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☆ A recession is imminent and favored tech stocks set to crater like the 'Nifty Fifty' did, BCA Research says
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-03 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The rise and fall of the "Nifty Fifty" stocks in the 1970s is a cautionary tale for investors in the Magnificent Seven craze, according to BCA Research. The "Nifty Fifty" refers to a loose group of stocks including Coca-Cola , IBM , Xerox and Pfizer , that rose to prominence in the 1970 to 1973 bull market. The comments from BCA come as the Magnificent Seven stocks continue powering the market to new heights despite a modest pullback this summer. The surge stems from ongoing bets around growth stocks and the artificial intelligence theme, especially as the Federal Reserve begins cutting rates. NVDA YTD mountain Nvidia in 2024 There are plenty of differences between the Nifty Fifty and the Magnificent Seven, Peta said, including megacap tech names' longer track record of outperforming the market.

Persons: Doug Peta, BCA's, Peta Organizations: BCA Research, IBM, Xerox, Pfizer, BCA, Federal Reserve, Nvidia

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Roaring Kitty, Nike flops, inflation on deck
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-28 | by ( Abid Ali | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

A trader works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) during morning trading on March 4, 2024 in New York City. This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Nike warningShares of Nike plunged 12% in extended trading after the sneaker giant slashed its full-year guidance, anticipating a 10% drop in sales for the current quarter. Roaring Kitty, back againChewy shares experienced a rollercoaster ride on Thursday, soaring as much as 34% following a cryptic post by meme stock influencer Roaring Kitty, before falling back into negative territory.

Persons: Matthew Friend, Nike's, Tim Wentworth, Kitty, CNBC's Michelle Fox Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Micron, Nvidia, Treasury, Nike, Walgreens, BCA Research Locations: New York City, U.S, Israel, Lebanon, Greater China, China

☆ S&P 500 to tumble 30% as recession hits later this year, says BCA Research
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-27 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

U.S. stocks are set to drop more than 30% as a recession hits the U.S. economy in the coming months, BCA Research predicts. We conservatively expect the S & P 500 to drop to 3750 during the coming recession," Chief Global Strategist Peter Berezin wrote in a note Tuesday. The calculation is conservative because it assumes that S & P 500 revenue rises in line with nominal gross adjusted product, he explained. .SPX 1Y mountain S & P 500's one-year performance BCA Research said it sees several feedback loops that will weaken the economy. Absent "overwhelming evidence" of an imminent recession risk, the central bank will be reluctant to cut rates aggressively, he said.

Persons: Peter Berezin, Berezin, JPMorgan's Dubravko Organizations: Research, Tech, Wall, CNBC

A person walks past an unpainted Boeing 737-8 MAX parked at Renton Municipal Airport adjacent to Boeing's factory in Renton, Washington on January 25, 2024. The company's 737 program head, Ed Clark, is leaving the company, Stan Deal, CEO of Boeing's commercial airplane unit, said in memo to employees. "Ed departs with my, and our, deepest gratitude for his many significant contributions over nearly 18 years of dedicated service to Boeing," Deal said. A month after the Alaska Airlines flight, Boeing said misdrilled holes on some Max planes would delay handovers of the aircraft to airlines. The door plug that blew out of the almost brand-new 737 Max 9 used for Alaska Airlines Flight 1282 has already brought increased scrutiny and restrictions from federal regulators.

Persons: Max, Ed Clark, Stan Deal, Katie Ringgold, Deal, Elizabeth Lund, Lund, Ed, it's Organizations: Renton Municipal Airport, Boeing, Alaska Airlines, National Transportation Safety, Federal Aviation Administration, Airbus, CNBC PRO Locations: Renton, Renton , Washington, Alaska, United

MINNEAPOLIS (AP) — No law enforcement officers will face criminal charges in the death of a man who fled a traffic stop in the Minneapolis suburb of Robbinsdale. The death was ruled an accidental drowning, prosecutors said Monday. Black Lives Matter of Minnesota released a statement in February saying Azad's family believed he was bitten by police dogs and beaten by officers. Moriarty said the BCA's investigation established that Azad's death was a “tragic accidental drowning." "The BCA uncovered no evidence that any member of law enforcement had any physical contact with Khalil after the initial traffic stop,” Moriarty said.

Persons: Mary Moriarty, Khalil Azad, Azad's, Moriarty, Khalil, ” Moriarty, “ Organizations: —, Minnesota, Robbinsdale Police Department, BCA, State Patrol Locations: MINNEAPOLIS, Minneapolis, Robbinsdale, Hennepin County, Crystal Lake, Minnesota

March 2 (Reuters) - A virtual event with Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller was canceled on Thursday after the Zoom video conference was "hijacked" by a participant who displayed pornographic images. It is an incident we deeply regret," said Brent Tjarks, executive director of the Mid-Size Bank Coalition of America (MBCA), which hosted the event via a Zoom link. "We have been deeply upset to hear about these types of incidents, and Zoom strongly condemns such behavior," Zoom spokesman Matt Nagel said in a statement. The service has come under fire over privacy and security issues, including incidents of "Zoom bombing" in which uninvited users entered and disrupted meetings. The Fed said the event, which was to feature a speech by Waller as well as a question-and-answer session, was canceled due to "technical difficulties."

☆ Emerging market stocks are off to a strong start in 2023 — How the outlook is shaping up
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-19 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Emerging market stocks are off to a strong start in 2023, even as concerns remain for investors. The iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) tumbled more than 22% in 2022, and more than 5% the previous year. "One of the primary attractions for emerging markets has been compelling valuations," said LPL Financial's Quincy Krosby. Not all emerging markets are equal Even as emerging markets are broadly outperforming, some countries are expected to perform better than others. The iShares MSCI South Korea ETF (EWY) and the iShares MSCI Chile ETF (ECH) are up more than 10% and nearly 1%, respectively.

☆ Analysis: Nagging U.S. Treasury liquidity problems raise Fed balance sheet predicament
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-08 | by ( Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

The Fed's balance sheet though remains at a lofty $8.7 trillion, down modestly from a peak of nearly $9 trillion. Fed' balance sheetHowever, there are underlying liquidity and volatility problems in U.S. Treasuries amid the Fed's aggressive rate hike cycle. While the Fed is determined to reduce its balance sheet, if the problems facing investors get out of control, some analysts said the Fed may just halt or suspend it. UBS economists said last month the Fed's balance sheet runoff will face several complications through 2023, prompting the Fed to sharply slow or fully stop balance sheet reduction sometime around June 2023. BCA's Swift said while the Treasury market has grown dramatically since 2008, dealer intermediation, has remained low, noting that regulations made it less appealing for dealers to undertake such activity in the Treasury market.

☆ Chile has outperformed other emerging markets and the S&P 500 this year. Here's how
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-14 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Stocks in Chile are also outperforming the broader emerging markets. The iShares MSCI Emerging Market ETF (EEM) is down more than 28% for the year. Apart from the iShares MSCI Chile ETF, which helps investors gain exposure to the total addressable market, Chile makes up just a small part of other funds. The country comprises just 0.2% of the Morningstar global markets index, for example, and only about 0.6% of its emerging markets index. For macro investors, Chile is one of the interesting countries in the emerging market universe to deploy, according to BCA Research's Budaghyan.

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