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Federal Reserve Bank of Boston President Susan Collins stands behind the Jackson Lake Lodge in Jackson Hole, where the Kansas City Fed holds its annual economic symposium, in Wyoming, U.S., August 24, 2023. Collins joins a growing set of Fed officials who have started preaching patience in considering any further rate hikes. But, she said, "there's been some promising evidence of inflation coming down," with goods price increases moderating, and shelter inflation likely to ease as well. There has been less progress on services inflation, Collins said, adding "I don't take off the table the possibility" that rates may need to rise again. I remain optimistic that we can bring inflation down in a reasonable amount of time without requiring a large increase" in unemployment, she said.
Persons: Susan Collins, Ann Saphir, Collins, there's, Howard Schneider, Dan Burns, David Gregorio Our Organizations: Reserve Bank of Boston, Kansas City Fed, REUTERS, Rights BOSTON, Boston Federal, Fed, Thomson Locations: Jackson, Wyoming, U.S
Despite recent encouraging signs on inflation, Boston Federal Reserve President Susan Collins said Friday that more interest rate hikes could yet be needed. But I don't see additional firming off the table," the central bank official told CNBC's Steve Liesman during a "Squawk on the Street" interview. "I think the key point is we need to really stay the course." The central bank's benchmark borrowing rate is targeted in a range between 5.25%-5.5%, the highest in 22 years. Collins will not be a voting member on the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee until 2025.
Persons: Susan Collins, CNBC's Steve Liesman, Collins Organizations: Boston Federal, Market Committee
U.S. two-year Treasury yields skidded below 4.80% on Friday for the first time since September 1, with 10-year yields dropping under 4.40% to September lows too. Crude has now lost almost 25% in just six weeks - aided by the U.S. gradually lifting oil sanctions on Venezuela. The Labor Department said import prices fell a whopping 0.8% in October, the most in seven months amid a broad decline in the costs of goods - deepening the annual deflation of import prices to as much as 2.0%. Even though the dollar (.DXY), , is taking a hit from the plunge in U.S. Treasury yields, the drop in sovereign borrowing rates was mirrored across the world in Europe , even Japan . Mirroring the softening demand picture elsewhere, British retail sales volumes fell unexpectedly in October as stretched consumers stayed at home.
Persons: Lucas Jackson, Mike Dolan, plumb, Morgan, Susan Collins, Mary Daly, Austan Goolsbee, Michael Barr, Dave Ramsden, Nick Macfie Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Walmart, Cisco, Alibaba, Philadelphia Federal Reserve, Labor Department, Treasury, Hong, Housing, Atlanta, Boston Federal, San Francisco Fed, Chicago Fed, Bank of England, United States, APEC, Graphics, Thomson, Reuters Locations: New York, U.S, Wall, Alibaba ., Venezuela, Europe, Japan, HK, Hong Kong, China, San Francisco
Research prepared for a Boston Federal Reserve labor market conference found that whether driving for Uber to make ends meet or taking piecework jobs in retirement, casual contract workers sometimes don't consider themselves "employed" or even a part of the labor force. The research involved reexamining the detailed responses to a New York Fed survey of "informal work" from 2015 through 2022. Other research looked at how job training and policies towards employing those with a criminal record might help. Their research found many gig workers want additional hours of formal employment, suggesting more untapped labor supply. "And the higher levels of activity and participation can benefit those brought into the labor market, contributing to a vibrant economy that works for all."
Persons: Mike Segar, Uber, Anat Bracha, Mary A, Burke, Bracha, rehashed, Jerome Powell, Susan Collins, Collins, Howard Schneider, Dan Burns, Paul Simao Organizations: REUTERS, Rights BOSTON, Federal, Boston Federal Reserve, Hebrew University Business School, Boston Fed, Fed, New, Labor, Boston, Thomson Locations: New York City , New York, U.S, Jerusalem
But at the regional level, the IG has yet to weigh in on the trading activities of Rosengren, Kaplan and current Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic. Both Rosengren and Kaplan have said they followed the Fed rules that governed trading at the time, and their disclosures were approved by Fed lawyers. Conti-Brown praised the central bank's new ethics regime as likely the best in government, which he said casts the IG's work in an even worse light. They have proposed legislation that would make the Fed IG position a presidential appointment requiring confirmation by the Senate, something Bialek has publicly opposed. During a hearing in the Senate in May, Bialek said the Fed had never interfered in his work.
Persons: That's, Jerome Powell, Eric Rosengren, Robert Kaplan, Mark Bialek, Elizabeth Warren, Rick Scott, Peter Conti, Brown, Powell, Richard Clarida, Kaplan, Raphael Bostic, Rosengren, Bostic, Conti, Warren, Scott, Bialek, Clarida, she's, There's, Michael S, Dan Burns, Paul Simao Organizations: Dallas, Boston Federal Reserve, U.S . Congress, Boston Fed, Dallas Fed, Fed, Democratic, Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, Reserve Bank, Rosengren, Atlanta Fed, Senate, Committee, Thomson Locations: U.S
Boston Federal Reserve President Susan Collins on Wednesday advocated a patient approach to policymaking while saying she needs more evidence to convince her that inflation has been tamed. In remarks that aligned with sentiment from other key central bankers, Collins said the Fed may be "near or even at the peak" for interest rates. Both also supported the patient approach while cautioning that they view recent positive developments on inflation with caution and are ready to approve additional rate hikes if needed. Collins also spoke on the lags with which Fed policy is thought to work. Generally, economists believe it takes a year to a year and a half for rate hikes to seep through the economy.
Persons: Susan Collins, Collins, Jerome Powell, Christopher Waller, Waller, it's Organizations: Reserve Bank of Boston, Kansas City Fed, Boston Federal, Wednesday, CNBC, Market, Group Locations: Jackson, Wyoming, Boston
In prepared remarks for a speech, she said the Fed is "well positioned to proceed cautiously in this uncertain economic environment." Those sentiments mesh with recent statements from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell and Fed Gov. I did not hear a resounding endorsement of the 27.5% tariffs on Chinese EVs. If you like this story, sign up for Jim Cramer's Top 10 Morning Thoughts on the Market email newsletter for free. Thermo Fisher ScientificUBS downgrades "sainted" Block ToastMorgan Stanley goes equal weight from underweight (hold from sell) on First SolarAeroVironmentSouthwest Airlines
Persons: Susan Collins, Jerome Powell, Christopher Waller, Gina Raimondo, Jim Cramer's, Leerink, Morgan Stanley Organizations: Boston Federal, Fed, Oracle, Microsoft, Fisher Scientific UBS
Morning Bid: Rates dice, AI arms race and G20 snub
  + stars: | 2023-08-31 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
AI (Artificial Intelligence) letters and robot hand are placed on computer motherboard in this illustration taken, June 23, 2023. Even if that came in slightly above forecasts, an unexpectedly sharp slowdown in the country's service sector ensured another underwhelming reaction. Chinese President Xi Jinping is likely to skip a summit of G20 leaders in India, sources told Reuters. Overall, Asia markets were flat to negative - Europe's bourses were higher and U.S. futures held steady ahead of Thursday's open. Reuters GraphicsReuters GraphicsReuters GraphicsReuters GraphicsBy Mike Dolan, editing by David Evans, <a href="mailto:mike.dolan@thomsonreuters.com" target="_blank">mike.dolan@thomsonreuters.com</a>.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, Mike Dolan, chatbots, Xi Jinping, Premier Li Qiang, Susan Collins, Raphael Bostic, Luis de Guindos, Campbell, David Evans Organizations: REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Baidu, HK, Washington, Reuters, Premier, U.S, Treasury, UBS, Chicago, Boston Federal, Atlanta Fed, European Central Bank, Broadcom, Dollar, Hormel, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Thomson Locations: U.S, Beijing, India, New Delhi, Asia
Data lifts dollar, euro soft as Germany enters recession
  + stars: | 2023-05-25 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The dollar rose for a fourth straight session on Thursday against a basket of major peers to hit a fresh two-month high, as U.S. economic data signaled resilience even after the Federal Reserve's aggressive rate hike cycle. In contrast the German economy, Europe's largest, was in recession in the first quarter as GDP fell 0.3%, sending the euro lower. The dollar index rose 0.27% at 104.100 after hitting 104.27, its highest since March 17. Boston Federal Reserve President Susan Collins said on Thursday the time may be at hand for the U.S. central bank to pause its rate hike cycle. Worries about a potential U.S. default supported the dollar as talks continue in Washington to raise the $31.4 trillion debt ceiling.
Persons: Joe Manimbo, CME's, Susan Collins, Fitch, DBRS Morningstar, Kevin McCarthy, Sterling Organizations: Washington DC, Fed, Boston Federal, U.S, Treasury, AAA, White House, Republican Locations: Brest, France, U.S, Washington, United States
"Where I am right now is, it doesn't really change how I've been thinking about where we are and what we have left to do" on the monetary policy front. In separate remarks on Thursday, Collins said Fed forecasts released last week projecting one more 25-basis-point rate hike were reasonable at the time. In her Reuters interview, however, Collins said the future of monetary policy remains very much subject to change due to the unpredictable nature of incoming data. "Even if there was a significant softening in the jobs report that comes in on Friday (April 7), that's really one month, and recent months have been quite strong. Pointing to the usage of the Fed's discount window, which has been historically shunned by banks, Collins said there appeared to be a "bit less stigma" to using some of the available facilities, adding "that is reassuring."
On the heels of the inflation data, Boston Federal Reserve president Susan Collins said it remains "early days yet" for the central bank in determining whether the Fed has hiked rates enough to lower inflation to its 2% target. The pan-European STOXX 600 index (.STOXX) rose 0.66% and MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe (.MIWD00000PUS) gained 0.75%. Expectations the Fed may be nearing the end of its rate hiking cycle have helped send U.S. Treasury yields lowerrecently. The dollar pared some gains against the euro in the wake of the U.S inflation data, as investors see the Fed pausing its rate hiking cycle before the European Central Bank. The dollar index rose 0.117%, with the euro down 0.25% to $1.0874.
Stocks rise and dollar falls while oil rallies
  + stars: | 2023-03-31 | by ( Sinéad Carew | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
[1/2] Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., March 30, 2023. Economists polled by Reuters expect core prices rose by 0.4% in February and posted an annual increase of 4.7%. The U.S. dollar slipped to a one-week low against the euro as German inflation data helped lift the common currency. MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe (.MIWD00000PUS) closed up 0.72% while emerging market stocks (.MSCIEF) rose 0.67%. Gold prices gained with a weaker dollar and lower bond yields driving demand for the precious metal, while investors waited for U.S. inflation data to gauge the Fed's next move.
Morning Bid: World markets leaving March like a lamb
  + stars: | 2023-03-30 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike DolanIn like a lion, out like a lamb. Farmers' almanacs suggest a stormy and turbulent start to March means it's likely to end calm and serene - and so it appears with world financial markets this year. The evidence is sketchy so far and the impact on lending and credit generally will be examined forensically from here. That U-turn in thinking during the month saw wild swings in the bond and rates markets, where key volatility gauges (.MOVE) hit their highest since the 2008 crash. (.CESIUSD)Elsewhere, European markets continued to advance on Thursday, with banking stocks (.SX7P) up another 2% and credit default swaps on many banks lower too.
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on February 27, 2023 in New York City. Stock futures were little changed Wednesday night. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq-100 futures were also near their flatlines. Regional banks, closely followed since Silicon Valley Bank's collapse earlier this month, also finished the session higher, with the SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (KRE) adding around 1%. Boston Federal Reserve President Susan Collins, Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin and Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari are all slated to speak in the afternoon.
NEW YORK, Feb 24 (Reuters) - Boston Federal Reserve President Susan Collins said on Friday more interest rate increases are needed to tame high levels of U.S. inflation. One of the U.S. central bank's newest regional bank presidents, she is not a voting member of the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee this year. Collins, who took over as Boston Fed chief in July, 2022, voted in favor of every one of the aggressive rate hikes the Fed delivered last year while she was a voting member of the FOMC. Collins spoke after the release earlier on Friday of fresh data suggesting U.S. inflation pressures, which had been easing, may be more resilient than thought. The data suggested more Fed action will be needed, either in the form of more aggressive rate increases, a higher stopping point for rate increases, or a combination of both.
Bonds also rose, mirroring hopes of a softer inflation report, and the U.S. dollar was near seven-month lows against a basket of currencies. Europe's STOXX 600 (.STOXX) equity benchmark index rose 0.6% to its highest since April 2022. Roberto Lottici, portfolio manager at Banca Ifigest, said he was concerned markets could potentially even react negatively to any big downside surprise in the U.S. CPI data. Foreign exchange markets elsewhere were quieter ahead of the U.S. CPI data while China's reopening kept a bid under Asia's currencies. The dollar index eased 0.1% to 103.06, not far from a seven-month low of 102.93 hit this week.
Stocks becalmed before potential CPI storm
  + stars: | 2023-01-12 | by ( Tom Westbrook | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
European futures rose 0.4%. Bonds held overnight gains and the U.S. dollar was pinned near a seven-month low at $1.0769 per euro . "(It) is the CPI number that could help settle the debate for the February meeting," said NatWest Markets' U.S. rates strategist Jan Nevruzi. U.S. Treasuries added a little to overnight gains, with benchmark 10-year yields down 3.7 bps to 3.5189% and 30-year yields down 4.4 bps to 3.6375%. Foreign exchange markets were elsewhere holding their breath ahead of CPI data while China's reopening kept a bid under Asia's currencies.
Asia stocks hit 7-month high on China and CPI bets
  + stars: | 2023-01-12 | by ( Tom Westbrook | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
Following gains for Wall Street indexes overnight, MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) rose 0.5% and touched an almost seven-month high. Bonds were bought around the world overnight and the U.S. dollar wavered, to touch a seven-month low at $1.0776 per euro . "(It) is the CPI number that could help settle the debate for the February meeting," said NatWest Markets' U.S. rates strategist Jan Nevruzi. "We expect a below consensus CPI print, which if it materialises, could push this rally even further." Foreign exchange markets were elsewhere holding their breath ahead of CPI data while China's reopening kept a bid under Asia's currencies.
SummarySummary Companies U.S. CPI due at 1330 GMT(.DXY) down 0.1%Jan 12 (Reuters) - Gold prices ticked higher on Thursday, aided by a softer dollar, while market participants awaited key U.S. inflation data that could influence the Federal Reserve's policy path. "Gold prices are very well supported as the dollar has weakened. If the inflation report is supportive for gold, then prices could move up to $1,900 level, but there might be some profit booking after that, Kedia added. Although gold is seen as an inflation hedge, rising rates increase the opportunity cost of holding bullion. On the physical front, Indian gold refiners have nearly stopped imports of gold dore, a semi-pure alloy, as grey market operators offer hefty discounts, industry officials said.
Traders' bets of a 75-bps rate hike in December have gone up to 24.2% from 19.4% the previous week, according to the CME Group's FedWatch tool. The benchmark S&P 500 (.SPX) and the Nasdaq (.IXIC) have lost 17% and nearly 29%, respectively, so far this year on worries that the aggressive rate hikes could push the economy into a recession. Among S&P 500 sectors, defensive stocks advanced on Friday, with utilities (.SPLRCU) and health (.SPXHC) rising 1.5% and 0.9%, respectively, and in the lead. Advancing issues outnumbered decliners by a 1.19-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and for a 1.01-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq. The S&P index recorded seven new 52-week highs and two new lows, while the Nasdaq recorded 45 new highs and 96 new lows.
Violetastoimenova | E+ | Getty ImagesThe Fed aims for a 2% annual rate of inflationWhile inflation is a normal part of an economy, the current rate is far above the Federal Reserve's target of 2%. So far this year, the Fed's rate-setting committee has boosted a key interest rate six times in its ongoing effort to bring down the rate of inflation. The general idea is that by raising the cost of borrowing money, spending will decline and there will be less inflationary pressure due to lower consumer demand. Nevertheless, although there's been an uptick in layoffs, the unemployment rate is relatively low at 3.7%, according to the latest reading. watch nowBoston Federal Reserve President Susan Collins expressed confidence Friday that inflation can be tamed without a big jump in unemployment.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBoston Fed President Susan Collins: Restoring price stability remains the current imperativeCNBC's Steve Liesman joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest comments from new Boston Federal Reserve President Susan Collins on potential interest rate hikes and more.
Boston Federal Reserve President Susan Collins expressed confidence Friday that policymakers can tame inflation without doing too much damage to employment. In her remarks, Collins noted the importance of bringing down inflation and recognized that the Fed's moves could exact a price. "Sufficiently restrictive" is a benchmark the Fed has set in determining where rates need to go to bring down inflation. "At the Fed we are committed to returning inflation to the 2 percent target in a reasonable amount of time. Only when inflation is low and stable can the economy in general — and the labor market in particular — work well for all Americans," Collins said.
Morning Bid: Cat, mouse and 5%
  + stars: | 2022-11-18 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike Dolan. The cat-and-mouse game between the Fed and financial markets has intensified around 5% peak interest rates next year as next week's Thanksgiving holiday hoves into view. In Europe, the euro , euro bond yields and bank stocks (.SX7P) climbed on Friday as the European Central Bank prepared for the start the biggest withdrawal of cash from the euro zone's banking system in its short history. The crypto world continued to lick its wounds amid unfolding revelations and reverberations surrounding the collapse of exchange FTX. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.
That's a slowdown from the year-over-year increase of 8.2% in September, and below the 8.0% increase economists surveyed by Bloomberg expected to see. And core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, saw a year-over-year increase of 6.3% in October, below September's year-over-year increase of 6.6%. This inflation data comes amid concerns of a looming recession, and debates on how bad of an economic downturn it will truly be. Any recession that comes will be mildAs Insider previously reported, a 2023 recession will look unlike any recession Americans have recently experienced, and the latest inflation data and strong jobs report bolster that sentiment. And looking forward, declining inflation levels are likely to shape the Fed's December decision on hiking interest rates.
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