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The index has rallied nearly 30% from its January low, having entered a bull market earlier this month. Longfor Group, the ninth largest homebuilder in China, surged 11%, becoming the top performing stock on the Hang Seng Index. “We think this is a largely symbolic move to show support for the sector with a ‘national team’ for the housing market,” said Citi analysts. “We are cautiously optimistic about the ‘government-led buying on unsold units’ as it’s still being rolled out in more cities, “ said Jeff Zhang, an equity analyst at Morningstar. Nasdaq Golden China Index, which tracks Chinese companies listed on Wall Street, has gained 11% since the start of April.
Persons: , , Jeff Zhang Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, Longfor, China Holdings, National Development, Reform Commission, , Citi, ING Group, Morningstar, homebuyers, Communist Party, Nasdaq Locations: China, Hong Kong, Beijing, Hangzhou, Xi’an, Chengdu, Shanghai
It's now focused on finding industry leaders with high free cash flow. Hong Kong-based AlphaHill Capital is looking specifically for Chinese consumer names with free cash flow growth, said Siliang Jiang, the firm's partner and portfolio manager. Jiang expects the Chinese consumer will start to turn around in the second half of this year or next year. China's "Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) edged up in the past 9 months, despite falling property prices and fears of 'household balance sheet recession '. Two of their picks based on positive free cash flow are Li Auto and New Oriental Education .
Persons: Ding Wenjie, Ding, It's, Siliang Jiang, Jiang, Li, Liqian Ren, Ren, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Citi, China Asset Management Co, CNBC, Investors, China Merchants Securities, Baidu, Bank of America, Li Auto, New Oriental, Speed Railway, WisdomTree, Reuters Locations: China, India, Hong Kong, Tencent, Beijing, Shanghai, Shanghai . State
China stocks have staged such a strong rally after a protracted slump for the past few years that they're beating even the S & P 500 so far this year. The MSCI China index, which includes the mainland A-shares, Hong Kong-listed shares and U.S.-listed China names, has jumped around 9%, while the KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF is up around 13%. Most analysts said whether the rally can be sustained will largely depend on China policy. How to play China Though most were bullish on China stocks, they would be selective in stock-picking. They include: SPDR S & P China ETF iShares MSCI China A ETF Global X MSCI China Consumer Disc ETF iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF — CNBC's Michael Bloom contributed to this report.
Persons: Bernstein, it's, , Goldman Sachs, Kevin Liu, CICC, Nomura's, Goldman, Kweichow, Ping, Morningstar, Michael Bloom Organizations: U.S, CSI China, Investors, CICC Research, CNBC, BYD, SAIC, Changan Automobile, Energy, Anhui, Cement, JPMorgan, Kuaishou, Ping An Insurance, China Merchants Bank, Hong, China, iShares, China Consumer Locations: China, Hong Kong
The Chinese stock market has rebounded and analysts said the rally looks set to continue. After six months of outflows, foreign investors are gradually putting money to work in China again. AdvertisementChina's stock market may have shaken its label as "uninvestable," with an economic rebound and a rally that could have plenty more room to run. LPL Financial strategist Adam Turnquist wrote this week that long-held bearish calls on China's property and stock market have shaken investor confidence. China's recent reputation as "uninvestable" has been fueled by mounting real estate troubles, a plummeting stock market and dismal consumer demand that's sparked a deflationary spell for the country.
Persons: , Adam Turnquist, Turnquist, Ray Dalio Organizations: Service, LPL, Billionaire Locations: China, Hong Kong, Beijing
Pinpoint Asset Management is a Hong Kong-based hedge fund with offices in Shanghai and Singapore. According to HSBC's Hedge Weekly report, the firm's China fund gained more than 2% through the first two weeks of April to bring its year-to-date returns to just under 8%. The firm's multi-strategy fund was up 1.8% for the month through April 15, to bring its 2024 gains to 6%. The China fund had a run of poor performance given the country's economic slowdown. The performance so far in 2024 has beaten out other funds focused on the region — Hedge Fund Research's China index was up just 0.43% through the end of March.
Persons: , Wang Qiang Organizations: Service, HSBC's, HSBC, Citadel Locations: Hong Kong, Shanghai, Singapore, China, Asia
Goldman Sachs has refreshed its conviction list of top stocks in Asia Pacific this month, adding some names and removing others. Here are two additions to Goldman Sachs' Asian conviction list, and two removals: China Resources Beer Goldman analyst Leaf Liu said he was positive on the outlook for Chinese beer manufacturer and distributor China Resources Beer . Goldman Sachs has a 12-month price target of 51 Hong Kong dollars ($6.51) on the stock, giving it potential upside of around 46%. NTPC India's power generation company NTPC — formerly the National Thermal Power Corporation — was another addition to Goldman's conviction list. Shionogi, China Medical System Meanwhile, the Wall Street bank removed two pharmaceutical players — Japan's Shionogi and the China-headquartered China Medical System — from its conviction list.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, China Resources Beer, Leaf Liu, CRB, , National Thermal Power Corporation —, Apoorva Bahadur, Bahadur, Goldman, — Japan's Shionogi, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: MSCI Asia, China Resources, China Resources Beer Goldman, China Resources Beer, Brands, Star, Heineken, Hong, Franklin FTSE, National Thermal Power Corporation Locations: Asia Pacific, Japan, China, ,, Tianjin, premiumization, Hong Kong, Franklin FTSE China, Shionogi
However, the company's revenues and profits have surged since then, and one outperforming fund manager sees the current valuation as a buying opportunity. Alibaba shares are traded in the U.S., Hong Kong and Germany. BABA 1Y line The slump in the company's share price came amid concerns of an economic slowdown in China and increased regulation of the internet sector by authorities in Beijing. Alibaba's cheap share buyback Lapping also pointed to the impact of Alibaba's share buyback program as distinct compared to many richly valued U.S. tech darlings. However, with its share price now 65% off its peak, Alibaba's compensation costs have dwindled dramatically.
Persons: Sean Peche, BABA, It's, Andrew Organizations: Ranmore Fund Management, Wall Street, Tech, Ranmore Global Equity Fund Locations: China, U.S, Hong Kong, Germany, Beijing
But according to CNN calculations based on official data, the average tourism-related spending per trip was below pre-pandemic levels, as consumer confidence remains weak amid deflationary pressure. However, the most recent holiday season took place over eight days from February 10 to February 18, which was one day more than previous periods. On average, 59.25 million domestic trips per day were made during this holiday period, slightly lower than the 59.29 million trips per day taken in 2019. Movie ticket sales reached a record 8 billion yuan ($1.11 billion) during the eight-day holiday season, according to data released on Sunday by China Film Administration. “The headwinds to growth remain severe and it will take more than a bump in holiday travel for market sentiment to recover,” said Neumann.
Persons: ” Nomura, , Frederic Neumann, Neumann, Organizations: Beijing CNN, CNN, Ministry of Culture, Tourism, Hangzhou East Railway, National Immigration Administration, China Film Administration, HSBC, China Index Holdings, Shenzhen Component Locations: China, Hong Kong, Beijing, Hangzhou, China's Zhejiang province, Macao, Asia, Shanghai, Shenzhen
Overall, the MSCI Asia-Pacific index gained 11.8% for 2023, with the MSCI China index losing around 11%. Those interested in stock-picking rather than passive investing can look to Morgan Stanley's list of Asian stocks it calls "alpha" opportunities for February. India's Tata Consultancy , an IT services and consulting company, which was upgraded by Morgan Stanley to overweight in January, was named as another top idea. Morgan Stanley believes "resilient revenue, strong [earnings before interest and taxes] margins, and positive management commentary will likely sustain valuation premium if execution improves." These are some stocks from the full list of Morgan Stanley's top overweight-rated stocks for February.
Persons: Morgan Stanley's, Morgan Stanley, MediaTek, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Investors, Nikkei, BSE, Alpha, Tata Consultancy Locations: Asia, China, India, Japan,
Hong Kong CNN —Global stock index compiler MSCI is deleting dozens of companies from its benchmark China Index, which could further exacerbate fund outflows from Chinese equities after a massive stock market rout. The index provider announced this week that it would drop 66 securities from the MSCI China Index, one of its flagship China indexes, as part of the company’s latest quarterly review. The MSCI China Index is the compiler’s key index tracking the Chinese stock market, covering about 85% of the total market capitalization of Chinese companies listed globally. On Monday, MSCI also announced changes to its other China-related indexes, including deleting dozens of stocks from MSCI China A Onshore indexes and MSCI China All Shares indexes. Hong Kong’s stock market reopened on Wednesday after a long holiday weekend, with the benchmark Hang Seng Index up 0.9%.
Persons: MSCI, , Luca Paolini, Hong Organizations: Hong Kong CNN — Global, Investors, Greentown China Holdings, Gemdale Corp, Uni, President, China Southern Airlines, Lufax Holdings, Genomics, Midea, MGI Tech, Management Locations: China, Hong Kong, Shanghai, Shenzhen, Fuyang, China's, Anhui, AFP, Hangzhou, President China, Beijing, Geneva, Mainland
Evergrande liquidation: Here’s what may happen next
  + stars: | 2024-01-31 | by ( Laura He | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +9 min
But there is still little clarity over how the liquidation of Evergrande will unfold. That’s because the legal systems of Hong Kong and China remain distinct, despite Beijing’s growing control over the former British colony in recent years. No Chinese company as huge as Evergrande — which was once China’s second largest developer— has been wound up by a Hong Kong court. Hui Ka Yan, chairman of property developer China Evergrande. Since then, Evergrande has been building and selling apartments in mainland China, even though it has been unable to repay its debts.
Persons: Alvarez, Marsal, , , John Bringardner, Hong, Hui Ka Yan, Xu Jiayin, Hui, Xiao En, Bobby Yip, Xiao, Evergrande, Florence Lo, homebuyers, Will, Andy Wong, Diana Choyleva, Xiao Yuanqi, ” Bringardner, ” Choyleva, Choyleva, “ Evergrande Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, Shimao, Kaisa Holdings, Group, , Real, Century Business Herald, China Index Academy, Enodo, Communist Party, China’s, Financial Regulatory Administration, Getty, People’s Bank of China, Finance Ministry, Evergrande, Marsal Locations: Hong Kong, United States, China, British, New York, China . Hong Kong, Shenzhen —, Asia, Florence, Beijing, Real, Hainan
Chinese authorities are making moves to restore confidence in its battered stock markets. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . Ugly corporate results could undermine Beijing's efforts to prop up investor confidence in China's stock markets, which have bled over $6 trillion in market value from 2021. AdvertisementNews that Beijing is trying to boost the investor confidence gave some upside to China's battered markets.
Persons: , it's, Morgan Stanley, Laura Wang, Catherine Chen, Nomura, Li Qiang Organizations: Service, Bloomberg, Reuters, CSI Locations: China, Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen
REUTERS/Jason Lee/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsBEIJING, Dec 1 (Reuters) - China's new home prices rose slightly for a third straight month in November, a private survey showed on Friday, as the crisis-hit property sector struggles to stabilise despite a slew of government support measures. Prices rose 0.05% on average from the previous month after gains of 0.07% and 0.05%, according to the survey by real estate research firm China Index Academy. Government support for the property sector in recent months has included easing curbs on home purchases and cutting mortgage costs. A Reuters poll on Wednesday found expectations for 1% growth in new home prices next year, little changed from an August poll. "Beijing is turning more proactive to stabilise growth and the new dual-track housing model may help stabilise the property sector in the coming quarters," HSBC said on Thursday.
Persons: Jason Lee, Liangping Gao, Ryan Woo, William Mallard Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, China Index Academy, Index Academy, HSBC, Thomson Locations: Beijing, China, Rights BEIJING
SummaryCompanies cpurl://apps.cp./cms/?pageId=house-poll poll dataNew home prices will likely rise in 2024Property sales, investment seen continuing to slide next yearBEIJING, Nov 29 (Reuters) - Prices of new homes in China are now expected to climb 3% this year after a slew of policy measures to support the country's beleaguered property market, up from earlier expectations for prices to be flat, a Reuters poll showed. But the poll of 11 economists, conducted Nov. 20-28, also showed expectations for 1% growth in new home prices in 2024 were little changed from an August poll. According to the poll, property investment is expected to slump 10% in 2023 and then 8.4% in 2024. Regulators are drafting a list of 50 property developers eligible for a range of financing support, including Country Garden (2007.HK) and state-backed China Vanke (000002.SZ), Bloomberg reported last week. (For other stories from the Reuters quarterly housing market polls)Reporting by Liangping Gao and Ryan Woo; Editing byOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Huang Yu, Wang Xingping, Liangping Gao, Ryan Woo Organizations: China Index Academy, Fitch, Regulators, HK, Bloomberg, Thomson Locations: BEIJING, China
Chinese smartphone companies like Huawei are rebounding in their home market, giving a boost to domestic suppliers — and increasing the pressure on Apple . Huawei smartphone sales surged by 83% in October from a year ago, Counterpoint Research said in a note Tuesday. Honor, a Huawei spin-off, saw sales climb by 10%, while Xiaomi smartphone sales rose by 33%, the report said. The report did not break out Apple sales, only saying a broad category of "others" saw October smartphone sales drop by 12% from a year ago. For context, Shanghai-based CINNO Research expects a 2% decline in Apple iPhone sales in China this year to 45.5 million units.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Xi Jinping, Joe Biden, Raymond James, Biden, Nomura, Lihexing, CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Huawei, Apple, D.C, Telecommunications, 5G, Research, Guangdong Topstar Technology, Xiaomi, Industrial Locations: China, Washington, U.S, Shenzhen, EVs, Shanghai, Guangdong, Topstar
In China, stocks have faced a range of headwinds, prompting some investors to avoid them. Photo: alex plavevski/ShutterstockInvestors in emerging-market stocks have profited this year by staying away from China. The MSCI China Index is down 8% this year through Nov. 15, while a broader emerging-markets benchmark that excludes China has risen 8% over the same period. Chinese stocks have been weighed down by the country’s shaky economic reopening, a pullback by foreign portfolio managers and an increasing reluctance among the country’s small investors to buy stocks.
Persons: alex plavevski Locations: China
UBS has highlighted several stock ideas it favors for 2024, as it forecasts massive cuts to interest rates next year. The investment bank expects the U.S. will see slower economic growth and strong disinflation leading to an interest rate cut of 275 basis points . Given the economic outlook, UBS strategists recommend a number of trades to clients for 2024. All the sectors apart from software trade on bigger discounts than normal against their US peers," the UBS strategists said. To reflect that view, UBS strategists said they favored gaining exposure to the KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF in 2024.
Persons: Jonathan Pingle, Gerry Fowler, Sean Simonds, KWEB Organizations: UBS, Federal, CNBC, U.S, Investors, China Tech, Internet Technology, CSI China Internet Locations: U.S, China
U.S. asset manager Fidelity International is highlighting China's looser monetary policy and the government's recent 1 trillion yuan ($137.10 billion) borrowing-and-spending sovereign bond plan as a tailwind for the country's stock markets. London-based £3 billion fund manager Somerset Capital Management likewise finds China exciting. The stock market has yet to recover, but has stabilised. Morgan Stanley estimates long-only foreign investors now have their deepest underweight positions in China and Hong Kong equities in years. Chinese stocks could see a short-term sentiment pick-up given foreign funds have such light positions in the market, said Redmond Wong, Greater China market strategist at Saxo Markets.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, , Marty Dropkin, Mark Williams, Morgan Stanley, Patrick Ghali, Sean Ho, Vivek Tanneeru, Redmond Wong, Summer Zhen, Xie Yu, Vidya Ranganathan, Kim Coghill Organizations: REUTERS, Fidelity, Asia Pacific, Fidelity International . London, Somerset Capital Management, Nasdaq, Japan’s Nikkei, Sussex Partners, Hong, China, Hang Seng Tech, Monetary Fund, Cambridge Associates, Capital, , Triata, Matthews Asia, Saxo Markets, Thomson Locations: HONG KONG, China, U.S, Asia, Hong Kong, London, Boston, San Francisco, Greater China
If both are calculated in dollar terms, however, Chinese stocks have, by some measures, carried an advantage over the very long term. Many observers say demographics, deleveraging, and de-risking - U.S. firms on-shoring, new supply chains, and trade tensions – will be a considerable long-term drag on Chinese growth. Little wonder, perhaps, that Chinese stocks are so cheap. Reuters Image Acquire Licensing RightsBased on 12-month forward price/earnings multiples, U.S. stocks are twice as expensive as Chinese stocks. For the past 10 years Chinese stocks have been substantially cheaper than U.S. stocks, and most of the decade before that they were usually cheaper too.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Torsten Slok, Janet Yellen, Lifeng, Colin Graham, Graham, Jamie McGeever, Andrea Ricci Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Rights, Shanghai, CSI, Reuters, Apollo Global Management, U.S, Treasury, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Rights ORLANDO , Florida, China, Mexico
A man is reflected on an electric stock quotation board outside a brokerage in Tokyo, Japan April 18, 2023. REUTERS/Issei Kato Acquire Licensing RightsOct 23 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever, financial markets columnist. The ICE BofA Treasuries index fell 1.4% last week, its biggest fall since May, and is at an eight-year low. Perhaps ominously, however, Friday's bond market relief didn't ease the pressure elsewhere - Wall Street's three main indices still closed 0.9%-1.5% lower. According to Goldman Sachs, financial conditions in emerging markets and globally are the tightest in almost a year.
Persons: Issei Kato, Jamie McGeever, Treasuries, That's, Goldman Sachs, Pan Gongsheng, September's, Diane Craft Organizations: REUTERS, ICE, Traders, Bank of Japan, Australian PMI, PMI, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Tokyo, Japan, U.S, South Korea, Australia, Singapore, Asia, China, Australian
Developers, financial advisers and bondholders said that could make debt restructuring terms much worse than expected earlier. DEFAULTING DEVELOPERSThe property sector accounts for roughly a quarter of the world's second-largest economy. That could trigger off one of the world's biggest debt restructuring exercises. However, a turnaround (in the property sector) may need more," said Chuanyi Zhou, Asia corporate analyst at Columbia Threadneedle Investments, which holds Sunac's bonds. Chinese policymakers rolled out a range of support measures in late August and early September to revive the property sector.
Persons: Shimao, Chuanyi Zhou, Yuzhou, Edward Al, Clare Jim, Xie Yu, Davide Barbuscia, Sumeet Chatterjee, Kim Coghill Organizations: HONG KONG, JPMorgan, HK, Shimao, CIFI Holdings, Columbia Threadneedle Investments, Developers, Reuters, Kaisa, Columbia, China Index Academy, Thomson Locations: HONG, China, Asia, Hong Kong, New York
China funds look to Mideast cash as US investments wane
  + stars: | 2023-10-10 | by ( Summer Zhen | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
Seven China equity funds, including hedge funds and mutual funds, running more than $500 billion in combined assets, told Reuters they visited the Middle East this year to raise money, three of them for the first time. The search for new capital could affect Asia's hedge fund scene, where China firms account for more than half the market. "In the past perhaps the holy grail of capital raising was the U.S.," said Effie Vasilopoulos, co-Leader of law firm Sidley Austin's Asia-Pacific investment funds group. So that dynamic is leading many of our clients to the Middle East." However, sovereign funds in the Middle East have been large buyers.
Persons: Aly, Effie Vasilopoulos, Sidley, Steven Luk, Erin Wu, Wong Kok Hoi, Wong, Summer Zhen, Tom Westbrook, Jacqueline Wong Organizations: REUTERS, Seven, Reuters, FountainCap Research & Investment, OP Investment Management, POLITICO, Big U.S, ' Pension, California State Teachers, APS, Thomson Locations: Shanghai, Shenzhen, China, HONG KONG, Seven China, U.S, Asia, Pacific, Europe, Australia, Hong Kong, Texas, Singapore, Middle Eastern
The company logo of Chinese developer Country Garden is pictured at the Shanghai Country Garden Center in Shanghai, China August 9, 2023. Country Garden, which missed two dollar interest payments last month, has two coupons totalling $66.8 million coming due on Monday. Country Garden has $10.96 billion offshore bonds and 42.4 billion yuan ($5.81 billion) worth of loans not denominated in yuan. "Until then, the base case is that China Evergrande Group will be liquidated at the next winding up hearing on October 30, 2023." Shares in Country Garden fell more than 6% on Monday, while Evergrande Group shares tumbled 11%, compared to a 1.9% fall in the Hang Seng Mainland Properties Index (.HSMPI).
Persons: Aly, Cailianshe, Evergrande, Clare Jim, Scott Murdoch, Lincoln Organizations: Shanghai Country Garden, REUTERS, HK, China Evergrande, . Media, Reuters, UBS, China Index Academy, Garden, Evergrande Group, Mainland Properties, Energy Vehicle Group, U.S, Thomson Locations: Shanghai, China, HONG KONG, BEIJING, Beijing, Hang, Hong Kong, Sydney
Prices rose 0.05% on average from the previous month after falling since May, according to a survey by China Index Academy, a real estate research firm. Confidence in the property sector, which accounts for one-fourth of economic activity, has been hit since 2021 when Beijing cracked down on debt accumulation by developers, fuelling a debt crisis. Deepening problems in the sector this year have dragged on the world's second-biggest economy and rattled global financial markets. These policies have given major cities like Beijing a tiny boost in new home sales, but some worry the improvement might be short-lived and could potentially dry up demand in smaller cities. If such policies continue to be optimised, the report said, the market in first-tier cities are likely to stabilise this quarter while recovery in smaller cities might take longer.
Persons: Brenda Goh, Liangping Gao, William Mallard Organizations: China Index Academy, China Evergrande, HK, Thomson Locations: SHANGHAI, Beijing, China
Key gauges of Chinese stocks have hit their lowest levels in about 10 months. Global funds have withdrawn $3.8 billion this month, despite Beijing's effort to boost markets. Trading activity has also slowed in September, falling 32% from the first week of the month. AdvertisementAdvertisementAdded to that are the Federal Reserve's high interest rates, which have made Treasury markets an attractive investing alternative. Meanwhile, global funds have shed $3.8 billion from onshore Chinese stocks, following a $12 billion selloff in August.
Organizations: Service, CSI, Federal, Fed Locations: Wall, Silicon, China, Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen, Hong Kong, outflows
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