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In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailApril's market pullback was 'enough', we're back to a bull market: Carson Group's Ryan DetrickRyan Detrick, Carson Group chief market strategist and Eric Johnston, Cantor Fitzgerald head of equity derivatives and cross asset, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' for a bull vs. bear debate on the state of the market.
Persons: Carson Group's Ryan Detrick Ryan Detrick, Eric Johnston, Cantor Fitzgerald Organizations: Carson Group
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email'Hard for us not to be bullish' on stocks, says Carson Group's Ryan DetrickRyan Detrick, Carson Group chief market strategist, joins CNBC's 'Closing Bell' to discuss market momentum, a summer rally, outlook on stock outperformance in 2024, and more.
Persons: Carson Group's Ryan Detrick Ryan Detrick Organizations: Carson Group
Wall Street needs a new rhyme for "sell in May and go away." NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . Advertisement"Sell in May and go away" is an old Wall Street adage that highlights the fact that the stock market's worst six-month stretch of performance is historically May through October. LPL Financial's chief technical strategist Adam Turnquist highlighted that since 1950, average returns for the S&P 500 during this six-month period are actually positive, not negative, at +1.7%.
Persons: Carson Group's Ryan Detrick, , they're, LPL, Adam Turnquist, Turnquist, Ryan Detrick, Fundstrat's Tom Lee, Lee, Detrick Organizations: Service, Carson Group
The S & P 500 is down by more than 3% this month, though it has still registered a more than 6% advance for the year. But many investors worry stocks have further to go before finding a durable bottom. They say stocks look overvalued even after the recent pullback, and they cite troubling headwinds for equities. 'Sell in May and go away' May has a reputation as a historically weak month for stocks. Carson Group's Ryan Detrick noted that stocks have actually been higher in May during the last nine out of 10 years.
Persons: Mark Luschini, Janney Montgomery Scott, Jeff Hirsch, he's, It's, Hirsch, Carson Group's Ryan Detrick, we've Organizations: Investors, Dow Jones Industrial, Dow, Treasury Bond ETF
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailDespite last week's market drop, there was improvement under the surface: Carson Group's DetrickHosted by Brian Sullivan, “Last Call” is a fast-paced, entertaining business show that explores the intersection of money, culture and policy. Tune in Monday through Friday at 7 p.m. ET on CNBC.
Persons: Carson Group's, Brian Sullivan, Organizations: CNBC
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThree rate cuts still plausible due to strong productivity, says Carson Group's Ryan DetrickRyan Detrick, Carson Group chief market strategist, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, why he believes the bull market is 'alive and well' and could keep charging higher, strength of the U.S. economy, the Fed's interest rate outlook, and more.
Persons: Carson Group's Ryan Detrick Ryan Detrick Organizations: Carson Group Locations: U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailA couple less rate cuts in a strong economy isn't a bad thing, says Carson Group's Ryan DetrickHosted by Brian Sullivan, “Last Call” is a fast-paced, entertaining business show that explores the intersection of money, culture and policy. Tune in Monday through Friday at 7 p.m. ET on CNBC.
Persons: Carson Group's Ryan Detrick, Brian Sullivan, Organizations: CNBC
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWouldn't be shocked if the market leaders start to give way to mid caps: Carson Group's DetrickHosted by Brian Sullivan, “Last Call” is a fast-paced, entertaining business show that explores the intersection of money, culture and policy. Tune in Monday through Friday at 7 p.m. ET on CNBC.
Persons: Carson Group's, Brian Sullivan, Organizations: CNBC
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThere are still a lot of economic indicators that say 'no recession': Carson Group's Ryan DetrickHosted by Brian Sullivan, “Last Call” is a fast-paced, entertaining business show that explores the intersection of money, culture and policy. Tune in Monday through Friday at 7 p.m. ET on CNBC.
Persons: Carson Group's Ryan Detrick, Brian Sullivan, Organizations: CNBC
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMarket broadening is still a trend to watch, says Carson Group's Ryan DetrickRyan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at the Carson Group, discusses what history suggests could happen to the markets this year.
Persons: Carson Group's Ryan Detrick Ryan Detrick Organizations: Carson Group
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThere's no recession coming and the Fed is likely done, says Carson Group's Ryan DetrickHosted by Brian Sullivan, “Last Call” is a fast-paced, entertaining business show that explores the intersection of money, culture and policy. Tune in Monday through Friday at 7 p.m. ET on CNBC.
Persons: Carson Group's Ryan Detrick, Brian Sullivan, Organizations: CNBC
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC’s full interview with Dan Greenhaus, Victoria Fernandez and Ryan DetrickSolus' Dan Greenhaus, Crossmark's Victoria Fernandez and Carson Group's Ryan Detrick, join 'Closing Bell' to discuss their market outlooks and the state of the consumer.
Persons: Dan Greenhaus, Victoria Fernandez, Ryan Detrick Solus, Carson Group's Ryan Detrick
Two recession indicators are on the verge of flashing as the unemployment rate ticks higher and the yield curve uninverts. "With labor supply increasing, we're not sure the Sahm rule, even if it triggers, would really be indicative of a recession." AdvertisementAdvertisementThere are two recession indicators that are on the verge of flashing, but even if they do flash stock market investors can rest easy. Last month, the unemployment rate rose to 3.9%, up 50 basis points from its cycle low of 3.4% in April. "That's why a small increase in the unemployment rate can be really bad news, because it keeps going," she explained.
Persons: we're, , Carson, Sonu Varghese, Sahm, Claudia Sahm, Varghese Organizations: Service, CNBC, Treasury
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSmall caps will do well in the next 12 months, 'there's no recession coming': Carson Group's DetrickHosted by Brian Sullivan, “Last Call” is a fast-paced, entertaining business show that explores the intersection of money, culture and policy. Tune in Monday through Friday at 7 p.m. ET on CNBC.
Persons: Carson Group's, Brian Sullivan, Organizations: CNBC
The bull market in stocks turned one year old on Thursday, and a lot has happened in that time. The S&P 500 is up 22% over the past year, making it one of the weakest first years of a new bull market ever. AdvertisementAdvertisementThe bull market in the S&P 500 officially turned one-year old today. AdvertisementAdvertisement"The average first year [of bull market performance] has seen stocks gain nearly 39%," Detrick said, adding that this is the worst first year of a new bull market since 1987, when stocks gained 21% in their first year. The average S&P 500 performance during the second year of a bull market is 13.5%.
Persons: Carson Group's Ryan Detrick, , Ryan Detrick, Detrick, Joe Biden, there's Organizations: Service, Federal, Carson Group
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThis bull market is still alive and well, says Carson Group's Ryan DetrickHosted by Brian Sullivan, “Last Call” is a fast-paced, entertaining business show that explores the intersection of money, culture and policy. Tune in Monday through Friday at 7 p.m. ET on CNBC.
Persons: Carson Group's Ryan Detrick, Brian Sullivan, Organizations: CNBC
Stocks are looking to maintain momentum in the holiday-shortened week ahead even as Wall Street contends with a seasonally weak period for markets ahead of the Federal Reserve's September rate decision. Some technical indicators have investors hopeful the bullish momentum could continue in the week ahead. For example, the major indexes broke above their respective 50-day moving averages this past week — a sign of improving short-term momentum. Central bank policymakers convene for a two-day meeting starting Sept. 19 and announce their interest rate decision Sept. 20. Week ahead calendar All times are ET.
Persons: Sam Stovall, We've, Ryan Detrick, Quincy Krosby, CFRA, , HSBC's Max Kettner, Savita Subramanian, John Luke Tyner, Carson Group's Detrick, Detrick, FactSet, Kroger Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Wall, Dow, Carson Group, Fed, LPL, Bank of America, Aptus Capital Advisors, Labor, PMI, PMI Services, Consumer Credit Locations: U.S, CFRA, China
One of the biggest risks to the stock market and economy is a gasoline price shock, according to Carson Group's Sonu Varghese. Gas prices are already up 23% year to date, and a further rise could reaccelerate inflation. His big worry is that surging gas prices can have a negative knock-on effect on the broader economy. That's because higher gas prices at the pump weigh heavily on consumer sentiment and can lead to curtailed spending. While he remains bullish on the outlook for the stock market and economy, he does worry that another gasoline price shock could serve as a big headwind for investors and consumers.
Persons: Carson Group's Sonu Varghese, Sonu Varghese, that's, Varghese, there's Organizations: Service, Carson Group, Energy Information Administration, Federal Reserve Locations: Wall, Silicon, Russia, Ukraine, Louisiana
Consumer credit card debt just topped $1 trillion for the first time ever, according to the Federal Reserve. A recent survey from BankRate found 47% of consumers are carrying credit card debt from month to month. Consumer credit card debt increased 4.6% in the second-quarter to a record $1.03 trillion, compared to $986 billion in the first quarter. Lower-income households were more likely to carry credit card debt from month to month, according to the survey, with 53% of cardholders with annual incomes below $50,000 carrying debt. "Yes, that's a lot of credit card debt, but most people are worth a lot more."
Persons: Joelle Scally, BankRate, Bankrate, they're, Scally, Carson, Ryan Detrick Organizations: Federal Reserve, Federal Reserve Bank of New, New York Fed, Fed Locations: York, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, CreditCards.com
The Dow Jones Industrial Average is in its longest win streak since February 2017. Carson Group's Ryan Detrick observed that win streaks from the Dow suggest there is no recession in sight. Blue chips were higher three months later 100% of the time, delivering an average gain of 5%. They were also up six months later 100% of the time, delivering an average gain of 11%. And 12 months later, they were up 80% of the time, delivering an average gain of just over 8%.
Persons: Carson Group's Ryan Detrick, Dow, Ryan Detrick, Dow Jones, Detrick Organizations: Dow Jones, Dow, Service, Microsoft, Carson Group Locations: Wall, Silicon
These are the three signs that suggest the economy's strength means it doesn't have to worry about sticking the landing. "Not only do we see no sign of recession, but it also doesn't even look like the economy is looking for a 'landing' at this point," Varghese said. Looking at the last three months of economic data, Varghese highlighted three data points that suggest the economy is likely to remain stronger than many expect and ultimately avoid a recession. Retail sales rose at an annualized pace of 4.7% in the second-quarter, and retail sales excluding vehicle and gas station sales rose at a 6.3% annual pace. Taken altogether, the data suggests to Varghese that the US economic growth reaccelerated over the past year.
Persons: Carson Group's Sonu Varghese, Carson, Sonu Varghese, Varghese, it's Organizations: Carson, Federal Locations: Atlanta
That's true even amid concerns of dwindling excess savings and the imminent resumption of student loan payments. The consumer is important to track for because about 70% of the US economy is driven by consumer spending, which relies heavily on the daily spending habits of more than 300 million Americans. Carson Group"When thinking about debt, the key question is whether households are able to service that debt," Detrick. Based on estimates from JPMorgan, the household debt service ratio at the end of the second quarter was 9.7%. Strong spending trends.
Persons: Carson, Ryan Detrick, it's, that's, Detrick Organizations: Service, Carson, JPMorgan, JPMorgan Consumers Locations: Wall, Silicon
U.S. stock futures were little changed on Tuesday night as Wall Street looks to resume a holiday-shortened week. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures fell by 33 points, or 0.1%. Stocks rose slightly during the shortened trading day, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average adding 10.87 points, or 0.03%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was the laggard, rising just 3.8%. Economists polled by Dow Jones are anticipating a rise of 0.6%, which would be greater than the 0.4% increase the previous month.
Persons: Stocks, We've, Carson Group's Ryan Detrick, CNBC's, Dow Jones, John Williams Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Markets, Dow Jones, Reserve, , New York Fed, Central Bank Research Association Locations: New York City . U.S, , New, New York City
Carson Group's Ryan Detrick says he is a buyer of any weakness
  + stars: | 2023-07-03 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCarson Group's Ryan Detrick says he is a buyer of any weaknessRyan Detrick, Carson Group, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss his latest bullish call based on historical trends.
Persons: Carson Group's Ryan Detrick, Ryan Detrick Organizations: Carson Group
The S&P 500 has climbed 15% in 2023, powered higher by Big Tech stocks. The index is likely to hit a new all-time high before the end of the year, Carson Group's top strategist said Thursday. "We still think there's a lot left in the tank here," Ryan Detrick told CNBC. "We've been overweight equities at Carson Investment Research since late December," Detrick told CNBC's "Closing Bell". The S&P 500 hit its record high in January 2022, reaching just under 4,800 points.
Persons: Carson Group's, Ryan Detrick, , Carson, Tesla, We've, Detrick, CNBC's, Organizations: Big Tech, CNBC, Service, Meta, Nvidia, Carson Investment Research, Reserve, Fed
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