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Nurphoto | Nurphoto | Getty ImagesBEIJING — European companies in China are finding it harder to make money in the country as growth slows and overcapacity pressures increase, according to a survey released Friday by the EU Chamber of Commerce in China. Only 30% of EU Chamber survey respondents said their profit margins were higher in China than their company's worldwide average — an eight-year low. Jens Eskelund EU Chamber of Commerce in China, presidentChina's economy is now far bigger than it was in 2015 and 2016. More than one-third of EU Chamber survey respondents said they observed overcapacity in their industry in the last year, and another 10% expect to see it in the near future. "This is not just European companies whining," Eskelund said.
Persons: Carlo D'Andrea, D'Andrea, Jens Eskelund, Eskelund, overcapacity Organizations: Nurphoto, Getty, EU Chamber of Commerce, EU, of Commerce, U.S, Bureau, Statistics, Cosmetics Locations: Minhou County, Fuzhou, China, BEIJING, Shanghai, Beijing
China's economy in the first quarter grew faster than expected, official data released Tuesday by China's National Bureau of Statistics showed. On a quarter-on-quarter basis, China's GDP grew 1.6% in the first quarter, compared to a Reuters poll expectations of 1.4% and a revised fourth quarter expansion of 1.2%. Beijing has set a 2024 growth target of around 5%. Last week, Morgan Stanley raised its 2024 real GDP forecast for China to 4.8%, from its previous expectation of 4.2%. The world's second largest economy saw weak export and inflation data earlier this month, with both sets of data coming in below expectations.
Persons: Morgan Stanley Organizations: China's National Bureau, Statistics, Gross, Reuters Locations: Qingzhou, Weifang City, Shandong Province, China, Beijing
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChina beats expectations for Q1 GDP growth but March activity data comes in below forecastsChina's economy in the first quarter grew faster than expected, official data released Tuesday by China's National Bureau of Statistics showed. However, industrial output for March grew 4.5% year on year, missing expectations of 6%. CNBC's Tanvir Gill and Will Koulouris with the details.
Persons: CNBC's Tanvir Gill, Will Koulouris Organizations: China, China's National Bureau, Statistics
China's factory activity in March expanded by its strongest pace in more than a year, a private survey showed on Monday, in signs of stabilizing growth in the world's second-largest economy. The Caixin/S&P Global China manufacturing purchasing managers' index was 51.1 in March — its strongest since February 2023 — after coming in at 50.9 in February. Economists had expected the reading to hit 51, according to a Reuters poll. This reading corroborates another official survey of manufacturing activity that surpassed market expectations and came at its strongest in 11 months. The official survey for non-manufacturing activity in China recorded its most robust reading since June, adding to encouraging recent export and retail sales data.
Persons: Wang Zhe Organizations: P Global, Caixin Insight, China's National Bureau of Statistics Locations: P Global China, China
Asia-Pacific markets climbed Monday as investors assessed China's business activity for February and await economic data out of Japan. China's National Bureau of Statistics data showed that manufacturing activity expanded in March, with the purchasing managers index registering a reading of 50.8, compared to Feburary's reading of 49.1. Separately, Japan's first-quarter Tankan survey showed that business optimism among large manufacturers fell, with the gauge at +11 compared with +12 in the last survey. However, optimism among non-manufacturers rose, with the Tankan gauge at +34 compared with +30 in the fourth quarter and beating Reuters expectations of +33. The survey gauges business sentiment, which the Bank of Japan monitors when formulating monetary policy.
Persons: Japan's Organizations: China's National Bureau, Reuters, Bank of Japan Locations: Asia, Pacific, Japan
Chinese leader Xi Jinping said on New Year's Eve that the nation's economy had grown "more resilient and dynamic this year." Meanwhile, famed hedge fund manager and founder of Dallas-based Hayman Capital Kyle Bass said the country's heavily indebted property market has triggered a wave of defaults among public developers. That's a problem, given China's real estate market can account for as much as a fifth of the nation's GDP. "This is just like the U.S. financial crisis on steroids," Bass said, referring to China's default-ridden property market. The Institute of International Finance said Beijing has the policy capacity to push China's economy toward its growth potential and stuck to its above consensus forecast for 2024 growth at 5%, in a recent blog post.
Persons: Eswar Prasad, Mohamed El, Xi Jinping, there's, Paul Krugman, Krugman, Kristalina Georgieva, Hayman, Hayman Capital Kyle Bass, Bass, isn't Organizations: Future Publishing, CSI, China's National Bureau, Statistics, Allianz, International Monetary Fund, Nikkei, New York Times, Monetary Fund, Economic, IMF, Dallas, Hayman Capital, of International Finance Locations: Jiangsu, China, Nikkei Asia, U.S, Europe, tatters, Davos, Beijing
Johannes Neudecker | Picture Alliance | Getty ImagesChina's factory activity expanded for a third-straight month in January, a private-sector survey showed on Thursday, helped by the first expansion in new export orders in seven months. Thursday's print though, extended a divergence from official data that points to the patchy growth in the world's second-largest economy and underscores the need for policy support. China's National Bureau of Statistics released data Wednesday that showed the country's official manufacturing PMI coming in at 49.2 in January, a fourth consecutive monthly contraction — compared with 49 in December. The Caixin manufacturing PMI surveys around 650 private and state-owned manufacturers that tend to be more export-oriented and located in China's coastal regions, while the official PMI surveys 3,200 companies across China. Employment in China's manufacturing sector trended down in the official survey released Wednesday as in the Caixin survey.
Persons: Johannes Neudecker, Wang Zhe, Wang Organizations: Getty, P Global, National Bureau of Statistics, Overseas, Caixin Insight Locations: China
ZHENGZHOU, CHINA - SEPTEMBER 22: Students attend a job fair for graduates at Zhengzhou University on September 22, 2023 in Zhengzhou, Henan Province of China. (Photo by VCG/VCG via Getty Images)China's youth unemployment will likely stay elevated this year due to a lingering mismatch, according to the Economist Intelligence Unit. Even though unemployment among China's young people should dissipate starting next year — when the country's working-age population declines – the effects of high youth unemployment will remain long after that, the consultancy added. "Despite the upturn in China's labor market as a whole, the biggest improvements are concentrated in middle-aged groups and migrant workers," EIU analysts said in their China 2024 outlook report released Thursday. "In contrast, the post‑Covid recovery has not eased the slack in the youth labor market.
Organizations: Zhengzhou University, Getty, Economist Intelligence Unit, China's National Bureau of Statistics Locations: ZHENGZHOU, CHINA, Zhengzhou, Henan Province, China
New economic data out of China on Wednesday shows the world's second-largest economy is still struggling to bounce back from the pandemic. China's GDP for the last three months of 2023 grew by 5.2%, according to China's National Bureau of Statistics. But the latest disappointing economic data puts pressure on policymakers to act again to boost the economy. The 2023 bounce back from Covid-19 restrictions did not go as expected, but we believe the stocks' declines already reflect China headwinds and that the Chinese economy will regain its footing in time. We simply can't sell this casino operator because once it's clear the Chinese economy has stabilized, the stock is going to rally.
Persons: Estee Lauder, Morgan Stanley, It's, Wynn, Jim Cramer's, WYNN, Jim Cramer, Jim, Pan Jianyong Organizations: Wynn Resorts, China's, National Bureau of Statistics, Reuters, Starbucks, CNBC, Co, Getty, Visual China Locations: China, Covid, U.S, Mainland China, Macao, Las Vegas, MEISHAN, CHINA, Sichuan, Meishan, Sichuan Province
BEIJING — China missed fourth-quarter GDP estimates on Wednesday, while it resumed reporting the unemployment rate for young people. GDP for the last three months of 2023 rose by 5.2%, according to China's National Bureau of Statistics. Excluding people still in school, the unemployment rate for young people aged 16 to 24 was 14.9%, while the rate in cities in December was 5.1%. Online retail sales of physical goods rose by 8.4%, accounting for nearly 28% of overall retail sales. Retail sales for December saw a 29% surge in jewelry and 26% increase in purchases of clothes and shoes.
Persons: Zhiwei Zhang Organizations: China Vanke Co, National Bureau of Statistics, Investment Locations: China, Hefei, BEIJING
China, the world's second-largest economy, is already a major investor in South America and has offered tariff-free access to its huge consumer market to four countries. But Uruguay faces opposition from other members of the Mercosur bloc who want to settle an FTA with Europe instead. By comparison, other major beef exporters Australia and New Zealand, which have FTAs with China, pay tariffs at 3.3% and 0%. The elevation of ties with Uruguay to the level of Brazil and Argentina also pushes the remaining Mercosur member Paraguay further outside China's global trade and investment network. Agriculture-dependent Paraguay, whose main exports include beef and soybeans, is the last South American nation that has ties with democratically governed Taiwan, which China claims as part of its territory, and not with Beijing.
Persons: Xi Jinping, Luis Lacalle Pou, Florence Lo, Lacalle Pou, Xi, Joe Cash, Ryan Woo, Ella Cao, Toby Chopra, Raju Gopalakrishnan, Chizu Nomiyama, Alexander Smith Organizations: Uruguayan, of, People, REUTERS, New Development Bank BEIJING, Mercosur, South, Nations, New Development Bank, China, United, Mercosur CET, National Meat Institute of, China's National Bureau of Statistics, Thomson Locations: Beijing, China, Uruguay, Argentina, Brazil Mercosur, American, Brazil, South America, Chile, Costa Rica, Ecuador, Peru, Europe, Australia, New Zealand, Shanghai, United States, MERCOSUR Uruguay, Brussels, Montevideo, Mercosur, National Meat Institute of Uruguay, Paraguay, Taiwan
Lending data from China's central bank offers a glimpse of government priorities: as of the end of September, outstanding loans to the troubled property sector fell 0.2% year-on-year but lending to the manufacturing sector jumped 38.2%. This time, the government's focus is narrower, targeting high-tech and "advanced manufacturing", a goal laid out in 2021 in the 14th five-year plan. It grew 11.3% in the first nine months of 2023 year-on-year, compared with 6.3% for overall manufacturing investment, according to data from China's National Bureau of Statistics. For example, Guangdong province has increased lending to both high-tech and advanced manufacturing by about 45%, state media reported. During the first half of 2023, outstanding loans to the high-tech manufacturing sector in the eastern province of Shandong jumped 67%.
Persons: Jens Eskelund, Eskelund, Xi Jinping, Joe Biden, Frederic Neumann, Neumann, Tao Wang, Wang, Fu, Lu Zhengwei, Siyi Liu, Kripa Jayaram, Robert Birsel Organizations: Rights, European Chamber of Commerce, Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation, U.S, Reuters Graphics, overcapacity, HSBC, UBS, China's National Bureau of Statistics, Rystad Energy, EV, China Passenger Car Association, Bank, Industrial Bank, Thomson Locations: Suqian, Jiangsu province, China, CHINA, Rights BEIJING, Europe, Beijing, San Francisco, Xi, Asia, Guangdong province, Shandong, Dongguan, Shanghai
CNBC Daily Open: Slowing demand means fewer revenue beats
  + stars: | 2023-11-09 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Disney pluses subscribersDisney's shares jumped around 3% in extended trading after the company reported quarterly earnings. But the firm's revenue fell short of estimates — its second consecutive miss — even as quarterly revenue increased 5% to $21.24 billion year on year. Weakness in ArmArm reported earnings for the first time after its initial public offering.
Persons: Organizations: CNBC, Dow Major, Dow Jones, Japan's Nikkei, China's National Bureau, Statistics, Disney, BNP, CNBC Pro Locations: Asia, Pacific, China
China's consumer prices swing to declines in October
  + stars: | 2023-11-09 | by ( Shreyashi Sanyal | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
China's consumer prices fell in October, as the world's second-largest economy struggled with an uneven post-Covid recovery. Data from China's National Bureau of Statistics on Thursday showed October consumer price index shrank 0.2% year-on-year, more than the 0.1% decline expected by economists polled by Reuters. This comes after China's CPI was unexpectedly flat in September, highlighting the need for further policy support. Producer prices declined 2.6%, slightly smaller than an expected decline of 2.7% and has been in negative territory for the 13th straight month. China's PPI was at 2.5% in September, showing factory deflationary pressures remained.
Organizations: China's National Bureau, Statistics, Reuters, PPI Locations: China
HONG KONG, Nov 1 (Reuters) - China will begin polling 1.4 million people on Wednesday in a survey on population changes, as authorities struggle to incentivise people to have more children amid a declining birth rate and the first population drop in more than six decades. The survey will be based on a sample of 500,000 households and last for around two weeks until Nov. 15, China's National Bureau of Statistics said. It will help provide a basis to monitor China's population developmental changes and for the government and Communist Party to formulate national economic, social development and population related policies, it said. China last conducted its once-in-a-decade census in November 2020 which showed it grew at the slowest pace since the first modern population survey in the 1950s. Population development has often been linked to the strength and "rejuvenation" of the country in state media amid the declining birth rate and widespread concerns by citizens on the difficulties of raising children.
Persons: Farah Master, Michael Perry Organizations: China's National Bureau of Statistics, Communist Party, Authorities, Thomson Locations: HONG KONG, China, China's
Xi says China's women must start 'new trend of family'
  + stars: | 2023-10-30 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
Doing a good job in women's work is not only related to women's own development, he said but also related to "family harmony, social harmony, national development and national progress". Factors including high childcare costs, career hindrance, gender discrimination and not wanting to get married have deterred many young Chinese women from having children. The number of births is closely tied to marriage rates because official policies make it hard for single women to have children. China's National Bureau of Statistics in January reported the first population drop in six decades and the country's population is rapidly ageing. The state media has often linked population development to the strength and "rejuvenation" of the country.
Persons: Wang Dan, Aly, Xi Jinping, Farah Master, Barbara Lewis Organizations: REUTERS, Xinhua, China Women's Federation, Communist Party, China's National Bureau of Statistics, Thomson Locations: Shanghai, China, HONG KONG, Beijing
Vcg | Visual China Group | Getty ImagesChina's third-quarter economic growth came in stronger than expected, boosting hopes that the world's second-largest economy will meet or even exceed Beijing's target for about 5% this year. China posted 4.9% growth in the July to September quarter from a year earlier, according to a release from China's National Bureau of Statistics on Wednesday. This follows the 6.3% print for the April-June quarter and 4.5% growth for the January-March quarter. On a quarter-on-quarter basis, China's economy grew 1.3% in the third quarter, stronger than economists' expectations for a 0.9% growth. China's consumer prices were flat in September, on the verge of deflation, while producer price index saw annual declines slow for a third month.
Organizations: Visual China, Getty, China's National Bureau, Statistics, CNBC Locations: Chongqing, China
CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. The bureau also said retail sales spiked 5.5% and industrial production grew 4.5% in September, compared with a year earlier. U.S. markets wavered Tuesday as investors digested September's U.S. retail sales report and third-quarter earnings from banks. Retail sales in China also jumped more than expected in September, buoying the country's third-quarter GDP growth. Indeed, the specter of high inflation and, correspondingly, higher-for-longer interest rates, haunted the retail report, at least for the U.S.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, David Russell of TradeStation, That'd, It's, Russell, Chris Zaccarelli Organizations: CNBC, Bank of America, Bank of, National Bureau of Statistics, Consumers, U.S, Treasury, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Independent, Alliance Locations: China, Asia, Pacific, Shanghai
BANGKOK (AP) — Markets fell in Europe and Asia after China reported Wednesday that its economy grew at a 4.9% annual pace in July-September, down from 6.3% in the previous quarter. The future for the S&P 500 lost 0.2% and that for the Dow Jones Industrial Average was 0.1% lower. Weak global demand and the property industry remain the biggest shadows overhanging the economy in the near term, economists said. “The wider data on the property sector remained weak, although green shoots are appearing,” Capital Economics said in a report. Bank of New York Mellon rose 3.8% after it also reported stronger profit than expected for the latest quarter.
Persons: Germany's DAX, Wyndham, Brent, Writers Zen Soo, Stan Choe Organizations: , CAC, FTSE, Dow Jones, Bureau of Statistics, Nikkei, Nasdaq, U.S, Treasury, Nvidia, Bank of America, Wall, Bank of New, Bank of New York Mellon, Wyndham Hotels, Resorts, , New York Mercantile Exchange, AP, Writers Zen Locations: BANGKOK, Europe, Asia, China, Paris, Shanghai, Tokyo, Bank of New York, Iran
[1/3] A little girl sits with her dad in a park in Shanghai, China, April 2, 2023. REUTERS/Aly Song/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsHONG KONG, Oct 10 (Reuters) - China's National Bureau of Statistics will conduct a nationwide sample survey in November to help better plan population policies, in an unexpected poll as authorities struggle to boost the country's flagging birth rate. The survey's scope on population changes will focus on urban and rural areas throughout the country, according to state media reports on Tuesday. The plan will help to "accurately and timely monitor China's population developmental changes and provide a basis for the Communist Party and the government to formulate national economic, social development and population related policies," the bureau said. China last conducted its once-in-a-decade census in November 2020 which showed it grew at the slowest pace since the first modern population survey in the 1950s.
Persons: Aly, Farah Master, Kim Coghill Organizations: REUTERS, National Bureau, Statistics, Communist Party, Authorities, Thomson Locations: Shanghai, China, HONG KONG, Beijing, China's
HONG KONG (Reuters) - China's National Bureau of Statistics will conduct a nationwide sample survey in November to help better plan population policies, in an unexpected poll as authorities struggle to boost the country's flagging birth rate. Concerned about China's first population drop in six decades and its rapid ageing, Beijing is urgently trying an array of measures to lift the country's birth rate including financial incentives and boosting childcare facilities. The survey's scope on population changes will focus on urban and rural areas throughout the country, according to state media reports on Tuesday. The plan will help to "accurately and timely monitor China's population developmental changes and provide a basis for the Communist Party and the government to formulate national economic, social development and population related policies," the bureau said. China last conducted its once-in-a-decade census in November 2020 which showed it grew at the slowest pace since the first modern population survey in the 1950s.
Persons: Farah Master, Kim Coghill Organizations: Reuters, National Bureau, Statistics, Communist Party Locations: HONG KONG, Beijing, China, China's
Over one in 5 Chinese young adults looking for work can't find it, according to China's National Bureau of Statistics. According to UNICEF, youth unemployment can lead to social and economic unrest. For their July data released last week, Chinese government officials entirely omitted the data on youth unemployment. According to research from United Nations Children's Fund, youth unemployment impacts present and future economic growth and stability. The report also warns that youth unemployment can have "significant and serious social repercussions" and social unrest.
Persons: Sun Xin, Sun, haven't, Xi Jinping, it's, Liu Xingyu, Liu Organizations: National Bureau of Statistics, UNICEF, Service, China's National Bureau of Statistics, King's College London, NBC News, CNBC, The New York Times, Times, United Nations Children's Fund, Street Journal Locations: Wall, Silicon, China, COVID
China's sputtering growth and property market hurdles have led to comparisons with Japan's troubles in the 1990s. But key differences remain and China's economy isn't yet at the level of Japan's crisis 30 years ago. China's National Bureau of Statistics reported that the consumer price index dropped 0.3% annually in July, tipping the economy into deflation and fueling reminiscences of Japan in the early 1990s. Only this year have Japan's stock markets returned within range of the highs seen in 1990. Real estate prices in Japan fell about two-thirds, and the stock market still has never got back to where it was in 1989.
Persons: David Dollar Organizations: JPMorgan, Service, China's National Bureau of Statistics, Financial Times, Nikkei, Brookings Institute, Brookings Locations: China, Wall, Silicon, Beijing, Japan, 1Q23, Tokyo, United States, Real
Deflation — the trend of prices falling throughout the economy — presents a particularly dangerous trajectory for China, which carries a massive amount of debt. The main components of GDP on the demand side — consumption, investment, net exports — they all have serious problems right now." A shaky property marketMost of China's economic troubles tie directly into its property market. Roughly a quarter of China's population works in agriculture — well above the 3% mark in the US — and that presents its own productivity limitations. From an unstable, debt-ridden property market to anti-business policies and demographic issues, Beijing has plenty to tackle if it hopes to match the same growth as decades past.
Persons: David Dollar, Biden, Dexter Roberts, Roberts, Terry Group, it's, Xi Jinping Organizations: Service, China's National Bureau of Statistics, People's Bank of, Federal Reserve, Brookings, Bloomberg, JPMorgan, Financial Times, China's, Global, US Census Bureau, Atlantic Council, Communist Party, Garden Holdings, Beike Research Institute, Terry Locations: Beijing, Wall, Silicon, China, People's Bank of China, China's US, Western, Russia, Asia, Ukraine, Mexico, China cratered, Rocky
[1/2] A general view of the sun rising behind the White House in Washington, U.S. January 22, 2021. REUTERS/Jonathan Ernst/File PhotoWASHINGTON, Aug 11 (Reuters) - President Joe Biden's comment about China being a "ticking time bomb" referred to internal economic and social tensions that could have an effect on how Beijing interacts with the world, a White House official said Friday. Kirby defended the funding request, saying, "Yes, this is an urgent need for us to be able to provide an alternative." Biden told donors: "China is a ticking time bomb ... China is in trouble. Liu said China's GDP growth continued to provide an important support for the development of the global economy.
Persons: Jonathan Ernst, Joe Biden's, John Kirby, Kirby, Liu Pengyu, Biden, Liu, We've, Xi Jinping, Andrea Shalal, Michael Martina, Chris Reese, David Gregorio Our Organizations: White, REUTERS, Reuters, China's National Bureau, Statistics, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, China, Beijing, Utah, Washington, United States, India
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