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For the third quarter, the S & P 500 has popped 4.7%, while the Dow is higher by 7.7%. "The bond market has the fed funds rate being cut below 3% in 2025," Johnston, the firm's head of derivatives and cross asset strategy, wrote in a note Monday. On Monday, S & P Global said its U.S. manufacturing purchasing managers' index fell to a 15-month low in September — while its services sector gauge showed expansion. He likes put spreads on the SPDR S & P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) expiring Oct. 31. If history is any guide, it'll most likely be the bond market.
Persons: Cantor Fitzgerald's Eric Johnston, Johnston Organizations: Dow Jones, Federal Reserve, Dow, P Global, Trust Locations:
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailAI trade is at a 'short-term, tactical top', says Cantor Fitzgerald's Eric JohnstonEric Johnston, Cantor Fitzgerald head of derivatives & cross asset, and Bob Elliott, Unlimited Funds CEO, join 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the days market action.
Persons: Cantor, Eric Johnston Eric Johnston, Cantor Fitzgerald, Bob Elliott Organizations: Unlimited Funds
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with BD8's Barbara Doran and Cantor Fitzgerald's Eric JohnstonBarbara Doran, BD8 Capital Partners CEO, and Eric Johnston, Cantor Fitzgerald head of equity derivatives & cross asset, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the day's market action.
Persons: Barbara Doran, Cantor Fitzgerald's Eric Johnston Barbara Doran, Eric Johnston, Cantor Fitzgerald Organizations: BD8 Capital Partners
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Cantor Fitzgerald's Eric Johnston and BMO's Brian BelskiEric Johnston, Cantor Fitzgerald's head of equity derivatives and cross-asset, and Brian Belski, chief investment strategist at BMO Capital Markets, join 'Closing Bell' to discuss the possibility of a late-year rally, the outlook for interest rates, and more.
Persons: Cantor Fitzgerald's Eric Johnston, BMO's Brian Belski Eric Johnston, Cantor Fitzgerald's, Brian Belski Organizations: BMO Capital Markets
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRate policy will remain a headwind with incremental effects, says Cantor Fitzgerald's Eric JohnstonCantor Fitzgerald's Eric Johnston and NFJ Investment Group's John Mowrey join 'Closing Bell' to discuss their competing viewpoints about the economic cycle, how to trade equities being impacted by rates, and the mixed impact of inflation on consumers.
Persons: Cantor, Eric Johnston Cantor, Eric Johnston, John Mowrey Organizations: NFJ Investment
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Cantor Fitzgerald's Eric Johnston and NFJ's John MowreyCantor Fitzgerald's Eric Johnston and NFJ Investment Group's John Mowrey join 'Closing Bell' to discuss their competing viewpoints about the economic cycle, how to trade equities being impacted by rates and the mixed impact of inflation on consumers.
Persons: Cantor Fitzgerald's Eric Johnston, NFJ's John Mowrey Cantor, Eric Johnston, John Mowrey Organizations: NFJ Investment
Yields on 10-year Treasury yields have surged well above 4%. With both stock valuations and interest rates high, stock prices could continue to fall. Yields on 10-year Treasury notes surged to 15-year highs this week, surpassing 4.3% for the first time since late 2007. This has put a damper on what was a 20% rally for the S&P 500 from January to the end of July. The median S&P 500 year-end price target among major Wall Street strategists is 4,300, just below the index's current price around 4,370.
Persons: Stocks, Adam Turnquist, Treasurys, It's, John Lynch, they've, Tom Essaye, Lynch, Turnquist, David Rosenberg, Rosenberg, Greg Boutle, Cantor Fitzgerald's Eric Johnston, Piper Sandler's Michael Kantrowitz Organizations: Treasury, LPL, Bank of America, Comerica Wealth, Wall Street, Rosenberg Research, RBC, BNP
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEarnings could damage the current market momentum, says Cantor Fitzgerald's Eric JohnstonEric Johnston, Cantor Fitzgerald head of equity derivatives & cross assets, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the bear case for the current stock market environment.
Persons: Cantor, Eric Johnston Eric Johnston, Cantor Fitzgerald
Piper Sandler's Michael Kantrowitz says a recession is hurtling toward the US economy. He pointed to stocks falling in lockstep with rising unemployment claims in 2007, 2000, 1990, 1981, 1973, and 1969. Today, investors are again doing a poor job of forecasting rising unemployment claims in the months ahead, Kantrowitz believes. Underpinning Wilson's call is an earnings recession this year that investors aren't pricing in. "We first started talking about the coming earnings recession a year ago and received very strong pushback, just like today.
Persons: Piper Sandler's Michael Kantrowitz, Kantrowitz, Michael Kantrowitz doesn't, Piper Sandler, it's, Louis, Greg Boutle, Cantor Fitzgerald's Eric Johnston, Venu Krishna, Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson, Wilson, Albert Edwards Organizations: Energy, Survey, Federal Reserve Bank of St, BNP, Barclays, Conference, Board, National Federal, Independent, of Labor Statistics, Generale's Locations: lockstep
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with NewEdge Wealth's Cameron Dawson and Cantor Fitzgerald's Eric JohnstonNewEdge Wealth's Cameron Dawson, Cantor Fitzgerald's Eric Johnston, and CNBC's Mike Santoli join 'Closing Bell' to discuss investments moving from regional banks to money market accounts, expectations for tomorrow's Fed agenda, and inflation indicators ticking higher.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailShrinking bank balance sheets point to slower loan growth ahead: NewEdge Wealth's Cameron DawsonNewEdge Wealth's Cameron Dawson, Cantor Fitzgerald's Eric Johnston, and CNBC's Mike Santoli join 'Closing Bell' to discuss investments moving from regional banks to money market accounts, expectations for tomorrow's Fed agenda, and inflation indicators ticking higher.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC’s full interview with Cantor Fitzgerald's Eric JohnstonEric Johnston, Cantor Fitzgerald, joins 'Closing Bell: Overtime' to discuss market outlook after a volatile few weeks.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Cantor Fitzgerald's Eric Johnston and Cerity Partners' Jim LebenthalEric Johnston, Cantor Fitzgerald head of equity derivatives and cross asset, and Jim Lebenthal, Cerity Partners' chief equity strategist, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss the resilience of the economy, indicators suggesting a significant downside and the strength of the banking sector.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC’s full interview with Cantor Fitzgerald's Eric Johnston and NZS Capital’s Brad SlingerlendCantor Fitzgerald's Eric Johnston and NZS Capital's Brad Slingerlend join 'Closing Bell: Overtime' to discuss equities and risk reward, the Fed and markets. They also react to earnings reports after the bell.
Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose in overnight trading as earnings season pressed on and Salesforce shares popped nearly 15% on a strong quarter and forward guidance. Along with Salesforce, Okta shares jumped 13% in overnight trading on solid earnings and guidance. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures added 0.08% and 0.10%, respectively. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite led Wednesday's losses, falling 0.66%, while the S&P 500 dipped 0.47%. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq are on pace for their second consecutive losing week for the first time since December.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe economy will weaken soon and earnings will fall far to the downside, warns Cantor's Eric JohnstonCantor Fitzgerald's Eric Johnston and NZS Capital’s Brad Slingerlend join 'Closing Bell: Overtime' to discuss equities and risk reward, the Fed and markets
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEven if earnings don't go down the market is overvalued, says Cantor Fitzgerald's Eric JohnstonNewEdge Wealth Advisors' Cameron Dawson, Hightower Advisors' Stephanie Link and Cantor Fitzgerald's Eric Johnston join 'Closing Bell' to discuss underlying economic momentum, the strength of earnings and the Fed's progress on inflation.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHistorical data shows when labor peaks, a recession is imminent, says Cantor Fitzgerald's Eric JohnstonEric Johnston, Cantor Fitzgerald, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss trends in the markets and where he believes the labor market will go.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe don't think we're going to have a soft landing, says Cantor Fitzgerald's Eric JohnstonEric Johnston, Cantor Fitzgerald's head of equity derivatives and cross asset, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to share why he still considers this a bear market, indicators of worsening conditions in the rate market and the cyclical nature of the unemployment rate.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe're now turning quite bearish, says Cantor Fitzgerald's Eric JohnstonEric Johnston, head of equity derivatives and cross asset at Cantor Fitzgerald, joins 'Closing Bell: Overtime' to discuss today's jobs report and whether the stronger-than-expected number has dashed any hopes for a year-end rally.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe market is not adequately pricing in recession risk, says Cantor Fitzgerald's Eric JohnstonEric Johnston, Cantor Fitzgerald head of equity derivatives and cross asset, joins 'Closing Bell' to remark on his latest bearish call, earnings estimates and valuations risks in 2023 and the trajectory of Fed policy.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCantor Fitzgerald's Eric Johnston breaks down his move to a neutral callEric Johnston, Cantor Fitzgerald, joins 'Closing Bell: Overtime' to discuss the reason he turned neutral on the market.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMultiple data points suggest inflation is falling, says Cantor Fitzgerald's Eric JohnstonEric Johnston, Cantor Fitzgerald's head of equity derivatives and cross-asset strategy, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss market repricing the chances of a soft landing, the ability for markets to maintain the current rally, and signs of inflation falling in pockets of the economy.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Cantor Fitzgerald's Eric JohnstonEric Johnston, Cantor Fitzgerald's head of equity derivatives and cross-asset strategy, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss the market repricing the chances of a soft landing, the ability for markets to maintain the current rally and signs of inflation falling in pockets of the economy.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailInvestors should look at defensive companies with high cash flow, says John Hancock’s Emily RolandCantor Fitzgerald's Eric Johnston, Payne Capital's Courtney Garcia and John Hancock’s Emily Roland, join 'Closing Bell: Overtime' to discuss the market rally, inflation and the Fed.
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