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☆ The Fed isn't going to be able to cut interest rates as much as it wants to, former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

The Fed probably can't take rates as low as it would like to, according to Larry Summers. Summers pointed to the Fed's target of 2.9% for the so-called neutral rate. Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! AdvertisementThe Fed doesn't have the wiggle room to cut interest rates as low as it hopes to, according to ex-Treasury Secretary Larry Summers. In an interview with Bloomberg, Summers said central bankers have likely underestimated the so-called neutral rate, which is the level that neither expands nor contracts the economy.

Persons: Larry Summers, Summers, — Organizations: Service, Bloomberg, Business

☆ The stock market rally risks sparking an unsustainable 'melt-up' as the economy overheats, market vet Ed Yardeni says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The stock market runs a bigger risk of an unsustainable melt-up, according to Ed Yardeni. AdvertisementStocks run the risk of seeing an unsustainable, dot-com style melt-up, thanks to the Federal Reserve's recent rate cut, according to market veteran Ed Yardeni. That move sparked a rally in stocks to fresh records —but it's also raised the odds of a stock market melt-up, he said, meaning investors are now facing the risk of an unsustainable market boom. And while inflation has cooled from its highs several years ago, it is still a risk, Yardeni noted. Advertisement"If they get to overheat the economy and get to create a bubble in the stock market, yeah they're creating some issues," Yardeni added.

Persons: Ed Yardeni, —, Stocks, it's, Yardeni, Michelle Bowman, haven't Organizations: Service, Bloomberg, Yardeni, Labor Department, Atlanta Fed

☆ Asia-Pacific markets open lower after Federal Reserve rate cut optimism sent markets higher last week
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-23 | by ( Anniek Bao | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

A Chinese flag in Pudong's Lujiazui Financial District in Shanghai, China, on Sept. 18, 2023. Asia-Pacific markets opened lower Monday as investors assessed monetary policy decisions from Japan and China on Friday after U.S. Federal Reserve's sharp rate cut sent markets higher last week. Despite growing calls for lower interest rates, the People's Bank of China unexpectedly left its key benchmark rate on hold on Friday. The Reserve Bank of Australia starts its two-day policy meeting on Monday, where central bankers will decide on the country's monetary policy path on Tuesday. Overall year-on-year CPI is expected to have cooled to 2.15%, compared to 2.40% the previous month

Organizations: National Bureau of Statistics, People's Bank of China, Reserve Bank of Australia Locations: Lujiazui, Shanghai, China, Asia, Pacific, Japan, Federal, Singapore

☆ Baby boomers have a ton of their wealth tied up in stocks and housing. Here's why that's a risk to the economy.
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-21 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Khurana thinks what has made boomers the wealthiest generation — stocks and housing — also makes them a risk to economic stability. AdvertisementSuch a scenario is an '"underappreciated risk," he said, given how much boomers' spending habits have fueled economic growth in recent years. The demographic spends around $548 billion a year, more than any other generation, according to a report from marketing research firm Epsilon. AdvertisementBroken down by each generation's holdings of property and stocks, boomers accounted for 42% of all real estate ownership and 54% of all corporate equity and mutual fund ownership. That's not to say boomers will cause the next recession, but the risk during a recession is dialed up under the current paradigm, Khurana said.

Persons: —, America's, Brij, Khurana, boomers, they've, John Hussman, That's Organizations: Service, Wellington Management, Business, McKinsey & Company, New York Fed, Epsilon, New, Boomers, Federal Reserve, Governors Boomers, Governors Locations: New, New York, Florida and Texas

☆ Sanctioned tankers are back to transporting Russian oil in a blow to the West's efforts to restrict crude flows
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-20 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

The nation loaded at least 17 cargoes of oil and oil products onto ships sanctioned by the West. Another 20 sanctioned ships are still idling by Russia's coasts and ports, the outlet said. A dozen sanctioned ships were known to load Russian crude and crude products in August and September, up from just one sanctioned ship recorded in April, the outlet reported. Another 20 sanctioned tankers are known to be idling near Russia's coasts or anchored at Russian ports, the report added. Falling crude prices also appear to be hitting Russia's oil trade.

Persons: —, Putin Organizations: Bloomberg, West, Service Locations: Russia, Moscow, Belgorod, China

☆ An under-the-radar corner of the stock market has the green light for a 'powerful' catch-up rally, Goldman Sachs portfolio manager says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-20 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Small-cap stocks are poised for a significant rally, Goldman Sachs' Greg Tuorto said. The portfolio manager pointed to lower interest rates and a promising economic backdrop for small-caps. The presidential election could also be a positive catalyst, leading to a catch-up rally, he said. That's according to Greg Tuorto, a portfolio manager at Goldman Sachs Asset Management who says he sees a big "catch-up" rally coming for small-cap stocks. AdvertisementThe Russell 2000 surged 2% after the Fed cut interest rates on Wednesday, with the small-cap index up 12% year-to-date.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Greg Tuorto, —, Tuorto, it's, Fundstrat's Tom Lee Organizations: Service, Goldman Sachs, Management, CNBC, Atlanta Fed

☆ The Fed is following its 1995 playbook — and that's great news for stocks and the economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The Fed looks like it's following the same path it did in 1995, according to TS Lombard. It's also great news for stocks, as the S&P 500 more than doubled in value that decade. AdvertisementThe Fed is following a 30-year-old playbook with its interest rate moves — and that's good news for the US economy, according to TS Lombard. Stocks soared a day after the big rate cut. Despite wobbling in the hours after the Fed's rate move, the major indexes hit fresh records in Thursday trades.

Persons: It's, —, Dario Perkins, Perkins, Stocks Organizations: TS Lombard, Service, Fed, American Institute for Economic Research, Cleveland Fed

☆ Stocks jump Thursday after Federal Reserve’s jumbo-sized rate cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

New York CNN —Stocks jumped Thursday morning as investors cheered the Federal Reserve’s eye-popping half-point interest rate cut. Tech stocks surged: Nvidia shares popped 4.8%, Tesla shares gained 5.4%, Meta Platforms shares rose 3.5% and Apple shares climbed 3.5%. The Fed on Wednesday cut rates by half a point, marking its first rate cut since the onset of the Covid pandemic and bringing rates down from a 23-year high. A large rate cut can be a double-edged sword for the economy. The Fed faced pressure to cut rates in July but held steady instead.

Persons: New York CNN — Stocks, Tesla, Jerome Powell, ”, Ronald Temple, Powell Organizations: New, New York CNN —, Dow, Nasdaq, Tech, Nvidia, Meta, Apple, Fed, Lazard Locations: New York, August’s

☆ The 'Fed put' is back. Here's why central bankers will want to support the stock market, according to Fundstrat's Tom Lee.
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

That's because the Fed wants a "healthy economy," a big component of which is a strong stock market, he said. AdvertisementThe "Fed put" is back, and stock investors may not be fully pricing in the good news, according to Fundstrat's head of research Tom Lee. The prominent stock bull pointed to the idea that central bankers could move to further ease monetary policy at any sign of weakness in the stock market. AdvertisementA healthy economy, though, hinges on consumer and business confidence, which is largely tied to the stock market, Lee said. We could be seeing turbulence for the next 8 weeks, but this is also in the context of a very strong stock market in 2024," he added.

Persons: Tom Lee, That's, —, Lee, There's Organizations: Fed, Service, Wednesday

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWhy the world is closely watching changes coming from the Federal ReserveThe Federal Reserve manages interest rates to influence financial conditions within the United States. But those decisions can also affect the posture of other central banks because many aspects of international finance rely on U.S. dollars. As the world moves away from a global round of economic tightening, central bankers in the U.S. are seeking to extend the economic expansion, which is among the strongest in the world.

Organizations: Federal, Federal Reserve Locations: United States, U.S

☆ Stock market today: Indexes edge up ahead of major Fed interest rate decision
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

US indexes edged higher as investors waited for a likely interest rate cut from the Fed. AdvertisementUS stocks rose on Wednesday as traders readied for what's likely to be the Federal Reserves's first rate cut in four years. "Though consensus is leaning toward a 50 basis point move, we look for the Fed to cut by 25 basis points today. AdvertisementFollowing the interest rate decision, all eyes will be on Fed Chair Jerome Powell, who will deliver prepared remarks during a press conference. "While the market has usually bounced immediately following the 2 PM rate decision, the sell-off usually starts at or near the end of Powell's post-FOMC press conference."

Persons: Jerome Powell's, —, John Lynch, José Torres, Jerome Powell, Powell, shouldn't Organizations: Fed, Traders, Service, Federal, Comerica Wealth Management, Interactive, Deutsche Bank, Investment

☆ Oil prices steady, with investors focusing on Fed decision
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Oil prices steadied on Wednesday, after rising in the previous two sessions, as investors await the U.S. Federal Reserve's anticipated interest rate cut, with the potential for more violence in the Middle East supporting the market. "Markets have calmed down as concerns over hurricane damage and escalating tensions in the Middle East have been factored in," said Mitsuru Muraishi, an analyst at Fujitomi Securities. "Now, investors are focusing on the Fed's rate cuts which could revitalize U.S. fuel demand and weaken the dollar," he said, predicting that oil prices are likely to maintain a bullish tone after Brent hit its lowest since 2021 last week. Traders kept bets the Fed will start an expected series of interest rate cuts with a half-percentage-point move downward on Wednesday, an expectation that may itself put pressure on central bankers to deliver just that. Oil stockpiles rose by 1.96 million barrels in the week ended Sept. 13, according to market sources citing the API figures, but gasoline and distillate stocks both rose by about 2.3 million barrels.

Persons: Hurricane Francine, Mitsuru Muraishi, Brent, Biden Organizations: U.S, U.S . Federal, Brent, Fujitomi Securities, Traders, Strategic Petroleum Reserve, American Petroleum Institute, Reuters, U.S . Energy Locations: U.S ., U.S, Israel, Lebanon, Beirut

☆ Fed rate cuts are arriving too late and layoffs show the US economy is already in a recession, bond king Jeff Gundlach says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

The Fed should have cut interest rates a lot sooner, according to Jeff Gundlach. The "Bond King" thinks the economy is already in recession, as evidenced by rising layoffs. Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementThe Fed is cutting interest rates too late, as mounting job losses show that the US economy is already in a recession, according to Jeff Gundlach.

Persons: Jeff Gundlach, — Organizations: Challenger, Service, Business

☆ Lawmakers are 'demeaning their role' by trying to influence the Fed, House finance chair says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Rep. Patrick McHenry, R-N.C., sharply criticized other politicians on Tuesday for making public comments about what the Federal Reserve should do with its interest rate policy. McHenry, the outgoing chair of the House Financial Services Committee, said it was an '"outrage" that some politicians are publicly lobbying the central bank about rate cuts. "Senators that are trying to direct the Fed on rate policy are really demeaning their role. McHenry's comments came one day before the U.S. central bank is widely expected to start cutting interest rates for the first time since 2020. Coming in the middle of a presidential election cycle, the change in Fed policy has stirred speculation as to whether the central bank would be influenced by political considerations.

Persons: Patrick McHenry, Kevin McCarthy, McHenry, …, Jerome Powell, Joe Biden, Democratic Sens, Elizabeth Warren of, John Hickenlooper of, Sheldon Whitehouse, Warren, Whitehouse, Trump, Sen, Mike Lee, Trump's Organizations: Rep, U.S, Capitol, Federal, Financial Services, Senators, United, Trump, Democratic, Fed, Republicans, Georgetown University's Psaros, Financial Markets Locations: R, Washington, United States, U.S, Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts, John Hickenlooper of Colorado, Rhode, Utah

☆ Best dividend stocks to buy as rate cuts make their yields more attractive
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( Pia Singh | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The Federal Reserve is set to cut interest rates Wednesday for the first time in four years, which should make the yields for dividend stocks even more attractive, lifting the group. Using the CNBC Pro Stock Screener tool, we searched for stocks with a dividend yield above 3% and a low debt-to-equity ratio under 60%. Click here to view the results on CNBC Pro's Stock Screener tool and to make your own screener. Coterra Energy and ConocoPhillips are other energy names with strong dividends and attractive returns, according to the CNBC Pro screener. Other strong dividend stocks from the screen include Truist Financial and phosphate and potash mining company Mosaic .

Persons: Morgan Stanley, Devin McDermott, McDermott, Bank of America Wamsi Mohan, Mohan Organizations: Federal, Exxon Mobil, ConocoPhillips —, CNBC, Stock, CNBC Pro's, Energy, Exxon, Chevron, Devon Energy, Coterra Energy, ConocoPhillips, CNBC Pro, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, Bank of America

☆ Aussie stocks open higher as investors digest China economic data, await Fed rate verdict
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( Anniek Bao | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Asian markets were set to open mixed Monday as investors digested the downbeat economic data from China released over the weekend, while several key markets were closed for holidays. Investors also await the Federal Reserve's policy meeting on Tuesday and Wednesday where the central bankers are expected to make their first interest rate cut since 2020. China released a slew of worrying economic data, with August factory output, retail sales and investment numbers missing expectations. Urban jobless rate rose to a six-month high while year-on-year home prices fell at the fastest pace in nine years. Reaction to China's disappointing economic data will be likely seen in the Hong Kong market.

Locations: China, South Korea, Japan, Hong Kong

☆ Get ready for stocks to embark on a weekslong rally after the Fed cuts rates, Fundstrat's Tom Lee says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Stocks are set to climb higher for at least the next few weeks, according to Fundstrat's Tom Lee. Lee pointed to the Fed's policy meeting, with markets expecting a rate cut on Wednesday. A Fed rate cut will be bullish for stocks, regardless of its size, he told CNBC. AdvertisementWall Street has been anticipating rate cuts for months, especially as the economy has shown some weakness stemming from tighter financial conditions. However, stocks should move higher regardless of the size of the rate cut, Lee said, so long as central bankers assure markets that more cuts are coming.

Persons: Tom Lee, Lee, —, Powell Organizations: CNBC, Service, Bureau of Labor, New York Fed

☆ Welcome to interest-rate cut week: Here's how the Fed's next move will impact everything from home prices to new cars loans
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( Madison Hoff | Ayelet Sheffey | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

According to CME FedWatch, which estimates interest rate changes based on market predictions, the size of the rate cut is a coin toss. As of Friday afternoon, there's a 51% chance the Federal Reserve will cut rates by 25 basis points and a 49% chance it'll be an extra-large 50-basis-point cut. That's because a larger rate cut makes borrowing cheaper, which tends to drive up spending and fuel price increases. Rate cuts will also eventually make it cheaper for small businesses to take out loans. A rate cut could cause a rush of buyers to enter the market in the short term, driving up prices and competition.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Michael Madowitz, she's, McTier, it'll, Mark Hamrick, Banks, Hamrick, NerdWallet, Sara Rathner Organizations: Service, Federal, CME FedWatch, Federal Reserve, Business, Washington Center for Equitable Growth, Fed, Consumer Financial, Bureau, asheffey Locations: Jackson Hole , Wyoming, McTier

☆ Jim Cramer: 'Don't freak out' about Fed rate-cut size, focus on stocks that benefit
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( Morgan Chittum | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

CNBC's Jim Cramer said Monday that investors shouldn't panic over the size of the Federal Reserve's expected interest rate cut this week. Instead, they should focus on the stocks that will benefit from the easing monetary policy. He stressed, "What matters is we're in a rate cut cycle. In a rate cut cycle, you buy a lot of stocks that … should really start accelerating because they've been hurt." When central bankers announce their next policy move, Cramer said that there will likely be some market volatility regardless of the size of the reduction.

Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Cramer, Stanley Blacker, Decker, Stanley Black Organizations: Stanley, Trust, CNBC Locations: U.S, Cramer's

☆ The Fed keeps brushing off concerns about another Trump presidency. Its closed-door meetings show otherwise
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-15 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

New York CNN —Federal Reserve officials won’t say how former President Donald Trump winning a second term could impact the economy. But transcripts of closed-door Fed meetings from Trump’s first term give some clues about top economists’ true feelings about Trump’s economic agenda. “We don’t want to be involved … in politics in any way,” Powell said after July’s monetary policy meeting. The transcripts of past meetings that are publicly available, the most recent being from the December 2018 monetary policy meeting, suggest that some Fed officials had legitimate concerns about Trump’s trade policy and its impact on the economy. ‘Ill-conceived US government policies’At later meetings, as the Trump administration began to set the stage for a potential trade war with China, Fed officials started to sound more concerned.

Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Jerome Powell, Powell, ” Powell, Sen, Jack Reed, …, it’s, Loretta Mester, ” Mester, ”, James Bullard, Bob Dylan, ” Bullard, Bullard, Mitch Daniels, ‘, ’, “, ” William Dudley, ” Dudley Organizations: New, New York CNN — Federal, Democrat, Trump, CNN, Cleveland Fed, Fed, Federal, Market, Louis Federal Reserve, Chicago Cubs, Mitch Daniels School of Business, Washington, Lee University Locations: New York, Rhode Island, ”, China, United States, Dudley

☆ Stock futures are little changed as investors await major Fed decision: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-15 | by ( Pia Singh | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

A specials trader works at his post on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., September 11, 2024. Stock futures edged slightly lower Sunday night as investors await the Federal Reserve's highly anticipated policy meeting, during which central bankers are expected to cut rates for the first time since 2020. S&P 500 futures hovered below the flatline, while futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average shed 4 points, or less than 0.1%. The S&P 500 is less than 1% away from its July record and could notch a new all-time high this week. Central bankers are set to meet on Tuesday and Wednesday and are widely anticipated to make their first interest rate cut since they began hiking rates in March 2022.

Persons: Brian Belski, Mills, Olive Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Federal, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, BMO Capital, Darden, FedEx, homebuilder Locations: New York City, U.S, Olive Garden

See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowWhat Are Today's Mortgage Refinance Rates? Current 30-Year Mortgage RatesAverage 30-year mortgage rates remain low after dropping last week and are hovering around 5.70%, according to Zillow data. Last month, 30-year refinance rates averaged 6.59%, while 15-year refinance rates were around 5.90%. Now, 30-year refinance rates are nearly 70 basis points lower, and 15-year refinance rates are around 50 basis points lower. Mortgage rates are determined by a variety of different factors, including larger economic trends, Federal Reserve policy, your state's current mortgage rates, the type of loan you're getting, and your personal financial profile.

Persons: they've, Freddie Mac, it's, Fannie Mae Organizations: Zillow, Fed, Mortgage, Association, ARM, . Government Locations: Chevron, Government

☆ The Fed has the proof it wants that inflation is slowing, but the next move is still up in the air
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-14 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

A week's worth of inflation data showed that price pressures have eased substantially since their meteoric rise in 2021-22. "We got two more months of good inflation data" since the last Fed meeting, Claudia Sahm, chief economist for New Century Advisors, said in a CNBC interview Friday. Futures markets for most of the past week had lasered in on a quarter percentage point, or 25 basis point, rate cut. The inflation data "on its own would have gotten us 25 next week, as it should, and will get us a whole string of cuts after that," she said. [Fed officials] need to kind of clean it up, do a 50 basis point cut and then be ready to do more."

Persons: Jerome Powell, Claudia Sahm, Sahm Organizations: Banking, Housing, Urban, Capitol, Federal Reserve, Federal, New Century Advisors, CNBC, Fed Locations: Washington ,

Mortgage rates probably won't drop much further if the Fed cuts rates, unless central bankers opt for a larger-than-expected cut. 30-Year Mortgage RatesAverage 30-year mortgage rates have been dropping this month and are now down near 5.70%, according to Zillow data. 5-Year Mortgage Rate TrendsHere's how 30-year and 15-year mortgage rates have trended over the last five years, according to Freddie Mac data. Mortgage rates are determined by a variety of different factors, including larger economic trends, Federal Reserve policy, your state's current mortgage rates, the type of loan you're getting, and your personal financial profile. This means your entire monthly mortgage payment, including taxes and insurance, shouldn't exceed 28% of your pre-tax monthly income.

Persons: you'll, they've, Freddie Mac, it's, Fannie Mae Organizations: Federal Reserve, Zillow, ARM, Federal Housing Administration, Department of Veterans Affairs, Fed, Mortgage, Association Locations: Chevron

☆ Tech roars back, and Eli Lilly sends a welcome signal on its growth prospects
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( Jeff Marks | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. Jim Cramer said earlier Friday that Nvidia received a do-over from Wall Street . As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.

Persons: Jim Cramer, Nvidia, Financials, Love, Lilly, Eli Lilly, Lilly's, haven't, that's, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Tech, Nvidia, Broadcom, Wall, Federal, Energy, Citi, and Drug Administration, Fed, Market, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: Ireland, Kisunla, U.S, Europe

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