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China's stock markets surged this week, marking the best weekly performance since late 2008. AdvertisementChina's stock markets closed sharply higher Friday, notching their best week in 16 years as investors joined the rally party. The stock market party overwhelmed tech systemsThe stock market party got too hot to handle. AdvertisementFurthermore, the US Federal Reserve has started cutting interest rates, which has historically benefited Chinese markets, they added. So even if Beijing's stimulus isn't enough for China's economy, a liquidity or leverage-driven market rally could still be "very powerful," they wrote.
Persons: , Vishnu Varathan, Hong, Hao Hong, Pan Gongsheng, Data.TS, Freya Beamish, Rory Green Organizations: Service, Grow Investment, Shanghai Stock Exchange, of America, Bank of America, US Federal Reserve, People's Bank of China Locations: China, Beijing, Asia, Japan, Shanghai, India
Both the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S & P 500 have broken out to new highs this month. BTIG chief market technician Jonathan Krinsky asked this week, referring to the S & P 500. The S & P 500 had risen more than 5%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite was higher by more than 1%. For the S & P 500, those levels represent declines of about 6% to 9%, as of Thursday's close. Initial Claims (09/28) 9:45 a.m. PMI Composite final (September) 9:45 a.m. S & P PMI Services SA final (September) 10 a.m.
Persons: Jonathan Krinsky, Dow, Adam Turnquist, LPL Financial's Turnquist, Jeff Hirsch, he's bullish, Hirsch wouldn't, Lamb Weston, Nonfarm Payrolls, , Nick Wells Organizations: Federal, Dow Jones Industrial, Dow, CNBC, Nasdaq, LPL, Chicago PMI, Dallas Fed, PMI, Manufacturing, Nike, McCormick, ADP, PMI Services SA, Services PMI, Constellation Locations: Europe, U.S, Chicago
The secular bull market, which began in 2009, is in a mature stage according to NDR's Tim Hayes. "With the secular bull mature, we're watching out for signs that it may be at risk," he said. AdvertisementWith the S&P 500 in its 15th year of a secular bull market that started in 2009, Ned Davis Research says investors should watch for warning signs of a potential peak. The first warning sign of a near-term peak in the stock market is worsening breadth among the underlying issues of the US stock market. And a rebound in inflation, coupled with rising interest rates, would be an unwelcome warning sign for the current bull rally in stocks.
Persons: Ned Davis, Tim Hayes, , Hayes Organizations: Ned Davis Research, Service, NDR
It was the sixth positive trading session in a row. In midday trading, gold futures were adding to those records Thursday. XAU= YTD mountain Gold is trading at record highs and closing in on a 30% gain for 2024. However, Bank of America ETF strategist Jared Woodard warned in the same note that gold might be "tactically overbought." That would represent a roughly 5-8% pullback," Krinsky said, referring the SPDR Gold Shares fund backed by physical gold.
Persons: Jared Woodard, Woodard, Wayne Gordon, Gordon, Jonathan Krinsky, Krinsky Organizations: Federal, Bank, America, Bank of America, UBS
Officials were searching for a runaway bull in southern Massachusets early Monday after a herd of the animals jumped a fence at a rodeo event a day earlier. “Community members should exercise extreme caution and not approach the bull if found. The animals escaped their pens, ran through the parking lot and jumped over the fence, before fleeing south towards nearby woods, according to Coleman. One bull was caught just after fleeing, and six were corralled some three miles away by local police and firefighters, along with environmental police, workers from the rodeo and staff from the New England Rodeo in nearby Norton, Coleman said. No injuries were reported but the rodeo, which was being held at a mall, was under investigation, he added.
Persons: Christopher Coleman, Coleman, Chris Mooney, Organizations: Attleboro Fire, New England, Attleboro, NBC Boston Locations: , Attleboro, Emerald, North Attleboro, Norton
Sterling breached $1.33 against the greenback for the first time since March 2022 on Thursday, and was trading at $1.3315 early London time Monday. The pound's rally was tied to the BOE communication and "looks fully justified," Chris Turner, global head of markets at ING, said in a Friday note. Higher rates are traditionally a positive for a domestic currency as the higher yield can attract more foreign capital. watch nowGabriella Dickens, G7 economist at AXA Investment Managers, also cautioned on the pound's outlook in a note Thursday. If the government is more stringent on fiscal policy, we think the Bank will be forced to increase the pace of the cutting cycle to offset the hit on both households' and businesses' finances."
Persons: Keir Starmer, BOE, Chris Turner, Turner, Jane Foley, Gabriella Dickens, Dickens Organizations: Bank of England, Labour, Sterling, greenback, London, ING, Fed, U.K, European Union, Rabobank London, CNBC, AXA Investment, Bank, quicken Locations: Britain,
Four worries that should keep market bulls awake at night
  + stars: | 2024-09-23 | by ( Sean Conlon | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Investors are still expressing signs of concern despite the stock market hitting all-time highs, according to Deutsche Bank. The S & P and the Dow weren't alone in their milestones. Gold prices also notched a new all-time high following the supersized Fed cut, crossing the $2,600 per ounce level on Friday. Allen also highlighted that traditional valuation metrics are "elevated" considering the "relentless" nature of the market in 2024. Year to date, the S & P has gained nearly 20%, and has risen in 24 of this year's 38 weeks, according to FactSet.
Persons: Dow, Henry Allen, Allen Organizations: Deutsche Bank, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, ECB Locations: Ukraine
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A Texas couple was sentenced to more than a decade in prison each Friday after their pit bulls got loose and killed an 81-year-old man last year, the Bexar County District Attorney’s Office said. Christian Moreno was sentenced to 18 years in prison and Abilene Schnieder was sentenced to 15 years in prison for the Feb. 24, 2023, mauling near their San Antonio home. Juanita Najera told the court Friday that she has post-traumatic stress disorder, courtroom video broadcast by NBC affiliate WOAI of San Antonio shows. Firefighters defend themselves from a dog that was involved in a deadly dog attack in San Antonio, last year. A dog that was involved in a deadly dog attack in San Antonio, last year.
Persons: Christian Moreno, Abilene Schnieder, Ramon Najera, Juanita Najera, Najera, Velia J, Meza, Moreno, Schnieder, , , Joe Gonzales, Mr Organizations: Attorney’s, San Antonio, Firefighters, Animal Care Services, NBC Locations: Texas, Bexar County, Abilene, mauling, San, San Antonio, Schnieder
The Georgia state election board on Friday voted 3-2 to require counties to hand-count ballots cast on Election Day, a move that could drastically lengthen the amount of time to tally results in a critical battleground state. Number one is the actual counting of the number of ballots that you have at the precinct. Georgia's rule only requires election workers to count the number of ballots — not every votes on the ballot — but election officials are still worried about the impact. In August, the same Georgia board members passed other new rules that would allow county election board members to conduct “reasonable” inquiries before they certify results. Speaking of the trio of board members who voted for them at a rally last month, Trump said, “They’re on fire.
Persons: who've, Donald Trump, , John Fervier, Fervier, Brian Kemp, Sara Tindall Ghazal, Brad Raffensperger, ” Raffensperger, Elizabeth Young, Janelle King, ” King, , , Charlotte Sosebee, Sosebee, wasn't, Trump, ” “ Janice Johnston, Rick Jeffares Organizations: Georgia GOP Gov, Democratic, NBC, NBC News, Democratic National Committee, Democratic Party of Georgia Locations: Georgia, Mohave County , Arizona, Clarke County , Georgia
That rally may not be sustainable, based on the venerable " Dow Theory ." The century-old Dow Theory looks at the relationship between the Dow Industrials and the Dow Transports , and argues that market trends must be confirmed by both groups. In other words, if the Dow Industrials are going lower, then Transports most also be falling to confirm a prolonged negative run. Right now, investors are presented with the Dow Industrials at all-time highs and Transports barely positive for the year. FDX 5D mountain FDX year to date To be sure, other market trends paint a more positive picture.
Persons: Jonathan Krinsky, Mark Mahaney Organizations: Dow Jones, Dow, Dow Transports, Transports, FedEx, UPS, Tech, Energy, NBA
Nike's CEO is stepping down, and some on Wall Street appear to be lukewarm about the news. On Thursday after the bell, the sneaker giant announced that CEO John Donahoe will be retiring on Oct. 13. Wells Fargo maintained its overweight rating and increased its target by $9 to $95, implying more than 17% upside ahead. "We expect multiple expansion commensurate with Hill's hire — as leadership has been a large point of contention and controversy surrounding the stock," analyst Ike Boruchow wrote in a note. Bernstein, which has an outperform rating on Nike, expects the turnaround "will take time," but said market sentiment will be sympathetic.
Persons: John Donahoe, Elliott Hill, Jay Sole, Sole, Morgan Stanley, Alex Straton, Straton, Wells Fargo, , Ike Boruchow, Bernstein, Aneesha Sherman Organizations: UBS, Nike, JD, Bank of America Locations: FL
Today is triple witching expiration , the quarterly expiration of single stock and index options, and index futures. It's occurring at an unusual moment: the S & P 500 is at an historic high. Week after triple witch: poor Unfortunately, the week after the September triple witch is historically among the weakest of the year. S & P 500 rebalancing today The S & P 500 will see three new entrants at the close today, each of which will begin trading as part of the S & P on Monday: Dell Technologies , Erie Indemnity and Palantir Technologies . Finally, while the S & P 500 is at a new high, the Russell 2000 smallcap index is not far behind.
Persons: Chris Murphy, Jeff Hirsch, Dow Industrials, Hirsch, Dell, Russell Organizations: Stock, Nasdaq, Dell Technologies, Erie, Palantir Technologies, Etsy, Rad Laboratories, American Airlines Group Locations: Susquehanna
The sport dips its toes this weekend with ranked matchups in the Big Ten, Big 12 and SEC featuring College Football Playoff favorites and some remaining question marks. Let’s rank the top 10 games of Week 4, starting with a few honorable mentions and counting down. San Jose State (3-0) at Washington State (3-0), Friday, 10 p.m., The CWWhat a win for Wazzu last week. Line: Auburn -3GO DEEPER College football Week 4 oddly specific predictions: Rolling with road favoritesHow about Kenny Dillingham and the Sun Devils? 6 Tennessee (3-0) at No.
Persons: John Mateer, Jake Dickert, Ken Niumatalolo, Grayson McCall, CJ Bailey, Cade Klubnik, Alex Hicks Jr, Sam Pittman, Hank Brown, Kenny Dillingham, ASU —, Sam Leavitt, Skattebo, Tyler Shough, ESPN Mario Cristobal’s, Cam Ward, Byrum Brown, Sam Navarro, Fox, Dylan Raiola, Patrick Mahomes, Raiola, haven’t, Alex Orji, Davis Warren, D’Anton Lynn, Cam, Doak Walker, Ollie Gordon, Alan Bowman, Bowman, Collin Oliver, Josh Heupel, Joe Rexrode, Joe, , Nico Iamaleava’s, Jackson Arnold, Nic Anderson, Andrel Anthony, Brent Venables ’, Norman, Aaron M Organizations: College, Big, SEC, College Football, Rutgers, Virginia Tech, Navy, TCU, SMU, San, San Jose State, Washington State, Wazzu, Apple, Cougars, WSU, Spartans, Air Force, North Carolina State, Clemson, ABC, NC, Wolfpack, Louisiana Tech, Lousiana Tech, App, Tigers, ACC, App State, USA, Auburn, ESPN, CBS, Arkansas, Arkansas ’, New, College football, Sun Devils, ASU, Texas State, Texas Tech, Abilene Christian, Georgia Tech, ESPN2 Georgia Tech, VMI, Syracuse, Jackets, Cardinals, Austin Peay, Jacksonville State, Notre Dame, Louisville, Miami, Hurricanes, FBS, USF, Alabama, Bulls, Tide, Nebraska, Illini, Cornhuskers, Illinois, USC, Michigan, Wolverines, LSU, Ohio State, Penn State, Oklahoma State, Fox, Baylor, Utes, Kansas State, Sooners, ESPN’s, GameDay Locations: North Carolina, Memphis, SMU , Iowa, Minnesota, San Jose, Washington, Tennessee, Georgia, Arkansas, New Mexico, Auburn, Texas, North Texas, Louisville, South Florida, Tampa, Miami, Illinois, Nebraska, Lincoln, Michigan, Ohio, Oregon, Penn State , Nebraska, Utah, Fox Utah, Stillwater, Kansas, Arizona, Oklahoma
Jon Lovett, a podcaster and speechwriter who worked with former President Barack Obama, was the first person voted off during the season premiere of "Survivor 47." Jeff Probst, the show’s host and executive producer, told Parade magazine that he did not expect Lovett to leave so early. Sierra Wright, Sam Phalen, Andy Rueda, Anika Dhar, Rachel LaMont, Jon Lovett, and Jeff Probst at Tribal Council on "Survivor." "Are you telling me I’ve been waiting for this season of survivor to watch Jon Lovett play for 3 months and he is gonna be voted out first?! "Stop the steal," Lovett wrote in a post on X.Lovett, 42, co-hosts "Pod Save America" alongside fellow former Obama staffers Jon Favreau, Dan Pfeiffer and Tommy Vietor.
Persons: Jon Lovett, Barack Obama, Lovett, Jeff Probst, , Andy, ” Probst, Andy Rueda, Probst, Sierra Wright, Sam Phalen, Anika Dhar, Rachel LaMont, Robert Voets, weren't, I’ve, Jon, Donald Trump's, Jon Favreau, Dan Pfeiffer, Tommy Vietor, Hillary Clinton, John Kerry Organizations: Tribal Council, CBS, Survivor, Twitter
CNN —With its long, ridged horns and muscular build, the giant sable antelope is a majestic sight — and a rare one at that. The disappearance of the giant sableThe giant sable antelope was first discovered in the early 20th century and went on to become Angola’s national animal. However, due to their striking horns, the antelopes soon became a target for poachers, says renowned Angolan conservationist Pedro Vaz Pinto. A heard of female giant sable antelopes, pictured here in Cangandala National Park, wear GPS collars to monitor their whereabouts. Going forward, he believes management, funding, and training are necessary to continue restoring the giant sable population.
Persons: Pedro Vaz Pinto, Fundação, , Vaz Pinto, Bruce Buttery, ” Vaz Pinto, , CNN “, Vladimir Russo, ” Russo, that.They Organizations: CNN, Initiative, Cangandala, Conservation, Kissama Foundation Locations: Angola, Africa, Angolan, Portugal, Luando, Cangandala
Corporate leaders can't "bulls---" their employees about the impact of artificial intelligence on the workforce and the ways in which the technology will affect jobs more broadly, according to one tech billionaire. "If I could give any advice, it's that everybody should be a student of AI and tech and not be afraid of it." Even though it's a given AI will impact the workforce, "none of us have it all completely figured out," he said. "If anybody comes in and tells you, 'I can tell you exactly how this is going to impact jobs and how it's going to impact everything we're doing,' they're lying. Kavanaugh co-founded WWT in 1990 with fellow St. Louis, Missouri-based entrepreneur David Steward as a reseller of technology equipment.
Persons: Jim Kavanaugh, Kavanaugh, David Steward Organizations: CNBC, Forbes, U.S, team Locations: Louis , Missouri, Los Angeles
Morgan Stanley reiterates Apple as overweight The firm said iPhone 16 demand may not be as bad as feared after comments from the T-Mobile CEO. Morgan Stanley reiterates Nio as overweight Morgan Stanley said it's bullish on the EV company as Nio unveils its latest mid-sized family model, the L60. " Morgan Stanley reiterates Tesla as overweight Morgan Stanley said it's concerned about the company's robotaxi event but that it's standing by the stock. Morgan Stanley downgrades Elanco to equal weight from overweight Morgan Stanley said it "lacks conviction" in shares of the pet biopharma company. "We are initiating on Coursera (COUR) with a Buy rating and a PO of $11 (44% upside potential).
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Apple, TMUS, Piper Sandler, Robinhood, Piper, KeyBanc, Redburn, Mizuho, Raymond James, Nio, it's bullish, TD Cowen, Cowen, Tesla, it's, Hertz, Wells, Morgan Stanley downgrades Elanco, rideshare Organizations: Mobile, Apple Intelligence, JPMorgan, Gas Sciences, Kodiak Gas Services, Talos Energy, Northern Oil, Nio, Micron, Barclays, UW, Laboratories, Abbott Laboratories, Outfront Media, " Bank of America Locations: Kodiak
U.S. crude oil fell Wednesday ahead of the Federal Reserve's pivotal decision on interest rates later this afternoon. The oil market has been rattled this month by worries about a growing imbalance between supply and demand. Bulls are hoping that a decision by the Fed to cut interest rates for the first time in years could put a bid into the market. Andy Lipow, president of Lipow Oil Associates, said a 25 basis point cut is probably already priced into the oil market. Traders are also waiting for the latest data on U.S. crude oil inventories at 10:30 am ET.
Persons: Matt Smith, Andy Lipow, Lipow Organizations: Federal, Americas, Kpler, Brent, Bulls, Fed, Lipow Oil Associates, Hezbollah, Traders Locations: U.S, China, OPEC, Canada, Brazil, Guyana, Israel, Iran, Lebanon
Concerns about iPhone 16 lead times could send Apple shares lower in the near term, according to Morgan Stanley. This has led to the stock underperforming by an average of five points in the three months following an iPhone launch. "What will matter most over the next 10 days is the trajectory of iPhone 16 lead times, as historically iPhone lead times elongate through the first in-store availability date (Friday, September 20th) before gradually trending lower in the weeks thereafter," the analyst wrote in a Wednesday note to clients. "Therefore, a more sustained elongation in iPhone 16 lead times from today should be viewed positively, while a sharp reversal in iPhone 16 lead times after Friday would likely indicate a greater risk of negative iPhone build revisions." With 48 analysts covering the stock, 36 of them have a strong buy or buy rating, while 11 are neutral.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Erik Woodring, Woodring, Wall Organizations: Apple
I wonder if this is collectively the same group that doubted the bull market when it was rallying on narrow breadth led by the Mag 7. Today we'll revisit Meta (META) , the second largest market cap name in the sector behind Alphabet. I currently hold a 7% target allocation in my Tactical Alpha Growth (TAG) portfolio and a 2% target allocation in my Strategic Income & Growth (SIG) portfolio at Inside Edge Capital. -Todd Gordon, Founder of Inside Edge Capital, LLC DISCLOSURES: ( Gordon owns META in his wealth management company Inside Edge Capital. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.
Persons: Elliott, I'm, Zuckerberg, Todd Gordon, Gordon Organizations: Netflix, Spotify, CNBC Pro, Alpha, Edge, Inside Edge, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL
The bulls on Wall Street have been largely right about the stock market over the past two years. Business Insider asked three bullish stock strategists what they consider the biggest risks. Yet, those economists have been largely wrong about what could sink the stock market and economy. "In May/June, when you had a lot of bears or those that had been late to jump on the bull parade all of a sudden switch their forecasts and kind of chase markets up, which is pretty, I mean pretty, pretty, pretty classic," Belski told Business Insider. The second risk is, similar to Belski's concern, a 1990's type melt-up in the stock market.
Persons: , Brian Belski, Belski, Yardeni Research's Eric Wallerstein Eric Wallerstein, Wallerstein, that's, Carson, Sonu Varghese Sonu Varghese, Varghese Organizations: Business, Service, BMO, Nvidia, Yardeni Research, Carson Group, Federal Locations: Russia, Ukraine, China, Taiwan
The market's turn toward treating good economic news as positive for stocks is pictured here in a chart from Citi strategists, showing the three-month correlation between the S & P 500 and the Citi U.S. Economic Surprise index has turned sharply higher. The S & P 500's low for the week was Wednesday morning, right at the 5400 level where it previously hit a low a week ago Friday after a tepid employment report. Forward 12-month S & P 500 earnings forecasts continue to rise smartly, now approaching $270. But, thanks to the past two months of sideways churn, that's down from 21.7 when the S & P first hit its current level in July. And the rally last week could well have front-run any potential positive inference from the Fed's move next week.
Persons: Ally Financial, Ed Hyman, Loretta Mester, William Dudley, John Kolovos Organizations: Citi, Citi U.S, Fed, Ally, CPI, Wall Street, Financial Times, Treasury, National Association of Active Investment, American Association of
Bitcoin ATMs are a rapidly growing presence in the United States and, some experts say, a rapidly growing cybercrime menace. So, while a cash ATM tucked away between the snack cakes and energy drinks at a gas station may not draw much attention, a bitcoin ATM gets more scrutiny from bad actors. But in addition to old tricks, there are newer threats bitcoin ATMs introduce that cash ATMs do not face. Although the bitcoin ATM isn't exactly drawing crowds, Patel says a surprising number of senior citizens show up at the kiosk, alarming given the rise of bitcoin ATM scams targeting seniors. Basic steps to avoid bitcoin ATM scamsTo protect against these scams, users should be cautious and skeptical of any request to pay through a bitcoin ATM.
Persons: Timothy Bates, Bates, Joe Dobson, Dobson, Donald Trump's, J.D, Vance, refashioned, Elon Musk, Sai Patel, Patel, Alice Frei, Frei Organizations: University of Michigan's College of Innovation, Technology, Federal Trade Commission, Google, Social, Middletown Food Mart, Ohio, Trump Locations: United States, Middletown , Ohio, Middletown
Let's front-run the September-October weakness Another chunk of investors is equally pessimistic, but for a different reason. 2) Corporate buybacks, which have been exceptionally strong this year — likely a record for the S & P 500 — will likely slow soon because corporations will be entering blackout periods for several weeks heading into earnings. The S & P 500 is less than 3% from its historic high. The last time the S & P 500 had a 10% correction was July 31 to Oct. 27, 2023 (10.3% drop). That's what happens with high valuations and a slower economy.
Persons: payrolls, It's, Goldman Sachs, nonfarm payrolls Organizations: Traders, Citi, Nvidia Locations: factoids
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