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July's - 1 Berenberg's Salomon Fiedler - 1 Isabel Schnabel - 1 Jerome Powell - 1 Anatoli Annenkov - 1 Christine Lagarde - 1 Commerzbank's Marco Wagner - 1 Catherine Evans - 1
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3 mentions found


☆ ECB to hike rates again but keep options open for September
  + stars: | 2023-07-26 | by ( Balazs Koranyi Francesco Canepa | Balazs Koranyi | Francesco Canepa | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
That will leave investors guessing whether another rate hike is coming in September or if July marks the end of the ECB's fastest-ever tightening spree. While markets had fully priced in another rate hike just a few weeks ago, investors are now split, with many expecting July's move to be the last. "We see a 60% probability that the ECB will hike again by a final 25bp on 14 September," Berenberg's Salomon Fiedler said. "Softer data such as the drop in the Eurozone composite PMI indicate a rising chance that the central bank will stay put in September already." This is a key reason why the balance of expectations has started to shift away from another rate hike, with economists increasingly focusing on how long rates will stay high.
Persons: July's, Berenberg's Salomon Fiedler, Isabel Schnabel, Jerome Powell, Anatoli Annenkov, Christine Lagarde, Commerzbank's Marco Wagner, Catherine Evans Organizations: European Central Bank, ECB, PMI, U.S . Federal Reserve, Thomson Locations: FRANKFURT
☆ European Central Bank set for 50 basis point rate hike on hopes that inflation has peaked
  + stars: | 2022-12-14 | by ( Annette Weisbach | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Quantitative tightening, or QT, could see the ECB shrink its gigantic bond portfolio. "We expect the ECB to raise its policy rates by 50 bp at the December meeting," said Michael Schumacher, an ECB watcher with Natixis, in a recent research note. "We also expect an announcement of Quantitative Tightening next year, though the ECB is unlikely to provide a specific start date at this point." Another hot topic for the ECB's Governing Council, which concludes its meeting Thursday with a press conference, will, of course, be inflation and possible peak inflation. "While Inflation likely peaked in October, we see core inflation lingering above 5% until mid 2023 before trending lower," said Anatoli Annenkov at Societe Generale in a recent research note.
☆ Analysis: Europe says goodbye to negative rates - or just 'au revoir'?
  + stars: | 2022-09-22 | by ( Mark John Dhara Ranasinghe | Mark John | Dhara Ranasinghe | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +7 min
With interest rates back then already close to zero, they had run out of conventional ammunition to ward off the threat of outright deflation they feared would choke off the economic recovery. As one Danish bank vaunted the world's first negative rate mortgage, it is likely that cheap borrowing added steam to house price spikes across the region. "It's the central bankers who have taken interest rates to a level where we attach no value to the future," he said. As the negative rate era closes, the global pool of assets with negative yield has shrunk to less than $2 trillion from a 2020 peak of some $18 trillion. "I am very doubtful anyone here is ready to say never again for negative rates."
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