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ET, with Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's press conference at 2:30 p.m. While the Fed is not expected to make any policy changes or rate hikes at the conclusion of its two-day meeting, markets were on edge Wednesday morning. Michael Feroli, chief U.S. economist at JPMorgan Chase, said in a note that he expects Fed officials to signal a rate increase as early as 2023. The latest monthly jobs report shows an unemployment rate of 5.8 percent — higher than pre-pandemic levels, which were hovering at a half-century low of around 3.5 percent. Since the Fed has a dual mandate — unemployment and inflation — that suggests it should indeed keep its focus on unemployment, rather than inflation.
Persons: Jerome Powell's, Powell, Michael Feroli, , Brad McMillan, McMillan, ” Dan North, Euler Hermes, Organizations: Federal Reserve, Federal, JPMorgan Chase, Commonwealth Financial Network, NBC Locations: America, Jackson Hole , Wyoming
Inflation is the watchword as the Federal Reserve kicks off a two-day meeting on Tuesday. “However, what I will be looking for are any discussions on what could be termed as more permanent inflation,” he said. “I think this is going to be Powell's toughest conference in his career as chairman,” said Dan North, senior economist at Euler Hermes North America. “That’s going to make it a tougher choice because that becomes a huge demographic issue for the Fed,” North said. When you talk about the dual mandate, historically, the Fed has been almost exclusively focused on inflation.
Persons: , Brad McMillan, McMillan, David Norris, Jerome Powell, Powell, ” McMillan, , ” Norris, Dan North, Euler Hermes, Price, “ That’s, “ We’ve, Darren Schuringa, ” Megan Horneman Organizations: Federal Reserve, Commonwealth Financial Network, TwentyFour Asset Management, Federal, School’s Schwartz, for Economic, Fed, Labor, New School, , Verdence Capital Advisors Locations: America
Stock futures are flat as investors await Federal Reserve update
  + stars: | 2021-06-15 | by ( Pippa Stevens | ) www.cnbc.com + 0.00   time to read: +3 min
U.S. stock index futures were little changed during overnight trading on Tuesday, ahead of the Federal Reserve's update on Wednesday. S&P 500 futures were up 0.06%, while Nasdaq 100 futures advanced 0.12%. Previously, Fed officials hadn't come to a consensus for a rate hike through 2023. The meeting comes as inflation heats up, with producer prices rising at their fastest annual rate in nearly 11 years during May. This has prompted some, including Paul Tudor Jones, to call for the central bank to re-think its easy monetary policy.
Persons: Stocks, Dow, hadn't, Paul Tudor Jones, Brad McMillan, McMillan, Jerome, Powell, Danielle DiMartino Booth Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Big Tech, Federal Reserve, Fed, Commonwealth Financial Network, Quill Intelligence, Fargo Investment Institute Locations: Fargo
U.S. labor market recovery gaining steam; inflation heating up
  + stars: | 2021-06-10 | by ( Lucia Mutikani | ) www.reuters.com + 0.00   time to read: +6 min
Surging prices for used cars and trucks accounted about one-third of the rise in consumer inflation reported by the Labor Department on Thursday. The recovering labor market and accelerating inflation will have no impact on monetary policy. "As the cycle matures, these inflation pressures will subside owing to the structural forces that have kept inflation low for long." Excluding the volatile food and energy components, the CPI increased 0.7% after soaring 0.9% in April. Though layoffs are subsiding, initial claims remain well above the 200,000 to 250,000 range that is viewed as consistent with healthy labor market conditions.
Persons: Britni Mann, Chris Aluka Berry, Jerome Powell, Anu Gaggar, Sam Bullard Organizations: REUTERS, Labor Department, Commonwealth Financial Network, Reuters, Treasury, CPI, Fed, Thomson Locations: Roswell , Georgia, U.S, Wells, Charlotte , North Carolina, Florida, Texas
Equities, dollar gain on rising U.S. inflation
  + stars: | 2021-05-28 | by ( Chibuike Oguh | ) www.reuters.com + 0.00   time to read: +3 min
NEW YORK (Reuters) - Global equity markets rose while the U.S. dollar rebounded against major currencies on Friday as new data strengthened concerns about surging inflation and more heated economic activity from pent-up demand. The dollar index of major currencies rose 0.043% to 90.053 after making gains in early morning trading. MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan rose 0.46% on Friday and 0.3% for the month. Gold reversed rose above the key $1,900 level on Friday, after data showed rising U.S. consumer prices in April and boosted bullion’s appeal as an inflation hedge. Brent rose 0.27%, to settle at $69.65 a barrel, and U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude dropped 0.36%, to settle $66.61 a barrel.
Persons: Nicky Loh, , , Tim Ghriskey, Randal Quarles, Brian Price, Gold, Brent Organizations: YORK, Global, U.S, REUTERS, . Commerce Department, Inverness, Investors, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Dow, Tokyo’s Nikkei, Commonwealth Financial Network, U.S . West Texas Locations: Taipei, New York, Asia, Pacific, Japan, Boston, Iran, U.S, Brent
Equities gain, dollar weakens on rising U.S. inflation
  + stars: | 2021-05-28 | by ( Chibuike Oguh | ) www.reuters.com + 0.00   time to read: +3 min
The German share price index DAX graph is pictured at the stock exchange in Frankfurt, Germany, May 27, 2021. REUTERS/StaffGlobal equity markets rose while the U.S. dollar retreated against major currencies on Friday as new data affirmed concerns of a surging inflation and further strengthening of economic activity from pent-up demand. The dollar index of major currencies weakened 0.017% to 89.997 after making gains in early morning trading. All major indexes were making gains on Wall Street in the early afternoon, led by technology, healthcare, and consumer discretionary stocks. Gold reversed course and turned positive on Friday, briefly popping above the key $1,900 level, after data showed rising U.S. consumer prices in April and boosted bullion's appeal as an inflation hedge.
Persons: Tim Ghriskey, Fed's, Randal Quarles, Brian Price, Gold, Brent Organizations: REUTERS, Staff Global, U.S ., . Commerce Department, Inverness, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Tokyo's Nikkei, Commonwealth Financial Network, U.S . West Texas, Thomson Locations: Frankfurt, Germany, New York, Asia, Pacific, Japan, Boston, Iran, U.S
Wall Street ekes out gain as weekly jobless claims fall
  + stars: | 2021-05-27 | by ( Chuck Mikolajczak | ) www.reuters.com + 0.00   time to read: +3 min
FILE PHOTO: People are seen on Wall Street outside the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., March 19, 2021. Boeing supplier General Electric jumped and the two were the biggest boost to the S&P industrials, the best performing sector on the day. On Thursday, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas President Robert Kaplan said the labor market is tighter than many realize. Strategists expect the S&P 500 to end the year at about 4,300, according to a Reuters poll. The benchmark index is currently less than 1% away from its record high of 4,238.04 points.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, we’re, , Brad McMillan, “ We’ve, Robert Kaplan Organizations: YORK, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Treasury, Investors, Federal Reserve, Commonwealth Financial Network, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Dow, planemaker Boeing, Airbus, Boeing, General Electric, Federal Reserve Bank, Dallas, Nvidia Corp Locations: New York City, U.S, Waltham , Mass
U.S. stock futures were little changed in overnight trading on Tuesday after the Dow's worst day since February. S&P 500 futures dropped 0.12% and Nasdaq 100 futures slipped 0.14%. This jump in the headline consumer price index would be the largest since Sept. 2011. The consumer price index excluding food and energy is expected to rise 0.3% in April and 2.3% over the past 12-months. The consumer price index rose 0.6% in March from the previous month and 2.6% from a year ago, according to the Department of Labor.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Brian Price, Dow Jones, Jerome Powell Organizations: Dow, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Commonwealth Financial Network, Department of Labor, Investors Locations: Depot, Chevron
Stock futures are flat after the Dow closed at a record
  + stars: | 2021-05-05 | by ( Pippa Stevens | ) www.cnbc.com + 0.00   time to read: +2 min
U.S. stock index futures were little changed during overnight trading on Wednesday, after the Dow closed at a record. S&P 500 futures advanced 0.06%, while Nasdaq 100 futures rose 0.16%. During the session, the Dow gained 97 points to end at a new closing all-time high. The S&P 500 inched 0.1% higher, while the Nasdaq Composite slid 0.4% for its fourth straight negative session and longest daily losing streak since October. The Russell 1000 Value index has gained 16% this year, while the Russell 1000 Growth index has advanced 5%.
Persons: Dow, Keith Lerner, Dow Jones, Brad McMillan, Kellogg Organizations: Dow, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Netflix, Amazon, Facebook, Technology, financials, Russell, Commonwealth Financial Network, Anheuser, Busch InBev, Regeneron
Stock futures were little changed in overnight trading on Thursday after the Dow Jones Industrial Average crossed the 34,000 threshold for the first time ever. Futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 10 points. S&P 500 futures traded near the flatline and Nasdaq 100 futures dipped 0.2%. Retail sales jumped 9.8% in March as additional stimulus sent consumer spending soaring, topping the Dow Jones estimate of a 6.1% gain. Economists polled by Dow Jones expected a total of 710,000.
Persons: Peter Essele, Dow Jones, Jamie Cox, Morgan Stanley, Dow Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Dow Jones, Dow Jones Industrial, Dow, Nasdaq, Commonwealth Financial Network, Retail, The Labor Department, Harris Financial
Overall S&P 500 earnings are expected to have jumped 25% in the first quarter from a year ago, according to IBES data from Refinitiv. With the S&P 500 index at record highs, valuations are stretched heading into the season, leaving some investors looking to earnings for further support. At the start of March, analysts expected first-quarter S&P 500 earnings growth of 22%, based on Refinitiv data. For all of 2021, S&P 500 earnings growth is expected to be 26.5% versus a decline of 12.6% last year. A 28% tax rate would take 7.4% off S&P 500 companies’ earnings per share, according to UBS.
Persons: Donald Trump, “ We’ve, , Brad McMillan, Nick Raich, Joe, McMillan, ” Financials, JPMorgan Chase, , We’ll, Tim Ghriskey Organizations: Commonwealth Financial Network, UBS, JPMorgan, Technology, Inverness Locations: U.S, New York
Overall S&P 500 earnings are expected to have jumped 25% in the first quarter from a year ago, according to IBES data from Refinitiv. Graphic: US earnings growthWith the S&P 500 index at record highs, valuations are stretched heading into the season, leaving some investors looking to earnings for further support. At the start of March, analysts expected first-quarter S&P 500 earnings growth of 22%, based on Refinitiv data. For all of 2021, S&P 500 earnings growth is expected to be 26.5% versus a decline of 12.6% last year. A 28% tax rate would take 7.4% off S&P 500 companies’ earnings per share, according to UBS.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Donald Trump, “ We’ve, , Brad McMillan, Nick Raich, Joe, McMillan, ” Financials, , We’ll, Tim Ghriskey Organizations: YORK, REUTERS, Commonwealth Financial Network, UBS, JPMorgan Chase, Technology, Inverness Locations: New York City, U.S, New York
Overall S&P 500 earnings are expected to have jumped 25% in the first quarter from a year ago, according to IBES data from Refinitiv. With the S&P 500 index at record highs, valuations are stretched heading into the season, leaving some investors looking to earnings for further support. At the start of March, analysts expected first-quarter S&P 500 earnings growth of 22%, based on Refinitiv data. For all of 2021, S&P 500 earnings growth is expected to be 26.5% versus a decline of 12.6% last year. A 28% tax rate would take 7.4% off S&P 500 companies’ earnings per share, according to UBS.
Persons: Donald Trump, “ We’ve, , Brad McMillan, Nick Raich, Joe, McMillan, ” Financials, JPMorgan Chase, , We’ll, Tim Ghriskey Organizations: YORK, Commonwealth Financial Network, UBS, JPMorgan, Technology, Inverness Locations: U.S, New York
Why Investing in Fossil Fuels Is So Tricky
  + stars: | 2021-04-09 | by ( Mark A. Stein | ) www.nytimes.com sentiment -0.83   time to read: +2 min
Still, investing in the oil and gas industry is not for everyone, especially these days. Some people object to putting money into the fossil fuel industry. Even if that isn’t an issue for you, energy has historically been a volatile industry, with astounding booms and devastating busts. The S&P energy index retreated 5 percent from March 17 to March 31, after the International Energy Agency forecast that oil consumption was not likely to return to prepandemic levels in developed economies. “Rapid changes in behavior from the pandemic and a stronger drive by governments toward a low-carbon future have caused a dramatic downward shift in expectations for oil demand over the next six years.”
Persons: Biden’s, ” Chris Stuart, Organizations: Exxon Mobil, Chevron, and Drug Administration, Commonwealth Financial Network, International Energy Agency Locations: U.S, Waltham , Mass
Biden's stimulus plan went beyond what the Fed expected
  + stars: | 2021-04-07 | by ( Ben Winck | ) www.businessinsider.com + 0.00   time to read: +3 min
President Biden's stimulus plan was "considerably larger" than the Fed expected, FOMC minutes showed. "The size of the ARP exacted in March was considerably larger than what the staff had assumed in the January projection," the meeting minutes showed. The new stimulus plan and easing of social-distancing measures contributed to expectations for "substantial" gross domestic product growth in 2021. The Fed will indicate "well in advance" when it is considering a change in its asset purchase plan, the minutes added. "The big message from the Fed minutes is that the central bank is as unconcerned in private about inflation as it is in public," he said in an emailed statement.
Persons: Joe Biden, Donald Trump, it's, Jerome Powell, Powell, Brad McMillan Organizations: Fed, American, Federal Reserve, Federal, Republican, Commonwealth Financial Network
Dow futures jump more than 100 points after blowout jobs report
  + stars: | 2021-04-04 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com + 0.97   time to read: +2 min
Stock futures climbed in overnight trading on Sunday as investors cheered a strong bounce in U.S. job growth last month amid accelerating vaccine rollout. Futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped 136 points. S&P 500 futures rose 0.4% and Nasdaq 100 futures edged up 0.2%. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones were expecting an increase of 675,000 and a jobless rate of 6%. "Faster jobs and wage growth can have an upward pressure on prices and test the Fed's patience with easy monetary policy."
Persons: Dow Jones, Anu Gaggar, Joe Biden, Republican Sen, Roy Blunt of, Biden, pare, Mitch McConnell Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Labor Department, Commonwealth Financial Network, Republicans, Republican, Sunday, Democratic Locations: Roy Blunt of Missouri, Ky, U.S
Credit Suisse and Nomura were slower than rivals to cut their exposure to the fund. Credit Suisse shares fell 4% on Wednesday, bringing this week’s decline to nearly 20%. The bank’s market capitalisation has shrunk by five billion Swiss francs since Friday to 25.57 billion Swiss francs ($27.12 billion). The four largest Credit Suisse bonds outstanding have in the last two days hit their lowest price since the summer. Shares of ViacomCBS, one of the stocks linked to Archegos’ massive margin call last week, were down around 3.5% at $45.
Persons: Archegos, Bill Hwang, Hwang, , Brad McMillan, , Nomura, Fitch, Robert Pavlik, “ I’m, Michael James, John O’Donnell, Karin Strohecker, Sujata Rao, Susan Mathew, Herbert Lash, Kate Duguid, Matt Scuffham, Ira Ioseabashvili, Elaine Hardcastle, Cynthia Osterman Organizations: Nomura, Credit Suisse, Tiger, New, Investors, Commonwealth Financial Network, Global, Reuters, UBS, Deutsche Bank, SlateStone Wealth, Wedbush Securities Locations: Tiger Asia, New York, Greensill, U.S, Archegos, ., Los Angeles, London
US stocks mixed as economic optimism sparks tech sell-off
  + stars: | 2021-03-24 | by ( Emily Graffeo | ) www.businessinsider.com sentiment -1.00   time to read: +2 min
US stocks were mixed Wednesday as investor optimism around the economic recovery sparked tech stock selling. Oil prices spiked following a major ship blockage in the crucial Suez Canal. US stocks were mixed Wednesday at the close with investor optimism around the economic recovery triggering a rotation out of technology stocks and into cyclical names that hinge on the US re-opening. Powell said that the US economic recovery had progressed faster than expected but was far from complete and that the Fed would provide support for as long as it takes to fully recover. Powell also acknowledged that inflation is rising but is supported by the economic recovery.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Janet Yellen, Powell, Anu Gaggar, Brent Organizations: Bell, Nasdaq, Federal, Fed, Global, Commonwealth Financial Network, GameStop, Intel, West Texas Locations: Suez, Taiwan, Arizona
FILE PHOTO: A healthcare worker draws the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) vaccine from a vial at Mission Commons assisted living community in Redlands, California, U.S., January 15, 2021. “The next 100 days or so will be focused on the vaccine rollout and employment,” said Stacey Gilbert, portfolio manager for derivatives at Glenmede Investment Management. Yet missed vaccination targets could bolster the case for investors looking to take profits, potentially ushering in more market swings. “I don’t think we can put virus-related risks behind us,” said Emily Roland, co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management. Still, he added, “if we don’t get vaccines really underway by the end of the month … markets might start to get concerned.”
Persons: Wall, Lucy Nicholson, Russell, Joe Biden, , Stacey Gilbert, Emily Roland, , Arnim Holzer, Matthew Harrison, Morgan Stanley, Donald Trump’s, Brad McMillan Organizations: YORK, Commons, REUTERS, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Investors, Glenmede Investment Management, Research, John Hancock Investment Management, EAB Investment, Barclays iPath, Centers for Disease Control, Commonwealth Financial Network Locations: Redlands , California, U.S, COVID, United States
“The next 100 days or so will be focused on the vaccine rollout and employment,” said Stacey Gilbert, portfolio manager for derivatives at Glenmede Investment Management. There have been rallies in shares of banks, small caps and other companies that would benefit most from economic reopening. Yet missed vaccination targets could bolster the case for investors looking to take profits, potentially ushering in more market swings. “I don’t think we can put virus-related risks behind us,” said Emily Roland, co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management. “The vast majority of incoming questions has been around the pace of the rollout,” he said.
Persons: Wall, Russell, Joe Biden, , Stacey Gilbert, Emily Roland, , Arnim Holzer, Matthew Harrison, Morgan Stanley, Donald Trump’s, Brad McMillan, April Joyner, Sinéad Carew, Michael Erman, Caroline Humer, Ira Iosebashvili, David Gregorio Organizations: YORK, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Investors, Glenmede Investment Management, Research, John Hancock Investment Management, EAB Investment, Barclays iPath, Centers for Disease Control, Commonwealth Financial Network Locations: COVID, United States
As economists reflect on President Donald Trump’s economic legacy, the pandemic is undoubtedly front and center. “The major drivers of economic growth over time are population growth and technological improvements. “Trump’s trade policy was dictated by his personal belief that tariffs are good and trade wars are easy to win, and that China is paying all these tariffs. That is demonstrably wrong, and this unilateral imposition of trade tariffs not just on China but on American allies has been a total, abject failure,” Kirkegaard said. Economic output expanded, but at a rate that fell far short of the 4 percent GDP growth Trump had promised.
Persons: Donald Trump’s, Trump, , Jamie Cox, ” Cox, Peter Essele, Joe Biden, Sam Stovall, ” Daniel Zhao, , ” Essele, Donald Trump, Scott Paul, Jacob Kirkegaard, Kirkegaard, Biden, ” Kirkegaard, We’re, that’s, “ It’s, Eric Toder, Essele, Covid, “ We’ve, ” Toder Organizations: Harris Financial, Wall, Federal, Commonwealth Financial Network, CFRA Research, Glassdoor, Industry, ” Alliance for American Manufacturing, Trump, Peterson Institute for International Economics, U.S, Urban, Brookings Tax, Center, Tax Foundation, Treasury Locations: America, U.S, China, United States, Mexico, Canada
Japan’s Nikkei 225 rose 0.49%, but Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 bucked the regional trend and fell 0.12%. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) rose 0.81% to $53.64 a barrel, reaching the highest since February after a larger-than-expected decline in U.S. crude inventories. Oil prices were also supported after Saudi Arabia said it plans to cut output by an extra 1 million barrels per day in February and March. “Markets since the election have been quite strong because uncertainty factor has been removed,” Essele said. The dollar nursed losses on Wednesday as a retreat in U.S. yields snuffed out its recent rebound.
Persons: KOSPI, Treasuries, Biden, Peter Essele, ” Essele, Brent, Donald Trump, Trump Organizations: Treasury, Investors, Washington, Capitol, Street, Nikkei, Commonwealth Financial Network, Dow, Nasdaq, U.S . West Texas, U.S . Capitol, , Democratic Locations: TOKYO, Asia, Pacific, Japan, U.S, Boston, Saudi Arabia, Washington
FILE PHOTO: A currency dealer walks past electronic boards at a dealing room of a bank, in Seoul, South Korea, November 5, 2020. REUTERS/Kim Hong/File PhotoMSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan rose 0.61%, while Japan’s Nikkei 225 rose 1.12%. Treasuries extended their rally, pulling benchmark 10-year yields further away from the highest in almost a year and causing the yield curve to flatten slightly. Euro Stoxx 50 futures fell 0.03%, German DAX futures were up 0.03% and Britain’s FTSE futures were up 0.18%, pointing to a subdued start to European trade. The dollar nursed losses on Wednesday as a retreat in U.S. yields snuffed out its recent rebound.
Persons: Kim Hong, KOSPI, Australia’s, Treasuries, DAX, Biden, Hugh Young, , ” Young, Brent, Donald Trump, Trump, , Peter Essele Organizations: TOKYO, Street, REUTERS, Nikkei, FTSE, Asia Pacific, Aberdeen Standard Investments, Reuters, Dow, Nasdaq, U.S . West Texas, U.S . Capitol, Capitol, , Commonwealth Financial Network, Democratic Locations: Seoul, South Korea, Asia, Pacific, Japan, U.S, Saudi Arabia, Washington, Boston
On Wall Street, stocks fluctuated near unchanged for the session, not far from record highs. The 10-year U.S. yield touched its highest since March but tightened to near flat on the day after a Treasury auction was well-bid. The yield had risen sharply this year on expectations of a massive stimulus package from the incoming Democratic administration. Saudi Arabia said it plans to cut output by an extra 1 million barrels per day in February and March. Brent was at $56.56, up 1.62% on the day, while U.S. crude recently rose 1.76% to $53.17 per barrel.
Persons: coronavirus, Biden, Peter Essele, ” Essele, Australia’s, Donald Trump, Trump, Brent Organizations: YORK, Commonwealth Financial Network, Japan’s Nikkei, Dow, Nasdaq, Democrats, Republican, U.S . Capitol, , U.S Locations: U.S, Boston, Washington, Saudi Arabia
Stock futures open higher following Wednesday’s slight gains
  + stars: | 2021-01-13 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com + 0.00   time to read: +2 min
U.S. stock futures rose on Wednesday night as traders kept an eye on interest rates and lingering turmoil in Washington. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures traded 46 points higher, or 0.1%. S&P 500 futures gained 0.2%, and Nasdaq 100 futures advanced 0.1%. Earlier in the day, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite gained 0.2% and 0.4%, respectively. Wednesday's gains for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq came after Intel rallied nearly 7% to lead tech stocks higher.
Persons: Dow, Louis, James Bullard, Adam Hoyes, Donald Trump, Brian Price Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Intel, Federal Reserve, Louis Fed, Capital Economics, U.S, Capitol, Commonwealth Financial Network, CNBC PRO Locations: Washington, St, U.S
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