificent Seven. These AI plays are red hot
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-16 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

The S&P 500’s utility sector has gained 14% this year, making it the third-best-performing category behind information technology and communication services. Utility stocks tumbled more than 10% in 2023, underperforming the S&P 500’s 24% gain, as investors betting on the artificial intelligence boom crowded into the Magnificent Seven big tech stocks. To be sure, not everyone is jumping into utility stocks. Rising gasoline and shelter costs accounted for more than 70% of the monthly increase in overall inflation, according to the report. Including the ticket price, UK concertgoers will spend, on average, £848 ($1,068) each, which is more than 12 times the average cost of a night out in the UK, according to Barclays’ research.

Persons: ”, Adam Turnquist, Alicia Wallace, Wednesday’s, Read, Taylor Swift’s, Anna Cooban, Swift Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Constellation Energy, NRG Energy, International Energy Agency, Federal Reserve, LPL, Nvidia, Micro, Bureau of Labor Statistics, CPI, Barclays, Barclays ’ Locations: New York, United Kingdom, United States, England, Wales, Scotland

☆ US inflation slowed in April, providing a glimmer of hope for weary Americans
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-15 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +1 min

CNN —After a hot start to 2024, inflation cooled back down in April, providing a bit of hope for Americans worn down by elevated prices. On a monthly basis, prices rose 0.3%, a slower pace of growth than the 0.4% seen in the two months prior. Rising gasoline and shelter costs accounted for more than 70% of the monthly increase in overall inflation, according to the report. Wednesday’s report landed mostly in line with economists’ expectations, which is a welcome turnabout from January, February and March, when CPI (and other inflation gauges) came in hot, hot, hot. The Federal Reserve has been wanting to see meaningful process on inflation before it starts trimming back interest rates.

Persons: Wednesday’s Organizations: CNN, Bureau of Labor Statistics, CPI, Federal Reserve

☆ Treasury yields fall ahead of fresh consumer inflation figures
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-15 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The 2-year Treasury yield was last at 4.8061% after falling by over one basis point. U.S. Treasury yields were lower on Wednesday is investors considered the outlook for inflationary pressures and awaited the latest consumer price index data. The producer price index for April, which tracks wholesale prices, came in higher than expected on Tuesday. This comes ahead of the consumer price index for April which is expected to be released Wednesday. On an annual basis, inflation is anticipated to slow slightly to 3.4% from 3.5% in March.

Persons: Dow Jones, Jerome Powell Organizations: Treasury, Investors, Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, PPI, Core CPI

☆ Bitcoin is having its best day since March following cooler April inflation reading
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-15 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Bitcoin is likely to remain rangebound and trade along with macro data points, until we see a clearer path for rate cut." Bitcoin jumped with stocks on Wednesday after the April consumer price index showed inflation eased from the previous month. The consumer price index, a broad measure of how much goods and services cost at the cash register, increased 0.3% from March, the Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Wednesday. Earlier this week, bitcoin also sat out a two-day revival of the meme stock craze. With Wednesday's gain, bitcoin is now up 7% for the week — its best week since March 29 — and on pace to break a six-week slide.

Persons: Owen Lau, Oppenheimer, bitcoin, Bitcoin, Dow Jones, Leena ElDeeb, ElDeeb, Jeff Cox, Nick Wells Organizations: CNBC, Metrics, Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, Investors

☆ Trading CPI: How stocks could react to Wednesday’s inflation report
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-14 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Traders at JPMorgan broke down how they expect stocks will react to Wednesday's report, with a focus on core CPI month over month, based on six different scenarios: 40% chance — The reading rises 0.3%-0.35%: This is the most likely outcome, per JPMorgan traders. S & P 500 moves could range between a 0.5% loss and a 1% gain. 10% chance — Core inflation climbs more than 0.4%: The S & P 500 would drop 1.75% to 2.5% under such a hot report, JPMorgan traders think. 7.5% chance — Core CPI gains 0.2%-0.25%: A decline in housing cost increases along with lower core goods prices could make this outcome possible. It would also send the S & P 500 up 1.5% to 2%, JPMorgan traders said.

Persons: Dow Jones, Defensives outperforming Organizations: CPI, Traders, JPMorgan, of Labor Statistics

☆ JPMorgan's trading desk lays out 6 scenarios for tomorrow's inflation report, and how the stock market will react to each of them
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-14 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

The Wednesday release of the April CPI report has the potential to shake up the stock market. A cool inflation report would bode well for interest rate cuts from the Fed and vice versa if it's hotter than expected. JPMorgan laid out six scenarios for April CPI and how the stock market could react to each. The coming inflation report is set to market-shaking because it will help investors determine when the Federal Reserve might move forward with interest rate cuts. At the start of the year, the market was pricing in as many as seven interest rate cuts, but that has dwindled to just two rate cuts before year-end.

Persons: bode, —, Defensives outperforming, JPMorgan's Andrew Tyler, Tyler, Immaculate Disinflation Organizations: Fed, JPMorgan, Service, Federal Reserve, China PPI Locations: China

☆ Stock market today: Indexes edge up as traders digest wholesale inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-14 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Major indexes were slightly higher after the data as investors assessed the impact on rate cut outlooks. April's producer price index data beat estimates, gaining 0.5% for the month against 0.3% consensus estimates. The PPI data comes a day before Wednesday's consumer price index and will give investors a broader frame of reference. If CPI data is equally hot, the stuttering stock rally could face even more negative consequences. The 10-year Treasury briefly topped 4.5% after the PPI data before slipping by about one basis point to 4.465.

Persons: Jerome Powell, —, Chris Zaccarelli, Keith Gill Organizations: Service, PPI, Independent, Federal, GameStop, AMC, Treasury, Here's

☆ Stock market today: US stocks rise ahead of a big week with April inflation on deck
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-13 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Investors have a big week ahead for economic data, including April CPI and retail sales results. AdvertisementUS stocks edged higher on Monday ahead of a busy week of economic data that could shake stock prices. The most anticipated report for investors this week is Wednesday's release of the April consumer price index report. The inflation data will help investors determine when the Federal Reserve might cut interest rates this year. Ahead of consumer inflation data, the producer price index will be released on Tuesday, with median estimates suggesting a 0.2% rise in April.

Persons: —, Jerome Powell, Neel Kashkari Organizations: Dow Jones, Service, Federal Reserve, Investors, CPI, Philadelphia Fed, Minneapolis Fed Locations: Here's

See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates will affect your monthly and long-term payments. 30-Year Fixed Mortgage RatesThe average 30-year fixed mortgage rate was 7.09% last week, according to Freddie Mac. 15-Year Fixed Mortgage RatesAverage 15-year mortgage rates were 6.38% last week, according to Freddie Mac data, which is a nine-basis-point decrease from the previous week. Now that the Fed has paused hiking rates, mortgage rates have come down a bit. Once the Fed starts cutting rates, which is likely to happen this year, mortgage rates should fall even further.

Persons: Freddie Mac Organizations: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve, Federal Reserve Bank, Zillow, Fed Locations: Chevron

☆ Stock market today: Dow ends 8-day win streak as market braces for inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-13 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

US stocks were mixed on Monday, with the Nasdaq higher while the Dow ended its 8-day win streak. Investors are bracing for the release of two inflation data points this week: PPI and CPI. The inflation data will help inform investors when the Fed might cut interest rates. AdvertisementUS stocks were mixed on Monday, with the Nasdaq 100 higher while the Dow declined slightly, ending its 8-day win streak. The inflation data will help investors determine when the Federal Reserve might cut interest rates.

Persons: —, Dow, Keith Gill, Jerome Powell Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow, PPI, CPI, Service, Dow Jones, GameStop, AMC Entertainment, Federal Reserve

☆ Inflation data commands center stage next week and provides a test for the market rally
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-11 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +10 min

All three major U.S. stock indexes closed higher for the week, led by the Dow Jones Industrial Average . The Nasdaq Composite added 1.14% while the S & P 500 advanced 1.85% in a relatively quiet week of economic updates. Within the portfolio, Disney and Wynn Resorts released quarterly numbers; we took issue with the stock reaction to both reports. It also raises the stakes around major economic releases, such as next week's consumer inflation report. In the week ahead, earnings season continues — headlined by Walmart on Thursday — and inflation data will dominate the economic calendar.

Persons: We've, Jim Cramer, Dow Jones, we'll, We'll, Stanley Black, Decker, Jack, JACK, Arcutis, Spero, JD.com, Armour, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Carlo Allegri Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Disney, Wynn Resorts, Procter, Procter & Gamble, Walmart, CPI, PPI, Club, Home Depot, Biotech Corporation, Music Entertainment, Central Puerto S.A, TeraWulf Inc, Paysafe Group Holdings, QuickLogic Corporation, Kopin Corp, Royalty Corp, Agilysys Inc, Crop Solutions Corp, Inovio Biomedical, Intercorp Financial, Lithium, Argentina ) Corp, Sea, Sony Group Corporation, SONY, Holding, HudBay Minerals, Autolus Therapeutics, Game Technology, Nu Holdings, Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp, Bakkt Holdings, Prestige Consumer Healthcare, SilverCrest Metals, Inc, Mining Corp, Acurx Pharmaceuticals, Cresco Labs, Dole plc, DOLE, Arcos Dorados Holdings, ARCO, Cisco Systems, Grab Holdings, Copa Holdings S.A, Technologies, Iris Energy, KORE Group, Super, Spero Therapeutics, ZTO, Baidu, Deere & Company, NICE, Lightspeed Commerce, Ship Lease, Canada Goose Holdings, Drainage Systems, Consolidated Water Co, Outlook Therapeutics, Despegar.com, Corp, DXC Technology Company, Flowers Foods, Bruker Corporation, WYNN, CNBC, Foods Locations: Procter &, Central, Cayman, Lithium Americas, Argentina, Manhattan, New York City

☆ Wall Street expects rate hikes are off the table for now. Next week’s inflation data will test that thesis
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-10 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Stocks have been churning higher lately after Fed Chair Jerome Powell indicated rate hikes are likely off the table , a position that investors expect is a bullish event for equities. A strong earnings season, as well as some cooler labor data , also have investors more optimistic in this year's outlook. On Friday, all three major averages are on pace for a winning week, with the 30-stock index up by more than 2%. The market reaction Inflation data has been crucially important this year for investors. Export Price Index (April) 8:30 a.m. Housing Starts (April) 8:30 a.m.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Mike Dickson, Stocks, Dickson, Jeff Buchbinder, Buchbinder, Strategas, Jason De Sena Trennert, Ken Mahoney, Mahoney, Charles Schwab, Price Organizations: Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Treasury, Horizon Investments, Nasdaq, UBS, Investments, ICE, Fed, LPL, Asset Management, Walmart, Deere, Retail, Cisco, Price, Housing, Philadelphia Fed, Manufacturing, Materials Locations: NAHB

Average 30-year mortgage rates dropped this week and have been hovering in the upper 6% range, according to Zillow data. As inflation slows and the Federal Reserve is able to start lowering the federal funds rate, mortgage rates should go down. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates would impact your monthly payments. 15-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates Go Down (-0.18%)The average 15-year mortgage rate is 6.11%, 18 basis points lower than last week. Mortgage Refinance Rates30-Year Fixed Refinance Rates Fall (-0.28%)The average 30-year refinance rate is 6.99%, 28 basis points lower than last week.

Persons: you'll, It's, refinance Organizations: of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve Bank, Federal Reserve, Investors, Zillow, FHA Locations: Chevron

☆ U.S. Treasury yields hold steady as investors digest inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-11 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Yields and prices have an inverted relationship and one basis point equals 0.01%. ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was up by 1 basis point to 4.552%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last at 4.961% after rising by less than one basis point. U.S. Treasury yields were little changed Thursday as investors digested consumer inflation data and considered the outlook for interest rates. Treasury yields had jumped on Wednesday, with the yield on the 2-year and 10-year Treasurys climbing by as many as 22 and 18 basis points, respectively.

Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Treasury, Federal Reserve, PPI

☆ Asia markets tumble after hotter-than-expected U.S. inflation; China inflation on deck
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-11 | by ( Lim Hui Jie | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Customers at a fresh food market in Shanghai, China, on Monday, Aug. 7, 2023. Asia-Pacific markets tumbled after U.S. inflation for March came in hotter than expected, climbing 3.5% on a year-on-year basis and 0.4% higher compared to the previous month. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had been looking for a 0.3% month-on-month gain and 3.4% year-over-year. Excluding volatile food and energy components, the core CPI also accelerated 0.4% on a monthly basis while rising 3.8% from a year ago, compared with respective estimates for 0.3% and 3.7%. Investors in Asia will also monitor China's inflation figures Thursday, with economists polled by Reuters expecting the consumer price index to climb 0.4% in March.

Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Investors, Reuters Locations: Shanghai, China, Asia, Pacific

☆ Dollar firms, yen skids as Fed cut wagers crumble
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

U.S. one hundred dollar bills are being shown in this picture illustration taken in Buenos Aires, Argentina, on Dec. 15, 2023. Japan intervened in the currency market three times in 2022 as the yen slid toward what was then a 32-year low of 152 to the dollar. The Japanese central bank last month ended eight years of negative interest rates but yen has remained rooted near 151 per dollar levels since then. The euro was last at $1.0744, having dropped 1% on Wednesday ahead of the European Central Bank, or ECB, meeting later in the day. The Australian dollar was little changed at $0.651, while the New Zealand dollar eased 0.17% to $0.598.

Persons: Masato Kanda, Kyle Rodda, Rodda, Kazuo Ueda, Kevin Cummins, Sterling Organizations: Fed, Reuters, Bank of, Bank of Japan, Federal Reserve, U.S, NatWest, Treasury, European Central Bank, ECB, New Zealand Locations: Buenos Aires, Argentina, Tokyo, Japan, Bank of Japan, U.S

☆ Gold drifts higher as geopolitical tensions lift safe-haven appeal
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

An employee handles one kilogram gold bullion at the YLG Bullion International Co. headquarters in Bangkok, Thailand, on Friday, Dec. 22, 2023. Gold prices climbed on Thursday, recouping losses from the previous session, as geopolitical tensions bolstered demand for the safe-haven metal. Spot gold was up 0.6% at $2,345.56 per ounce, as of 0317 GMT. Strong central bank buying, safe-haven inflows amid continued geopolitical risks, and demand from momentum-following funds have fueled bullion's 14% gain so far this year. Spot silver edged 0.2% higher to $28.03 per ounce, after hitting its highest levels since June 2021 on Wednesday.

Persons: Yeap Jun Rong, Jun Rong Organizations: Co Locations: Bangkok, Thailand, U.S

☆ The inflation fight has stalled and the first rate cut won't happen until December, Bank of America says
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-11 | by ( Yuheng Zhan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Bank of America pushed back its forecast for the first rate cut of 2024 from June to December. The re-acceleration of inflation means markets should expect just a single 25 basis-point cut this year. AdvertisementThe recent string of unexpectedly high inflation readings has led Bank of America to push back its forecast for the first rate-cut of 2024 from June to December. Moreover, unfavorable base effects mean year-over-year core PCE inflation will probably not decline further between the June and September meetings," the note said. This would mean one-25bp rate cut this year, instead of our previous forecast of 75bp in rate cuts," analysts added.

Persons: —, Michael Gapen, Goldman Sachs, Larry Summers Organizations: of America, Service, Bank of America, RBC, US

☆ Inflation came in hotter than expected in March
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-10 | by ( Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

March's year-over-year increase was forecasted to be a higher rate than February's rate. The forecast for March's year-over-year increase in the CPI was 3.4%, a higher rate than the 3.2% increase or the 3.1% increase in February or January respectively. The rate came in above the forecast and was higher than February's year-over-year change. CPI increased 0.4% in March from the preceding month — same as the 0.4% surge in February. AdvertisementAverage hourly earnings increased 4.1% year over year to $34.69 an hour in March, which fell short of the 4.3% year-over-year increase in February.

Persons: —, That's, Julia Pollak, Pollak Organizations: Consumer, Service, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Business Locations: March's, That's

☆ Consumer prices rose 3.5% from a year ago in March, more than expected
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-10 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Tom Williams | Cq-roll Call, Inc. | Getty ImagesThe consumer price index accelerated at a faster than expected pace in March, pushing inflation higher and likely keeping the Federal Reserve on hold with interest rates. Shelter and energy costs drove the increase on the all-items index. Food prices increased just 0.1% on the month and were up 2.2% on a year-over-year basis. The measure for meat, fish, poultry and eggs climbed 0.9%, pushed by a 4.6% jump in egg prices. Elsewhere, used vehicle prices declined 1.1% and medical care services prices rose 0.6%.

Persons: Tom Williams, Dow Jones Organizations: Washington , D.C, Cq, Inc, Getty, Federal Reserve, Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, CPI Locations: Washington ,

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