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The U.S. Federal Reserve's decision to cut interest rates in September, with further reductions expected, could prove to be a boon for the emerging economies of Southeast Asia. David Sumual, chief economist of Bank Central Asia, said Indonesia is one such country that could take advantage of both short-term and long-term Fed policy. Higher rates in the U.S. have traditionally been a negative for emerging markets as U.S. investors typically send their dollars home in search of decent yields. But on the flipside, when U.S. rates ease, it can boost emerging markets who see renewed flows into their economies. Global commodities (a cornerstone of many emerging markets) also tend to rise in price as the U.S. dollar drops on a more dovish outlook by the Federal Reserve.
Persons: Saurabh Agarwal, Warburg Pincus, CNBC's, David Sumual Organizations: U.S, Federal, Warburg, Bank Central, CNBC, Federal Reserve Locations: Southeast Asia, Asia, Bank Central Asia, Indonesia, U.S
Loan growth at Asian banks is estimated to rise from 4.5% this year to 10% next year, LSEG data shows, with banks in India and Indonesia leading with 15% and 11% growth, respectively. Ng likes banks in India and Indonesia, given the better economic growth in those economies and ability of banks to sustain margins. LSEG data shows profits at banks in India and Indonesia will grow 13% and 11% respectively next year, nearly double the 6% average rise across Asia-Pacific banks. That compares to price-to-book ratio for MSCI's index for all-country Asian banks (.dMIAS0CB00PUS) of 0.9. Banks in Australia are estimated to see a drop of 5% in profit in 2024 while profits at Singapore banks will be flat.
Persons: Frederic Neumann, Neumann, Morgan, Yao Ng, abrdn, Ng, Vinay Agarwal, Agarwal, Morgan Stanley, Ankur Banerjee, Gaurav Dogra, Patturaja, Vidya Ranganathan, Simon Cameron, Moore Organizations: U.S . Federal, Fed, HSBC, ICICI, Kotak Mahindra Bank, Axis Bank, FSSA Investment Management, Indonesia's Bank Central Asia, BCA, Reuters, Thomson Locations: SINGAPORE, India, Indonesia, Thailand, Asia, Japan, J.P, Pacific, Singapore, Hong Kong, South Korea, Banks, Australia, China, Bengaluru
Indonesia's President Joko Widodo speaks about the planned new capital Nusantara, at Ecosperity Week in Singapore June 7, 2023. REUTERS/Edgar Su/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsJAKARTA, Sept 26 (Reuters) - Indonesian President Joko Widodo on Tuesday launched the country's first carbon emission credit trading, with the aim of creating a market to fund cuts in greenhouse gas emissions and become a major participant in the global carbon trade. Jokowi, as the president is popularly known, said Indonesia has tremendous potential for carbon reduction efforts, particularly nature-based solutions, and its carbon market could grow to 3,000 trillion rupiah ($194.30 billion). Some of Indonesia's biggest coal power plants have begun trading emission allowances since February. Transactions in the emission trading system are recorded using blockchain technology, Luhut said.
Persons: Joko Widodo, Edgar Su, Jokowi, Luhut, Stefanno Sulaiman, Gayatri Suroyo, Martin Petty Organizations: Nusantara, REUTERS, Rights, Tuesday, Pertamina, Indonesia Stock Exchange, Bank Central Asia, Bank, Christian, Thomson Locations: Singapore, Rights JAKARTA, Indonesia, North Sulawesi, Paris
Vontobel's Ramiz Chelat says that certain emerging markets can weather a global economic slowdown. Chelat is particularly bullish on the economies of India, Indonesia, and Brazil. While domestic investors have their hands full with potential recession, portfolio manager Ramiz Chelat believes that the best investment opportunities may be slipping away. Chelat — who manages $5 billion in emerging market equities and $9 billion in global equities at Vontobel Asset Management — is particularly bullish on the emerging economies of Brazil, India, and Indonesia. Chelat believes that all three nations are strong enough to weather any future fallouts from the Russia-Ukraine war, and may even be net beneficiaries in some cases.
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