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☆ Wall Street is set to wrap up a strong first half with a key inflation report on deck
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-21 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

With stocks set to close out a strong first half of 2024, investors have just one more key inflation hurdle to clear in the week ahead: May's personal expenditure report. Next week's personal consumption expenditure data, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, could show whether that overall picture is intact. May's consumer price index, for example, showed no increase from the prior month. Last month's producer price index , a measure of wholesale prices, unexpectedly dropped from the previous reading. Pending Home Sales Index (May) 11 a.m. Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index (June) Earnings: Nike, Walgreens Boots Alliance , McCormick & Co. Friday June 28 8:30 a.m.

Persons: Stocks, Terry Sandven, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Scott Chronert, Brian Leonard, Leonard, Bank's Sandven, Sandven, Mills Organizations: Nvidia, Microsoft, U.S, Bank Asset Management, Federal, PCE, Bank of America Securities, Wall, Keeley, Advisors, FedEx, Dow, Nasdaq, Dallas Fed, Chicago, Richmond Fed, Carnival, New, Micron Technology, . Kansas City Fed Manufacturing, Nike, Walgreens Boots Alliance, McCormick, Chicago PMI Locations: . Kansas, Chicago, Michigan

☆ Citi's Scott Chronert on raising his year-end S&P 500 target to 5,600
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-20 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCiti's Scott Chronert on raising his year-end S&P 500 target to 5,600Scott Chronert, Citi Research head of U.S. equity strategy, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends ahead of the opening bell on Thursday.

Persons: Citi's Scott Chronert, Scott Chronert Organizations: Citi Research

☆ S&P 500 futures are little changed as Wall Street looks for Nvidia to keep leading market
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-19 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Nvidia stock has climbed 174% in 2024, as the AI boom continues to boost equities. The stock market was closed Wednesday for the Juneteenth holiday. S&P 500 futures were little changed on Wednesday as investors look for the benchmark to add to its latest record high. Nvidia already surpassed Apple by market cap earlier in June, and has cemented its place as the de facto market leader at the helm of the roaring AI theme on Wall Street. "Is it any surprise that we continue to argue that Wall Street (i.e., SP 500) is beating to a different drum than is Main Street (underlying US economy)?"

Persons: Scott Chronert, Thomas Fitzpatrick, O'Brien Organizations: Nvidia, Microsoft, Nasdaq, Apple, Investors, Broadcom, Citi, Associates

☆ Citi raises S&P 500 year-end forecast, third firm to do so in recent days
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-18 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Ongoing earnings strength for the "Magnificent Seven" will continue to lead the S & P 500 higher, according to Citi. Scott Chronert, the bank's head of U.S. equity strategy, increased his year-end S & P 500 target to 5,600 from 5,100. Goldman Sachs also increased its price target on the S & P 500 to 5,600 on Friday, while Evercore ISI raised its forecast to 6,000 — the highest on the Street. The S & P 500 is up more than 14% in 2024. Rather, a S & P 500 index target needs to account for related influences."

Persons: Scott Chronert, Goldman Sachs, Chronert Organizations: Citi, CNBC Market, Survey, Nvidia

☆ Stock market heads into the week ahead at a record, but with some uneasiness underneath the surface
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-08 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

The S & P 500 made a new record high, its 25 th of the year. And on the surface, there is a stolid calm that suggests a system in comfortable equilibrium, the market achieving a kind of homeostasis. Four of the past five days last week, the S & P 500 moved less than 0.2%. The S & P 500 is up almost 2% since its closing peak at the end of the first quarter, perhaps the moment of maximum belief in a seamless soft economic landing. Three stocks together now account for fully 20% of the S & P 500 market value, mocking the notion of diversification and dashing most active investors' hopes of beating the bogey.

Persons: Keith Gill, Michael Mauboussin, Scott Chronert Organizations: Nvidia, GameStop, Apple, Microsoft, Federal Reserve, Investment, Morgan Stanley Investment Management, Fed, Citi, CPI Locations: rebalancing, U.S

☆ S&P 500 enters June near a record but with growing concerns about the market's narrow leadership
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-01 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +9 min

The S & P 500 is a mere 1.2% from its all-time high, yet only 60% of its member stocks are up for the year and just over 40% last week were above their 50-day moving average. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500, 1-year We seem to undergo one of these periods of decrying a lack of market breadth every few months in recent years. Bespoke Investment Group last week looked at the small number of past instances when the S & P 500 was so close to a record yet most stocks were beneath a 50-day average. The 100-day correlation between the S & P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average has hit its lowest level since the dot-com bust of the early 2000s, according to CNBC's Data & Analytics group. The S & P 500 at the highs hit 21-times forward earnings, and we've spent very little time above that outside the pandemic melt-up and the tech boom/bust a quarter-century ago.

Persons: Warren Pies, Dow, Scott Chronert, we've Organizations: Investment, 3Fourteen, Nvidia, Treasury, Microsoft, Apple, Dow Jones, Dell Technologies, Citi, UBS Locations: Banks

☆ Dow closes above 40,000 points for first time in history
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailDow closes above 40,000 points for first time in historyDeepak Puri, Deutsche Bank CIO of Americas, and Scott Chronert, Citi Research head of U.S. equity strategy, join 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the Dow's record day.

Persons: Dow, Deepak Puri, Scott Chronert Organizations: Deutsche Bank CIO, Americas, Citi Research

☆ With S&P back at new highs, now come the price target and earnings revisions
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-16 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Now that the S & P 500 and most major stock market indexes are at or near historic highs, expect a raft of earnings and year-end price target revisions for the S & P 500 to be coming. First up with an upward revision was Brian Belski at BMO Capital, who Wednesday raised his year-end S & P target to 5,600 from 5,100. The median price target (half above, half below) is 5,200. Earnings for the rest of the year have been remarkably stable, but the key point is that each quarter is higher and a record for S & P 500 profits: 2024 S & P 500 quarterly earnings estimates Q2: $59.46 (record) Q3: $63.49 (record) Q4: $65.08 (record) Source: LSEG Valuations (roughly 20 times forward S & P 500 earnings) are pricey but not unreasonable given the continuing strength of the economy and the prospects of AI-boosted returns. May: market advance broadens (advance/decline line) S & P 500: near new high S & P Mid Cap: new high S & P Small Cap: highest since Dec.

Persons: Sam Stovall, CFRA, Brian Belski, Belski, Subramanian, Venu Krishna, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Ned Davis, Ed Clissold, Oppenheimer, John Stoltzfus, Lori Calvasina, Manish, Nicolaus, Barry Banniester, Jonathan Golub, Chris Harvey, Dubravko, Bujas, Cantor Fitzgerald, Eric Johnson, Scott Chronert, Julian Emanuel, Fundstrat, Tom Lee, Morgan Stanley, Mike Wilson, Hugo Ste, Stovall Organizations: BMO Capital, Wall, of America, Barclays, BMO, RBC, Societe Generale, UBS, Bloomberg, Citigroup, Deutsche Bank, ISI, JPMorgan, Scotiabank, @VX Locations: Wells Fargo, Marie

☆ S&P 500 rebounds to less than 1% from a record after orderly three-week pullback
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-11 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

The five-month, 28% sprint from the October correction low to the record high on the last trading day of the first quarter left the S & P 500 overbought, overheated and over-loved. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500, YTD So far, so good, three weeks down and now three weeks up, taking the S & P 500 back to within 1% of its March 28 peak. More specifically, he tracks the correlation between S & P 500 and the Citi Economic Surprise Index. Fidelity Investments head of global macro Jurrien Timmer fashioned this look at the path of S & P 500 earnings heading into and through each calendar year, with 2024 holding up better than 2023 was last year at this time. The last time the S & P 500 was at today's level above 5200 in late March, the 12-month forward price/earnings multiple was 21.

Persons: that's, Jerome Powell, Scott Chronert, It's, Powell, Lori Calvasina, we've Organizations: U.S, Bank, Citi, Citi U.S, Fidelity Investments, Treasury, RBC Capital

☆ The path higher in earnings still looks good, says Citi's Scott Chronert
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-07 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe path higher in earnings still looks good, says Citi's Scott ChronertScott Chronert, Citi Research head of U.S. equity strategy, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss his price target for the S&P and where he sees it going from here.

Persons: Citi's Scott Chronert Scott Chronert Organizations: Citi Research

☆ Citi says investors should focus on dividends, lists several buy-rated income stocks to buy
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-29 | by ( Lisa Kailai Han | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Therefore, investors would be more incentivized to buy companies that have a strong record of dividend payments. The strategist expects more companies to add dividends payouts going forward, as firms begin to increasingly understand the appeal for investors. The stocks had to meet the following criteria: Buy-rated by Citi Research 3-year dividend per share with a compound annual growth rate above 5% Above median expected dividend growth Potential dividend per share upside Reasonable payout ratio Reasonable dividend yield One name on the list was Visa , which currently has a dividend yield of 0.7%, according to Citi Research. Semiconductor firm Lam Research also made the list, with a dividend yield of 0.9%. More than half of analysts covering the stock rate it a buy or strong buy and see a potential upside of nearly 6%.

Persons: Scott Chronert, Chronert, TD Cowen, Bryan Bergin, Riley, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Federal Reserve, Citi, Fed, Citi Research's, Citi Research, Visa, LSEG, Mastercard, Semiconductor, Lam Research, Research Locations: Asia, Europe

☆ The market pulled too much of a forward outlook into current price action, says Citi's Chronert
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe market pulled too much of a forward outlook into current price action, says Citi's ChronertScott Chronert, Citi US equity strategist, and Nicole Webb, Wealth Enhancement Group SVP, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the day's market action.

Persons: Citi's Chronert Scott Chronert, Nicole Webb Organizations: Citi, Wealth

☆ Watch CNBC's full interview with Scott Chronert and Nicole Webb
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Scott Chronert and Nicole WebbScott Chronert, Citi US equity strategist, and Nicole Webb, Wealth Enhancement Group SVP, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the day's market action.

Persons: Scott Chronert, Nicole Webb Scott Chronert, Nicole Webb Organizations: Citi, Wealth

☆ Stocks are undergoing a needed, and (so far) modest, pullback in a longer-term bull market
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-13 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

The result was a 1.5-percent weekly drop in the S & P 500 , with Friday's setback exacerbated at least somewhat by a collective clenching-up of risk markets on some geopolitical worry. This dynamic hasn't been reversed, but the signal has grown a bit staticky, draining some conviction from the macro bullish case with the S & P 500 still 24% above the October low. Bull market's backdrop First, it's a bull market, and not a particularly mature or excessively generous one yet. Yet both stocks are still outperforming the S & P this year. The S & P 500 closed Friday at exactly the same level of five weeks earlier, on March 8 – which was perhaps the moment of maximum investor confidence in the "we can have it all" thesis.

Persons: I've, Jerome Powell, Powell, Wall, it's, We're, John Butters, Fastenal, Scott Chronert Organizations: Federal, ICE, Treasury, CPI, Fed, Grainger, Citi

☆ Citigroup stock market sentiment model reaches euphoria levels, which typically foretells a decline
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-01 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

In fact, a stock market sentiment model from the firm called the Levkovich Index has now reached euphoria levels, which typically heralds a fall in equities, the firm's U.S. equity strategist Scott Chronert wrote in a Thursday note. On a median basis, that gauge suggests equities could decline 8.9% over the next 12 months, a drop that would put the S & P 500 around 4,780. The broad market index was last above the 5,200 level, having already breached Chronert's 5,100 year-end target. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 Chronert is not the only one concerned about a stock market pullback from current levels. Last week, the S & P 500 information technology sector was down 1.26%.

Persons: Scott Chronert, Chronert, CNBC's, turing, BTIG's Jonathan Krinsky, Krinsky, Citigroup's Chronert Organizations: Citigroup, NYSE

☆ Citi downgrades tech stocks, here's why
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCiti downgrades tech stocks, here's whyScott Chronert, Citi U.S. equity strategist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss why the strategist decided to downgrade certain tech stocks, which sectors Citi's downgrade effects, and more.

Persons: Scott Chronert Organizations: Citi, Citi U.S

☆ Nvidia's terrible Friday gives traders a preview of what a momentum unwind would look like
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-09 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

The S & P 500 Volatility Index finished the week near 15 and is in a clear three- month uptrend from its mid-December low near 12, even as the S & P 500 has gained 10% since then. In fact, Friday the market minimized the headline damage to a mere two-thirds-percent dip in the S & P 500 through its signature rotational impulse. Some indicators — such as speculators remaining net short S & P 500 futures and brokerage strategists' muted index targets — imply the helpful wall of worry is not quite fully scaled. Since then, the S & P has delivered a 16.7% annualized total return, even after two bear markets and two other severe/prolonged corrections. And the S & P is only up 7% from its high 26 months ago, hardly in thin air.

Persons: what's, Eli Lilly, Martin Marietta, Nick Colas, Scott Chronert Organizations: Federal, Nvidia, Costco, pharma, Martin Marietta Materials, Vulcan, 3Fourteen Research, NYSE, Nasdaq, DataTrek, Citi

☆ Citi's Chronert: A lot supports our bullish stance on S&P fundamental strength
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCiti's Chronert: A lot supports our bullish stance on S&P fundamental strengthScott Chronert, Citi U.S. equity strategist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss why Chronert's looking to be more constructive on equities, the market's breadth, and more.

Persons: Scott Chronert Organizations: Citi U.S

☆ Stocks enter 'belief' phase with most investors converted to bulls. What it means going forward
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-02 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +9 min

The sheer persistence of the equity rally, with the S & P 500 up 16 of 18 weeks and refusing to succumb to supposed late-February seasonal weakness, has converted the cautious. Still, by some lights, stocks' valuation is one of the better sentiment indicators, and by that measure the investment community is pretty enthusiastic. More simply, we continue to see elevated but not alarming P/Es in the S & P 500 broadly while the median P/E of the top 10 names in the index remains close to past peaks." Coming at a time when the S & P 500 is more than 13% above its 200-day moving average — pretty stretched — and we haven't had even a 3% pullback since October. The "right" cyclical sectors are leading (industrials and consumer discretionary in addition to tech), and the equal-weight S & P 500 is nosing toward its old high.

Persons: Scott Rubner, maven, Goldman Sachs, there's, it's, hustled, gunning, BofA's Savita Subramanian, Citi's Scott Chronert, Barclays Venu Krishna, Lori Calvasina, haven't, I've, We've, Stocks, – Organizations: Micro, Dell Technologies, ARM Holdings, Bank of America, Barclays, Big Tech, Tech, Federal, Fed Locations: U.S

☆ Our house view calls for a mid-year recession, says Citi's Scott Chronert
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailOur house view calls for a mid-year recession, says Citi's Scott ChronertScott Chronert, Citi Research head of U.S. equity strategy, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, the performance of Mega Cap stocks, recession outlook, and more.

Persons: Citi's Scott Chronert Scott Chronert Organizations: Citi Research

☆ 10-year nominal is more important for the S&P than Fed funds discussion, says Citi's Scott Chronert
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email10-year nominal is more important for the S&P than Fed funds discussion, says Citi's Scott ChronertScott Chronert, Citi Research head of U.S. equity strategy, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss what's happening with the relationship between bond yields and stocks, if it matters when and how many cuts the Federal Reserve makes, and Citi's overall S&P 500 target.

Persons: Citi's Scott Chronert Scott Chronert Organizations: Citi Research, Federal Reserve

☆ Main theme in 2024 will be a broadening beyond the mega-cap growth leadership: Citi's Scott Chronert
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMain theme in 2024 will be a broadening beyond the mega-cap growth leadership: Citi's Scott ChronertScott Chronert, Citi Research head of U.S. equity strategy, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, the Fed's rate path outlook, and more.

Persons: Citi's Scott Chronert Scott Chronert Organizations: Citi Research

☆ Citi sees a big year for stocks in 2024 with S&P 500 finishing at 5,100
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-11 | by ( Pia Singh | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

This year's broader market rally isn't over just yet, according to Citi. "We look for further S & P 500 upside in the year ahead. Citi set a year-end target of 5,100 for the S & P 500, dependent on a $245 earnings per share estimate for the index. The S & P 500 , meanwhile, is up nearly 20% in 2023. "Our top-down sector earnings modeling continues to argue for more consistent sector level growth during 2024.

Persons: Scott Chronert, Chronert, Russell, Cyclicals Organizations: Citi, Apple, Nvidia, Microsoft, Bloomberg, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S

☆ S&P 500 rises to 20-month high with a soft landing in sight. Can investors finally relax?
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-09 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +9 min

The S & P 500 , which had consolidated with a low-volatility sideways slide for three weeks, nudged to a new 20-month high just above 4600, almost precisely a 20% year-to-date gain. Just because the S & P 500 is at 4600 and Federal-funds futures markets project high odds of several rate cuts next year, it doesn't mean the former is reliant on the latter. Yet — just relax — in seven of the past 12 years, the S & P 500 went on to surpass this year-ahead analyst composite target. It's pretty popular to cast doubt on the achievability of the consensus 11.8% forecast S & P 500 earnings growth for 2024. A broadening beyond 2023's growth leadership is necessary for further S & P 500 gains.

Persons: YTD, Jerome Powell, Powell, John Butters, Scott Chronert Organizations: Federal, Fed, Bank of America, Wall, Merck, Pfizer, Citi, Treasury

☆ S&P 500 could still hit 5,000 by mid-2024, says Citi's Scott Chronert
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailS&P 500 could still hit 5,000 by mid-2024, says Citi's Scott ChronertScotScottt Chronert, Citi U.S. equity strategist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss Chronert's feeling about the economy going into 2024, what could be a headwind for markets, and Chronert's worries about margin pressures.

Persons: Citi's Scott Chronert ScotScottt Chronert Organizations: Citi U.S

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