The International Energy Agency's (IEA) medium-term oil market report, released on Wednesday, forecast that Asia, and particularly China, was the engine of crude oil and refined product demand growth up until 2028.
The report highlights that this presents both opportunities and risks for the global oil and product markets.
The main risk is that the world's reliance on China's exports of refined fuels increases, but China's exports aren't determined by market imperatives.
The IEA said China had about 3 million barrels per day (bpd) of unused refining capacity at the beginning of 2023.
The IEA said its forecast for global product balances over the 2022-28 period is "heavily dependent on higher Chinese product exports, especially for diesel".
Persons:
Clyde Russell, Tom Hogue
Organizations:
Energy, Beijing, IEA, Reuters, Thomson
Locations:
LAUNCESTON, Australia, China, Asia, CHINA, Asia skyrocketing, Singapore, Russia, Ukraine