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☆ High rates are historically bad for bitcoin. Here’s what’s in store for crypto with the 10-year near 5%
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-21 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

High interest rates have not been bitcoin's friend in the past, and the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield recently reaching new generational highs comes at an especially inconvenient time for the cryptocurrency. "We continue to see high yields as a negative for bitcoin and in particular crypto more broadly," said Needham analyst John Todaro. The central bank chief also left the door open for higher interest rates , saying he doesn't think levels are currently too high. In the past, high yields have put pressure on crypto, giving investors fewer reasons to bet on high-risk assets such as bitcoin in the face of high yield, low risk assets like government bonds. Callie Cox, an analyst at the investment company eToro, said bitcoin could actually continue to do well — partly as a result of high interest rates.

Persons: it's, Needham, John Todaro, Jerome Powell, Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg, Callie Cox, bitcoin, What's, Crypto, Cox Organizations: Treasury, Wolfe Research

Investors were handed an income opportunity they haven't seen in more than a decade when the 10-year Treasury yield climbed near 5% on Thursday. US10Y 5Y mountain 10-year Treasury A 5% yield on the 10-year is a good value, said Kathy Jones, Charles Schwab's chief fixed income strategist. A real yield is a bond's nominal yield minus inflation. "With the 10-year yield nearing 5%, it could be your sign to pick them up." There is also the Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF (VYM) , which has lost 2.59% and charges 0.06% in fees.

Persons: Barry Glassman, Kathy Jones, Charles Schwab's, Callie Cox, Schwab's Jones, Amy Arnott, Morningstar, Arnott, Cox, John Croke ,, Jones, Morningstar's Arnott Organizations: Treasury, Wealth Services, LendingClub, Vanguard Locations: eToro

☆ Bitcoin has limited upside in the fourth quarter as the possibility of higher rates casts a shadow over crypto
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-29 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

In the final quarter of the year, bitcoin is likely to see continued chop and although there's room for some upside, it may be limited. Despite this, it remains on pace for an 11% decline in the third quarter, historically a weaker quarter for the cryptocurrency. Meanwhile, holding a non-yielding asset like gold or bitcoin could become "less interesting" as rates go higher, Amberdata's Magadini said. There's a significant crowd on both sides, Cox said – "that's why bitcoin is up 60% in a year when the Fed has hiked interest rates so aggressively." The answer to that depends on interest rates, which will probably stay high."

Persons: Bitcoin, bitcoin, Greg Magadini, Rob Ginsberg, wouldn't, haven't, Callie Cox, That's, Amberdata's Magadini, Cox Organizations: SEC, –, Wolfe Research, Fed

☆ Here's why trillions of dollars in money market funds may not restart the stock market rally
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-25 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

The 2023 stock market rally caught many investors off guard, with mountains of excess cash sitting in money market funds. "Money market balances are building up, which is unusual given how much the stock market has rallied recently. And history suggests that money market funds are not always fuel for a buy-the-dip trend to support a late-stage rally. Through that lens, the growth of money market funds in 2023 can also be linked to the regional bank crisis earlier this year. Clissold said discussions with wealth advisory clients suggest that "some of that money market fund money does leak into the stock market," albeit over time.

Persons: Emmanuel Cau, Callie Cox, Cox, Todd Sohn, Sohn, Ed Clissold, Ned Davis, Clissold, John Tobin, Dreyfus, I'm, corporates, Tobin Organizations: Bank of America, EPFR, Investment Company Institute, Nasdaq, Barclays, Money, Federal Reserve, Ned, Ned Davis Research, BNY Mellon Investment Management, CIO Locations: U.S

☆ Crypto market bounces off recent sell-off, bitcoin rises to $26,500
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-23 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Bitcoin rose more than 2% to $26,517.09. The crypto market move higher coincided with gains in the major stock averages. "Add in summer trading volumes, and you have a recipe for day-to-day volatility. Crypto has been suffering since the spring from low liquidity and thin trading volumes, which has exacerbated moves on both the upside and the downside. "The correlation between equity indices and bitcoin has declined to near zero in 2023," said Sam Callahan, lead analyst at Swan Bitcoin.

Persons: Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin, Ether, Cardano's, Callie Cox, Jerome Powell, Crypto, Sam Callahan Organizations: Federal, Swan Locations: Jackson Hole , Wyoming, Jackson

With the second half of the year now underway, investors may want to take another look at their fixed income portfolio. High yields have been a boon to income investors, as the Federal Reserve increased interest rates over the past year. "For more of our clients, we're looking to have the fixed income of the portfolio provide lower correlation and income," he said. Greg Wilensky, head of U.S. fixed income at Janus Henderson Investors, generally prefers securitized assets such as asset-backed and mortgage-backed securities. "You can't think of high yield bonds in the same thought as Treasurys," said Cox of eToro.

Persons: James Franke, Sonal Desai, She's, We're, It's, Desai, Franke, Rothschild, Callie Cox, Greg Wilensky, Janus Henderson, Cox Organizations: Federal Reserve, Treasury, Rothschild Investment, Franklin, Janus, Janus Henderson Investors Locations: Treasurys, U.S, eToro

☆ Inflation, Fed policy back in focus for crypto investors as bitcoin enters summer doldrums
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-01 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The crypto market leader finished May down 7.9%, according to Coin Metrics, while ether posted a 2% loss. Absent other clear catalysts – such as the U.S. regional bank crisis whose start and end coincided with the crypto rally – price movements in June will probably be determined yet again by inflation, monetary policy and regulatory updates. "Crypto investors will probably follow the economy for clues on where prices go next," said Callie Cox, an analyst at the investment company eToro. "Bitcoin and ether are likely to gather assets from the more speculative crypto currencies that investors have abandoned since the various scandals," she added. Prices, like growth stock valuations, have come down and made the asset more digestible, and interesting, particularly for institutional investors.

Persons: Bitcoin, Crypto, Callie Cox, Sylvia Jablonski, eToro's Cox, Joel Kruger, There's, it's, Defiance's Jablonski Organizations: Fed, Metrics, LMAX, CNBC Locations: Defiance

☆ From your 401(k) to bonds, here’s how to protect your financial well-being as debt default worries grow
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-27 | by ( Ramishah Maruf | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

New York CNN —The White House and House GOP negotiators are rushing to finalize a deal to raise the country’s debt limit. With that X-date only about one week away, there’s still no deal to raise the debt ceiling – putting Americans’ finances in danger. If you invest in bonds, pay attention to when your Treasury bills are maturing. Stick with high-quality investmentsSteer clear of corporate junk bonds or emerging market bonds, CNN has previously reported. Federal government contractors could also see a lag in payments, which could affect their ability to compensate their workers, CNN previously reported.

☆ Stocked up on short-term T-bills? Here’s why it might be time to buy longer-term bonds
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-26 | by ( Darla Mercado | Cfp | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Short-term Treasury bills have garnered investors' attention as yields pop amid the Federal Reserve's rate hiking campaign and debt ceiling tensions in Washington. This doesn't necessarily mean it's time to cut bait on your short-term bond holdings, however. Issues with longer duration are likely to see greater price fluctuation in response to changes in interest rates. The inverted yield curve also resulted in higher yields for short-term issues, but sharp price declines. Some investors built ladders — that is, a portfolio of bonds with different maturities — to take advantage of those higher yields.

Persons: Paul Olmsted, Bonds, Olmsted, we've, Brenna McLoughlin, Kevin Brady, Callie Cox, Cox Organizations: Morningstar, Treasury, Wealthstream Advisors, Wealthspire Advisors Locations: Washington

☆ Bitcoin rises slightly after key inflation data comes in better than feared
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-10 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Bitcoin prices have been under pressure in 2022 after the collapse of algorithmic stablecoin terraUSD and subsequent bankruptcy filings from lender Celsius and hedge fund Three Arrows Capital. Bitcoin rose about 2% to $28,174.29, according to Coin Metrics, after starting the week with a sharp drop. Investors grew optimistic after the CPI report showed the inflation rate eased on an annual basis to 4.9% in April, which was slightly less than what economists polled by Dow Jones expected. "When it comes to inflation data, bitcoin embraces its identity as a riskier asset," said Callie Cox, an analyst at investment company eToro. "Inflation is coming down, just as the Fed intended, and that's easing fears about the economy's future," she added.

☆ Bitcoin dips below $30,000 to start the week as crypto investors refocus on economic concerns
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-17 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Cryptocurrencies fell on Monday as investors put excitement from Ethereum's "Shapella" upgrade behind them and refocused on upcoming bank earnings and recession concerns. Bitcoin fell 3% to $29,515.35, according to Coin Metrics, falling below the key $30,000 it hit last week for the first time since June. Crypto is coming off a winning week in which prices were boosted by optimism around Ethereum's latest tech upgrade, dubbed "Shapella" (also known as "Shanghai"). Crypto investors are watching bank earnings this week for more insight about the health of the sector and possibility of a coming recession. For this week, any downside potential "should not be severe" or keep bitcoin from continuing on its uptrend, Hasegawa said.

☆ Crypto trading could take a breather after ‘Shanghai’ rally, as investors refocus on banks and economy
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-16 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

While ether climbed throughout the week, bitcoin – the outperformer this year – was trading more choppily. Or will it be an event where people are losing money broadly and economic concerns spill over into the crypto space." "I think it could go either way, but so far what we see in the crypto space is encouraging," he added. "Investors could continue to be picky and look for perceived quality, even in the crypto space," she said. "That's helped bitcoin this year since it's seen as a risk asset outside of crypto, but a store of value within crypto.

If the fed funds rate is discounted by core PCE inflation, the real interest rate is currently a positive 0.275%, and rising. Using annual headline PCE inflation of 5% in February, the real fed funds rate is only -0.125%. Real policy rates were positive for at least two decades up until 2002. For its part, the Fed sees the real fed funds rate ending this year around +180 bps, based on its median fed funds and PCE inflation projections of 5.1% and 3.3%, respectively. Bank of America rates strategists think this is far too optimistic, and real policy rates will be much lower.

☆ S&P 500 futures are slightly higher as investors weigh Fed outlook on rate hikes: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-22 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

U.S. equity futures were slightly higher on Wednesday evening as traders digested the latest policy update from the Federal Reserve. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 71 points, or 0.2%. S&P 500 futures rose 0.2%and Nasdaq 100 futures advanced by 0.1%. The Fed's decision and subsequent comments by Chair Jerome Powell at the conclusion of the policymakers' two-day meeting weighed on stocks. "Investors thought the banking crisis could weigh on growth enough to ease inflation, but the Fed isn't taking any chances.

☆ Bitcoin is up 60% so far this year as investors rediscover appeal as alternative banking system
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-18 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Cryptocurrencies stood out this week as bank shares tumbled and the global liquidity crisis rocked the stock market. Bitcoin versus the banks The price of bitcoin twice rose above the key $25,200 level to more than $26,000, according to Coin Metrics. BTC.CM= 1Y mountain Bitcoin, 1-year Bitcoin's outperformance amid a crisis in the traditional banking system had some wondering if the price rallied on a potential narrative shift. Though bitcoin was initially designed to be digital cash and an alternative financial system, it spent much of last year trading like a speculative asset. "In practice, bitcoin isn't isolated from the traditional banking system.

☆ Crypto rallies into weekend, bitcoin heads for its best week since early 2021
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-17 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

It's headed for its best week since January 2021, which was right before the first bull run that year. Ether rose 3.5% to $1,744.24 and is on pace for its best week since August 2021. The bank's fate continued to weigh on investors even after the embattled lender said it will borrow up to 50 billion Swiss francs ($54 billion) from the Swiss National Bank. Investors have welcomed resilient crypto prices amid the banking crisis this week. The week kicked off with the closures of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank late Sunday but attention was on First Republic Bank throughout the week.

If the market gyrations and Silicon Valley Bank's failure are rattling your faith in stocks, there are places to look for safety. But for cash and bond allocations, T-bills – U.S. Treasurys with maturity of one year or less – might be the ticket. The rates will adjust and correct [at some point], and these short-term rates will go back to normal," he said. When buying bank CDs, investors should be mindful of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp.'s coverage, he said. Hans Olsen, chief investment officer of Fiduciary Trust Company, highlighted short-duration, high-quality bonds are where it's at for safety.

☆ Jerome Powell isn't winning any popularity contests among investors as markets booed his testimony on Tuesday
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-08 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

If you missed Jerome Powell's remarks from his first day on Capitol Hill yesterday, the TLDR is that more rate hikes are coming because the economy's still running hot. The market response to Powell's testimony was anything but muted. The idea is to eventually lower inflation — which most recently clocked in at 6.4% — but the more rate hikes we see, the greater the risk of a recession. So in short: stocks sold off, bond yields jumped, and traders eyed greater potential for a bigger rate hike this month. "If the totality of the data were to indicate that faster tightening is warranted, we would be prepared to increase the pace of rate hikes," Powell said.

☆ Jerome Powell's testimony is rattling markets. Here's what 4 strategists are saying about the Fed's hawkish stance.
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-07 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

On the first day of testimony to lawmakers, Jerome Powell said the Fed will likely raise rates higher than expected. Traders are pricing in higher odds of a 50 basis-point move this month after Powell's comments. Charlie Ripley, senior investment strategist, Allianz Investment Management"Unsurprisingly, Chairman Powell delivered a message with hawkish undertones in his testimony to Congress. Higher rates and inflation should prove a headwind for P/E expansion, so investors should expect total return to derive from earnings and income." Jeffrey Roach, chief economist, LPL Financial"Rates will likely be higher than expected, but inflation is still the wild card as the Fed remains data-dependent.

☆ Inflation's direction will drive crypto's action in March now that the 2023 rally has faded
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-01 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Bitcoin and ether are starting the new trading month on a positive note – following a relatively flat month – each rising less than 1% Wednesday. In the near term, our bet is on the dollar pulling back," he said Wednesday. If we're right and more upside lies ahead in the near term, it's tough to think crypto isn't a major beneficiary." Long-term investors see regulation as a positive development ultimately, but it can put pressure on prices in the near term, Kruger said. Breaking past $25,000 Although bitcoin held up in February, investors are unsure when to expect a rocket ship rally .

☆ The stock market and the economy are stuck on different pages - but the Fed's going to get the last word
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-27 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

It's one of my favorite books, and the idea is relevant today because "Catch-22" is a fitting characterization of what's facing stocks and economy right now. Good news isn't good news and bad news is good news. To be sure, inflation remains hot, as we saw in Friday's Personal Consumption Expenditure data — the Fed's preferred inflation gauge. Even as many top commentators are split on the outlook for the economy, markets appear stuck digesting a host of mixed signals, from strong economic data on the one hand, to fears of higher rates on the other. The billionaire Tesla chief has warned that the central bank could crush the value of the entire stock market.

☆ SEC charges Do Kwon with fraud, and other key stories that moved crypto this week: CNBC Crypto World
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-17 | by ( Jordan Smith | Talia Kaplan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSEC charges Do Kwon with fraud, and other key stories that moved crypto this week: CNBC Crypto WorldCNBC Crypto World features the latest news and daily trading updates from the digital currency markets and provides viewers with a look at what's ahead with high-profile interviews, explainers, and unique stories from the ever-changing crypto industry. On today's show, Callie Cox, investment analyst at eToro, breaks down the biggest themes that moved crypto markets this week.

Analysts said the new cash may afford Bed Bath only a few quarters to revive its business, and a weakening economy would diminish any chance of a successful turnaround. Bed Bath declined to comment on Hudson Bay Capital's role in the share sale. "All is on hold," a maker of children's apparel said last week, adding that it had stopped shipping products to Bed Bath since early January. A shopping cart is seen at a Bed Bath & Beyond store in Manhattan, New York City, U.S., June 29, 2022. Reuters reported late last month that Bed Bath had lined up liquidators to close additional stores unless a last-minute buyer emerged.

Hudson Bay Capital is unrelated to Canadian department store chain Hudson's Bay Co. Bed Bath & Beyond declined to comment earlier Tuesday on Hudson Bay Capital leading investment in the share sale. A shopping cart is seen at a Bed Bath & Beyond store in Manhattan, New York City, U.S., June 29, 2022. REUTERS/Andrew KellyPrices on Bed Bath & Beyond bonds due in 2024 climbed to 24 cents on the dollar from around 5 cents, a level still indicating financial distress. Bed Bath shares rose 2.7% in extended trading, after closing down 49% on Tuesday.

Organizations: & ' $

☆ January was bitcoin's best month since 2021, but crypto isn't ready for a 'rocket ship rally' yet
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-31 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

For some investors, however, its strong month isn't necessarily a green light to jump back into the crypto market. As of Tuesday, bitcoin is set to finish the month up 38.39%, which would make it its best month since October 2021 and its best January in 10 years, according to Coin Metrics. Ether , which led the crypto recovery last summer ahead of the merge, has risen 31% this month, coming off a 67.06% decline for 2022. However, "we're not so sure bitcoin is ready for another rocket ship rally just yet." "Thus far, the rise in BTC dominance looks reminiscent of April 2019, during which a BTC rally marked a crypto market bottom, much akin to rising BTC dominance lately."

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