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Stocks are riding high heading into Nvidia's earnings results after the market close Wednesday. U.S. stock market benchmarks have been hovering near all-time highs. But Nvidia will test the sustainability of recent market highs given its huge size in broad market indexes, as well as its influence over investor psychology. Consider that the Jensen Huang-led company is in more than 6,000 long-only institutional funds, and in just 21 short-only funds, according to data from S & P Capital IQ. Beat and raise Many investors expect a strong showing from Nvidia will keep markets on their recent upward ascent.
Persons: Jensen Huang, Sam Stovall, Stovall, CFRA's Stovall, Piper Sandler, Harsh Kumar, Kumar, , Blackwell, Huang, Zachary Hill, Hill, We've, Chris Zaccarelli Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Nvidia, CFRA, Microsoft, Investments, Independent
The Fed and economic policy were top of mind this week given the central bank's Wednesday decision to yet again leave interest rates unchanged , as it has since last summer. This week included the conclusion of April's trading month, which marked the first down month of the year for all three major market averages. Indeed, some recent earnings reports have raised doubts about the economy, with brands from McDonald's and Starbucks evidencing signs of strain among consumers. While no new inflation numbers are scheduled for release next week, investors will see reports on March wholesale inventories, March consumer credit and May consumer sentiment from the University of Michigan. AI trade Though interest rates took center stage this week, investors also continued monitoring companies tied to the artificial intelligence boom amid the stocks' recent choppiness.
Persons: they're, Jerome Powell, Larry Tentarelli, David Donabedian, Sam Stovall, There's, Stovall, Tom Hainlin, Tentarelli, CFRA's Stovall, Lyft, Cabot, Aramark, Tempur Sealy, Nikola, Walt Disney, Sally Beauty, Warby Parker, Krispy Kreme, Papa John's Organizations: Federal Reserve, Treasury, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, CIBC Private Wealth, Dow, CFRA, Citigroup, Bank of America, U.S, Bank Wealth Management, University of Michigan, Nvidia, Disney, Spirit Airlines, Tyson Foods, Pharmaceuticals, Lucid, Palantir Technologies, Simon Property, Tech, Lab, Goodyear Tire, Noble Corp, Vornado Realty, Coty, BellRing, Consumer, UBS, BP, Nintendo, Bloomin, Duke Energy, Rockwell Automation, Ferrari, NRG Energy, Electronic Arts, Cirrus, Adaptive Biotech, Arista Networks, Dutch Bros, Holdings, Virgin Galactic, IAC, Rivian Automotive, Brighthouse, Occidental Petroleum, Assurant, Kinross Gold, Labs, Diamond, Reddit, Anheuser, Busch InBev, Embraer, Health, United Parks & Resorts, Emerson Electric, Brookfield , New York Times, Food, Reynolds Consumer Products, Teva Pharma, Uber Technologies, Dine Brands, Liberty Broadband, Fox Corp, Cushman &, Liberty Media, Arm Holdings, Kodiak Gas Services, Solaredge Technologies, AMC Entertainment, Cheesecake, News Corp, Toyota Motors, Fair, US Foods, Hyatt Hotels, Warner Bros, Hilton, Warner Music Group, Unity Software, Insurance, Gen, Honda, AMC Networks Locations: Central, McDonald's, Expeditors, Occidental, Angi, Brookfield , New, Ambev, Cushman & Wakefield, Michigan
CFRA's Sam Stovall anticipates the stock market can go higher even without rate cuts, but has the playbook to navigate a possible correction if one develops. The chief investment strategist expects the S & P 500 still has further upside. But he sees a bumpy road ahead, anticipating a consolidation of about 8% to 10% after the market's recent gains. "As a result, I think there is, after we get through this much-anticipated correction that history says is overdue, I think we do end up being higher by year-end," Stovall said. After such a pullback, however, the best-performing assets were in communication services, financials and technology, Stovall said.
Persons: CFRA's Sam Stovall, Stovall, CNBC's Organizations: Federal Reserve, NextEra Energy, Procter, Gamble
Wall Street could be in for another solid quarter as stocks have embarked on a strong start to the year. Specifically, in the second quarter, the S & P 500 was higher 9 out of 11 times, averaging a 2.7% gain. Significantly, two occurrences of those 10% first-quarter gains Detrick reviewed took place during election years, with the S & P 500 ending higher on the year. In 1976, the S & P 500 went on to register a 1.5% increase in the second quarter, and a 4.6% jump for the rest of the year. The Wall Street firm maintained its year-end S & P 500 target of 5,050, representing a 3.8% slide from Wednesday's close.
Persons: Ryan Detrick, We've, there'd, Detrick, CNBC's, Research's Sam Stovall, Stovall, Piper Sandler, Craig Johnson, Brian Nick, Nick, John Stoltzfus, Ayako Yoshioka, Yoshioka, CFRA's Stovall, FactSet Organizations: Nvidia, VanEck Semiconductor, Dow Jones, Carson Group, Macro, PMI, Manufacturing, ADP, Survey, Services PMI, Weston Holdings, Conagra Brands, Consumer Credit Locations: U.S
Stocks will continue to rise as the U.S. skirts a recession in 2024, according to CFRA chief investment strategist Sam Stovall. "By the end of 2024, CFRA sees the S & P 500 challenging the 5,000 level," Stovall wrote in a Friday note. "But since large, round numbers traditionally act like rusty doors, requiring several attempts before finally swinging open, our year-end target for the S & P 500 is 4,940." .SPX YTD mountain The S & P 500 has gained about 21% from the start of 2023. Stovall's forecast implies about 7% upside for the S & P 500 to the end of 2024.
Persons: Sam Stovall, CFRA, Stovall, Stocks, Michael Bloom Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Reserve, Treasury Locations: U.S
Wall Street is set to wrap up a strong month next week as stocks gun for new highs heading into year end. The Nasdaq Composite is on pace to close out the month with a double-digit advance, up 10%. In contrast to September and October, which are typically weak periods for stocks, the seasonal patterns are now in favor of equities. This week, LPL Financial's Adam Turnquist pointed out that more than half, or 55%, of S & P 500 stocks closed above their 200-day moving average. It's set to show a rise of 0.2%, down from the 0.7% rise in the prior month, according to FactSet consensus estimates.
Persons: Stephen Suttmeier, Sam Stovall, That's, CFRA's Stovall, What's, LPL, Adam Turnquist, Turnquist, Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg, Morningstar's Dave Sekera, Sekera, Morningstar's Sekera, Salesforce, Gartner Organizations: Nasdaq, Bank, Treasury, Costco Wholesale, Kroger, New, Dallas Fed, Richmond Fed, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, NetApp, Intuit, PCE Deflator, Chicago PMI, PMI, Manufacturing, Dominion Energy, Cboe, Cardinal Health Locations: Chicago
Major earnings reports and economic data will be in focus next week as investors seek clarity on how the Federal Reserve will proceed from here. But next week will bring the lion's share of results including reports from mega-cap darlings Alphabet, Amazon , Meta Platforms and Microsoft . While the S & P 500 is higher by 10% in 2023, the equal-weighted index is down slightly. Of note, Tesla shares sank more than 9% on Thursday following a pessimistic economic outlook from CEO Elon Musk during the company's earnings call. Its the S & P 500's first weekly loss in three weeks.
Persons: bode, Elon Musk, We're, Sam Stovall, it's, Raphael Bostic, Ed Clissold, Ned Davis, Clissold, Katie Stockton, Rob Ginsberg, I'm, CFRA's Stovall, Stovall, Sherwin, Williams, Kimberly, Hess, Raymond James Financial, Keurig Dr Pepper, Northrop, Willis Towers Watson, Stanley Black, Rowe Price Organizations: Federal Reserve, Microsoft, Investors, CFRA, Dow Jones, Treasury, Fed, Atlanta Federal Reserve, Ned, Ned Davis Research, Wolfe Research, Chicago, P, PMI, P Global PMI Manufacturing, P Global PMI Services, Richmond Fed, Visa, Texas Instruments, General Electric, NextEra Energy, Raytheon Technologies, Dow, Inc, General Motors, Halliburton, Coca, Corning, Hilton Worldwide, General Dynamics, Dominion Freight, Mobile US, Boeing, Raymond, Technology, Whirlpool, International Business Machines, O'Reilly, Honeywell, Northrop Grumman, Mastercard, Amazon, Royal Caribbean Group, Tractor Supply, United Parcel Service, Hasbro, Southwest Airlines, Comcast, Hershey, Intel, L3Harris Technologies, Ford Motor, Energy, Chevron, Decker, Exxon Mobil, Colgate, Palmolive Locations: U.S, Atlanta, AbbVie
A raft of economic data and big retail earnings reports next week will give traders insight into the strength of the consumer after a mixed batch of inflation data. "Next week is all about the consumer," said Shannon Saccocia, investment chief at NB Private Wealth. The Nasdaq Composite fell for a second straight week for the first time in 2023 after mixed inflation data this week, as well as Moody's downgrading several regional banks. July's consumer price index came in weaker than expected, but continued to show some underlying stickiness. Housing data expected to show strength Investors will also watch data on what has been a strong housing market.
Persons: Shannon Saccocia, Saccocia, , we've, John Porter, it's, Wealth's Saccocia, Kate Spade, Stuart Weitzman, Versace, Jimmy Choo, Michael Kors, That's, Sam Stovall, Stovall, CFRA's Stovall, Estee Organizations: Home Depot, Walmart, Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Newton Investment Management, FactSet, . Discount, TJX Companies, Ross, Homeowners, Price, Retail, Health, Home, Agilent Technologies, Housing, Manufacturing, TJX, Target, Cisco Systems, Philadelphia Fed, Applied, Deere, Co, Companies, Palo Alto Locations: U.S, NAHB, Housing States
The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell more than 200 points Wednesday after the downgrade as traders weighed the move. US10Y 1Y mountain 10-year yield 1-year However, Wall Street strategists mostly took the downgrade in stride. The S & P 500's 17% rally this year and the Nasdaq Composite's 33% advance had some traders worrying that equities have surged "too far, too fast." Stovall's S & P 500 year-end target is at 4,575 . Goldman Sachs' Jan Hatzius said Tuesday the downgrade will have "little direct impact" on financial markets.
Persons: Fitch, Janet Yellen, Sam Stovall, Stovall's, Wells Fargo's Christopher Harvey, Goldman Sachs, Jan Hatzius, Steven Zeng, Management's Yung, Yu Ma, Ma, CFRA's Stovall, Deutsche Bank's Zeng, Michael Bloom Organizations: U.S ., Fitch, AAA, Dow Jones, Treasury, Street, Nasdaq, Deutsche, BMO Locations: Washington, U.S, Tuesday's
Expectations that the Fed will start cutting interest rates in July briefly spiked up to 50% this past week. But the Fed is unlikely to swing from 10 straight rate hikes to cuts within two months, a Truist Advisory economist said. The probability spiked to nearly 50% over the past week after the release of the April inflation report and another sell-off in regional bank stocks like PacWest. That's when policymakers thought they got a handle on high inflation after an initial round of rate hikes. What's likely to jumpstart rate cuts is job losses, which could arrive toward the end of this year, Skordeles said.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe're on the side of 50bps in February and 25bps in March, says CFRA's StovallSam Stovall, CFRA Research chief investment strategist, and Sameer Samana, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, join 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss Powell's recent comments at Brookings, whether now is a good time to buy equities and more.
In those years, December was just the fourth best month, with the S & P 500 rising 1.35% and gaining 68% of the time. As the S & P 500 exits November, it is down about 17% this year. The S & P 500 could mirror some of the other very negative years. For instance, the S & P 500 was down 18.5% through November in 2002, and then bottomed in March 2003, gaining 26.4% that year. Watching key levels In order to confirm a bullish cycle, Suttmeier said the S & P 500 needs to regain the 40-week moving average at 4,033.
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