A New York Times and Siena College poll released Nov. 5 showed Donald Trump leading Joe Biden in five of the six key swing states, with a notable jump in support among nonwhite and young voters. In response, Democrats freaked out. But then two days later, voters across the country actually went to the polls, and Democrats and Democratic-associated policy did pretty well. I asked Mike Podhorzer, a longtime poll skeptic, to help to help me understand the apparent gap between the polls and the ballot box. And as the founder of the Analyst Institute, he was the godfather of the data-driven turn in Democratic campaign strategy.

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Persons: Donald Trump, Joe Biden, freaked, Andy Beshear, “, Ezra Klein, Mike Podhorzer, Podhorzer, ” Organizations: New York Times, Siena College, Democratic, Apple, Spotify, Amazon Music, Google, Analyst Institute Locations: Kentucky, Virginia, Ohio