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☆ A Takaichi win would have big implications on BOJ policy: Strategist
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailJapan's LDP election: Takaichi win would have 'biggest implications' on BOJ policy, strategist saysMitul Kotecha, Barclays' head of FX and emerging markets macro strategy in Asia, says there would be pressure on the Bank of Japan to hike rates "less aggressively than would've been anticipated" or even a "delay in a January move."

Persons: Takaichi, Mitul Kotecha, would've Organizations: Barclays, Bank of Japan Locations: Asia

☆ Bitcoin jumps while Japan holiday dulls most currencies
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The Bank of Japan left interest rates unchanged last week and indicated it was not in a hurry to hike them again. That decision, coming just days after the Fed's 50 basis points rate cut, put a pause to the yen's sharp gains this month. With Japan closed for Autumnal Equinox Day, the main driver of trade was expectations around further Fed rate cuts and the gains those have spurred in equities, commodity currencies and other risk assets. The Fed's rate cut "appears to have calmed market fears of a U.S. recession", Goldman Sachs said in a note. Meanwhile, the majority of economists polled by Reuters anticipate two more 25 bps rate cuts at the Fed's final two meetings this year.

Persons: Bitcoin, Goldman Sachs, Christopher Waller, Fumio Kishida, Takaichi —, —, Shigeru Ishiba, Shinjiro Koizumi, Junichiro Koizumi, Takaichi, pare Organizations: Federal, Bank of Japan, Japan, U.S, U.S ., FedWatch, Treasury, Reuters, House Republicans, Liberal Democratic Party, Barclays, The Bank of Locations: United States, Japan, U.S, The Bank of England

☆ Japan top currency diplomat says watching for any build-up of yen carry trades: report
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-21 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Sheets of newly-designed Japanese 10,000 yen banknotes move through a machine at the National Printing Bureau Tokyo plant in Tokyo, Japan, on Wednesday, June 19, 2024. Persistent weakness in the yen is raising concerns about the potential for a resurgence in cost-push inflation, likely weighing on private consumption. Japan's top currency diplomat Atsushi Mimura said authorities are "always watching markets" as a renewed build-up of yen carry trades could heighten market volatility, public broadcaster NHK quoted him as saying in an interview that ran on Friday. Mimura said yen carry trades built up in the past are likely to have been mostly unwound, according to NHK. We are always watching markets to ensure that does not happen," Mimura was quoted as saying.

Persons: Atsushi Mimura, Mimura, Masato Kanda, Yen Organizations: National Printing Bureau, NHK, Bank of Japan Locations: National Printing Bureau Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan

☆ Yen nurses losses as BOJ meets, dollar dogged by rate outlook
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-20 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Japanese 10,000 yen, left, and US 100 dollar banknotes arranged for a photograph in Tokyo, Japan, on Friday, May 10, 2024. It has been a tough week for the yen, with the euro gaining 2.2% to 159.46 as speculators booked profit on recent long yen positions. The dollar was up 1.4% for the week at 142.84 yen , though off an overnight high of 143.95. "As such, there is scope to further raise the policy rate while keeping financial conditions accommodative," she said. "The recent financial market ructions and the upcoming Liberal Democratic Party election may make the BOJ more cautious about raising."

Persons: Samara Hammoud, Kazuo Ueda, Sterling Organizations: Bank of, U.S ., CBA, 25bp, Liberal Democratic Party, U.S Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Bank of Japan, Samara, China, U.S . Federal, Bank of England

☆ Bank of Japan keeps key interest rate steady as it treads cautiously on normalizing policy
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-20 | by ( Anniek Bao | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The Japanese flag flutters over the Bank of Japan (BoJ) head office building (bottom) in Tokyo on April 27, 2022. The Bank of Japan kept its benchmark interest rate steady at "around 0.25%" — the highest rate since 2008 — at the conclusion of a two-day meeting Friday. Japan's economy has recovered moderately, the central bank said in its official statement, while acknowledging "some weakness has been seen in part." BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda said last month that the central bank would continue to raise interest rates if the economy and inflation stayed in line with the central bank's projection. On Thursday, The U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 50 basis points to a range of 4.75% to 5.0%.

Persons: BOJ, Kazuo Ueda Organizations: Bank of Japan, The Bank of Japan, Nikkei, U.S . Federal Reserve Locations: Tokyo

☆ BOJ likely to hike rates in January, economist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-20 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBOJ likely to hike rates in January, economist saysKazuo Momma, executive economist at Mizuho Research & Technologies, explains why the Bank of Japan has "no reason" to "rush" into a rate-hiking cycle and will likely be "patient" until January.

Persons: Kazuo Momma Organizations: Mizuho Research & Technologies, Bank of Japan

☆ Appreciation of the yen could slow the pace of BOJ rate hike, economist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-20 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailAppreciation of the yen could slow the pace of BOJ rate hike, economist saysTakahide Kiuchi, executive economist at Nomura Research Institute, expects that the Bank of Japan will hike rates in January 2025.

Persons: Takahide Kiuchi Organizations: Nomura Research Institute, Bank of Locations: Bank of Japan

☆ Japan's Nikkei leads gains in Asia Pacific after Wall Street soars on Fed's jumbo rate cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-20 | by ( Anniek Bao | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

A Japanese flag is displayed as shoppers and pedestrians walk past stores at a shopping street in Tokyo, Japan, on Wednesday, Nov. 23, 2016. Asia-Pacific markets opened higher on Friday with Japan's Nikkei 225 leading gains, after Wall Street soared overnight following the Federal Reserve's outsized rate cut. Japan's core consumer prices index climbed 2.8% year on year, in line with Reuters estimates, versus a 2.7% rise in the previous month. The reading will be the last gauge of the economy before the BOJ concludes its two-day monetary policy meeting, where it's expected to keep interest rates unchanged at 0.25%. The Japanese yen was nearly flat at 142.67.

Persons: PBOC Organizations: Japan's Nikkei Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Asia, Pacific

☆ Bitcoin and crypto stocks rise after the Fed cuts rates by half a percentage point
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The price of bitcoin was recently higher by 3.5% at $62,417.48, according to Coin Metrics, building on a rally underway before the central bank decision Wednesday. Stocks tied to the price of bitcoin climbed in early trading Thursday. MicroStrategy , widely used as a high beta play on the price of bitcoin, gained 5%. It isn't out of the woods yet, however, said Yuya Hasegawa, crypto market analyst at Japanese bitcoin exchange Bitbank. "Bitcoin has some time until the BOJ makes the decision and could extend its gain during Thursday's U.S. session.

Persons: bitcoin, Stocks, Yuya Hasegawa, Bitcoin Organizations: Metrics, Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, Bank of, Thursday's U.S

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Rate cuts might not benefit tech the most
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Record close for DowThe S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average rose on Monday, with the Dow notching a record close. Next move for the BOJThe Bank of Japan won't be raising interest rates at its September meeting, according to a CNBC survey of 32 analysts. [PRO] "Golden age of fixed income"The U.S. Federal Reserve is poised to cut interest rates this week.

Persons: Shaktikanta Das, Biden, Rick Rieder Organizations: Trade Center, CNBC, Dow, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Nikkei, U.S ., Midea Group, Hong Kong, Bank of Japan, Bank of India, Intel, U.S . Federal Locations: Manhattan, Jersey City , New Jersey, Asia, Pacific, Hong

☆ Dollar pinned down by 50 bp Fed cut bets
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The dollar traded near its lowest levels of the year on Tuesday, on the eve of the expected the start to a U.S. easing cycle that markets are betting may begin with an outsized rate cut. The euro rallied overnight to $1.1138 and traded around there early in the Asia session, not far from the year's high against the dollar of $1.1201. Fed funds futures rallied on Monday to push the chance of a 50 basis point rate cut to 67%, against 30% a week ago. "That's because the contrast between central bank outlooks will remain starkest between the Fed and the BoJ, for the time being." The U.S. dollar index weakened 0.4% overnight to 100.7, not far from its 2024 low made last month at 100.51.

Persons: Sterling — Organizations: Macquarie, Fed, Bank of, The Bank of England, New, U.S Locations: U.S, Asia, Tokyo, Bank of Japan, New Zealand

☆ BOJ unlikely to raise rates this year amid leadership change and cooling economy, economist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBOJ unlikely to raise rates this year amid leadership change and cooling economy, economist saysWith Japan's upcoming party leadership election on Sept. 27 and its cooling economy, "moving in that environment is tricky" for the Bank of Japan, said Martin Schulz, chief policy economist at Fujitsu.

Persons: Martin Schulz Organizations: Bank of Japan, Fujitsu

☆ Currencies listless as markets waffle over Fed rate cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

A quarter-point reduction by the Fed as it kicks off its rate cuts is still seen as the slightly more likely outcome, but only marginally so. Futures price a total of 125 basis points in rate cuts in 2024. Investors are also looking to the Bank of Japan's interest rate decision on Friday, when it is expected to keep its short-term policy rate target steady at 0.25%. Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem meanwhile opened the door to stepping up the pace of interest rate cuts, the Financial Times reported on Sunday. The BoC, after keeping its key policy rate at 5%, a more than two-decade high, for a year, has trimmed it by a quarter point three times in a row since June.

Persons: Chris Weston, Fumio Kishida, Sanae Takaichi, Christine Lagarde, Philip R, Lane, Luis de Guindos Organizations: U.S, Bank of England, Bank of Japan, Treasury, Fed, FedWatch, Bank of, Liberal Democratic Party, Sterling, European Central Bank, ECB, Bank of Canada, Financial Times, BoC Locations: Japan, Asia, China, South Korea

☆ The Bank of Japan's next rate hike may come in December, not this week: CNBC survey
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( Lin Lin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda attends a session in the financial affairs committee at the lower house of parliament on Aug. 23, 2024 in Tokyo. Economists, FX strategists and Japan-focused fund managers are split over the timing of the Bank of Japan's next interest rate hike, according to a new CNBC International survey. BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda said last month that the central bank would continue to raise interest rates if inflation stayed on course, while also closely monitoring financial market conditions. "We think the central bank will be keen to move gradually and allow the impact of the July rate hike to be fully felt," said Jessica Hinds, director in Fitch Ratings' economics team. CNBC's survey found 18.75% of respondents expect a hike for the October meeting, while another 25% said a hike was possible.

Persons: Kazuo Ueda, Jessica Hinds Organizations: Japan, FX, Bank of Japan's, CNBC International, CNBC, Fitch Locations: Tokyo, Japan

☆ Dollar weak as traders add to wagers of big rate cut from Fed
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

While the Fed is all but certain to cut rates next week, uncertainty around whether it will go with a 25 basis point cut or 50 basis points has kept investors on the edge and weighed on the dollar. Analysts pointed to media reports from the Financial Times and the Wall Street Journal suggesting the Fed's decision would be a close call as one of the reasons for traders adding to wagers of a big rate cut next week. Higher U.S. jobless claims data released on Thursday and the Wall Street Journal article on the Fed's rate cut dilemma revived bets on a jumbo cut at the September meeting, according to Christopher Wong, currency strategist at OCBC. Besides the Fed, the Bank of England and Bank of Japan hold policy meetings next week. "Risks remain that inflation may not return to target as easily as everyone, including the Fed, seems to expect."

Persons: Christopher Wong, Christine Lagarde, Ryan Brandham, Naoki Tamura, Sterling, BoE Organizations: Federal Reserve, Financial Times, Wall, Traders, European Central Bank, Fed, Bank of England, Bank of Japan, Validus Risk Locations: North America

☆ BOJ looking to signal a rate hike before end of 2024, strategist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBOJ looking to signal a rate hike before end of 2024, strategist saysGeoff Howie, market strategist at the Singapore Exchange, discusses the outlook for the central bank's monetary policy and Southeast Asian markets.

Persons: Geoff Howie Organizations: Singapore Exchange

☆ Dollar firm as inflation data douse bets for big Fed rate cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The dollar traded near a four-week high versus the euro on Thursday after signs of some stickiness in U.S. inflation reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve would avoid a super-sized interest rate cut next week. The dollar traded near a four-week high versus the euro on Thursday after signs of some stickiness in U.S. inflation reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve would avoid a super-sized interest rate cut next week. Meanwhile, a quarter-point rate reduction from the European Central Bank is widely expected later on Thursday, with investors anxious for hints on how soon the monetary authority will cut again. Early on Wednesday, Bank of Japan board member Junko Nakagawa reinforced the central bank's tightening bias by saying low real rates leave room for further rate hikes. As a result, traders essentially priced out the chances of a 50-basis point rate cut on Sept. 18, paring the odds to 15% versus 85% probability for a 25-bp reduction.

Persons: Junko Nakagawa, Naoki Tamura, Tony Sycamore Organizations: Federal, European Central Bank, Bank of Japan, IG, ECB, Sterling, Swiss Locations: U.S

☆ 'Pulling a Joe Biden': Reactions to Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida's resignation
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-14 | by ( Lee Ying Shan | In Ying-Shan-Lee | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Japan's Prime Minister Fumio Kishida speaks to reporters following North Korea's missile launch on April 13, 2023. JIJI Press | AFP | Getty ImagesJapanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida is stepping down in September, a move that sparked a broad range of reactions from government officials and analysts. Still, Izumi thanked Kishida for his hard work, adding "Prime Minister Kishida, you must have been under a lot of pressure." "The prime minister is a true friend of the United States and Japan has become a true global partner for America," U.S. "I pay tribute to my friend Prime Minister Fumio Kishida.

Persons: Fumio Kishida, Japan's, Kishida, Joe Biden, he's, William Pesek, Biden, Izumi, Japan Rahm Emanuel, Kishida's, Emanuel, Anthony Albanese, Japan Shihab Alfaheem, Amir Anvarzadeh Organizations: Japan's, JIJI Press, AFP, Getty, Liberal Democratic Party, Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan, LDP, Japan, America, U.S, Alliance, Australian, Asymmetric Advisors Locations: United States, Japan, Australia

☆ These 4 Japanese stocks are trading at a 'deep discount': Bernstein
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-14 | by ( Amala Balakrishner | In Amala-Balakrishner | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Japan's stock market has rebounded from last week's sell-off and investment firm Bernstein sees promise looking ahead, recommending a specific trading strategy and naming overweight-rated stocks. Both indexes have since recouped some losses, with the Topix and Nikkei ending 2.83% and 3.45% higher respectively on Tuesday. Below are four stocks from the investment bank's defensive screen, listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. Stocks trading at a 'deep discount' Among the names on the bank's screen is video games company Nintendo . According to FactSet, analysts on average give Capcom over 19% upside, Keyence almost 24% upside and Bandai Namco 22.5% upside potential.

Persons: Bernstein, Rupal Agarwal, — CNBC's Michael Bloom, Charmaine Jacob, Arjun Kharpal Organizations: Nikkei, BOJ, Bank of, Tokyo Stock Exchange, U.S, Stocks, Nintendo, Capcom, Keyence Corp, Bandai Namco Holdings, Bandai Namco Locations: Bank of Japan, Japan

☆ The big ‘carry trade’ unwind is far from over, strategists warn
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-13 | by ( Sam Meredith | In Samuelmeredith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

watch nowEconomists have said it is difficult to accurately assess the scale of the yen carry trade, with estimates varying widely. Some analysts, using Japan's foreign portfolio investments, say the yen carry trade could total as much as $4 trillion, Reuters reported. "The real Japan strategy is not just a quick carry trade, borrowing at close to zero interest rates in Japan and investing in high yield assets. Analysts at Barclays said systematic selling pressure does not appear to have been exhausted yet and it's "too early" to call an all-clear to the carry trades unwind. We expect volatility to remain elevated, which should continue to hurt EM carry trades," the analysts at Barclays said in a research note published Sunday.

Persons: Kazuhiro Nogi, Richard Kelly, he'd, Kelly, CNBC's, Nogi, Jesper Koll, Koll, What's Organizations: Tokyo Stock Exchange, Afp, Getty, Bank of Japan, TD Securities, Reuters, TS Lombard, Bank of, The Bank of Japan, Federal Reserve, Monex, Barclays Locations: Tokyo, Japan, MEX, Brazil, Bank of Japan, U.S

On Thursday, investors in Asia will assess trade data from Japan and interest rate decision from the Reserve Bank of India. Global equities and currencies plunged earlier this week after the Bank of Japan hiked interest rates to their highest levels since 2008, and the U.S. released weaker-than-expected employment numbers. Asia-Pacific markets were mostly down in choppy trading on Thursday after U.S. stock benchmarks fell overnight, while investors assessed trade data from Japan and awaited India's rate decision. "Assuming that the price stability target will be achieved in the second half of fiscal 2025, the Bank should raise the policy interest rate to the level of the neutral interest rate toward that time," the summary read. Japanese technology investor SoftBank Group said in a statement on Wednesday that it would buy back up to 500 billion yen ($3.4 billion) of its shares as part of its efforts to boost shareholder returns.

Persons: Shinichi Uchida, Lasertec, Korea's Kospi Organizations: Reuters, The Reserve Bank of, Reserve Bank of India, Global, Bank of Japan, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Nikkei, Bank, SoftBank, Semiconductor, Isuzu Motors, China's CSI, Cathay, Hong Kong's, Airbus Locations: The Reserve Bank of India, Asia, Japan, U.S, Pacific, Hong, Cathay Pacific

☆ Nikkei 225: Japan stock market rally fades as fears of US economic slowdown, yen volatility return
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-08 | by ( Laura He | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

Meanwhile, the yen strengthened 0.6% to 146 against the US dollar, after losing nearly 2% on Tuesday and Wednesday combined. But those fears, as well as a further jump in the value of the yen, are still haunting the market. The volatility in the yen, which was at the heart of recent market turmoil, remains elevated, he added. On Monday, the Nikkei plummeted by the most since 1987, sparking a broader global market sell-off. The narrowing of the interest rate differentials, which had enabled the yen carry trade, could push the yen higher, Kuptiskevich added.

Persons: Hong Kong CNN —, Germany’s DAX, Shinichi Uchida, Uchida, ”, Stephen Innes, Alex Kuptsikevich, Masamichi Adachi, Innes, Taiwan’s Taiex, Hang Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, Nikkei, CAC, Nasdaq, Bank of Japan, Federal Reserve, FxPro, Federal, Fed, UBS, UBS Chief Investment, Kospi, Hang Seng Locations: Hong Kong, Europe, Japan, unwind

☆ Why Jay Powell refuses to be bullied by Wall Street
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-08 | by ( Allison Morrow | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

The whole episode underscored a fundamental tension between the Fed, which is focused on economic stability, and Wall Street, which is focused on profit. The message from Powell and other policymakers is clear: We won’t be strong-armed by Wall Street. The BOJ’s deputy governor, Shinichi Uchida, citing volatility in financial markets, said the bank would not raise its policy interest rate as long as markets remain unstable. Powell (formerly in finance, hazel eyes, great ties) appears to have a real opportunity to Volcker it up even more in the coming weeks. That gives Wall Street plenty of time to sit in the corner and deal with its feelings.

Persons: CNN Business ’, Summer, Tim Walz’s, Jerome Hayden Powell, Here’s, Powell, ”, Powell’s, It’s, Paul Volcker fanboy, Shinichi Uchida, Mohamed El, “, Volcker, quieting, Powell isn’t Organizations: CNN Business, New York CNN, Finance, Federal, Stock, CNBC, Wall, Bank of Japan, Bloomberg Locations: New York, FiDi, Powell, Japan

☆ Dollar gains after U.S. jobless claims fall more than expected
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Japanese yen banknotes of various denominations are arranged in Kawasaki, Japan, on Friday, June 23, 2023. The dollar rose on Thursday after new U.S. labor market data showed that unemployment benefits fell more than expected last week, easing fears of an imminent recession. Initial jobless claims fell to a seasonally adjusted 233,000 for the week ended Aug. 3, the Labor Department said on Thursday, suggesting fears that the labor market is unraveling were overblown. The sharp moves in the yen pushed the dollar index, which measures the U.S. currency against six others, including the yen, to a weekly high, before backing off. The Australian dollar rose 1.12% to $0.659, while the New Zealand dollar was up 0.25% at $0.601.

Persons: Shinichi Uchida, Eugene Epstein, Uchida, Marc Chandler, Jerome Powell, Vasu Menon, bitcoin, Ether Organizations: Labor Department, Bank of Japan's, Bannockburn Global Forex, U.S . Federal, Swiss, New Zealand Locations: Kawasaki, Japan, North America, Moneycorp, ., Bannockburn

☆ Nikkei 225: Asian markets make solid gains following global rout
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-07 | by ( Juliana Liu | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

Hong Kong CNN —Asian markets made solid gains Wednesday, with Japanese shares reversing early losses after a central bank official played down the prospect of an immediate hike in interest rates. The gains follow days of volatility, which saw the Nikkei suffering Monday its biggest daily loss since 1987. “We won’t raise interest rates when financial markets are unstable,” he was quoted as saying in a speech to executives in the northern Japanese city of Hakodate. The central bank has hiked interest rates twice this year in a bid to contain inflation. Decades of extremely low interest rates in Japan had seen many investors borrow cash cheaply there before converting it to other currencies to invest in higher-yielding assets.

Persons: Shinichi Uchida, Kospi, Hong, Taiex, Uchida, ”, Olesya Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, Nikkei, Bank of Japan, US, Dow, Nasdaq Locations: Hong Kong, Asia, South, Hakodate, “, Japan, Europe, London

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