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Since then, several major investment firms have lifted their long-term S&P 500 price targets. The firm recommends pairing cyclicals and growth stocks with those attributes so that investors are prepared for stronger or weaker growth. Technology firms using AI need more power, which is a major long-term tailwind for utility companies, Wilson wrote. "We see the recent pullback as an attractive entry point and an opportunity to formally upgrade the sector to overweight," Wilson wrote. "Small-cap valuation is relatively cheap but earnings growth is highly concentrated," Wilson wrote.
Persons: , Brian Belski, Binky, Morgan Stanley, Long, Mike Wilson, subpar, Wilson, Wilson's, Goldman Sachs, Morgan, Morgan Stanley's Organizations: Service, Business, BMO Capital, Deutsche Bank, optimist, Consumer, Utilities
The U.S. equity strategist now expects the S & P 500 will rise to 5,400 by the second quarter of 2025. Just last week, the S & P 500 closed above 5,300 for the first time. His bull case of 6,350 represents roughly 20% upside over the next 12 months for the S & P 500. Deutsche Bank's Binky Chadha hiked his S & P 500 target to 5,100, noting the benchmark could pop to 5,500. But market strategists on average are anticipating the S & P 500 will fall to 5,220 by the end of 2024, according to CNBC's Market Strategist Survey .
Persons: Morgan, Mike Wilson, Wilson, Morgan Stanley's, Brian Belski, Chadha, Dubravko, Bujas Organizations: CNBC Market, Deutsche
That increase is largely due to dynamics in the market for crude oil, which is refined into gasoline, economists said. Annual housing inflation declined to 5.5% in April from 5.7% in March. Shelter and gasoline inflation combined contributed more than 70% of the monthly CPI increase for all items, according to the BLS. Americans' buying patterns also simultaneously shifted away from services — such as entertainment and travel — toward physical goods since they stayed at home more, driving up demand and fueling decades-high goods inflation. Wage growth has been one contributor to services inflation, for example, economists said.
Persons: Grace Cary, That's, Mark Zandi, we're, Zandi, Michael Pugliese, Trump, Stephen Brown, Pugliese Organizations: U.S . Labor Department, Moody's Analytics, Federal Reserve, of Labor Statistics, Wells, Wells Fargo Economics, U.S, U.S . Energy Information Administration, Finance, GameStop, AMC, Biden, North, Capital Economics, Supply Locations: U.S, Wells Fargo, North America
How I think about Jim Simons' legacy, and a trade on one of the most successful retailers, Costco, follows. First, a contrarian view in Costco: Costco (COST) is one of the best performing retailers over the past year. Last week, Costco released their four-week retail sales results for the period between Monday, April 8th and Sunday, May 5th. There is only one thing I don't like about Costco, the price. The weak form suggests past market prices, which are generally observable, are fully reflected in stock prices.
Persons: Jim Simons, that's, Jim, James Surowiecki, Francis Galton, Eugene Fama Organizations: Costco, Fund Locations: Costco, U.S, New York, Surowiecki
Financials also did well, with Club stocks Morgan Stanley and Wells Fargo trading at new 52-week highs. Portfolio name Starbucks should take a page out of this book, lowering its price of coffee and food to attract more customers. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, they've, Lael Brainard, Financials, Morgan Stanley, Wells, McDonald's, Cramer, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Robert Gauthier Organizations: CNBC, University of Michigan Survey, National Economic Council, Club, Bloomberg, Starbucks, Disney, Comcast, Hulu, Jim Cramer's Charitable, McDonalds, Rte, Los Angeles Times, Getty Locations: Wells Fargo, United States, Azusa , CA
The dividend stock club could soon get new members, according to Morgan Stanley. Alphabet and Meta Platforms are among the most recent high-profile names to initiate a dividend to give back to shareholders. The search giant announced a 20-cent per share quarterly dividend in April, while Meta Platforms authorized a 50-cent per share dividend in February. The moves bring the total tally of "Magnificent Seven" stocks offering a dividend to five, along with Nvidia, Microsoft and Apple. Broken down by sector, consumer staples, energy and communication services stocks tend to outperform, while materials is the only sector that underperforms following a dividend initiation.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Todd Castagno, Castagno, Instacart, Regeneron Organizations: Meta, Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, PayPal, Palo Alto Networks, Expedia Group
CNBC's Jim Cramer likes Costco stock despite its high valuation and suggests it has more room to run. "I feel very comfortable" about Costco, Cramer said Thursday on " Squawk on the Street ," after the wholesale retailer reported a solid April sales report. Costco shares rose nearly 1.5% after Wednesday evening's monthly sales report showed core comparable sales, which exclude gas and foreign exchange fluctuations, gained 5.5% last month. Goldman Sachs analysts increased its Costco price target to $840 from $830 and also maintained its buy rating. The Club currently has a 2 rating on Costco shares and a price target of $800.
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Cramer, FactSet, Wells Fargo, , Costco's, we're, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Costco, CNBC, Wells, Street, JPMorgan
The consumer, making up 70% of the U.S. economy, is being hit by higher interest rates and sticky inflation. Consumer spending, also known as personal consumption expenditures (PCE), typically represents about two-thirds of the U.S. GDP. While that is attributed to easing consumer demand for EVs, dealer inventories of ICE vehicles have recovered significantly since the pandemic. Away from consumer discretionary and towards consumer staples. The Consumer Staples Select Sector ETF (XLP) is trading 21 times trailing earnings and about 19.6 times forward earnings estimates versus 25.7 times trailing and 22.83 times forward for the Consumer Discretionary Select Sector Index.
Persons: there's, Tesla, Power Organizations: Starbucks, Investors, PPI, CPI, Federal Locations: U.S
The latest macro data is sending mixed signals, reflecting both a "no landing" and a "soft landing," Morgan Stanley said. The bank recommends defensive sectors, including consumer staples, to navigate volatility. AdvertisementInvestors should ramp up investments in defensive stock sectors like consumer staples and utilities as the latest data sends mixed signals about the economy, Morgan Stanley says. Based on this rationale, Wilson suggests opting for robust cyclical names in a no-landing scenario and premium growth stocks in a soft landing. It also provides some more defensiveness to portfolios as a hedge amid uncertain/unpredictable macro data," they said.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, , Michael Wilson, Wilson, nonfarm, Staples, Jerome Powell Organizations: Service, Conference, Reserve Locations: today's
Sell in May and go away? Think again
  + stars: | 2024-05-02 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +6 min
New York CNN —It’s “sell in May and go away” season. All three major indexes broke five-month winning streaks as hotter-than-expected inflation data stoked fears that interest rate cuts will come later than forecast. The central bank kept interest rates on hold at a 23-year high at its policy meeting. Persistent inflation has kept long-anticipated rate cuts on the backburner. Tesla “has let our entire charging org go,” William Navarro Jameson, strategic charging programs lead at Tesla, wrote on X.
Persons: Stocks, Jerome Powell, , Alex McGrath, Larry Tentarelli, Bryan Mena, it’s, Read, Tesla, Tesla “, ” William Navarro Jameson, Lane Chaplin, Hanna Ziady, Peter Valdes Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, The, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Wednesday, Traders, Blue, Carson Group, Research, Federal Reserve, Fed, Motors, Ford, Tesla Locations: New York
"Stocks with stable growth typically perform best alongside decelerating economic growth." In this economic climate, Goldman is advising clients to buy stocks offering stable growth. The Wall Street bank screened Russell 1000 stocks for those with the most stable growth in earnings before taxes, depreciation and amortization on a quarterly basis over the past 10 years. "Should the outlook for earnings growth deteriorate, the recent stretch of quality outperformance will likely continue and also expand to include stocks with stable growth," Goldman said. Industrial companies such as Waste Management and Fastenal also made the list, as well as consumer discretionary names Domino's Pizza and AutoZone .
Persons: Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Goldman, Fastenal Organizations: Federal Reserve, Russell, PepsiCo, Colgate, Palmolive, Waste Management
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell met with the press after the March Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, which was pretty fraught. Data centers If there is the whiff of a data center or anything in one, the stock goes higher. It's why Meta stock is a buy a tad lower as stocks tend to revisit those kinds of declines. I worry about Club stock Stanley Black & Decker for this reason, but the dividend will keep it propped up for now. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.
Persons: what's, Jerome Powell, Powell, Powell isn't, Voltaire, Vertiv, Eaton, Meta, It's, jetsam, Darius Adamczyk, Vimal, Stanley Black, Decker, Azek, Morgan Stanley, Wells, Charlie Scharf, Wells Fargo, Chipotle, that's, Johnson, Jensen Huang, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Scott Mlyn Organizations: Federal, Market, Broadcom, Google, Microsoft, Nvidia, Travel American Express, Raytheon, GE Aerospace, Royal, AAR, Honeywell, Southwest Airlines, Housing, Stanley, JPMorgan, Procter, Gamble, Colgate, Merck, Bristol, Myers, PepsiCo, Energy, Coterra Energy, Diamondback, drillers, CNBC Locations: California, Royal Caribbean, Delta, Devon
As the equity market's profitability nears its all-time highs, Goldman Sachs recently shared some stocks that could see big growth over the next 12 months. In 2024, Kostin expects margin expansion will continue to support ROE growth. In the same report, Goldman Sachs shared its rebalanced ROE growth basket of stocks, which contains 50 names selected for their expected profit growth over the next 12 months. Rising growth fears, solar compensation cutbacks and rising interest rates sank solar stocks last year, but they've since made a comeback. Consensus estimates for the financials sector reveal that most analysts expect ROE growth to remain flat in the same time period.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, ROE, Kostin, Estée Lauder, Electric's, Goldman, Wells, Janney, Blackstone Organizations: Kostin, Info Tech, Deutsche Bank, GE Aerospace, Communications, Mobile Locations: Wells Fargo, China
The S&P 500 is in its most perilous position since late last summer, cautioned David Keller, the chief market strategist at StockCharts.com. After an uptick in volatility in March 2023, the S&P 500 enjoyed a virtually uninterrupted rally before peaking on the final day of July. Related storiesIn the meantime, investors should keep a close eye on two key technical support levels for the S&P 500, Keller said: 5,050 and 4,820. Utilities are one of only two parts of the market that's up in the last month, due to its risk-off nature. The VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) is another compelling way to ride that rally, Keller said.
Persons: , David Keller, I'm, Keller, Stocks, StockCharts.com, they're, Keller isn't, that's Organizations: Service, Business, Utilities, StockCharts.com, VanEck Oil Services, P Oil & Gas Exploration, Production, Miners Locations: East, Israel, Freeport
Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. Entering this week, Super Micro was up more than 200% year to date. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, We're, That's, Estee Lauder, Wells Fargo, Wells, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Tech, Nasdaq, Micro Computer, Coterra Energy, Club, Constellation Brands, Abbott Laboratories, Dow, Microsoft, Ford Motor, Honeywell International, Verizon, Cadence, GE Aerospace, PepsiCo, RTX, Halliburton, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: Wells Fargo, SMCI
Those are key items to watch out for Friday morning when P & G reports its fiscal 2024 third-quarter earnings. Shares of P & G hit a multiyear high of $163 on March 28 — less than $2 per share below all-time highs reached in late April 2022. Traditionally for Procter, pricing has contributed low single digits to its earnings growth. In P & G's fiscal second quarter , pricing contributed 4% to sales growth, but volumes were down on a companywide basis. He expects to see a healthy organic growth rate consistent with the 4% organic growth reported in the second quarter.
Persons: Jeff Marks, Jim Cramer, Nik Modi, Modi, Procter, Jon Anderson, William Blair, Anderson, Ulta, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: Procter, Gamble, CNBC, Federal Reserve, Fed, RBC Capital Markets, Anderson, China, National Exhibition, Convention Center, VCG, Getty Locations: U.S, North America, Shanghai, China
JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon issued a warning in the bank's earnings report Friday. With so much at stake, here's an earnings season cheat sheet of when some of the biggest companies are reporting and the storylines to follow. Themes to watch: AI could reduce the number of junior bank employees thanks to the tech automating their grunt work . Themes to watch: Netflix was dubbed the king of streaming earlier this year after a big earnings report. The bank's earnings report beat analysts' expectations, but advisory revenues were down 21% year-over-year.
Persons: , Donald Trump's, iStock, Rebecca Zisser, Jamie Dimon, Dimon, Michael M, Goldman Sachs, Blackstone, Will Meta, Bob Iger's, Brooks Kraft, Jeremy Barnum, it's, Jeff Currie, Justin Sullivan, Tesla, Elon Musk, Musk, Marco Bottigelli, Yevgen Romanenko, Tyler Le, Michelle Grisé, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, George Glover, Grace Lett Organizations: Service, Business, JPMorgan . Tech, JPMorgan, New York Stock Exchange, Finance Key Companies, Bank of America, Companies, Meta, Microsoft, Apple, Nvidia, Amazon, Retail, Walmart, Costco, Netflix, Disney, Paramount Global, Boeing, Brooks Kraft LLC, Getty, BI, Healthcare, RAND, Boston Marathon Locations: Israel, Russia, United States, New York, London, Chicago
From late October through March, the S&P 500 enjoyed a virtually uninterrupted 27.6% rally based on better-than-expected earnings and economic data. And while it's still well below the dot-com bubble levels, it's still too close for comfort for many investors. Related story"Those higher rates are starting to push back on elevated valuations for stocks right now," Saglimbene said. "They're all much cheaper on an earnings basis than those Magnificent 7 companies," Saglimbene said. "So I think if we avoid a recession this year, the narrative will change to a broadening of companies and sectors that can participate in earnings growth this year."
Persons: aren't, Anthony Saglimbene, Rick Pitcairn, Pitcairn, it's, we've, Raheel Siddiqui, Neuberger Berman, Siddiqui, Jon Wolfenbarger, Albert Edwards, Bill Smead, James Ragan, DA Davidson, Ragan, Saglimbene, Indrani, she's, De, Davidson, Siddiqui's Organizations: Ameriprise, Business, DA, FTSE Russell, Investors Locations: Ameriprise
Morningstar Wealth's Marta Norton: Tech looks overvalued to us
  + stars: | 2024-04-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMorningstar Wealth's Marta Norton: Tech looks overvalued to usMarta Norton, Morningstar Wealth CIO for the Americas, joins ‘Squawk Box’ to discuss whether the Middle East conflict could impact the market, why she sees lots of opportunities in consumer staples, and more.
Persons: Morningstar, Marta Norton Organizations: Morningstar
IEI has a 30-day SEC yield of 4.26% and carries an expense ratio of 0.15%. BINC, which is actively managed, has a 30-day SEC yield of 5.6% and a net expense ratio of 0.4%. Investors can use ETFs to tackle that space: Vanguard's Intermediate-Term Corporate Bond ETF (VCIT) has a 30-day SEC yield of 5.33%. There's also the iShares 5-10 Year Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF (IGIB) , offering a 30-day SEC yield of 5.4%. Hunting dividend payers Higher rates have overshadowed opportunities among dividend-paying stocks, which look less attractive to income investors who can find risk-free yields easily.
Persons: it's, Michael Carbone, Carbone, Gargi Chaudhuri, Collin Martin, There's, Michael Clarfeld Organizations: Dow Jones, Traders, Federal, Treasury Bond ETF, SEC, Schwab Center, Financial Research, Corporate Locations: Chelmsford , Massachusetts, BlackRock, ClearBridge
"The big rock in the way here is the cost of shelter," Zandi said. In fact, underlying inflation after stripping out shelter costs is already back to target, Zandi said. watch nowThe increase is largely attributable to higher oil prices. "For most Americans, the thing that bothers them the most about inflation is high food prices." Americans' buying patterns also simultaneously shifted away from services — like entertainment and travel — toward physical goods since they stayed at home more, driving up demand and fueling decades-high goods inflation.
Persons: Eric Thayer, That's, Mark Zandi, Zandi, It's, Hamrick, They're, Sarah House Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, U.S . Labor Department, Moody's, of Labor Statistics, U.S, Energy Information Administration, BLS, Wells, Wells Fargo Economics Locations: U.S, Wells Fargo
Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. Given the company's track record, it is not surprising to us that its stock isn't working after these much-ballyhooed claims. Upgrades/downgrades: Bank earnings season kicks off this Friday with Wells Fargo , JPMorgan , and Citigroup scheduled to report. Meanwhile, Cramer is critical of an upgrade of Freeport-McMoRan after the stock has gained 35% since the beginning of March. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Stocks, Gaudi, Wells, Wells Fargo, Cramer, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Patrick Gelsinger, Brendan Smialowski Organizations: CNBC, Nvidia, Intel, JPMorgan, Citigroup, KBW, Citi, GE, GE Healthcare, Core CPI, Jim Cramer's Charitable, AFP, Getty Locations: Wells Fargo, Freeport, McMoRan, Chandler , Arizona
Evercore ISISurprisingly strong economic growth will fuel a 5.5% year-over-year jump in corporate earnings this quarter, according to Evercore. That would be well above analysts' consensus of about 3% but below the nearly 8% growth rate in Q4. 8 stocks set to outperform soonThough US stocks broadly may be in for a rough ride, stock-pickers shouldn't get too worried. To help with the search, Emanuel and company highlighted eight stocks set to outperform during the Q1 earnings season. Below are the eight companies listed in alphabetical order along with their ticker, market capitalization, sector, expected earnings release date, year-to-date earnings revision, and expected earnings growth rate relative to their sector peers.
Persons: , Julian Emanuel, Emanuel, recalculate, Evercore, Emanuel's, didn't, shouldn't, Zscaler Organizations: Service, ISI, Business, PPG Industries
Conversely, Kilburg is adding to positions that have lagged the market, such as industrial and health-care stocks. "Those are three names that I believe are blue chip, essential names to the U.S. economy," he said. UnitedHealth and other health-care stocks are also trading at a discount, Kilburg said, citing Johnson & Johnson as a potential winner. Buy cyclical names Bailey, formerly a health-care analyst at Legg Mason and Stifel Financial before joining FBB in 2015, expects a hotter-than-forecast inflation report on Wednesday would take stocks lower. The Johns Hopkins MBA also sees the larger, diversified banks as attractive in a climate of higher inflation and interest rates.
Persons: Jeff Kilburg, Kilburg, Mike Bailey, Bailey, payrolls, Lockheed Martin, Johnson, Legg Mason, Berkshire Hathaway, Johns Hopkins, UnitedHealth Organizations: KKM, FBB Capital Partners, Meta, Nvidia, Lockheed, Stifel, FBB, Treasury, Berkshire, Union Pacific, Old Dominion Freight Locations: U.S, McLennan, Progressive, Chevron
Constellation Brands stock is looking like it could be ready to break out, with its strong beer business well-positioned for market share gains in the upcoming fiscal year. Morgan Stanley anticipates Constellation to continue gaining market share at the expense of Bud Light during this period. Since Constellation tends to boast industry-leading results in its beer business, we're confident it will deliver strong numbers again next week. Over the past few years, Constellation has been trying to boost sales in its wine and spirits business — shifting from lower-priced brands to more premium names. While wine and spirits make up a small part of Constellation's overall business, Jim has said it must go.
Persons: It's, Jim Cramer, Morgan Stanley, Jeff Marks, Jim, Bud Light, Marks, Piper Sandler, Newlands, Kim Crawford, Eli Lilly, Elliott, Jim Cramer's, Justin Sullivan Organizations: Constellation Brands, Anheuser, Busch Inbev, Modelo, Nielsen, Cinco de Mayo, Bud Light, Constellation, Piper, Elliott Investment Management, CNBC Locations: Corona, Pacifico, U.S, GLP, Modelo, San Rafael , California
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