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☆ Goldman's Beth Hammack has a new job: Cleveland Fed president
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-30 | by ( Shubhangi Goel | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

Beth Hammack, a former Goldman Sachs executive, was just appointed Cleveland Fed president. Hammack succeeds Loretta Mester, known for her hawkish stance on inflation policies. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementLongtime Goldman Sachs executive Beth Hammack, who left in February, is heading to the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland as its next president. Hammack replaces Loretta Mester, who is stepping down on June 30 after a decade as the Cleveland Fed's president.

Persons: Beth Hammack, Goldman Sachs, Hammack, Loretta Mester, —, She'll, Mester Organizations: Goldman, Cleveland Fed, Service, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, Cleveland Fed's, Business

☆ Goldman Sachs partner Beth Hammack to succeed Mester as Cleveland Fed leader
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-29 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

A Goldman Sachs executive and finance industry veteran will take over as the new president of the Cleveland Federal Reserve. The central bank district announced Wednesday that Beth M. Hammack, 52, will take over when Loretta Mester steps down June 30. In the interim, Cleveland Fed First Vice President Mark S. Meder will serve as the president. As the Fed contemplates its next moves with monetary policy, the Cleveland president plays an important role this year as a voter on the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee. Hammack comes to the Cleveland Fed after serving with Goldman Sachs since 1993 in multiple roles, having been a partner since 2010 after being named managing director in 2003.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Beth M, Loretta Mester, Hammack, Mark S, Beth, Heidi Gartland Organizations: Cleveland Federal Reserve, Cleveland Fed, Fourth, Cleveland, Market, Stanford University, University Hospitals

☆ Brace for a sharp inflation drop that still won't be enough to return the economy to normal, top economist Mohamed El-Erian says
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-09 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Inflation will drop sharply, but prices won't get back to the Fed's 2% target soon, Mohamed El-Erian said. AdvertisementAdvertisementThe economy will soon see a sharp drop in inflation – but that still won't be enough to return it to the central bank's target, according to top economist Mohamed El-Erian. Headline inflation accelerated 3.7% year-per-year in September, slightly above the expected 3.6% clip. Meanwhile, core inflation accelerated 4.1% year-per-year, in-line with economists' forecasts. Headline inflation is expected to accelerate 3.28% year-per-year, while core inflation is expected to remain mostly level at 4.16%, according to the Cleveland Fed's Inflation Nowcast.

Persons: Mohamed El, Erian, —, Goldman Sachs, Neel Kashkari, Powell Organizations: Bloomberg, Service, Allianz, Federal, Minneapolis, of Labor Statistics, Cleveland

☆ The Fed could be very close to achieving one of its main policy goals
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-23 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

If the Federal Reserve's main policy goal these days is to tighten financial conditions, then it should be pretty close to achieving its goals, according to an Evercore ISI analysis. In fact, the Fed recently set up its own measure — the Financial Conditions Impulse on Growth , or FCI-G. "The Fed will have to consider the tightening in financial conditions when setting rates in coming months, including the decision whether to hike in September." "Our base is that the Fed will not raise rates further and developments in financial variables reinforce our call." Market pricing is largely in line with the call that the Fed halts its hiking cycle after raising rates 11 times since March 2022.

Persons: Evervore, Krishna Guha, Guha, Marco Casiraghi Organizations: Federal, U.S ., Fed, FCI, Evercore ISI, Treasury, Traders, Group, Citi, Cleveland

☆ Morning Bid: A sticky inflation situation
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-10 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

With a relentless set of rate hikes, the Federal Reserve has managed to drive consumer price increases down to 3%, from last June's 9.1%. The Atlanta Fed compiles an index of core sticky consumer prices - goods or services for which the cost changes far more slowly. Reuters GraphicsLine chart with data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis and Federal Reserve shows PCE inflation slowed to 3% year-on-year in June, while core PCE inflation also eased to 4.2%. Chart shows economists polled by Reuters expecting the U.S. consumer price index to have increased 0.2% in July 2023 from the previous month, the same pace as June 2023. * Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Raphael Bostic gives welcome remarks at a webinar, 1500 EDT/1900 GMT.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Amanda Cooper, they're, Mary Daly, Raphael Bostic, Tomasz Janowski Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, American Automobile Association, Federal Reserve Bank, Cleveland, Atlanta Fed, Reuters Graphics, Reuters, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, Yahoo Finance, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Manheim

☆ Fed approves hike that takes interest rates to highest level in more than 22 years
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-26 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

WASHINGTON – The Federal Reserve on Wednesday approved a much-anticipated interest rate hike that takes benchmark borrowing costs to their highest level in more than 22 years. The midpoint of that target range would be the highest level for the benchmark rate since early 2001. Still, he seemed to leave room to potentially hold rates steady at the Fed's next meeting in September. All of those figures, while well below the worst levels of the current cycle, are running above the Fed's 2% target. Along with the rate hike, the committee indicated it will continue to cut the bond holdings on its balance sheet, which peaked at $9 trillion before the Fed began its quantitative tightening efforts.

Persons: WASHINGTON, Jerome Powell, Powell, Joe Brusuelas Organizations: Federal Reserve, Committee, Fed, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Treasury, RSM, University of Michigan, CPI, Cleveland Fed's, Atlanta Fed

That could help lower overall inflation when the next CPI report is released on Aug. 10, with the details in Wednesday's report suggesting "downside risks" to any forecast of July's inflation rate. Indeed, at least one Fed official on Wednesday stuck to policymakers' prevailing hawkish mantra that inflation is still too high. While not specifically addressing the CPI report, Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin told a Maryland business group that he still felt inflation had "been stubbornly persistent." 'FINAL INNINGS'But the latest CPI data could undercut arguments for yet another rate increase beyond the July meeting. Fed officials, blindsided by the persistence of inflation they initially thought would dissipate on its own, have been reluctant to bank on good news continuing.

Persons: Omair Sharif, Rick Rieder, Lael Brainard, Brainard, Thomas Barkin, Goldman Sachs, they've, Raphael Bostic, Bostic, Howard Schneider, Michael S, Ann Saphir, Dan Burns, Paul Simao Organizations: Federal Reserve, U.S . Labor Department, Reuters Graphics Reuters, BlackRock, Fed, White, Economic Council, Economic, of New, Richmond Fed, U.S, Cleveland Fed's Center, Inflation Research, Atlanta Fed, Derby, Thomson Locations: U.S, of New York, Maryland

Appearing before the Senate Banking Committee, Powell reiterated his view that more rate hikes are likely in the months ahead. Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin said he remains unconvinced that inflation is on a steady path downward, but would not prejudge what the Fed should do at its July 25-26 meeting. Investors will also monitor comments from St. Louis Fed President James Bullard, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic and Cleveland Fed's President Loretta Mester. ET, Dow e-minis were down 109 points, or 0.32%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 22 points, or 0.5%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 101.75 points, or 0.67%. Reporting by Shubham Batra, Shreyashi Sanyal and Shashwat Chauhan in Bengaluru; Editing by Arun KoyyurOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Matt Britzman, Hargreaves Lansdown, Tom Barkin, Louis, James Bullard, Raphael Bostic, Loretta Mester, Shubham Batra, Shreyashi Sanyal, Shashwat Chauhan, Arun Koyyur Organizations: Dow, Nasdaq, Banking, Richmond Fed, Deutsche Bank, Louis Fed, Atlanta Fed, Cleveland, Dow e, 3M, Carmax Inc, Thomson Locations: U.S, Bengaluru

Powell is due to deliver his semiannual monetary policy testimony before the House Financial Services Committee at 10 a.m. Still, the benchmark S&P 500 (.SPX) has advanced 14.3% so far this year. It holds chances of a recession at 25%, and in that base case, it expects the S&P 500 to rise to 4,500 - about 2.5% higher than current levels. ET, Dow e-minis were down 17 points, or 0.05%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 1.25 points, or 0.03%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 12.5 points, or 0.08%. Reporting by Shubham Batra and Johann M Cherian in Bengaluru; Editing by Arun KoyyurOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Tesla, Jerome, Powell, Peter Andersen, Goldman Sachs, Li Auto, Cleveland Fed's Loretta Mester, Shubham Batra, Johann M, Arun Koyyur Organizations: FedEx, China, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal, Financial, Fed, Andersen Capital Management, Tesla Inc, Dow e, Coinbase, Nio Inc, Xpeng, Thomson Locations: Texas, U.S, China, Chicago, Bengaluru

☆ Morning Bid: Markets on hold for US CPI
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-10 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Tom WestbrookSterling and the euro seem to be losing steam as currency markets tuck themselves in for a nap. Today's inflation data, due at 1230 GMT, could offer a jolt if the surprise factor is big enough. Economists polled by Reuters see core CPI steady at a monthly 0.4%. Beyond the inflation data, U.S. default risks and banking wobbles loom as the next likely focus. Key developments that could influence markets on Wednesday:U.S. CPI dataReporting by Tom Westbrook; Editing by Edwina GibbsOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

☆ Fed's Powell heads to Capitol Hill this week, and he's going to have his hands full
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-06 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

It was made worse by the Fed not recognizing it in 2021," said Komal Sri-Kumar, president of Sri-Kumar Global Strategies. "If you're going to have a no-landing scenario, then you're going to accept 5% inflation, and that's politically unacceptable. He has to work on bringing inflation down, and because the economy is so strong it's going to get delayed. 'Ongoing increases' aheadFor his part, Powell will have to find a landing spot between the competing views on policy. However, Guha said that Powell is unlikely to tee up the half-point, or 50 basis point, rate hike later this month that some investors fear.

☆ Cleveland Fed's Mester: Need to do more to get back to price stability
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCleveland Fed's Mester: Need to do more to get back to price stabilityCleveland Fed Chair Loretta Mester joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss whether the markets can help the Fed bring down inflation, her thoughts on the trade-off between labor and price stability, and more.

☆ Inflation report due Tuesday has the potential to deliver some bad news
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-13 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Just as Federal Reserve officials have grown optimistic that inflation is cooling, news could come countering that narrative. But it looks like 2023 will show that inflation was strong — perhaps even stronger than Wall Street expectations. Excluding food and energy, so-called core CPI is projected to rise 0.3% and 5.4%, respectively. The Cleveland Fed's "Nowcast" tracker of CPI components is pointing toward inflation growth of 0.65% on a monthly basis and 6.5% year over year. Over time, the Cleveland Fed says its methodology outperforms other high-profile forecasters.

☆ What Cramer is watching Tuesday — Nasdaq tough year, seasonal oil strength, P&G looking good
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-22 | by ( Jim Cramer | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Citi lowers DVN price target by $2 pe share to $78; keeps buy rating. Piper Sandler cuts Club holding Amazon (AMZN) price target to $119 per share from $125. Honeywell (HON), also a Club stock, is an underappreciated tech franchise, JPMorgan says. Zoom Video (ZM) catches multiple price target cuts on Wall Street. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.

☆ Here's why the Fed may have won already but is still acting like nothing has improved
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-20 | by ( Jim Cramer | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +9 min

We can bet that they will be one-upping each other about how high they want to take fed funds, the overnight bank lending rate. They seem to want to ignore anything that's succeeded since the Fed's rate increase cycle began back in March. I think that, again, if the Fed were to wait through Christmas they would see the layoffs and the corporate failures. One thing that's for certain, the buyers of the 2-year may be more sensitive to the data than the Fed. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.

☆ Dollar slides, CPI data suggests Fed could slow pace of rate hikes
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-10 | by ( Herbert Lash | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

"Inflation is clearly moving in the right direction, and that keeps a more hawkish Fed at bay," he said. The spike higher in the yen versus the dollar stirred speculation the Bank of Japan intervened, which analysts doubted. Fed funds futures priced in a drop in expectations for the U.S. central bank's peak target rate, which fell below 5%. The likelihood of a 50-basis-point rate hike by the Fed instead of a 75-basis-point increase in December rose to 71.5%. CPI rose 7.7% in October on a year-over-year basis, down from 8.2% in the prior month, as headline inflation fell below 8% for the first time since February.

☆ An often-overlooked economic measure is signaling serious trouble ahead
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-20 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

However, Fed officials are stressing that they're far from finished when it comes to raising rates. "When this basket is signaling the weakness that it's showing, what the Fed typically does is not raise rates. But in this case, it's not only raising rates aggressively, but with a commitment to continue raising rates aggressively." In addition to the typical headline metrics such as the consumer price index and the Fed's preferred personal consumption expenditures price index, the Cleveland Fed's "sticky price" CPI rose 8.5% on an annualized basis in September, up from 7.7% in August. The measure looks at items such as rent, the price of food away from home and recreation costs.

☆ Why the Federal Reserve won't be so quick to ease up on its fight against inflation
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-04 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

Jerome Powell, chairman of the US Federal Reserve, speaks during a Fed Listens event in Washington, D.C., US, on Friday, Sept. 23, 2022. Federal Reserve officials this week gave their clearest signal yet that they're willing to tolerate a recession as the necessary trade-off for regaining control of inflation. That's monetary policy in this era of rapid inflation, swooning economic growth and heightened fears over what could go wrong. "But I would argue that they're still being overly optimistic at which the inflation rate is going to decelerate on its own." "Right now, the pain that I hear, the suffering that people are telling me what they're going through, is on the inflation side," she said during a talk at the Council on Foreign Relations.

☆ Jobless claims hit five-month low despite Fed's efforts to slow labor market
▼ + stars: | 2022-09-29 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Initial filings for unemployment claims fell last week to their lowest level in five months, a sign that the labor market is strengthening even as the Federal Reserve is trying to slow things down. The drop in claims was the lowest level since April 23 and the first time claims fell below 200,000 since early May. Continuing claims, which run a week behind, fell 29,000 to 1.347 million. Despite the efforts, there was more bad news Thursday for the Fed on the inflation front. However, the Cleveland Fed's own Inflation Nowcasting gauge shows little improvement on the inflation front in September even with a sharp decline in gas prices.

☆ Stocks could continue skittish trading until interest rate move calms down
▼ + stars: | 2022-09-23 | by ( Patti Domm | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

The S & P 500, Dow and Nasdaq were all down sharply for the week. The S & P was down 4.6%, ending the week at 3,693. Fed Vice Chair Lael Brainard , St. Louis Fed President James Bullard , San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly and Fed Governor Michelle Bowman are among the speakers. Other global central banks joined the Fed in raising rates, and interest rates around the world rose in tandem. If those levels break, the S & P could touch 3,385 before the selling is over, he said.

☆ With inflation still high, the Fed may be a long way from where it can stop hiking
▼ + stars: | 2022-09-19 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Current market pricing in fed funds futures indicates that the Fed's "terminal rate," or the point where it stops hiking, will hit 4.39% in April 2023. In fact, those expectations for higher rates are causing Wall Street economists to rethink their projections for growth. Goldman Sachs also has raised its expectations for rate hikes this year, though it still sees a terminal rate in the 4%-4.25% range. "Thus far, higher rates have inflicted little widespread pain on the real economy, so the Fed has room to continue hiking into restrictive territory," the Morgan Stanley economist said. "Bottom line is that the Fed needs more evidence that its actions are taking a bite out of the real economy."

☆ All the economic good news, from jobs to inflation, was just a momentary blip. The worst is yet to come.
▼ + stars: | 2022-08-30 | by ( Neil Dutta | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +10 min

From inflation to consumer spending, there are clear signs that the economy is still in real danger of being pushed into a recession. While Americans' expectations for inflation over the next 12 months have ebbed somewhat, they're still sitting at 6.2%. With strong private demand, consumers are signaling that while labor-market conditions are strong, momentum is slipping. This means the increase in consumers' spending in the first half of the year was driven exclusively by them tapping into their savings. Prematurely easing inflation-reduction policy with inflation rates still elevated risks pushing up inflation expectations and entrenching a higher inflation rate into the economy.

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