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Sure enough, the S&P 500 rallied another 7.2%, ending 2023 up 24.2%. BMO Capital MarketsInvestors would love a similar outcome after a 14.5% first-half gain, which ranks in the 82nd percentile historically, according to BMO. History is on stocks' side in the second halfIn the last seven-and-a-half decades, the S&P 500 has risen 10% to 15% a dozen other times. Chances are, the relatively tame 5.5% slide the S&P 500 experienced in March and April won't be the biggest pullback of the year. Advertisement"Extended valuation remains a hot topic, but a closer inspection reveals that levels may not be as severe as are being advertised," Belski wrote.
Persons: , Goldman Sachs, Brian Belski, Belski, Stocks, Oppenheimer Organizations: Service, BMO Capital Markets, Business, BMO Capital, BMO, UBS, Markets, Tech, Trade Locations: The Montreal, New York, US
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Read previewThe record market rally has stalled in recent weeks, just as skeptics of stocks became believers. Advertisement9 stocks to put in your portfolio nowAlthough the market's path forward is murky with the pivotal US election season coming up, investors shouldn't fret. A team of BMO strategists headlined by Belski unveiled their latest US strategy portfolios in a June 3 note. For reference, the US tactical equity portfolio surged 4.9% last month, roughly in line with the S&P 500, and has outperformed by 0.9% this year and 2.8% in the last 12 months.
Persons: , Brian Belski, hasn't, Ed Clissold, Ned Davis, he's, David Lundgren, Belski Organizations: Service, BMO Capital Markets, UBS, Business, Ned, Ned Davis Research, BMO, Microsoft, Netflix, Nvidia Locations: Montreal, BMO's US
US stocks could be stuck in quicksand for the rest of 2024 despite robust earnings growth, but investors shouldn't panic. Wall Street expects double-digit earnings growth in 2024. The consensus estimate for S&P 500 profits is about $244, which would be up from $220 in 2023. The so-called SMID-cap cohort lagged its larger peers again in the first quarter, posting a solid 7.6% total return, while the S&P 500 surged 10.6%, including dividends. Six sell-side research analysts cover the typical stock in the SMID-cap S&P 1000 index compared to 17 analysts for the average S&P 500 member, Belski wrote.
Persons: Brian Belski, Belski, Evercore ISI's Julian Emanuel Organizations: Business, BMO Capital Markets, BMO
Here are the 42 stocks in BMO's US dividend growth portfolio, which beat the market soundly in 2022. One such model, the US dividend growth portfolio, beat the S&P 500 convincingly in 2022, falling just 5.4% after dividends compared to the index's -18.1% total return. And in 2021, the US dividend growth portfolio matched the S&P 500's performance exactly by rising 28.7%. Still, Belski noted that 30 of the 42 stocks held in BMO's US dividend growth portfolio topped the S&P 500 in the fourth quarter. Below are the 42 stocks in BMO Capital Markets' market-beating US dividend growth portfolio right now, along with the ticker, market capitalization, sector, and dividend yield for each.
Total: 4