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Inflation worries from Fed minutes and hot economic data sparked the Dow's worst sell-off in a year on Thursday. Investors are awaiting next week's release of PCE data to gauge if inflation is falling or not. The Dow registered its worst sell-off in over a year on Thursday, even in the face of a strong rally in Nvidia stock following its blockbuster first-quarter earnings report. Inflation concerns sparked the two-day sell-off, with Fed minutes released on Wednesday highlighting lingering concerns among Fed officials about cutting interest rates too soon. Investors will be paying close attention to next week's release of PCE data to gauge if inflation is moving lower or not.
Persons: , LPL, Quincy Krosby, Krosby Organizations: Service, Dow, Nvidia, Fed, PMI
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailKleintop: Nvidia's weighting in most portfolios poses a concentration riskJeffrey Kleintop, Chief Global Investment Strategist at Charles Schwab, discusses investing in the U.S., UK, and Japan.
Persons: Jeffrey Kleintop, Charles Schwab Organizations: Global Investment Locations: U.S, Japan
The big storyA retirement loomsMarianne Ayala/BIThe world's most recognizable banker might finally be ready to call it quits. The comings and goings of Wall Street executives are common, even at the highest levels. Wall Street has long speculated about who will ultimately succeed Dimon. Martin Gruenberg has told staff he'll stand down as chairman once a replacement has been found , per The Wall Street Journal. A report from the Wall Street Journal says the company hopes to conduct its next implant in June.
Persons: , Jamie Dimon's, Marianne Ayala, Jamie Dimon, Insider's Paul Squire, nodded, Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan's, Tom Williams, Dimon, Jennifer Piepszak, Marianne Lake, Troy Rohrbaugh, BI's Reed Alexander, Reed, M, Alyssa Powell, Goldman Sachs, Lindsay MacMillan, Nancy Lazar, Piper, Martin Gruenberg, OpenAI, Scarlett Johansson, Sam Altman's, Andrea Chronopoulos, they're, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, George Glover Organizations: Service, Navy SEAL, Business, JPMorgan, Street, Citi, Bank, Inc, Getty, Wall, Dimon, Bank of America, FDIC, Microsoft, Wall Street Journal Locations: New York, London
Read previewGet ready for a recession that hammers consumers, squeezes companies, and drags down stocks, a veteran economist warned. "There is a very high probability of a recession," Nancy Lazar, Piper Sandler's chief global economist, told WealthTrack in a recent interview. Whenever that many states have recorded significant increases in joblessness in the past, there's been a nationwide recession, she noted. AdvertisementSeveral parts of the economy are "really, really struggling," Lazar continued. "If we have a recession, inflation will slow," she said.
Persons: , Nancy Lazar, Piper, WealthTrack, Lazar, you've, You've, Lazar said, there's, They've, I'm, I've Organizations: Service, Cornerstone Macro, Business, Fed Locations: joblessness
The S & P 500 broke above 5,300, also for the first time. The S & P 500 has notched record close after record close in 2024. This quarter, the top-performing S & P 500 sector is utilities, higher by 9%, followed by communication services, up by 4%. The S & P 500 and Nasdaq Composite each closed out a fourth straight week of gains. Sustaining all-time highs Nvidia's earnings will also be a key catalyst at a time when technicians are watching to see whether stocks can sustain the record levels they reached this week.
Persons: what's, they're, Jay Woods, hadn't, Piper Sandler's Harsh Kumar, Kumar, Jensen Huang, Blackwell, Zachary Hill, Chris Zaccarelli, Zaccarelli, Woods, Katie Stockton, Stockton, TJX Cos, Raymond James Thursday, Ralph Lauren Friday, Nick Wells Organizations: Nvidia, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Freedom Capital, Dow, Nasdaq, Independent, Alto Networks, Devices, Target, Chicago, PMI, New, . Kansas City Fed, Intuit Locations: Stockton, . Kansas
Research shows that former President Donald Trump’s tariffs on China did indeed raise prices on consumers and businesses — despite his claims otherwise. The study found tariffs imposed by former President Donald Trump did not meaningfully contribute to inflation. “The new Biden tariffs, like the more extensive ones that Trump has promised, will worsen US inflation. It is fair to debate how much the Biden tariffs will impact inflation because they are not nearly as widespread as what Trump imposed and what Trump is promising if he’s reelected. Trump enacted sweeping tariffs on $300 billion in Chinese imports, setting off a trade war between the world’s two biggest economies.
Persons: Katherine Tai, Joe Biden’s, ” Tai, , Donald Trump’s, Tai, Angela Perez, Donald Trump, Goldman Sachs, Tai’s, “ Trump, ” Biden, , Alex Durante, Tai’s “, Maury Obstfeld, Biden, , Trump, he’s, ” Perez, White, Morgan, Daleep Singh, Jen Psaki, Jared Polis, ” Polis, Ed Mills, Raymond James, David Kelly, ” Kelly Organizations: New, New York CNN, US, White, Research, CNN, US International Trade Commission, , China, Tax, Obama, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Biden, Atlantic Council, Bretton, Committee, , Colorado Gov, Republicans, Asset Management Locations: New York, China, Ukraine, EVs, Europe
'Conviction list' stocks with big upside Investors still looking for quality names with more upside may want to consider names in Goldman's conviction lists — directors' cut. CNBC Pro scoured Goldman's May conviction lists for stocks with further upside of 50% or more, based on the bank's price targets. Goldman gave it a price target of $35, implying 107% upside. Goldman gave it a price target of 37 euros ($40), implying 64% upside. The bank gave the stock a price target of 380,000 Korean won ($277), or potential upside of 94%.
Persons: Stocks, Goldman Sachs, Peter Oppenheimer, Goldman, Neste, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Dow Jones, U.S . Federal, Fed, CNBC, Europe's, Energy, Korean Locations: 1Q24, United States, Europe, Asia, Korean
US stocks rose as traders took in slightly cooler inflation figures. Consumer prices rose 3.4% year-per-year in April, down from the prior month's 3.5% increase. Still, investors have muted expectations for Fed rate cuts by the end of the year. AdvertisementUS stocks jumped on Wednesday as traders took in the latest inflation report, which showed prices cooled slightly in April. Falling inflation has fueled some hope the Fed is set to issue several interest rate cuts this year, which is bullish for stocks.
Persons: , Seema Shah, Sonu Varghese Organizations: Service, Treasury, Asset Management, Traders, Carson Group
A downgrade revision in March's producer price index helped curb inflation concerns. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell signaled that interest rates will have to remain higher for longer. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . While April's producer price index gained 0.5% against expectations of a 0.3% rise, March's data was revised to show a 0.1% decline. Many are also waiting to see Wednesday's consumer price index release, before determining whether to retreat from markets.
Persons: Stocks, Jerome Powell, , Quincy Krosby Organizations: Service, Nasdaq, Federal, Global, LPL, AMC Locations: Here's
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWoods: Stocks are most volatile around CPI than any other data pointJay Woods, Chief Global Strategist at Freedom Capital Markets, discusses the new trading week ahead.
Persons: Jay Woods Organizations: Chief Global, Freedom Capital Markets
First-class travel has exhibited special strength, though management noted that can be tied in part to a resurgence of business trips. People taking these loans are more likely to be lower-income with no more than a high school diploma, Lanier said. Daniel Acker | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesFrozen food maker Tyson Foods has seen consumers shifting more to eating at home than the quick-service restaurants it supplies. It's also important to remember that lower-income Americans were feeling financial pressures before the pandemic, said Tyler Schipper, an associate professor of economics at the University of St. Thomas in Minnesota. Airbnb touted interest in travel to events like the Paris Olympics and the European Cup in Germany this summer.
Persons: there's, It's, Christophe Le Caillec, underscoring, Blair Lanier, Lanier, McDonald's, Tyson, Daniel Acker, Tyson Foods, Stanley Black, Decker, Jane Fraser, CNBC's Sara Eisen, Fraser, Nancy Lazar, Piper Sandler, Tyler Schipper, Thomas, Schipper, Eric Thayer, We've, Cliff Pemble Organizations: TSN, American Express, Federal Reserve, CNBC, People, University of Michigan, San Francisco Federal Reserve, U.S, PepsiCo, Bloomberg, Getty, Tyson, Management, Adobe Analytics, Furniture, Citigroup, University of St, Airlines, Delta Air Lines, JetBlue Airways, Caribbean . Booking Holdings, Paris Olympics, European, Ticketmaster, Cedar Fair, Flags, Wayfair, Garmin Locations: America, U.S, Minnesota, New York, Germany, Valencia , California
CNN spoke to three Israeli whistleblowers who worked at the Sde Teiman desert camp, which holds Palestinians detained during Israel’s invasion of Gaza. Reports of abuse at Sde Teiman have already surfaced in Israeli and Arab media after an outcry from Israeli and Palestinian rights groups over conditions there. CNN has requested permission from the Israeli military to access the Sde Teiman base. The account tallied with details of a letter authored by a doctor working at Sde Teiman published by Ha’aretz in April. The structure, which resembles an animal pen, is located in the central area of the Sde Teiman compound.
Persons: Sde Teiman, , , , Ofer, Patrick Gallagher, Adnan al, Bursh –, Mohammed al, Ran, ” Dr, Mohammed Al, Shawish, abasement, “ You’d, Teiman, Ha’aretz, Israel, Ray, Tal Steiner, ” Steiner, – Ofer, West Bank –, Ibrahim Yassine, Abu Salah, Al, Barbara Arvanitidis, Tamara Qiblawi, Matthew Chance OSINT, Allegra Goodwin, Alex Platt, Abeer Salman, Ami Kaufman, Kareem Khadder, Mohammad Al Sawalhi, Carlotta Dotto, Lou Robinson, Mark Oliver, Tom James, Sarah Tilotta, Mark Baron, Julie Zink, Augusta Anthony Motion, Yukari Schrickel, Laura Smith, Eliza Mackintosh, Dan Wright, Matt Wells Editor’s, Matthew Chance, Al Hilou Organizations: Israel CNN —, CNN, Israel Defense Forces, Military, IDF, West Bank, Bosnian, Ahli Baptist Hospital, Social Media, CNN Al, , Ha’aretz, for Human Rights, Nasser Hospital, Planet Labs PBC Planet, Planet Labs, Palestinian Red Crescent Society Locations: Israel, Gaza, Palestinian, Al, Ahli, Israel’s, , London, Sde, Jerusalem
Breaking down the next leg of the European equity rally
  + stars: | 2024-05-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBreaking down the next leg of the European equity rallyMaximilian Uleer, Head of European Equity and Cross Asset Strategy at Deutsche Bank, and Kristina Hooper, Chief Global Market Strategist at Invesco, discuss the European rally as the STOXX 600 and FTSE 100 hit fresh all-time highs.
Persons: Maximilian Uleer, Kristina Hooper Organizations: European Equity, Cross, Deutsche Bank, Chief Global
Just as Wall Street appeared to come to terms with the idea of high interest rates sticking around for longer, a cooler-than-expected jobs report on Friday brought the idea of rate cuts back into the conversation. The Labor Department reported that job and wage growth in April came in lower than economists had expected, a shift after months of piping-hot labor market reports. The findings rekindled hopes that the Federal Reserve — which has been looking for signs that interest rates are slowing the economy — may yet cut rates before the end of the year. “This is the jobs report the Fed would have scripted,” said Seema Shah, chief global strategist at Principal Asset Management. The S&P 500 rose 1.3 percent on Friday, its best day in more than two months.
Persons: , Seema Shah, Russell Organizations: Labor Department, Federal, Asset Management
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFederal Reserve monetary policy will be about 'totality of data,' economist saysJanet Henry, chief global economist at HSBC, discusses the state of the U.S. economy and the outlook for Federal Reserve policy.
Persons: Janet Henry Organizations: HSBC, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailStock markets are vulnerable to further rises in yields: Goldman Sachs' Peter OppenheimerPeter Oppenheimer, Goldman Sachs chief global equity strategist, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss how destructive a 5% yield on the 10-year treasury would be, if robust yields are a sign of a strong economy, and much more.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Peter Oppenheimer Peter Oppenheimer Organizations: Email Stock
Amazon Q1 results on deck: Here's what to expect
  + stars: | 2024-04-30 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailAmazon Q1 results on deck: Here's what to expectJay Woods, Freedom Capital Markets chief global strategist, joins 'Squawk Box' to preview Amazon's quarterly earnings results today, what to expect from the tech giant, Tesla's stock rebound, and more.
Persons: Jay Woods Organizations: Freedom Capital Markets
Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., April 29, 2024. The volatility in the bond market has had equity investors on their toes for months, but at what point will rising yields spoil stocks' 2024 rally? The answer is 5% on the 10-year Treasury yield , according to Goldman Sachs . In a new 19-page paper using market data since the 1980s, the Wall Street firm said when that threshold is reached, the correlation between bond yields and stocks turns negative. The benchmark 10-year yield jumped 5 basis points Tuesday to 4.67% after data showed employee compensation costs increased more than expected to start the year.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Peter Oppenheimer Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Treasury, Federal Reserve Locations: New York City, U.S
The Fed aims to keep inflation at 2% over the longer run. Meanwhile, among the 20 countries that use the euro, annual consumer price inflation has slowed steadily since the start of the year. Fed Governor Michelle Bowman said earlier this month that she would favor a rate hike “should progress on inflation stall or even reverse.”So why does the United States appear to have a bigger inflation problem than Europe? Some economists argue there isn’t actually much daylight between the US and European rates of inflation, pointing to a quirk in the US measures. The measure is designed to track inflation in the real estate market while accounting for the fact that most Americans own their homes.
Persons: Michelle Bowman, Paul Donovan, Simon MacAdam, , MacAdam, ” Carsten Brzeski, Janet Yellen, Jim Watson, Brzeski, , ” Davide Oneglia Organizations: London CNN, Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, PCE, UBS Global Wealth Management, Capital Economics, ING, CNN, Monetary Fund, Washington, Reuters, Getty, , ECB, Lombard Locations: United States, Europe, Centreville , Maryland, AFP, Russia, Ukraine
US stocks fell sharply Thursday as data showed the US economy grew much slower than expected to start 2024. The report also showed consumer prices rising in the quarter, complicating the Fed's rate-cut decision. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . The market will be focused on personal consumption expenditures data, the Fed's preferred inflation measure, which is due out on Friday. AdvertisementBond yields jumped as traders reacted to the economic data.
Persons: , Quincy Krosby Organizations: Treasury, Service, Economic, Federal Reserve, LPL, Here's
Tech stocks are heavily exposed to China, which could put gains at risk, according to Piper Sandler. Tech companies are especially vulnerable to any weakness in China, with semiconductor businesses notably generating more than 30% of their sales in the country, the note read. In April, the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) has dropped about 7%, underperforming the S & P 500's more than 3% decline during the same period. "S & P large caps have near-record exposure to a China that is wobbly economically, with an increasingly authoritarian Heavy Hand of regulation," Lazar wrote Wednesday. S & P Global Ratings this week noted the country could be in for a new wave of bond defaults that could come as soon as next year, further fueling those worries.
Persons: Piper Sandler, Nancy Lazar, Lazar, — CNBC's Evelyn Cheng Organizations: Tech, Street Journal, VanEck Semiconductor, Devices, Intel Locations: China, Beijing, Shanghai
The US economy is facing a rare and difficult bifurcation, says Piper Sandler's head economist. The economist forecasts 53% odds of recession but adds that one is needed to bring down inflation. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementThe US is navigating a "bifurcated" economy that's only been seen twice before, with both times ending in a recession, according to a top economist. This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers.
Persons: Piper, , Nancy Lazar Organizations: Service, Fox Business Network, Business
Elon Musk said Tesla will get cheaper electric vehicles out sooner. AdvertisementElon Musk dangled a long-awaited prize — cheaper Tesla models — in front of investors on Tuesday. But it was enough to calm investors, and Tesla's stock rose 13% in after-hours trading. Significant challenges and a plummeting stockWhile a promise of cheaper cars relieved investors, Tesla's troubles are far from over. Tesla's stock is down 42% year-to-date.
Persons: Elon Musk, Tesla, Tesla's, , Elon, Musk, Jay Woods Organizations: Service, Freedom Capital Markets, Reuters, EV Locations: China, Europe
So the question is, are we going to have issues if rates remain higher for longer?" But financial markets, despite a recent 5.5% selloff for the S&P 500, have largely held up amid the higher-rate landscape. Higher rates can be a good signHistory tells differing stories about the consequences of a hawkish Fed, both for markets and the economy. Higher rates are generally a good thing so long as they're associated with growth. Futures market pricing implies a fed funds rate of 4.32% by December 2025, indicating a higher rate trajectory.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Mandel Ngan, Quincy Krosby, Krosby, Paul Volcker, David Kelly, Kelly, , Goldman Sachs, Loretta Mester Organizations: Federal Reserve, Financial, Afp, Getty, LPL, Fed, Asset Management, Market, Cleveland Fed, European Union Locations: Washington , DC
Technical Support: Meta, Dominion Energy & General Motors
  + stars: | 2024-04-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTechnical Support: Meta, Dominion Energy & General MotorsJay Woods, Freedom Capital Markets chief global strategist, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss the technical support for a few companies.
Persons: Jay Woods Organizations: Dominion Energy, General, Freedom Capital Markets
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